oldflyer said:

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one MEEN Ag said:

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One of the biggest export controls is over GPS access. GPS chips, down in the lithography, have speed cut outs where if you exceed like 500 mph it'll delay the data and then somewhere there is a cutout speed all together.

It looks like these loitering munitions purposefully stay below a GPS cutout speed until they're in divebomb mode near the target.

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I wouldn't think that this would be totally true. Otherwise, how would Garmin GPS systems work within jet airliners and business jets that regularly exceed 500 mph? Even my iPad using Foreflight works at more than 500 mph. I'd think there are other reasons that the loitering munitions stay below these speeds. Such as cost of propulsion and fuel consumption/load capacity.

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A) The limit might be higher than 500 and might be closer to mach 1. I'll have to check my notes. And your ipad gps probably won't give updates within short distances. The idea of the gps speed requirements was to stop gps guided missiles from becoming too easy.

We still need to be ramping up production to rapidly backfill and build current stocks in anticipation of future conflict as well as to have supplies to accommodate Ukraine's lend/lease agreement and/or any additional stocks they wish to purchase. We can't gift them old stock forever.

Hopefully they've been able to quietly reestablish a military industrial base of some sort in the west of the country to augment what we've jump-started them with. They had a significant arms production capability (albeit in the east) before the war do hopefully they can somewhat regain that.

Rossticus said:

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We still need to be ramping up production to rapidly backfill and build current stocks in anticipation of future conflict as well as to have supplies to accommodate Ukraine's lend/lease agreement and/or any additional stocks they wish to purchase. We can't gift them old stock forever.

Hopefully they've been able to quietly reestablish a military industrial base of some sort in the west of the country to augment what we've jump-started them with. They had a significant arms production capability (albeit in the east) before the war do hopefully they can somewhat regain that.

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It's happening. RAMP UP

Rossticus said:

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We still need to be ramping up production to rapidly backfill and build current stocks in anticipation of future conflict as well as to have supplies to accommodate Ukraine's lend/lease agreement and/or any additional stocks they wish to purchase. We can't gift them old stock forever.

Hopefully they've been able to quietly reestablish a military industrial base of some sort in the west of the country to augment what we've jump-started them with. They had a significant arms production capability (albeit in the east) before the war do hopefully they can somewhat regain that.

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I concur. A strong military posture is deterrence.
Ukes were great military builders, will be again some day, but now they need to solve a very serious energy problem that IMO the ****ing world really isn't taking serious. Yeah I get all the ADA aid is helpful but its not like the Orcs only get 3 strikes at each energy asset. a 100 missiles fly, 90 are shot down thats still 5+ assets taken offline each fire mission (might be much higher) and at times NOT easy to repair/replace. On top of that we tie right back to the stockpile getting low issue for our own use and or UKR future use.

The Ukes need a Deterrence factor that influences the orcs not to send them in the first place of which I don't really have an answer for at this time that anybody would like to hear and that might include myself.

This is the crux:

'goal production rates the service aimed for are still in the "high number of months to a year" out, making the production partnerships and donations more important.'

So, we have to manage to bridge the domestic production gap till this time next year. Then at that point you're probably looking at the most significant military production surge in decades.

Israel has agreed to finance millions of dollars worth of "strategic materials" to assist Ukraine's military efforts. This happened after negotiations with the United States, Haaretz reported.

— Hromadske Int. (@Hromadske) November 17, 2022

The Lukashenka regime handed over 211 units of military equipment to Russia in October 2022: tanks, Ural trucks and infantry fighting vehicles.@belzhd_live indicated the exact number of military equipment, which the Lukashenka regime handed over to Russia in October 2022.
1/5 pic.twitter.com/OY7gWIlNhS

— Belarusian Hajun project (@MotolkoHelp) November 17, 2022

Where the equipment was taken from storage for further transportation to Russia:

• The 969th tank reserve base in Urechcha (Luban district, Minsk region);
• The 288th vehicle reserve base in Stariya Darohi (Minsk region);
3/5

— Belarusian Hajun project (@MotolkoHelp) November 17, 2022

The equipment was sent to several railway stations in Rostov and Belgorod oblasts, Russia:
• Uspenskaya station (Rostov oblast);
• Kamenskaya station (Rostov oblast);
• Biryuch station (Belgorod oblast);
• Millerovo station (Rostov oblast).
5/5

— Belarusian Hajun project (@MotolkoHelp) November 17, 2022

Rossticus said:

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Israel has agreed to finance millions of dollars worth of "strategic materials" to assist Ukraine's military efforts. This happened after negotiations with the United States, Haaretz reported.

