sts7049 said:
this doesn't look like a trend worth buying into
You'll be singing a different tune in a couple years time.
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Last: 29 min ago by Chef Elko
You'll be singing a different tune in a couple years time.
I agree not pretty. But historic lows are worth watching.sts7049 said:
this doesn't look like a trend worth buying into
Yes, but if they are buying bonds then they are pushing the yield down even more. They would have to be large sellers of long term notes to try and increase long term rates/flatten the curve.
I don't know what their balance sheet term structure looks like so no idea how many long term bonds they own or what volume of selling it would take to materially move the needle. As we've seen in Japan with their FX intervention, it's not even a sure thing the government is big enough to control a global market.
I don't know what their balance sheet term structure looks like so no idea how many long term bonds they own or what volume of selling it would take to materially move the needle. As we've seen in Japan with their FX intervention, it's not even a sure thing the government is big enough to control a global market.
FTAco07 said:
Yes, but if they are buying bonds then they are pushing the yield down even more. They would have to be large sellers of long term notes to try and increase long term rates/flatten the curve.
I don't know what their balance sheet term structure looks like so no idea how many long term bonds they own or what volume of selling it would take to materially move the needle. As we've seen in Japan with their FX intervention, it's not even a sure thing the government is big enough to control a global market.
Would take some effort to explore it week by week but can get a sense of what they're doing to their balance sheets here. They are unloading the balance sheet much more steadily than what they did in the summer.
https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/soma-holdings
i don't think i said anything about it not going up again at some point. but catching a knife doesn't make sense to me.Brian Earl Spilner said:sts7049 said:
this doesn't look like a trend worth buying into
You'll be singing a different tune in a couple years time.
also this doesn't look to have reached historic low territory just yet.
$GOOGL is -3 ATR. I bought some for a mean reversion.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
Not investment advice but consider a long position in KMB. My daughter is going through 1-2 boxes/day of Kleenex.
Devil virus has got us all. And COVID testing all negative.
Devil virus has got us all. And COVID testing all negative.
Charismatic Megafauna
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AG
I miss Austin
Doesn't the real move start 18-24 hours after the news?
Doesn't the real move start 18-24 hours after the news?
He stopped posting because someone took one of his quotes and ran off elsewhere with it. Not sure where but it was enough to get him to not post anymore
Charismatic Megafauna
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Man that sucks, i figured him posting those here on an open forum was a gift that was on borrowed time
Those GOLD Leaps OA traded a while back closed in low 70's
damn, who did that!? I miss AustinAg as well.bmoochie said:
He stopped posting because someone took one of his quotes and ran off elsewhere with it. Not sure where but it was enough to get him to not post anymore
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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That's too bad. I figured he cashed out, bought a beach, and gave the middle finger salute to the rest of the world.
I also sold LABU I had picked up in the 7s at 8.10 today (limit order hit). I picked up some more at 7.15 AH.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
Cisco systems has relative strength.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Dadgum. I wondered what happen to him. I miss his posts.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Yes. That is what I recall.
sorry to hear. His posts were helpful.bmoochie said:
He stopped posting because someone took one of his quotes and ran off elsewhere with it. Not sure where but it was enough to get him to not post anymore
I miss the McInnis' too.
What the heck
Who?
The other "L" stock - I wish I'd sold LUMN, got murdered after hours on earnings. They eliminated the "too good to be true" divy and started a 1.5m share buyback.$30,000 Millionaire said:
I also sold LABU I had picked up in the 7s at 8.10 today (limit order hit). I picked up some more at 7.15 AH.
Yay!
Crap... I didn't see this.
Im ready. Bring it on. Like Ive said many times I trade the markets and invest in real estate and privately held companies.vette said:This would be catastrophic to the real estate sector... like 40-50% drops in asset values off their highs.Red Pear BCS Luke said:
Hold on to your butts my friends....
The forecasted 10YR UST yield is expected to hit 5% in March of 2023 and hit 5.70% by May of 2023.
Needless to say, that means 8-9% interest rates. Things are slowwwwwwwwwwing down pretty quick in the RE markets and not just residential.
http://www.worldgovernmentbonds.com/bond-forecast/united-states/10-years/#:~:text=The%20United%20States%2010%20Years,%3A15%20GMT%2B0).
Rinse and repeat. Let's go!
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11
Proverbs 13:11
Im beginning to think Heineken = Austin…..Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
Dadgum. I wondered what happen to him. I miss his posts.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11
Proverbs 13:11
Excellent article about graphite demand that mentions WWR. We need that government money. WWR seems like the perfect candidate for government money.
https://www.eenews.net/articles/lack-of-graphite-could-gum-up-american-ev-market/
https://www.eenews.net/articles/lack-of-graphite-could-gum-up-american-ev-market/
Some other company that doesn't plan to begin construction until 2025 received $117M from Biden. WTF.
https://www.al.com/business/2022/10/alabama-among-12-states-sharing-28-billion-for-electric-vehicle-batteries.html?outputType=amp
https://www.al.com/business/2022/10/alabama-among-12-states-sharing-28-billion-for-electric-vehicle-batteries.html?outputType=amp
When we get closer I will do a drive by every few weeks for the board and take pics. I drive within about 20 minutes of their location 2X a week.Dan Scott said:
Excellent article about graphite demand that mentions WWR. We need that government money. WWR seems like the perfect candidate for government money.
https://www.eenews.net/articles/lack-of-graphite-could-gum-up-american-ev-market/
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11
Proverbs 13:11
I don't think the Bama grandma governor has done WWR any favors. We need GOP to take reins of Congress and shell out that gov cheese.
irish pete ag06
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Shhhh
Wish I had more powder available for real estate in the next few years. New job may help with that.
FJ43
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I'll never forget one of the statements my mentor made to me regarding real estate wealth.irish pete ag06 said:
Wish I had more powder available for real estate in the next few years. New job may help with that.
"Son…you dont make money the day you sell it, you make it the day you buy it."
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11
Proverbs 13:11
That's good stuff!
BlueTaze said:
I don't think the Bama grandma governor has done WWR any favors. We need GOP to take reins of Congress and shell out that gov cheese.
There is also a lot of areas where they simply do not meet the guidelines for funding. It's not surprising the way WWR reacts and responds to the funding questions.
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