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25,034,549 Views | 233812 Replies | Last: 1 hr ago by TxAgLaw03RW
GeorgiAg
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AG
AgShaun00 said:

i know some of you are on $SAVA


That is either terrible or great info! What does that mean?
Heineken-Ashi
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PLTR - timed target through Friday morning if it can't move any higher of $26-$27 range. I have no other high probability targets. What that means, is that the chart is done telling us anything short and mid term.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
Heineken-Ashi
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South Platte said:

Heineken-Ashi said:

South Platte said:

Heineken-Ashi said:


I have XLE and will add XOP and USO most likely. That's my broader exposure. But like I said, I'm more focused on identifying the companies that are best aligned for the future. Might drop some holdings. Might add others. Lot of DD left to do.
TALO has had a wild month. Still watching. Support around $10.

Need to see $13 before I feel confident bottom is definitively in. But waiting to see how this upward structure takes shape. Stop is recent low.
Hard to tell on BLDE. Beat on both revenue and EPS but it's been hammered unmercilessly.
They are on the path to profitability. Organ transplant business is growing immensely. But they are pulling out of Canada and a couple select US markets on their helicopter rideshare business as they don't see paths to profitability in those. So nothing crazy exciting yet, but I like that they are adjusting on the fly and not letting crappy markets continue to beat them down.

As far as the $5 calls, plenty of time left. So far no rocket on this earnings, and probably not expected. Still in wait and see mode.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
M4 Benelli
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gougler08 said:

Chef Elko said:

What a great mismanagement of one of the worlds most iconic brands. I've been a shareholder for years now and I guess I'll add a few more shares.
I'm a DVC owner and my family goes all the time and it's sad to see


Do you feel like you get value out of a vacation club? Seems like a ton of money for a glorified timeshare. I almost got roped into a far cheaper one than DVC. Glad I was able to get out of dodge.

Any how scooped up some BROS this morning. Figured I need to diversify out of my TexAgs ETF.
Heineken-Ashi
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If the low is in, SMCI should have a 1-3 month move back to between $675 and $900 range. But I expect it to be corrective, meaning that next top would lead to an even more significant move down. That's the base case. Things can change of course.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
The way things went this week, I'll settle for 650.

Right now I've got my sells set at 600 and 650, but may move the upper one a bit higher depending on how we close today.

The hard part right now is not setting a stop, cause I just know if I set one now, it's gonna bite me in the ass before it continues bouncing...
gougler08
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AG
M4 Benelli said:

gougler08 said:

Chef Elko said:

What a great mismanagement of one of the worlds most iconic brands. I've been a shareholder for years now and I guess I'll add a few more shares.
I'm a DVC owner and my family goes all the time and it's sad to see


Do you feel like you get value out of a vacation club? Seems like a ton of money for a glorified timeshare. I almost got roped into a far cheaper one than DVC. Glad I was able to get out of dodge.

Any how scooped up some BROS this morning. Figured I need to diversify out of my TexAgs ETF.

From a purely financial point of view? No not really. From a make sure that we spend family time, make the wife happy, etc. point of view? Definitely

My wife is a big runner and does most/all of the Run Disney events so will be going either way, so I'm also a bit of a different situation
EnronAg
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AG
SPY $530 acting as a looooong runway for take-off
Chef Elko
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AG
I added more BROS this morning
Number Monkey
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AG
Nice call on IREN, Heineken!
Heineken-Ashi
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Number Monkey said:

Nice call on IREN, Heineken!
12% in a day aint shabby. But a lot of work to do. I'd like to see back to $14-$15 range by month end and then a $3-$4 healthy pullback before breaking out to new highs. Leaving stop at $4 until more proof.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
CC09LawAg
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I am trying to think out loud here so any guidance would be appreciated - this may be the dumbest idea ever, if it is I am totally comfortable with you telling me that. I am just trying to figure out if I'm missing something in my risk analysis. This is rambling so bear with me.

I have significant capital losses for the year so far, so I can afford to absorb some short term gains. I don't plan to be a long term holder on my current POWL shares. After being dumb and holding it through the last dump after Q2, I am wondering the following:

In the event we do get liftoff and hit somewhere in the $200-250 range, we will either 1) stay in that range for awhile or 2) dump again.

