Hello Mr. Triple Top...I haven't been trading much lately, but always like to check in on Fed days and I noticed this little thing here...
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Last: 5 hrs ago by Heineken-Ashi
no increaseFarmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:
XOM ER is Friday. I think they announce the Div a couple days in advance. I am looking for the announcement today. Historically, XOM increases the Div at Q3. I'm thinking they might surprise shareholders today or tomorrow with a Div increase. Regardless, monster quarter awaits.
Now you can short from $19. Cheers to everyone who bought at $14 this morning. 36% profit in 8 hours.Triple_Bagger said:If you believe it's going to $4, you should short sell as much as you can at $16 todayDr. Alister MacKenzie said:This. If you like SAVA at $14 you'll love it even more at $4.Ranger222 said:
a criminal probe is another hit piece???
This goes way beyond SAVA now --
https://www.science.org/content/article/potential-fabrication-research-images-threatens-key-theory-alzheimers-disease
This market is so jacked up right now. META completely whiffs on ER, guides down, and has barely budged lower.
It is already baked in...except when it isn't....
There is a cliff coming and it won't be pretty when we get to it. The Fed has ****ed all of this **** up.planoaggie123 said:
It is already baked in...except when it isn't....
After today's move, all I can keep thinking about is the Fed meeting in May where it went parabolic immediately and then dumped for 6 days.
Also GDP and jobless claims tomorrow...
Irish 2.0 said:There is a cliff coming and it won't be pretty when we get to it. The Fed has ****ed all of this **** up.planoaggie123 said:
It is already baked in...except when it isn't....
After today's move, all I can keep thinking about is the Fed meeting in May where it went parabolic immediately and then dumped for 6 days
We will go lower, I agree, but no cliff, imo.
This was the discussion I had with a co-worker....tomorrow and the next few days will be interesting....
Not the best day for me today. Played a little too conservative, then got greedy.
Sold my 2 UPRO lots at $40 and $40.05 (one for loss, one for slight profit), intending to buy back in $39. Of course it rocketed all the way to ~$42.
Then had a limit order for all my TQQQ at $29.80, which triggered right after Powell spoke. (Also for a loss) Then put in a buy for the same position at $28.80 thinking it was sure to hit, but of course it rebounded and also rocketed to $31.20.
Oh well. Not too upset about the levels I sold at, just FOMO'ing on the missed profits.
Then I panic bought SQQQ at $44 and missed the bottom by almost 2%.
Sold my 2 UPRO lots at $40 and $40.05 (one for loss, one for slight profit), intending to buy back in $39. Of course it rocketed all the way to ~$42.
Then had a limit order for all my TQQQ at $29.80, which triggered right after Powell spoke. (Also for a loss) Then put in a buy for the same position at $28.80 thinking it was sure to hit, but of course it rebounded and also rocketed to $31.20.
Oh well. Not too upset about the levels I sold at, just FOMO'ing on the missed profits.
Then I panic bought SQQQ at $44 and missed the bottom by almost 2%.
Still going with my earlier prediction of green for the rest of the week. AMZN and AAPL will report solid earnings.
Irish 2.0 said:There is a cliff coming and it won't be pretty when we get to it. The Fed has ****ed all of this **** up.planoaggie123 said:
It is already baked in...except when it isn't....
After today's move, all I can keep thinking about is the Fed meeting in May where it went parabolic immediately and then dumped for 6 days.
Also GDP and jobless claims tomorrow...
https://texags.com/forums/57/topics/2721405/replies/62570487
The Irish's
I was pretty certain we'd rocket to 400+ today (even on interest rate hike news) and I still whiffed and chickened out. Honestly, I wanted to see the fed speak shake out first.Irish 2.0 said:
This market is so jacked up right now. META completely whiffs on ER, guides down, and has barely budged lower.
Mancini has been spot on with these. Fed gives bearish news, market rips, then the real move comes a day or 2 later. This week also ends the July seasonal rip. August is tougher.
Made $10 today. LOL.
