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$30,000 Millionaire
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4:39p, 7/19/21
AG
consider $SNOW for a hedge long to 7/30.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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FJ43
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4:40p, 7/19/21

Updated SPY

Updated from my earlier post after close. Hoping for a repeat of gap up and finish strong into Friday.

We closed about -1 ATR and above 50EMA/SMA convergence..

Would like to see 430 or the ATR mean closed.

Notice the volume today.

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$30,000 Millionaire
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4:44p, 7/19/21
AG
keep an eye on $MA for a long.

You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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FJ43
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4:44p, 7/19/21

QQQ

Right at the ATR mean & 21EMA.

Nice volume as well.

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FJ43
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4:48p, 7/19/21

IWM

Kind of in no man's land.
had trouble with resistance today.
Won't surprise me to see this test 205/207ish where the 200 EMA & 200 SMA are.

Nice volume again here.

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4:50p, 7/19/21
AG
$MAR - more selling, but watch this for bottoming.

You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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FJ43
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4:53p, 7/19/21

There are a bunch of setups out there that could have trend breaks for weekly or a few weeks out plays.
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5:06p, 7/19/21
AG
potential bottoming play.

You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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BlueTaze
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6:01p, 7/19/21
Who is fading the VIX spike? If not when?
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mazag08
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In reply to BlueTaze • 6:13p, 7/19/21
AG
BlueTaze said:
Who is fading the VIX spike? If not when?


I bought a $22 put today to try and take advantage of a very short term scalp.
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FJ43
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6:23p, 7/19/21

NCLH may be oversold here. Well under - 3ATR in no man's land.

Back over today's high and there is a lot of room above.

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Bosco
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In reply to FJ43 • 6:24p, 7/19/21
AG
FJ43 said:

There are a bunch of setups out there that could have trend breaks for weekly or a few weeks out plays.


Please say V and ZM
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FJ43
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6:26p, 7/19/21

CHWY bit me last week but if over today's high $86-88 back in play for an options scalp.
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FJ43
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In reply to Bosco • 6:29p, 7/19/21
Bosco said:
FJ43 said:

There are a bunch of setups out there that could have trend breaks for weekly or a few weeks out plays.


Please say V and ZM
Watch 358.50-359...ish on ZM. Over than and could get a reversal IMO.

V closed over the 21EMA and right on top of support today. I think could be back in play if doesn't trade below today's low of 238.90.

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bmoochie
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In reply to FJ43 • 6:30p, 7/19/21
AG
FJ43 said:

CHWY bit me last week but if over today's high $86-88 back in play for an options scalp.


I finally did a smart thing following this and went $82c last week for this week expiration to give myself and additional week. Closed out 100% gain today on the run up. Only thing I have done right in 7 days unfortunately but I'll take the baby victory.
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FJ43
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In reply to bmoochie • 6:33p, 7/19/21
bmoochie said:
FJ43 said:

CHWY bit me last week but if over today's high $86-88 back in play for an options scalp.


I finally did a smart thing following this and went $82c last week for this week expiration to give myself and additional week. Closed out 100% gain today on the run up. Only thing I have done right in 7 days unfortunately but I'll take the baby victory.
Congrats nice smart play.. It got me last week on the weeklies.
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gougler08
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In reply to FJ43 • 6:49p, 7/19/21
AG
FJ43 said:

NCLH may be oversold here. Well under - 3ATR in no man's land.

Back over today's high and there is a lot of room above.



Be careful, there's still a gap down at 17.38 that could flash fill. I'm in if we go below $19
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GTIAG09
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In reply to FJ43 • 6:51p, 7/19/21
AG
FJ43 said:

NCLH may be oversold here. Well under - 3ATR in no man's land.

Back over today's high and there is a lot of room above.



Thank you for your insight FJ, much appreciated
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GTIAG09
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In reply to gougler08 • 6:57p, 7/19/21
AG
gougler08 said:
FJ43 said:

NCLH may be oversold here. Well under - 3ATR in no man's land.

Back over today's high and there is a lot of room above.




Be careful, there's still a gap down at 17.38 that could flash fill. I'm in if we go below $19



Is the gap you are referring to from late 2020?
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gougler08
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In reply to GTIAG09 • 7:06p, 7/19/21
AG
YepNov 6, 2020. Looks like an earnings gap up that never came back and filled
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FJ43
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In reply to gougler08 • 7:27p, 7/19/21
gougler08 said:
FJ43 said:

NCLH may be oversold here. Well under - 3ATR in no man's land.

