China Coronavirus Outbreak Spreads; Hundreds Infected As Human-To-Human Transmission
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Last: 4 mo ago by Stat Monitor Repairman
A friend of mine is the top dog for Airborne Pathogen Research at A&M. Sent the paper link posted previously to him. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1fz7EwlAJjrZs708YGPym1Xj_3PmysukL/view
His analysis of the paper is this:
His analysis of the paper is this:
Quote:
disagrees with pretty much every real expert
Poorly designed and looking for press
Transmission rate is vastly overestimated
Case identification is completely wrong and doesn't take into account the fact that 95% people show fever
I think the paper is for the trash can and possibly is grossly negligent in that it unnecessarily scares people with false information
Suppose I was an idiot. Suppose I was a member of congress. But, I repeat myself.
I sure hope he is correct. If he is, I do not understand why China would be taking such drastic actions for a virus that is not that dangerous.
Any country quarantines anything over 1mm people and I'm taking precautions
Nuclear Scramjet said:
Welp. China is now admitting it is in a crisis.
The worlds 2nd largest economy (a manufacturing giant) is admitting that quarantining 46 million people in 16 cities isn't enough to stop the spread of this.
It's not the health effects of virus that's the real problem, it's impact to the global economy.....the ripples of this are going to be massive.
Ha cool, perfectly exponential. At that rate sometime on March 4 everyone in the world has it.
[url] [/url]
Long video of two guys talking Chinese culture, wet markets, and how this is spreading.
Good listen. Interesting info.
Long video of two guys talking Chinese culture, wet markets, and how this is spreading.
Good listen. Interesting info.
bmks270 said:
BBC reporter enters quarantine area.
https://twitter.com/StephenMcDonell
Hope that guy has plenty of food on hand. He's probably going to be there for some time.
I can't get the image to display? Can anyone tell me what I'm doing wrong?
The thing that stands out to me the most is the number of positive cases showing up abroad already.
Either:
- these are people who thought they may have been exposed and were trying to flee
- the virus was already exposed to a massive amount of people
Either:
- these are people who thought they may have been exposed and were trying to flee
- the virus was already exposed to a massive amount of people
yukmonkey said:
The thing that stands out to me the most is the number of positive cases showing up abroad already.
Either:
- these are people who thought they may have been exposed and were trying to flee
- the virus was already exposed to a massive amount of people
The virus has a 1 to 2 week incubation perios. These people were likely not showing symptoms when they left China and they left prior to any quarantines.
bmks270 said:
I can't get the image to display? Can anyone tell me what I'm doing wrong?
It's got a robot screener interface. ReCaptcha
Do a screen shot of it and post it online and do the link like you normally would.
Best thing you do is probably get your family to prepare for the worst
what preparations would you recommend?azulAg said:
Best thing you do is probably get your family to prepare for the worst
Basic essentials, food (non perishables), water, vitamins and anti biotics, self defense, etc....
scottimus said:
A friend of mine is the top dog for Airborne Pathogen Research at A&M. Sent the paper link posted previously to him. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1fz7EwlAJjrZs708YGPym1Xj_3PmysukL/view
His analysis of the paper is this:Quote:
disagrees with pretty much every real expert
Poorly designed and looking for press
Transmission rate is vastly overestimated
Case identification is completely wrong and doesn't take into account the fact that 95% people show fever
I think the paper is for the trash can and possibly is grossly negligent in that it unnecessarily scares people with false information
My resident expert and I are texting about it. I told him that I think the suspected case here is positive.
He replied:
Quote:
Probably, but they need to track contacts before they report, otherwise it might become more difficult to find them
Suppose I was an idiot. Suppose I was a member of congress. But, I repeat myself.
So is that why they haven't confirmed it yet? It shouldnt take 3 days to determine if it's positive right?
I'm assuming (and hoping I'm wrong) that they are trying to track down contacts and come up with a game plan. The Tenn Tech student tested on Thursday which is when the A&M and Baylor student were tested. Tenn Tech said negative last night. I figured we would hear by now.foleyt said:
So is that why they haven't confirmed it yet? It shouldnt take 3 days to determine if it's positive right?
Don't Go through terminal D or E...
I wouldn't cancel a domestic flight yet but I'd carry had sanitizer and wet wipes with me.
Fairview said:
I wouldn't cancel a domestic flight yet but I'd carry had sanitizer and wet wipes with me.
My expert also said this.
Quote:
It does not appear to aerosolize greatly that is why the mask is not very useful, if at all
fomites are the likely transmission method
That means contact with surfaces
If A&M shuts down, they are making a mistake
There is so much false and fake news I have all the facts, even the genome sequences
The outbreak is being handled well
Look at the last SARS if you want to see how things will go
This virus is less lethal and less infectious than SARS
Therefore, half the number of deaths and half the number of infections
Everything else is just kind of silly
It is very like that there will be no spreading in secondary sites like the U.S.
That means all cases will be imported
People in the U.S. should calm down
Suppose I was an idiot. Suppose I was a member of congress. But, I repeat myself.
foleyt said:
So is that why they haven't confirmed it yet? It shouldnt take 3 days to determine if it's positive right?
Test is four to six hours. That was either CDC or NIH. Almost certain that they're trying to figure out a contact tree. I can't imagine a negative test wouldn't have been announced quickly.
Hope he's right
China's SARS quarantine was less than 5% the size of this. Who is your expert?
but can you trust the electricity?????DannyDuberstein said:
People don't use water at work?
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