VaultingChemist said:

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Posting this because it is reportedly what Congress is being told.

Congressional doctor predicts 70-150 million U.S. coronavirus cases

Quote:

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Congress' in-house doctor told Capitol Hill staffers at a close-door meeting this week that he expects 70-150 million people in the U.S. roughly a third of the country to contract the coronavirus, two sources briefed on the meeting tell Axios.

Dr. Brian Monahan, the attending physician of the U.S. Congress, told Senate chiefs of staff, staff directors, administrative managers and chief clerks from both parties on Tuesday that they should prepare for the worst, and offered advice on how to remain healthy.

But other estimates, including statistical modeling from Harvard epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch, have said that somewhere between 20% and 60% of adults worldwide might catch the virus.

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Fake news?

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Quote:

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WHO report also saying mainly transmitted by breathing, not even really coughing.

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k2aggie07 said:

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Or wish they'd just come out and say we have nfc, just don't be nasty and practice social distancing.

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AgStuckinLBK said:

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WHO report saying that about 1-5% chance to infect others that a covid positive person comes in close contact with.

So about one in every 20-100 people a sick person comes in close contact will catch this.

WHO report also saying mainly transmitted by breathing, not even really coughing.

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Wycliffe_03 said:

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k2aggie07 said:

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No, he means if one person infects 20-30 at a game it could weak havoc. And that is very true.

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If 20-30 people could get infected from one person at a basketball game, we are effed each year this virus pops up from her on out. We will basically all get this thing if it is even half THAT easily spread.

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Tbs2003 said:

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FriscoKid said:

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IrishTxAggie said:

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tysker said:

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Quote:

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I don't want to see the world burn but I wish we could get on with this and just get it over with.

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Also maybe a question for separate thread and there are a lot of assumptions built into this question but

How many of us would be a willing infected right now and get it over with? Kinda like a chicken pox party...

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Yes. I'm a 32 y/o nonsmoker with zero underlying health conditions. I've had hangovers last longer than this would lay me up.

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OK, i'm with you now. I think I might prefer to just get it and get it over with.

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You two just refuse to comprehend - it's not about the young people. It's about the older folks + other at-risk people to whom you might pass it (directly or indirectly) that will end up being hospitalized. If you want to get it and can assure everyone that you won't come in contact with ANYBODY once you've contracted the virus, then have at it. Otherwise, just stop with the willful ignorance

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BadMoonRisin said:

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Have they cancelled the Tokyo Olympics yet?

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I Have Spoken said:

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Even if you are young and feel invincible to this particular malady, hope you don't need care for some other issue if/when ICU demand spikes.

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There's a real issue of testing in this country. Looks like the US is one of those countries you can't trust to tell you how bad it really is.

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Quote:

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But where does it stop? What is considered a large public gathering? Anything over 500 people? 1,000 people?

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TexAgs91 said:

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There's a real issue of testing in this country. Looks like the US is one of those countries you can't trust to tell you how bad it really is.

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Rapier108 said:

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VaultingChemist said:

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Posting this because it is reportedly what Congress is being told.

Congressional doctor predicts 70-150 million U.S. coronavirus cases

Quote:

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Congress' in-house doctor told Capitol Hill staffers at a close-door meeting this week that he expects 70-150 million people in the U.S. roughly a third of the country to contract the coronavirus, two sources briefed on the meeting tell Axios.

Dr. Brian Monahan, the attending physician of the U.S. Congress, told Senate chiefs of staff, staff directors, administrative managers and chief clerks from both parties on Tuesday that they should prepare for the worst, and offered advice on how to remain healthy.

But other estimates, including statistical modeling from Harvard epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch, have said that somewhere between 20% and 60% of adults worldwide might catch the virus.

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Fake news?

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It is his opinion, just like all the other predictions out there.

It's also possible they asked him for a "worst case scenario" and that is the figure he provided.

Axios stories, given their propensity for fake news (very common during the Russia Collusion Delusion), should always be taken with a dose of salt.

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Wycliffe_03 said:

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k2aggie07 said:

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No, he means if one person infects 20-30 at a game it could weak havoc. And that is very true.

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If 20-30 people could get infected from one person at a basketball game, we are effed each year this virus pops up from her on out. We will basically all get this thing if it is even half THAT easily spread.

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IrishTxAggie said:

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Tbs2003 said:

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FriscoKid said:

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IrishTxAggie said:

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tysker said:

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Quote:

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I don't want to see the world burn but I wish we could get on with this and just get it over with.

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Also maybe a question for separate thread and there are a lot of assumptions built into this question but

How many of us would be a willing infected right now and get it over with? Kinda like a chicken pox party...

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Yes. I'm a 32 y/o nonsmoker with zero underlying health conditions. I've had hangovers last longer than this would lay me up.

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OK, i'm with you now. I think I might prefer to just get it and get it over with.

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You two just refuse to comprehend - it's not about the young people. It's about the older folks + other at-risk people to whom you might pass it (directly or indirectly) that will end up being hospitalized. If you want to get it and can assure everyone that you won't come in contact with ANYBODY once you've contracted the virus, then have at it. Otherwise, just stop with the willful ignorance

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We were presented with a question and gave an answer. The question didn't stipulate "if you're XX years old" or "underlying health issues"

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cone said:

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you might think this is crazy right now, but this "overreaction" is going to save a bunch of lives

it's going to make May less of a hellscape

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DirtyMikesBoys said:

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I got swine flu as a healthy high school student and it had me close to immobile for a week.

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DirtyMikesBoys said:

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I got swine flu as a healthy high school student and it had me close to immobile for a week.

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Rapier108 said:

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k2aggie07 said:

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FriscoKid said:

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Does one person on a plane infect the whole plane? That's much more "shared air".

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Actually that's probably not true. Airplanes use HEPA filters and frequent air changes. Much more likely to get infected in the airport.

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Exactly. Airplanes have not been good vectors for transmission in a long time due to the heavy filtration used on the recirculated air. As an example, the Boeing 787 has 15 HEPA filters installed in its air system. This is in addition to using less recirculated air than other models of aircraft due to the bleedless air intake system.

The people most at risk of contracting something on a plane are the flight attendants, or those sitting next to a sick person.

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nukeaggie2000 said:

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so whats the over/under on Trump declaring a national emergency or national quarantine from the Oval office tonight?

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cone said:

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as soon as you pop a fever, you need to stay away from people and call your doctor

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Its Not Rocket Surgery said:

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Rapier108 said:

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k2aggie07 said:

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FriscoKid said:

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Does one person on a plane infect the whole plane? That's much more "shared air".

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Actually that's probably not true. Airplanes use HEPA filters and frequent air changes. Much more likely to get infected in the airport.

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Exactly. Airplanes have not been good vectors for transmission in a long time due to the heavy filtration used on the recirculated air. As an example, the Boeing 787 has 15 HEPA filters installed in its air system. This is in addition to using less recirculated air than other models of aircraft due to the bleedless air intake system.

The people most at risk of contracting something on a plane are the flight attendants, or those sitting next to a sick person.

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This. Modern airliner air filtration completely replaces cabin air about once every four minutes. There may be possible spread to passengers in the immediate vicinity of an infected person, but it won't likely go beyond that unless that person hacks on folks while walking up and down the aisle, deposits it in multiple lavs, etc.

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