Back over today's high and there is a lot of room above.



Be careful, there's still a gap down at 17.38 that could flash fill. I'm in if we go below $19
I'm not in it but have alerts sets at levels above today's high, 23 & within the trend line. If pivots I might give it a play.

Rough from an iPad and a fat finger.

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McInnis 03
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7:35p, 7/19/21
AG
My only concern with nclh is that reopening plays are getting fearporned right now
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FJ43
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 7:40p, 7/19/21
McInnis 03 said:
My only concern with nclh is that reopening plays are getting fearporned right now
Yep and needs to reverse. But I personally think the fearporned impacts will be short lived this round. Not sure our country nor it's citizens can take another dose of shutdowns and fear mentally or financially.
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Bosco
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7:45p, 7/19/21
AG
FJ, what do you think of the LOW chart?

Had my finger on it several times today for monthly callsper one of my subscription services. Didn't end up pulling the trigger on it.
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gougler08
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In reply to FJ43 • 7:47p, 7/19/21
AG
FJ43 said:
McInnis 03 said:
My only concern with nclh is that reopening plays are getting fearporned right now
Yep and needs to reverse. But I personally think the fearporned impacts will be short lived this round. Not sure our country nor it's citizens can take another dose of shutdowns and fear mentally or financially.


Agreed, the media is calling this all Covid related but I think we all know this is more of a needed downturn in the market and not completely Covid related. I think cruise and airlines will have some value here shortly
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FJ43
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In reply to Bosco • 7:54p, 7/19/21
Bosco said:
FJ, what do you think of the LOW chart?

Had my finger on it several times today for monthly callsper one of my subscription services. Didn't end up pulling the trigger on it.
Watch tomorrow and if breaks 193.67. That will be close to downtrend break and today's high. I think that gets it back to 196/7 and possibly another breakout attempt.

Nice recovery today and more or less held the 50EMA.

I'm in it now for this week and depending on tomorrow I'll let it ride or roll to next week.

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FJ43
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In reply to gougler08 • 7:57p, 7/19/21
gougler08 said:
FJ43 said:
McInnis 03 said:
My only concern with nclh is that reopening plays are getting fearporned right now
Yep and needs to reverse. But I personally think the fearporned impacts will be short lived this round. Not sure our country nor it's citizens can take another dose of shutdowns and fear mentally or financially.


Agreed, the media is calling this all Covid related but I think we all know this is more of a needed downturn in the market and not completely Covid related. I think cruise and airlines will have some value here shortly
Picked Mrs FJ from the airport this week and it was bananas. Haven't seen it that packed and crowded in literally years.

I was flying every week Sun-Fri from Knoxville to LA long before Covid until late summer. During the height of Covid when I was the only person on the aircraft.

Things have changed for sure.
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8:21p, 7/19/21
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8:23p, 7/19/21
AG
I bet the premium to sell puts in cruise lines is just savage right now. If you were to go until December, might pay
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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FJ43
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 8:28p, 7/19/21
$30,000 Millionaire said:
I bet the premium to sell puts in cruise lines is just savage right now. If you were to go until December, might pay

That's thinking. Could be easy money.
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lobwedgephil
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In reply to $30,000 Millionaire • 8:32p, 7/19/21
$30,000 Millionaire said:
$MAR - more selling, but watch this for bottoming.

Over $4 million today in October 135 calls.
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Brewmaster
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In reply to FJ43 • 8:37p, 7/19/21
AG
FJ43 said:
McInnis 03 said:
My only concern with nclh is that reopening plays are getting fearporned right now
Yep and needs to reverse. But I personally think the fearporned impacts will be short lived this round. Not sure our country nor it's citizens can take will tolerate another dose of shutdowns and fear mentally or financially.
FIFY
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$30,000 Millionaire
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9:06p, 7/19/21
AG
I hope COVID doesn't turn into something more lethal than what it is now. I've got a friend that's a doc in KC. He said it's pretty bad there right now.
You don’t trade for money, you trade for freedom.
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EngrAg14
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9:23p, 7/19/21
AG
So we thinking the market open green closes red at this point being up?
Dead cat bounce possible?


I am still sticking behind my thinking that it goes to fill the gaps, 400 would be near correction.
Didn't expect the gap fill today at 424 on SPY but it did, thought it'd be tomorrow.
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Thundergon
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9:56p, 7/19/21
I'd say gap up was a good call. ES up 20 points right now, knock on wood.
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