If we get in that 200-250 range, and I sell covered calls on my position at 160-180 (somewhere in the range slightly above where I think it'll dump to so that they're out of the money), I could probably net a pretty hefty sum. Then I hope they expire and try to ride it back up again after Q4 and sell when it goes up again (obviously not a guarantee). And if they don't and the option is exercised, I will have locked in the price somewhere close to where I would've originally sold it anyways.

Risks I see:

I am tied up through either September or October, depending on timing of the high and when I sell the covered call. I miss the chance to sell at a high that it may not get back to in the foreseeable future due to the election, other market factors, etc. It could dump down to 140 again and stay there for who knows how long.

It continues to climb and I miss out on some more upside. I'm less worried about this as I'll be perfectly happy to lock in the price at the 160-180 + premium on the sale of the CC.

Upside:

If it plays out, I get to double dip by making money on the premium to offset some of my losses, and then either sell it when the options are exercised or hold it and try to ride it back up after Q4 and sell on the high there, and that will (hopefully) wipe out the rest of my short term losses.
Brewmaster
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AG
EnronAg said:

SPY $530 acting as a looooong runway for take-off
even a dip here could set up an inverse H&S. although this fast of a move up off the low from yesterday AH is pretty insane. Seems like a bear market move (slow moves down, fast rips up).
ProgN
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CC09LawAg said:

I am trying to think out loud here so any guidance would be appreciated - this may be the dumbest idea ever, if it is I am totally comfortable with you telling me that. I am just trying to figure out if I'm missing something in my risk analysis. This is rambling so bear with me.

I have significant capital losses for the year so far, so I can afford to absorb some short term gains. I don't plan to be a long term holder on my current POWL shares. After being dumb and holding it through the last dump after Q2, I am wondering the following:

In the event we do get liftoff and hit somewhere in the $200-250 range, we will either 1) stay in that range for awhile or 2) dump again.

If we get in that 200-250 range, and I sell covered calls on my position at 160-180 (somewhere in the range slightly above where I think it'll dump to so that they're out of the money), I could probably net a pretty hefty sum. Then I hope they expire and try to ride it back up again after Q4 and sell when it goes up again (obviously not a guarantee). And if they don't and the option is exercised, I will have locked in the price somewhere close to where I would've originally sold it anyways.

Risks I see:

I am tied up through either September or October, depending on timing of the high and when I sell the covered call. I miss the chance to sell at a high that it may not get back to in the foreseeable future due to the election, other market factors, etc. It could dump down to 140 again and stay there for who knows how long.

It continues to climb and I miss out on some more upside. I'm less worried about this as I'll be perfectly happy to lock in the price at the 160-180 + premium on the sale of the CC.

Upside:

If it plays out, I get to double dip by making money on the premium to offset some of my losses, and then either sell it when the options are exercised or hold it and try to ride it back up after Q4 and sell on the high there, and that will (hopefully) wipe out the rest of my short term losses.



Question, look at this chart and tell me what you see that tells you to sell or think about selling CC at the time?

There's no wrong answer, this is an exercise that will help everyone.


CC09LawAg
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I do not plan on selling the calls unless we peak like we did at the end of May - with my capital losses being large for the year, I'd like to have a play that allows me to make some cash and get out before the end of the year. Only carrying forward $3000/yr doesn't excite me so I'm more concerned about knocking out my losses for this year than I am about long term gains/holds.

I figure doing things this way either 1.) locks in what I would've made by selling at the peak price (option is exercised + premium) or the option expires and I can collect the premium and hope it flies again after Q4 earnings, letting me double dip (potentially).
ProgN
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CC09LawAg said:

I do not plan on selling the calls unless we peak like we did at the end of May - with my capital losses being large for the year, I'd like to have a play that allows me to make some cash and get out before the end of the year. Only carrying forward $3000/yr doesn't excite me so I'm more concerned about knocking out my losses for this year than I am about long term gains/holds.
Ok, sorry, changed my pic. Now look at the chart I posted.
Number Monkey
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AG
I had my stop at $4 per your recommendation, but I'm not sure I could stomach if it drops 48% from today to get there. I'm not afraid of short-term gains, so I may move my stop up to above cost with the thought of re-entering if it drops like you say it might. But I've never been good at timing when to re-enter, so maybe I'll just ride it out. Just gonna have to figure this one out for myself.
CC09LawAg
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I agree with your long term outlook on the stock and know that I am risking losing more gains in the long run by going with this plan.

