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24,975,072 Views | 233754 Replies | Last: 34 min ago by Swollen Thumb
Brewmaster
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BREwmaster said:

trying some calls down here
already out, quick 8%. sniper moves with this volatility down here.

I bet they pump it overnight or tomorrow a.m.
BaylorSpineGuy
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Big H&S has formed on daily chart. Not classic in that right shoulder above left but general principle there.

Neckline around 390 range. Definitive break here will initiate big drop downward.
Brewmaster
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BaylorSpineGuy said:

Anyone looking at a Model T play? Consider CPRX. Catalyst Pharma. Nice company I bought and held stock in last year. Foolishly sold early last year when it was struggling through the 5.80-6.00 range. It pumped all the way to the $17 range but it threw down a convincing shooting star two days ago on the most volume it's traded in over a year. Follow through yesterday on massive volume. It fell hard today but options still cheap. I picked up some Oct 12.5P for 0.69. This should retrace to at least 11.50 if not lower.
you lost me at "pharma"!
irish pete ag06
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sts7049 said:

irish pete ag06 said:

Flash to 3900 then rip to 3932... My official prediction.
might be the winning play today
irish pete ag06
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We are a 5 point lower close of 3886 tomorrow to have 2 outside weeks in a row.

CRAZY VOLATILITY

Wrong emoji.
SF2004
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$FDX dropping a bomb.
ryanhnc10
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FEDEX withdraws guidance, gets hammered AH
Bonfire1996
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What's it going to take to understand the government is lying to us on the jobs numbers.

Everyone is currently laying people off but jobless numbers continue to decrease.

FedEx just announced a massive layoff without mentioning the numbers. Closing 90 retail locations and five corporate locations. That is at least a thousand people.
jimmo
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Nice H&S on $OXY
couldn't get a bounce today

PeekingDuck
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Yep, should be a wild ride the next couple of years.
FJ43
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Idea for some of y'all scalpers that have day jobs.

Made just 2 rounds of trades today from a cell app. Both to short side based on alerts. You can see my buy and exit trade times. Also you can calculate my gain %.

Once I got at least 15% up I set a trail and went on about my day.


Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

Golf1
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I'm curious to know what your stop loss would be set at? Down 30% on the first trade would be hard to continue to hold for me.

Congrats on the profitable trades though!
BaylorSpineGuy
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Ag CPA
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SF2004 said:

$FDX dropping a bomb.


Another red day coming.
Carlo4
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Carlo4 said:

Appreciate the share. Why I love this board. I know I told my story about my dad being way too big in tech and stuck in ICU.

In one week, he should be in a full rehab facility to get stronger. In one month, he will be home! Incredible watching how far he has come in the last week from not eating and walking to now eating full meals and taking 50 steps at a time!

I have sold 450 of his 1000 shares of Apple (along with the other tech plays) at a $170 average to allow a $75k cash position and diversify his portfolio into retirement dividend plays (5% or higher annual). I feel I got him a good ROI by selling a good chunk now, and the rest can be done with as he pleases

He will not be thrilled about the loss of shares but he pays zero taxes in long term gains due to his other massive tech losses. I'm hopeful he can look at all this and decide to use a broker to help handle his money and continue to diversify his holdings.


Following up…

My dad is in outpatient therapy 3 days a week. He's back living at home and enjoying the good life as best he can. I took off part time temporarily from my job to help the family between my wife and infant. He's at a point where I can go back full time. Hard to believe 11 weeks ago he nearly died in my arms.

Finance related - He was so thankful I took over his investments temporarily. I sold the stuff he was terrified to touch just because he bought in at the wrong time. He's sitting 45% cash at the moment. I bought about 10-12 dividend stocks plus he still has his Apple.

He's up about $60k in the 2 months I had it, so thankful for that.

We will get to sit down more this weekend and discuss where he goes from here.

Thanks again for any advice or just reading and listening. God bless
CheladaAg
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/ES hitting intraday support right now.
FJ43
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Prior day high was cut point or 5EMA confirmation. I watched volume and caught it (early) before the spike but didn't reach the cut. Still a bear trend until it isn't.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

sts7049
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FJ43
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Once again should have kept a wider trail on green put scalps. Left $$$ on the table. SPY still falling.

But I'm ok with it. I may widen a bit next trade.

FWIW I did buy VIX 28c expiring next week as a lotto. Small % of profits used.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

ProgN
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Carlo4 said:

Carlo4 said:

Appreciate the share. Why I love this board. I know I told my story about my dad being way too big in tech and stuck in ICU.

