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Ragoo
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AG
If I were you - high income and sporadic schedule. Commit the dollars you want to invest and take 1/3 and buy lots of 100 shares in good stable high beta companies. Buy them where you see lows. Sell covered calls out 60 days with plan to buy back or roll them with 2 weeks left in the contract term.

Once you are comfortable add in a second third and second company. But always be looking for this opportunity in the evenings or when you have time.

Not the sexiest way to trade but you are holding asset and generating income that you can compound on the next play.
JRizzle
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AG
Im in the same boat as Baylor Spine Guy. Reconstructive surgeon, work way too much. This board has been helpful and made me some money in the last couple of years. (And lost some WWR).
mazag08
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AG
One big thing about trading..

If you are only successful when the going is good, then you aren't truly successful. A lot of us learned this the hard way.

In January of last year everything was a winner. You could throw darts and not miss.

But since about March 2020 (Edit: March 2021, not 2020) most people realized that it wasn't them that was winning. It was the ridiculously strong bull market. Once that ended, especially in small caps, we all realized just how mediocre we were. A couple here (OA, FJ, 30k, one of the Mcinnis personalities, sorry if I'm forgetting anyone) were experienced enough to know how to trade in this recent environment.

Part of being successful is being able to identify momentum of stocks, both up and down, within the context of the overall market. Being bullish this January meant taking small wins and getting out quickly before wild swings killed you. But some of you decided the market was too weak and went full blown bullish and have been killed over the last couple of months. It's what you did last January. But it didn't work this time. Why? Because this time, despite seeing similar setups, we were in the middle of a major market correction within a still bullish trend. You had to be able to identify that. And even if you did, it was still hard as hell to win. Like being a 3 point specialist but all the sudden you're supposed to have the same success shooting frisbees. Got to know how to trade within the market in front of you.
ProgN
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Ragoo said:

If I were you - high income and sporadic schedule. Commit the dollars you want to invest and take 1/3 and buy lots of 100 shares in good stable high beta companies. Buy them where you see lows. Sell covered calls out 60 days with plan to buy back or roll them with 2 weeks left in the contract term.

Once you are comfortable add in a second third and second company. But always be looking for this opportunity in the evenings or when you have time.

Not the sexiest way to trade but you are holding asset and generating income that you can compound on the next play.
I agree with most of this. I'd be patient to see if we have some down days because this past 4 day move was excessive and these moves need to be reigned in a bit. Then I'd buy those type stocks but I wouldn't immediately do a buy/write. Escalation of the war is the main headwind right now but I think it's closer to the end than WW3. With the world's united front towards Russia, I think China is reconsidering attacking Taiwan for at least awhile. The market already is anticipating rate hikes so that removes 2 major headwinds. Putin is the only wildcard but when the war is drawing down, I expect the market to have a hell of a relief rally. We're not there yet, but last weeks rally was a small taste of what could happen. Buy low, wait, then sell covered calls.

BTW, you do know I was just f'ing with you with those gifs, right?
ProgN
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JRizzle said:

Im in the same boat as Baylor Spine Guy. Reconstructive surgeon, work way too much. This board has been helpful and made me some money in the last couple of years. (And lost some WWR).
Welcome doc, if you ever have any questions please ask. There's a lot of market savvy seasoned people in here and someone will be able to help. We all have the same goal in here, even if we can't stand each other on other forums or their football stadium resembles a toilet seat. Just f'ing with you Dr. Strange .
FJ43
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BaylorSpineGuy said:

Nice advice, thanks for commenting. I don't remember how I find this website. I think someone from the Baylor website mentioned it that they had found it helpful at some point. I now spend more time here than I do on SicEm365…..an unforgivable sin if you ask them haha.
My guess.....most of them are lurkers here too but don't have the nads to chime in.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

FJ43
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JRizzle said:

Im in the same boat as Baylor Spine Guy. Reconstructive surgeon, work way too much. This board has been helpful and made me some money in the last couple of years. (And lost some WWR).
You haven't lost anything on WWR yet unless you sold. I started buying shares again the past few weeks.

Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

ProgN
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mazag08 said:

One big thing about trading..

If you are only successful when the going is good, then you aren't truly successful. A lot of us learned this the hard way.

In January of last year everything was a winner. You could throw darts and not miss.

But since about March 2020, most people realized that it wasn't them that was winning. It was the ridiculously strong bull market. Once that ended, especially in small caps, we all realized just how mediocre we were. A couple here (OA, FJ, 30k, one of the Mcinnis personalities, sorry if I'm forgetting anyone) were experienced enough to know how to trade in this recent environment.

Part of being successful is being able to identify momentum of stocks, both up and down, within the context of the overall market. Being bullish this January meant taking small wins and getting out quickly before wild swings killed you. But some of you decided the market was too weak and went full blown bullish and have been killed over the last couple of months. It's what you did last January. But it didn't work this time. Why? Because this time, despite seeing similar setups, we were in the middle of a major market correction within a still bullish trend. You had to be able to identify that. And even if you did, it was still hard as hell to win. Like being a 3 point specialist but all the sudden you're supposed to have the same success shooting frisbees. Got to know how to trade within the market in front of you.