— Hromadske Int. (@Hromadske) November 17, 2022

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Israel doesn't do anything out of mere altruism. I wonder what sort of compensation it extracted from us.

Meanwhile China sits back with their military stockpiles full and looking around the board...

IMAGES from Russian occupied Melitopol of signs left by Ukrainian resistance/partisans indicating they are active in an area. There have been killings, abductions of Russian soldiers and sabotage work that have been carried out by these groups. #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Ukrainewar pic.twitter.com/TezYdFMxqY

— raging545 (@raging545) November 17, 2022

You heard it here first. Russia didn't start the war!

"We didn't start any war. It's lies. We're trying to finish it". pic.twitter.com/d5arSLDnG2

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) November 17, 2022

I really hope that Ukraine manages to get their hands on these freaks.

The Hague court sentenced Girkin, Dubinsky and Kharchenko to life imprisonment in the MH17 case.

— MAKS 22🇺🇦 (@Maks_NAFO_FELLA) November 17, 2022

This won't present issues for NATO intelligence sharing at all. Hungary just needs to join BRICS and get it over with.

Hungary announced the development of economic partnership with Iran, - Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó pic.twitter.com/FPwJpNSmKi

— ТРУХА⚡️English (@TpyxaNews) November 17, 2022

Russia mad because Ukraine isn't playing along with their plan to propagandize the suffering they've caused by targeting civilians.

This post highlights vital medicine shortages, absence of gas heating and Internet in Kherson, and claims that Ukraine is doing nothing, No admission that Russia’s occupation caused these humanitarian catastrophes https://t.co/b99Ojh7hns

— Samuel Ramani (@SamRamani2) November 17, 2022

Internal propaganda pushing escalation and expansion of the war continues to amplify.

Actress, laureate of the State Prize of Russia Olga Budina has urged mothers to prepare their children for a special military operation.

She stated her son is also ready to go to war.

"Tell your child to learn to shoot and overcome obstacles, to be physically fit," she said. pic.twitter.com/ZhEIu1ZZfY

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) November 17, 2022

Rossticus said:

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I really hope that Ukraine manages to get their hands on these freaks.

The Hague court sentenced Girkin, Dubinsky and Kharchenko to life imprisonment in the MH17 case.

— MAKS 22🇺🇦 (@Maks_NAFO_FELLA) November 17, 2022

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Turn them over to Malaysia. I'm sure they can come up with some fun punishments for people who killed a couple hundred civilians.

Rossticus said:

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This won't present issues for NATO intelligence sharing at all. Hungary just needs to join BRICS and get it over with.

Hungary announced the development of economic partnership with Iran, - Hungarian Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó pic.twitter.com/FPwJpNSmKi

— ТРУХА⚡️English (@TpyxaNews) November 17, 2022

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Yep this guy made some very bad choices in his dealings with russia; accepting some pretty horrible things that he doesn't want published and is not nothing but putins puppet.

Sadly there is no shortage of those like him around the globe.

Vladimir Solovyov has such a problem with Olaf Scholz that he's bothered to learn German insults for his verbal attacks on him

This latest outburst came after Scholz said that ultimate responsibility for Tuesday's Poland missile incident lay with Russia pic.twitter.com/9mDP5JKHoC

— Francis Scarr (@francis_scarr) November 17, 2022

Arestovych on the "three scenarios for 2023" by The Economist: "I promise you the third option", "our society will not accept defeat from Russia, we will beat them until the end with stones, sticks, slingshots". pic.twitter.com/jQHVgHgsam

— Dmitri (@wartranslated) November 17, 2022

Galeev always with fantastic, logical insight and analysis.

Thread (long and worth it):
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1593396342918897665.html

Let's start with dishonesty. Mearsheimer denies that Putin hold any intention to conquer Ukraine before this war. He even quotes Putin's article of July 2021 as an evidence of Putin "recognising the Ukrainian sovereignty". This is a highly inaccurate representation of its content pic.twitter.com/T5dnBkUFb2

— Kamil Galeev (@kamilkazani) November 17, 2022

Already in July 2021 Putin portrayed Ukrainian borders as fundamentally unjust. Tolerating this "new geopolitical reality" is our concession. There's no "recognition of sovereignty" here, rather the opposite. Ukrainian border is illegitimate, we just had been merciful to them

— Kamil Galeev (@kamilkazani) November 18, 2022

Today's SITREP.