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Charismatic Megafauna said:
Hopefully sell my goog weeklies in the morning and maybe crwd weeklies (those may be too far gone), if there's a sell the news dip get into ostk spreads expiring next week
Sold the goog 108.5 weeklies i bought for 3.5 for 4 and 6
Sold the crwd 175 weekly i bought for 4 for 5.13
Still sitting on crwd 200 weeklies i paid 1.9 for
Bought ostk 35c for next week and a 100/120 spread for December
Need to remember to pick up a mega millions ticket before the weekend. I have probably only bought 5 lotto tickets since i started trading options!
I guess the only 'good' thing I can take out of today is that SPY closed that monster gap at 401.44 today. Could see that as a catalyst to begin a new leg down.
We didn't get much of a trap move down today, but I still think the sell comes soon.$30,000 Millionaire said:
Last couple of fed meetings, this has been the script:
- Gap up and some upward morning trading
- Give up morning gains to trade flat
- Doldrums until the fed announcement / presser
- Trap move down 50-100 points
- Recover par value and then soar 50-100 points
- Close on or near highs
- Gap up and sell off the next day
Q2 GDP estimate tomorrow right? Yellen speaking after trying to convince everyone that 2 quarters with negative GDP isn't a recession (this admin loves changing definitions to fit the agenda). I'm going to lose it if they try to label the recession as transitionary.
Another look at the monthly on SPY. Inside month. So who know which way we break... consolidation. I'm betting down. The volume is puny with only 2 trading days left.
I honestly wonder if/when the next black swan event is planned...
I mean "randomly going to happen."
I can see after the midterms being a good time for it, then you get your crash... the fed has their reason to soften up and start back up QE to save the market and get a v-shaped recovery going right before the '24 elections.
Maybe it will be the Chinese taking a shot at Nancy while whe's on her way to Taiwan
Everyone all bullish?
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
No.
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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I moved all of my assets to TQQQ because we're going moon shopping.
Today my 401k surpassed $100k for the first time ever. (Been struggling to get to that for months now.)
Granted, it's guaranteed to no longer be true after tomorrow, but it's still a nice personal milestone to hit. (I opened mine pretty "late" in my career back in 2019, only after all my student debt was paid off.)
Granted, it's guaranteed to no longer be true after tomorrow, but it's still a nice personal milestone to hit. (I opened mine pretty "late" in my career back in 2019, only after all my student debt was paid off.)
always$30,000 Millionaire said:
Everyone all bullish?
AMZN will not report solid results. They are ground zero for margin compression that comes with inflation and retail competition.
$30,000 Millionaire said:
Everyone all bullish?
For a couple days
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$30,000 Millionaire said:
Everyone all bullish?
Yep manchin flipped to calls. Moon mission tomorrow. Scaling into vix calls for next friday
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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$30,000 Millionaire said:
Everyone all bullish?
Yes, I speak fluent Moo.
Congrats! Mine hit 100k last year... but now it's down to 80k...Brian Earl Spilner said:
Today my 401k surpassed $100k for the first time ever. (Been struggling to get to that for months now.)
Granted, it's guaranteed to no longer be true after tomorrow, but it's still a nice personal milestone to hit. (I opened mine pretty "late" in my career back in 2019, only after all my student debt was paid off.)
Bonfire1996 said:
AMZN will not report solid results. They are ground zero for margin compression that comes with inflation and retail competition.
AMZN will be "ok". AAPL will rise big
I will be surprised to see 4060-4080 tomorrow. If so, I am likely going to short from there.
I think bulls need to spend more time in today's single prints before going higher.
I think bulls need to spend more time in today's single prints before going higher.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
Decay said:Congrats! Mine hit 100k last year... but now it's down to 80k...Brian Earl Spilner said:
Today my 401k surpassed $100k for the first time ever. (Been struggling to get to that for months now.)
Granted, it's guaranteed to no longer be true after tomorrow, but it's still a nice personal milestone to hit. (I opened mine pretty "late" in my career back in 2019, only after all my student debt was paid off.)
Username checks out
I think AAPL's supply chain issues will catch up to them in this ER. Higher costs and slowing consumer spending might have started to catch up as well.
$30,000 Millionaire said:
I think bulls need to spend more time in today's single prints before going higher.
Can you elaborate? I bought some puts AH yday and looking to protect. Thanks
SHEL demolished earnings and doing a $6B buyback, seems undervalued here