In one week, he should be in a full rehab facility to get stronger. In one month, he will be home! Incredible watching how far he has come in the last week from not eating and walking to now eating full meals and taking 50 steps at a time!

I have sold 450 of his 1000 shares of Apple (along with the other tech plays) at a $170 average to allow a $75k cash position and diversify his portfolio into retirement dividend plays (5% or higher annual). I feel I got him a good ROI by selling a good chunk now, and the rest can be done with as he pleases

He will not be thrilled about the loss of shares but he pays zero taxes in long term gains due to his other massive tech losses. I'm hopeful he can look at all this and decide to use a broker to help handle his money and continue to diversify his holdings.


Following up…

My dad is in outpatient therapy 3 days a week. He's back living at home and enjoying the good life as best he can. I took off part time temporarily from my job to help the family between my wife and infant. He's at a point where I can go back full time. Hard to believe 11 weeks ago he nearly died in my arms.

Finance related - He was so thankful I took over his investments temporarily. I sold the stuff he was terrified to touch just because he bought in at the wrong time. He's sitting 45% cash at the moment. I bought about 10-12 dividend stocks plus he still has his Apple.

He's up about $60k in the 2 months I had it, so thankful for that.

We will get to sit down more this weekend and discuss where he goes from here.

Thanks again for any advice or just reading and listening. God bless
That's great and thank you for sharing.

Nothing more important than God and family for me. Savor everyday like it could be the last. I think about my dad everyday, he died 2 years ago, and I'd give anything for one more laugh, beer and hug with him.
irish pete ag06
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30K, can you ask us if we're all super bearish?
Bnels1323
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FJ43
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BaylorSpineGuy said:




Asking for a friend.....what language was he speaking
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

FJ43
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Flip the Fib. That's an H& S to the downside. Very quick look but lost and rejected Model T (Fib 50)
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

Brewmaster
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and you typically buy tomorrow or near expiration on these? and you bought the puts where, near 395 or the rejection of the top of the channel? (we were bouncing around, until today). Looked like 396 to 392 roughly.

this would work a lot better for me than trying to pull off a 15 minute scalp at the end of the day.

and well done!
Towns03
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FJ43 said:

Flip the Fib. That's an H& S to the downside. Very quick look but lost and rejected Model T (Fib 50)


Translation for lurking rookies??
irish pete ag06
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Dude is so hard to follow.
BaylorSpineGuy
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Agree with Irish Pete. Not easy to understand, but I gleaned a few things:

There is downside risk and this is a period of market weakness.
Capitulation is not that close. We will likely see saw down for a while. No capitulation until severe loss of hope and financial desperation. Suspect it's 3-6 mos away, likely after new year.

Beyond that, the guy speaks Greek (literally lol), but feel he never frontruns or gives misleading advice. Comes across as sincere, but who knows.
irish pete ag06
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Yeah I gleaned that too…

Just wish sometimes he'd take a little more Dr. Lexus approach.
$30,000 Millionaire
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Couple things: I can't be overtly bearish on an intraday basis because we have had a big move this week and it's opex. That said, I see no reason to be bullish right now.

Macro, we will bottom soon. Probably 3600.
$30,000 Millionaire
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Buy weakness. Sell strength.

Buy R/S names.
jimmo
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FJ43 said:

Flip the Fib. That's an H& S to the downside. Very quick look but lost and rejected Model T (Fib 50)
agree
just hasn't broken down... yet
and thanks FJ
$30,000 Millionaire
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For those in AMD short calls with me, I think it's time to buy back.
$30,000 Millionaire
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I don't like that Cem tries to sound smart. Speaking in language anyone can understand is the true gift.
FJ43
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In an uptrend you measure the low to high and Model T is the midpoint. If it loses or is not supported at the halfway mark then chances are more downside. Opposite usually true in reverse. The trade is to Model T either way. Once confirms the half way mark (up or down) you can look to trade further in the trend direction.

A H&S is a Head & Shoulders pattern. Upright is bearish. Inverted in bullish. Generally as a pattern. The pattern shown is a upright or bearish trend. Given that combined with losing Model T you would look to trade it short.

Regardless of above price level SRs (Support and Resistance) should be defined. The instrument or stock may have solid support or resistance at any level. For me, sometimes I trade it back to the Model T but may exit at a strong SR on the way in between.

Hope that helps. That is my redneck short version.


Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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