Long story short, the funds that are tied up are something that I don't want to carry into next year, so I'm taking into account factors outside of just the chart that obviously not everyone can be aware of.

I think the general consensus is it won't get to something like $300 this go around, so I am admittedly trying to have my cake and eat it too by capitalizing on the premium if/when it peaks after Q3 and then selling the stock when/if it peaks after Q4.
Heineken-Ashi
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Number Monkey said:

I had my stop at $4 per your recommendation, but I'm not sure I could stomach if it drops 48% from today to get there. I'm not afraid of short-term gains, so I may move my stop up to above cost with the thought of re-entering if it drops like you say it might. But I've never been good at timing when to re-enter, so maybe I'll just ride it out. Just gonna have to figure this one out for myself.
It's a longer play assuming the BTC low is in and we are engaging the next level of bull to BTC $100k. The $4 stop is an effort to not get shaken out. If that's too much risk, put it just below the recent low.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
ProgN
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CC09LawAg said:

I agree with your long term outlook on the stock and know that I am risking losing more gains in the long run by going with this plan.

Long story short, the funds that are tied up are something that I don't want to carry into next year, so I'm taking into account factors outside of just the chart that obviously not everyone can be aware of.

I think the general consensus is it won't get to something like $300 this go around, so I am admittedly trying to have my cake and eat it too by capitalizing on the premium if/when it peaks after Q3 and then selling the stock when/if it peaks after Q4.
Nothing wrong with that, but with the indicators turning upward, then wait to write CC on it until then and capture the most premium far above your purchase price. Imo, you could trap yourself down here if you cover your shares at these levels.
Heineken-Ashi
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Strong chance that this moring was all we're going to do in broader markets. Another roll to another higher low, and then see what tomorrow and Monday brings. Market can still try for higher. Potential for new lows not off the table. Indecision at its finest.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
CC09LawAg
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Definitely not doing it down here - I agree. I am not thinking about doing anything until it hits $200 and then I will make a plan from there. If that doesn't happen in 2024 for whatever reason, it is what it is and I'll reassess.
ProgN
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I believe it will once this correction runs its course.
hedge
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WE'RE SO BACK
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
TNA continues to be my ol' reliable.

Took profits at 38 yesterday, re-bought at 34-35, already approaching my next sell at 37.50.
giddings_ag_06
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AG
Dutch Bros CEO on CNBC with our favorite guy Jim Cramer at 5pm.
El Chupacabra
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hedge said:

WE'RE SO BACK
to da moon!
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Brian Earl Spilner said:

TNA continues to be my ol' reliable.

Took profits at 38 yesterday, re-bought at 34-35, already approaching my next sell at 37.50.
Executed in AH.
M4 Benelli
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El Chupacabra said:

hedge said:

WE'RE SO BACK
to da moon!


Just put my entire life savings on INTC. Diamond Hands!
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
Brewmaster said:

although this fast of a move up off the low from yesterday AH is pretty insane. Seems like a bear market move (slow moves down, fast rips up).

Bear market rally sure seems plausible
Brian Earl Spilner
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AG
Up to $14k profits this year from TNA / TQQQ. Haven't taken a single loss. My average trade has been +8.56%.

I know it's not exactly impressive considering the insane rally we've been on, but sure feels nice after how bad a year I had last year. (Thanks BOIL...) And the consistency has been nice.
Heineken-Ashi
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Brian Earl Spilner said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

TNA continues to be my ol' reliable.

Took profits at 38 yesterday, re-bought at 34-35, already approaching my next sell at 37.50.
Executed in AH.
Love the quick plays by you. Doing good man!
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
I bleed maroon
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AG
Heineken-Ashi said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

TNA continues to be my ol' reliable.

Took profits at 38 yesterday, re-bought at 34-35, already approaching my next sell at 37.50.
Executed in AH.
Love the quick plays by you. Doing good man!
Agree - good discipline, BES!

That said, I am happy with my 8/23 $46 TNA puts. I am still up 220% on them (bought near the peak several weeks ago). Love it when we can all make money on something, just playing it differently!
Heineken-Ashi
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CLSK postpones their earnings release. Not sure why. Kind of hoping it makes them fall to $5 so I can load up the truck.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
Brewmaster
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AG
Heineken-Ashi said:

CLSK postpones their earnings release. Not sure why. Kind of hoping it makes them fall to $5 so I can load up the truck.
dang if it falls that far, I'll load up my very small hot wheels truck and join you!
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