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Ag CPA
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In reply to wanderer • 10:35p, 11/8/22
AG
wanderer said:
Along the same line with these growth stocks.

I wasn't really involved in the dot com bust, but is this at all similar? Not near as bad??


If this was 2000 most of those stocks would be down 100%.
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Heineken-Ashi
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10:59p, 11/8/22
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)
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frankm01
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 1:14a, 11/9/22
$30,000 Millionaire said:


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Ag CPA
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5:25a, 11/9/22
AG
Meta laying off 11K, damn.
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Bob Knights Paper Hands
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In reply to Bob Knights Paper Hands • 5:57a, 11/9/22
Bob Knights Paper Hands said:
My plan for tomorrow:
COIN under $47.75 short
TSLA under $189 short, over $195 long
SPX holds over $3816 long
WWR over $15 drunk

I'm going to add short miners to this. MARA, RIOT, HIVE.
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BaylorSpineGuy
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6:48a, 11/9/22
Am hoping for a push to 3875 today to layer in some puts.

Also, am gonna try to add some OTM SPX 1DTE calls and puts about 75 pts OTM near close today. Try to capture the big CPI move for tomorrow. If u follow Bob Elliott on TWTR, he said there's at least the notion of a 9 handle printing tomorrow. That would flush the markets.
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Red Pear Luke (BCS)
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In reply to Bob Knights Paper Hands • 7:28a, 11/9/22
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Bob Knights Paper Hands said:
Bob Knights Paper Hands said:
My plan for tomorrow:
COIN under $47.75 short
TSLA under $189 short, over $195 long
SPX holds over $3816 long
WWR over $15 drunk

I'm going to add short miners to this. MARA, RIOT, HIVE.
Sad XOM noises
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cryption
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In reply to Red Pear Luke (BCS) • 7:53a, 11/9/22
I got stopped out on an 11/25 115c on that dip right before the run. Sad noises indeed
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Bob Knights Paper Hands
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7:58a, 11/9/22
I ended up shorting COIN at $50 and RIOT at exactly $5.00. Stops set at $54 and $5.90, above yesterday's highs.
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Charismatic Megafauna
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In reply to BaylorSpineGuy • 7:59a, 11/9/22
AG
BaylorSpineGuy said:
Am hoping for a push to 3875 today to layer in some puts.

Also, am gonna try to add some OTM SPX 1DTE calls and puts about 75 pts OTM near close today. Try to capture the big CPI move for tomorrow. If u follow Bob Elliott on TWTR, he said there's at least the notion of a 9 handle printing tomorrow. That would flush the markets.

Might as well start picking these up at open and catch the swings as we figure out who gets the senate
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CC09LawAg
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In reply to Red Pear Luke (BCS) • 8:00a, 11/9/22
I have been waiting on a decent dip to get in on some June 2023 $120 calls...wondering if this week might present the opportunity.

Not sure what to expect today honestly with the mixed elections results last night.
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Golf1
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8:46a, 11/9/22
AG
I'm going to need the market to wake up so I can get out of my calls.

Just a lot of red on my watchlist right now.
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techno-ag
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8:54a, 11/9/22
AG
Bought BOiL on its drop this morning.
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Saltyag15
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In reply to Golf1 • 8:58a, 11/9/22
AG
Golf1 said:
Just a lot of red on my watchlist right now.
Unlike the House and Senate races...
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Brewmaster
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9:11a, 11/9/22
AG
TLT going to the moon
I'd love to see SPY shoot for 385+ today
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South Platte
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In reply to Brewmaster • 9:37a, 11/9/22
perma Brew doomster said:
TLT going to the moon
I've been watching TMF. I'm not so sure these are ready for sustained upward movement. Maybe so.
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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to Brewmaster • 9:40a, 11/9/22
perma Brew doomster said:
TLT going to the moon
I'd love to see SPY shoot for 385+ today


Seems to be respecting the island gap!
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Brian Earl Spilner
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9:48a, 11/9/22
AG
Well so much for that red wave.

No gridlock?
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Brewmaster
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10:23a, 11/9/22
AG
entering the no trade twilight zone, ugh.

trendline down though, since yesterday's highs...

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$30,000 Millionaire
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10:50a, 11/9/22
AG
Sometimes you should just get your money and go.

Today was obviously not a day for big risk.

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$30,000 Millionaire
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In reply to Brian Earl Spilner • 11:07a, 11/9/22
AG
Brian Earl Spilner said:
Well so much for that red wave.

No gridlock?


Whenever people chest beat and say crap like "red tsunami" this is the inevitable outcome. Tail as old as time.
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Red Pear Luke (BCS)
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 11:09a, 11/9/22
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$30,000 Millionaire said:
Brian Earl Spilner said:
Well so much for that red wave.

No gridlock?