Good advice and it reminded me of something I left out of my reply to BSG about trading.

When you're experiencing a win streak with your trades don't get cocky. Overconfidence will cause you to take on more risk in your positions. The market will humble you and if you're overexposed your losses hurt real bad. Stick your rules and stay disciplined.
FJ43
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Would you buy this?

Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

ProgN
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Post MACD, RSI and Stochastics
BrokeAssAggie
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DWAC?
FJ43
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ProgN said:

Post MACD, RSI and Stochastics
MACD


RSI


Stochastic

Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

FJ43
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Its a semi trick question.......
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

ProgN
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All of them look like hot garbage to me. It wasn't even fazed by a 1400 rally on the Nasdaq in four days, and actually drifted lower. That stock is either cheap obscure stock or one that has warned in forward guidance, but it's definitely not a fund fave. I'd avoid it based on what you've posted.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
What the F is a stochastic? I see it periodically and have never bothered to find out what it means.
SF2004
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AG
Looks like FB or PYPL...

Both tech that didn't move up at the rate of the Qs.

Though I am starting to get bulllish on paypal.
FJ43
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ProgN said:

All of them look like hot garbage to me. It wasn't even phased by a 1400 rally on the Nasdaq in for days, and actually drifted lower. That stock is either cheap obscure stock or one that has warned in forward guidance, but it's definitely not a fund fave. I'd avoid it based on what you've posted.
That's WWR weekly view on all charts / technicals.

For me its a trade up and down to accumulate free share sin a Darvas box to me. Above 1.81-.85ish is the bottom of the last box.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
At the low maybe.
spud1910
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AG
BaylorSpineGuy said:

Really appreciate and like these thoughts. Am still trying to feel out exactly what my style will be and how to trade accordingly.

But these sorts of posts provide good boundaries/guidelines that are supportive of many different trading styles.
You've had some great input already from people that I respect a lot. As someone who makes his living in veterinary orthopedic surgery, I can relate to your situation a bit. I haven't been trading much longer than you, but long enough to make some of the mistakes mentioned. I was fooled into thinking the successes of 2020 were because of my genius rather than an incredible bull market. After giving up a lot of those profits, I am now soaking in the wisdom here and trading less for now. You may have heard some of us mention Dan Shapiro. He is big on support and resistance levels for trading. He also says repeatedly that if you have a successful career, don't neglect it for trading. And as Prog mentioned, I would recommend not neglecting your family for your career nor trading. Dan is also big on screen time, as others have mentioned. My biggest problem was making trades I couldn't watch closely because of my surgery schedule. In the bull market, it didn't really matter. Now it does. And finally, if you ever feel anxious about a trade, back off. You are in too deep.

And welcome! I still haven't forgiven you guys for Cody Carlson, but I did pull for you this weekend.
ProgN
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

What the F is a stochastic? I see it periodically and have never bothered to find out what it means.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/stochasticoscillator.asp

Quote:

What Does the Stochastic Oscillator Tell You?
The stochastic oscillator is range-bound, meaning it is always between 0 and 100. This makes it a useful indicator of overbought and oversold conditions. Traditionally, readings over 80 are considered in the overbought range, and readings under 20 are considered oversold. However, these are not always indicative of impending reversal; very strong trends can maintain overbought or oversold conditions for an extended period. Instead, traders should look to changes in the stochastic oscillator for clues about future trend shifts.

Stochastic oscillator charting generally consists of two lines: one reflecting the actual value of the oscillator for each session, and one reflecting its three-day simple moving average. Because price is thought to follow momentum, the intersection of these two lines is considered to be a signal that a reversal may be in the works, as it indicates a large shift in momentum from day to day.

Divergence between the stochastic oscillator and trending price action is also seen as an important reversal signal. For example, when a bearish trend reaches a new lower low, but the oscillator prints a higher low, it may be an indicator that bears are exhausting their momentum and a bullish reversal is brewing.
It's the weakest of my preferred indicators but it puts it on my watchlist but I wait for further confirmation from the other 2. over 80 is overbought and 20 and under is oversold on a very short term basis. No one should use it exclusively when making a trade decision because it's volatile. It helps me with fomo. When I see multiple sources talking about a stock I'm not familiar with and I see it's stochastic is at 90, I don't even consider it for a momentum trade because I'd probably be bag holding.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
Ah. Sort of what I use ATR and Fisher for.
ProgN
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FJ43 said:

ProgN said:

All of them look like hot garbage to me. It wasn't even phased by a 1400 rally on the Nasdaq in for days, and actually drifted lower. That stock is either cheap obscure stock or one that has warned in forward guidance, but it's definitely not a fund fave. I'd avoid it based on what you've posted.
That's WWR weekly view on all charts / technicals.