The last couple of days have seen some more behind-the-lines explosions against Russia:

Quote:

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Oil depot in Stalnoy Kon settlement near Oryol was hit by a drone overnight, - governor

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/16-november-oil-depot-in-stalnoy-kon-settlement-near-oryol

Quote:

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Explosions were reported in Belgorod

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/17-november-explosions-were-reported-in-belgorod-

This next one is in Southestern Crimea. Maybe another test run at the Kerch Bridge?

Quote:

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Russian media report drone crashed at substation near Feodosia

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/17-november-russian-media-report-drone-crashed-at-substation

Quote:

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Russian media reported shelling in Belaya Berezka village in Bryansk region

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/17-november-russian-media-reported-shelling-in-belaya-berezka

These next two are behind the lines by Donetsk.

Quote:

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Explosions were reported in Illovaysk

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/17-november-explosions-were-reported-in-illovaysk

Quote:

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Several explosions were reported in Donetsk (city)

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/17-november-several-explosions-were-reported-in-donetsk

Hague basically just shat all over Russia's "Donbas separatist" narrative.

🇷🇺🇳🇱 "The court has ascertained that the Russian Federation coordinated military actions in the DPR, financed and provided weapons to the militants, but also undertook military actions on its own. Russia was in full control of the DPR". En mi opinión, La Frase™ del veredicto.

— Ignacio Villegas 🌻 (@Ignaciovdm01) November 17, 2022

The Kremlin will force President Zelenskyy to negotiate with its strikes on Ukraine's critical infrastructure - Peskov

— AlexandruC4 (@AlexandruC4) November 17, 2022

Rossticus said:

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The Kremlin will force President Zelenskyy to negotiate with its strikes on Ukraine's critical infrastructure - Peskov

— AlexandruC4 (@AlexandruC4) November 17, 2022

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Sure. Sure.

"Negotiate" must mean something entirely different in the russian translation. I wonder what "*******" means in the same language?

When Russians say "negotiate" they mean "capitulate".

As a 🇺🇦 veteran, I say that we feel the aid from the US. It goes directly to the military and the people.

We feel it daily; we get modern systems, ammunition, and critical supplies.

Your help goes to Ukrainians and not Zelensky.

Thank you 🇺🇸.

Don't buy this⤵️ https://t.co/mqs5ve53yj

— ✙🍉 Constantine 🍉✙ (@Teoyaomiquu) November 18, 2022

Speculation on the next Ukrainian push: I believe it will come from the Svatove-Kreminna area. While Ukraine is establishing fire control over the South, there are still a lot more actually trained Russian troops there, by my estimate. I've been thinking there would be more weakness in the Zaporizhzhia towards Melitopol, but I have a feeling there's more in the East and less in the South.

Eastern #Ukraine Update:#Russian forces continued ground attacks around #Bakhmut, #Avdiivka, and southwest of #Donetsk City. /2https://t.co/9N49eeRvra pic.twitter.com/T4rcY01rfy

— ISW (@TheStudyofWar) November 18, 2022

Fascinating and informative. Thank you.

Rossticus said:

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Worth a read from @JackDetsch & @ak_mack.

The West is coming to the rude realization that military realities haven't changed based on the (incorrect) hopes that large scale conventional warfare was a thing of the past.https://t.co/F1s64uVjax

— Patrick Fox (@RealCynicalFox) November 17, 2022

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I remember reading Red Storm Rising and Team Yankee (among many such) back in the late 80s-early 90s, and one of the constants was the massive expenditure of weapons, munitions, and equipment. Granted, that's fiction, but one of the constants in large scale warfare at least since 1914 has been that the armies burn through supplies, especially ammunition, at rates well in excess of all pre-war predictions.

And the production of weapons aside from basic small arms has become so specialized that few, if any, countries have the type of industrial base that can move quickly to large scale production of high end weapons systems. How many Javelins can Raytheon make in a month? Probably not nearly enough.

And that's not even talking bigger ticket items like tanks (we have ONE tank factory. ONE. They build 11 tanks a month, and only that many thanks to a lot of lobbying to keep the production line open. The Army (quite rightly, IMO, especially given events in Ukraine) really, really doesn't want to find out how long it would take to restart production if the line went totally cold) or fighter planes (F-35 production is like 14 planes a month. During WWII, Boeing would build that many B-17s in a day. At one factory.)

"The appetite for weapons" is because they keep getting blown up...notice it's not talking solely about the munitions.

The Debt said:

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"The appetite for weapons" is because they keep getting blown up...notice it's not talking solely about the munitions.

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Yeah. That's what happens in peer/near peer conventional warfare. Lots of stuff on both sides gets blown up constantly.