Whenever people chest beat and say crap like "red tsunami" this is the inevitable outcome. Tail as old as time.
I apologize as I was one of those people yesterday who mentioned Red Wave.
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Bird Poo
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In reply to BlueTaze • 11:10a, 11/9/22
AG
BlueTaze said:
BA Nov 18 $160 puts @ $1.75
Stop $1
Target $6.50
I followed you on this one.

Lets go!
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BlueTaze
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In reply to Bird Poo • 11:14a, 11/9/22
FJ put it on my radar few days back being extended on +3 ATR.
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Paradise Ag
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11:41a, 11/9/22
AG

Bitcoin just dropped below $17K.

Yikes.

Same price range as Nov 2020. FJB.
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Brewmaster
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In reply to Paradise Ag • 12:22p, 11/9/22
AG
Paradise Ag said:

Bitcoin just dropped below $17K.

Yikes.

Same price range as Nov 2020. FJB.
it may absolutely crater from here. I grabbed some MARA put spreads in case it does.
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Brewmaster
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In reply to Red Pear Luke (BCS) • 12:23p, 11/9/22
AG
You don't need to apologize. When you have a president with all time high disapproval ratings and dems getting re-elected, something fishy is going on.
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SF2004
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12:38p, 11/9/22
AG
When after election pump I was told about?
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BaylorSpineGuy
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In reply to SF2004 • 12:40p, 11/9/22
I said would puke after election. My prediction as here. I thought it would run to 3850 one more time tho.
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Carlo4
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In reply to Ag CPA • 12:55p, 11/9/22
AG
Ag CPA said:
Meta laying off 11K, damn.


That's it?
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cjo03
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In reply to Carlo4 • 1:11p, 11/9/22
AG
Carlo4 said:
Ag CPA said:
Meta laying off 11K, damn.


That's it?

love 'em or hate 'em, i can respect the approach to the layoff. similar to AirBNB CEO's message, providing some transparency versus having a bunch of secret side convos, having HR drop into meetings unannounced, or dragging out the suspense over a week(s). the comm that went out:

https://about.fb.com/news/2022/11/mark-zuckerberg-layoff-message-to-employees/
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Golf1
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1:23p, 11/9/22
AG
Was planning on holding puts into the CPI tomorrow but being up 30%+ today makes it difficult. Might end up getting out of all but 1 just for the "what if" moment.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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2:09p, 11/9/22
Bang Bang Bang

XOM down 4.88% right now. Fundamentals don't support it. Don't know the justification for a 5% down day. 11.19 volume today vs 65 Day Avg of 19.25. Just have to wade through thick water right now. Buying opp in my opinion. API and EIA reports this week continue to show a crude build, but subtract out the SPR release and it's a draw.
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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In reply to Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX • 2:47p, 11/9/22
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
CC09LawAg said:
XOM down a little today but seems to not be reacting to the overall downward trend. I'm going to hop back in once I get a little more confirmation it is staying steady.
I think you'll be fine. Monday's always allow XOM traders a buying opportunity in the mornings to sell in the afternoons (should you get nervous).

If you're a CPI player. My old posts reflect that CPI will not/should not see any improvements because of the way it's calculated in YoY fashion. On Oct 13th, the CPI print will replace the Sep 2021 monthly increase of 0.4% and therefore no real help to the market from CPI. However, as we enter the 4th Quarter, the new CPI's will replace, October 2021 = 0.9%; November 2021 = 0.7%; and December 2021 = 0.6%. As these data points roll off, the annualized rate will remain high, but the 6 month annualized rate will be in the area of 2%. The CPI on the 13th "may" allow you a cheaper XOM entrance, but I am not sure about that based on all the other worldly factors. Going back to CPI, after Powell has a couple more rate hikes in 2022,....we roll into 2023 and likely have the Fed revisit their stance because of economic improvement (see my comment on 6 month annualized rate), we should be challenging the S&P 500 ATH by June 2023. Yeah, you can bookmark this. The largest wild card will be Russia/Ukraine and I'm banking on them still in turmoil by the time we reach June 2023.

ETA: Still banging my drum

UPDATING October 10th post above:

The Mid-Term Election Year Buying Opportunity that I noted has occurred for the last 60 years (except twice in the cycle) I thought would occur in 2022 down to a S&P 3,400 level. I am stating 3,400 is not going to happen in 2022 and the market low is in. ............ The June 16th Closing Low of 3,666.77 and then the retests of that low on Sep 30th of 3585.62, the Oct 11th 3,588.84, the Oct 12th 3,577.03 and Oct 14th 3,583.07, all on a Closing basis have established the floor IMO. IMO, I believe any re-visit to the 3,575 to 3,675 area is a buying opportunity. With 3,400 no longer in my picture, it directs me to change the challenging of the S&P 500 ATH to the second half of 2023 versus "by June 2023" as noted in the post above.

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BaylorSpineGuy
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2:47p, 11/9/22


Wow. Also, not surprised.
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