For me its a trade up and down to accumulate free share sin a Darvas box to me. Above 1.81-.85ish is the bottom of the last box.
I bought a few thousand shares the last week of December around $2 and planted it, then removed it from my screen. There's just too many fund faves on sale that offer more potential ROI right now. WWR isn't going anywhere until they come online imo. I don't regret buying it but I'm not adding more. Hell if anyone followed me on $SE last week at $92 and bought $100 shares then they'd have made more than trying to trade 5000 shares of WWR hoping for $.25 run. I didn't think $SE would increase 30% in a week but arguing with myself about selling it is better than the alternative.

JMO
ProgN
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

Ah. Sort of what I use ATR and Fisher for.
It helps me to avoid making impulse buys and avoiding dumbass mistakes. Take $U for example, I love the company and just knew that getting it $100 the first few days of March was a steal, but I held off because the stochastic looked toppy.
FJ43
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ProgN said:

FJ43 said:

ProgN said:

All of them look like hot garbage to me. It wasn't even phased by a 1400 rally on the Nasdaq in for days, and actually drifted lower. That stock is either cheap obscure stock or one that has warned in forward guidance, but it's definitely not a fund fave. I'd avoid it based on what you've posted.
That's WWR weekly view on all charts / technicals.

For me its a trade up and down to accumulate free share sin a Darvas box to me. Above 1.81-.85ish is the bottom of the last box.
I bought a few thousand shares the last week of December around $2 and planted it, then removed it from my screen. There's just too many fund faves on sale that offer more potential ROI right now. WWR isn't going anywhere until they come online imo. I don't regret buying it but I'm not adding more. Hell if anyone followed me on $SE last week at $92 and bought $100 shares then they'd have made more than trying to trade 5000 shares of WWR hoping for $.25 run. I didn't think $SE would increase 30% in a week but arguing with myself about selling it is better than the alternative.

JMO
I am with you and buying again on WWR. Long term hold for me.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
Wonder if I can get 2100…


$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
If any of you wonder why I trade micros it's because I'm not a good futures trader yet. I'm paying my tuition.
BaylorSpineGuy
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So what's the move tomorrow on the indexes? They are majorly overbought now, right? Is there a pullback with continued uptrend or do we keep on ripping?

Hard to say at this point, but a nice pullback may give another opportunity to get in on this little bull run. Seasonality suggests we continue up for another 6 wks or so, yes?

This time reminds me of early October when we were toying with a big pullback and then the market took off from 427 to 460 and was green like 9 days in a row. Does this happen again?
Bob Knights Paper Hands
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I think we're going to get that seasonal run, maybe like you said after a small dip or consolidation. I'm still not ruling out the possibility that we go back to aggressive red candles this week and realize last week was opex.
$30,000 Millionaire
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AG
BaylorSpineGuy said:

So what's the move tomorrow on the indexes? They are majorly overbought now, right? Is there a pullback with continued uptrend or do we keep on ripping?

Hard to say at this point, but a nice pullback may give another opportunity to get in on this little bull run. Seasonality suggests we continue up for another 6 wks or so, yes?

This time reminds me of early October when we were toying with a big pullback and then the market took off from 427 to 460 and was green like 9 days in a row. Does this happen again?


I don't want to buy here. Want to buy at 4350 or 4400
BaylorSpineGuy
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That's what I'm thinking. A lot of the high flyer tech stocks broke major MA's on Friday. I think a backtest is needed. And if those supports hold, picking up some shares may work out well.

Will look at a few tonight.
FJ43
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$30,000 Millionaire said:

BaylorSpineGuy said:

So what's the move tomorrow on the indexes? They are majorly overbought now, right? Is there a pullback with continued uptrend or do we keep on ripping?

Hard to say at this point, but a nice pullback may give another opportunity to get in on this little bull run. Seasonality suggests we continue up for another 6 wks or so, yes?

This time reminds me of early October when we were toying with a big pullback and then the market took off from 427 to 460 and was green like 9 days in a row. Does this happen again?


I don't want to buy here. Want to buy at 4350 or 4400
Back test and V off the 50EMA would be nice.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

McInnis 03
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AG
$30,000 Millionaire said:

If any of you wonder why I trade micros it's because I'm not a good futures trader yet. I'm paying my tuition.


Scaling in and scaling out is key and 1 normal contract doesn't teach what 3 micros can
lobwedgephil
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Historically, we get a 2-3% pullback after quad witching. Who knows what happens, but that is the normal, but market will do what it wants.
BaylorSpineGuy
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Yes….and Monday after OpEx has been most
Volatile trading day of the year each time so far. Would not be shocked to see the market run green to trap trendspotting investors.
Philip J Fry
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AG








Interesting how Key and ASB have almost identical charts. I think any of those three on the watch list is repetitively easy money. Set a stop just below the ema120 line. Sell when it hits 15%
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