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Jevertson
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AG
Do y'all think this afternoon is a sell off into the long weekend?
ClutchCityAg
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Looking at some energy stocks, anyone have opinions on the following?

VNOM
FANG
MMP
AMLP (etf)

Edit to add: what do you see as a good entry point for these?
$30,000 Millionaire
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Jevertson said:

Do y'all think this afternoon is a sell off into the long weekend?
Probably. Feels like we are in a mode of "it doesn't matter what day it is, buy"
oldarmy1
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$ONTX volume spike... A day late this time
gougler08
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thirdcoast said:

What happens to options that expire while trading halted?
ITM means it will be executed, OTM means you're out of luck
OverSeas AG
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Every knee shall bow and every tongue shall confess
OverSeas AG
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Every knee shall bow and every tongue shall confess
IrishTxAggie
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Jevertson said:

Do y'all think this afternoon is a sell off into the long weekend?
Run-up into the close and then band-aid being ripped off on Monday. IMO
oldarmy1
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USB approaching exit
IrishTxAggie
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OverSeas AG said:

gougler08 said:

thirdcoast said:

What happens to options that expire while trading halted?
ITM means it will be executed, OTM means you're out of luck
So does this mean...

If the option is ITM people would have to buy and or sale shares even though trading has halted?
If it's halted you likely need to contact your broker to execute it. Don't assume it will auto execute given the circumstances
HoustonAg_2009
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I'm tracking this quite closely as I'm invested into a few operating apartment complexes. Will be tracking tenant rent revenue very closely over the next months.
ClutchCityAg
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BB675 said:

If you could only pick one stock to hold for the next 6-12 months what would it be?


Trump -125 vs the field for electoral college. 80% return in 7 months.
chubbs07
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AG
followed you on this one, OA! what is the target exit when it jumps? low to mid .40s, or could it run higher this time?
Aggies1322
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IrishTxAggie said:

Jevertson said:

Do y'all think this afternoon is a sell off into the long weekend?
Run-up into the close and then band-aid being ripped off on Monday. IMO

You gonna be 3 for 3 on predictions? I hope so..
iluvpoker
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CuriousAg said:

This is what I don't understand. How long do people get to continue to say that 10MM+ unemployed is already baked in? How did anyone know that we would be here? Is 20MM+ baked in? How about 30? Or is the pumping machine really going to offset until the economy roles back around and we just throw the stimulus into our debt pile and continue on our mary little way like nothing happened.


I saw numbers ranging from 15 million to 55 million unemployed. My guess is the market has been thinking 30-40 million.

The real story is the same old story - Don't Fight the Fed! Because unlike the rest of us, they have unlimited money!!
McInnis 03
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thirdcoast said:

What happens to options that expire while trading halted?
They expire. You get nothing. Zilch. Zero. Nada. GOOD DAY SIR.
Barty Dont Hedge
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IrishTxAggie said:

Jevertson said:

Do y'all think this afternoon is a sell off into the long weekend?
Run-up into the close and then band-aid being ripped off on Monday. IMO
Have you been drinking yet?.....Just trying to figure out if this is factual or a guess. LOL
Harkrider 93
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I would be interested to see what the renters do once they get the money. Do they pay rent or try to revolt and not back pay? Do the owners do anything to them?
OverSeas AG
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Every knee shall bow and every tongue shall confess
spud1910
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oldarmy1 said:

USB approaching exit
What is your exit here? I exited half already this morning to be net free.
IrishTxAggie
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Barty said:

IrishTxAggie said:

Jevertson said:

Do y'all think this afternoon is a sell off into the long weekend?
Run-up into the close and then band-aid being ripped off on Monday. IMO
Have you been drinking yet?.....Just trying to figure out if this is factual or a guess. LOL
No. I've got one more call for the real job at 1 and then the Basil Hayden comes out.
CuriousAg
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iluvpoker said:

CuriousAg said:

This is what I don't understand. How long do people get to continue to say that 10MM+ unemployed is already baked in? How did anyone know that we would be here? Is 20MM+ baked in? How about 30? Or is the pumping machine really going to offset until the economy roles back around and we just throw the stimulus into our debt pile and continue on our mary little way like nothing happened.


I saw numbers ranging from 15 million to 55 million unemployed. My guess is the market has been thinking 30-40 million.

The real story is the same old story - Don't Fight the Fed! Because unlike the rest of us, they have unlimited money!!
So then who gives a fah if there is/isn't a bottom!!! Wooo hooo. JUST DUMPED THE MARGIN TRUCK!!!
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claym711
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You guys need to read up on what the Fed did today. The Main Street New Loan Facility is going to pump at least 600bn to small and mid sized businesses, and more or less, only 5% is going to be required to be paid back after a 1 year deferment (Fed purchases 95% of the loan from the banks - fed will never take anyone bankrupt).

This is enormous, in addition to everything else they are doing, plus the municipal facility and corporate junk bond facility (they are even buying JNK).

It is only a matter of time before the Fed is buying SPY.

I do think theres more down, but i would temper expectations on much 'let it burn' bear stuff. Whatever selling will exist is going to be offset by the Fed. They are blazing and will be buying SPY before this is over, I'll bet.

No idea what the fallout from all this will be. The amount of new cash being pumped into the economy is....scary.
Jevertson
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I think generally A class won't be hit as hard but B and C that are more low/middle wage but not subsidized are gonna feel it...
oldarmy1
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Big call volume on BAC May 15 $30
ClutchCityAg
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HoustonAg_2009 said:

I'm tracking this quite closely as I'm invested into a few operating apartment complexes. Will be tracking tenant rent revenue very closely over the next months.


https://texags.com.com/forums/16/topics/3105576

This thread might be of interest to you
Andy07
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spud1910 said:

oldarmy1 said:

USB approaching exit
What is your exit here? I exited half already this morning to be net free.


oldarmy1 said:

$1.75 is my targrt area for those USB calls

FYI


From this morning, thanks for the trade OA!
OverSeas AG
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Every knee shall bow and every tongue shall confess
claym711
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It would be unprecedented in the market's history if we did not, but what the Fed/Treasury are doing is also unprecedented. Its hard to imagine who is going to experience a cash crunch that will require selling with all of the facilities they have rolled out. Technical selling may be all there Is to hope for to downside. Fundamentals are out the window.

Every company with <25mm in payroll just got 4 years of operating capital at near 0% interest, with a year deferred, and likely loan forgiveness on 95%
FrontPorchAg
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AggiePeeps06 said:

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/09/business/americans-rent-payment-trnd/index.html

Nearly a third of Americans didn't pay rent April 1
This, + >10% of America is out of work, commercial mortgages and leveraged to the hilt, businesses over 1/2 of all businesses are closed and don't know when we are going to reopen and the SP500 is up over 15% on the week.

This has all just gotten stupid.
spud1910
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Andy07 said:

spud1910 said:

oldarmy1 said:

USB approaching exit
What is your exit here? I exited half already this morning to be net free.


oldarmy1 said:

$1.75 is my targrt area for those USB calls

FYI


From this morning, thanks for the trade OA!
Thank you. We've gotten so active here I missed it.
FrontPorchAg
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FAT SEXY said:

Conn's dropping like a rock off of delayed earnings report.. Might go under 3 soon.. if so, huge long term potential here.
ain't no one payin' fo da lay way
jh0400
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I think next week will be telling. It's the first round of updated guidance since the economy was shut down, and I expect a lot of retractions. I'm going to buy some puts as insurance, and see what happens.
AnyOtherName
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Mtn_Guide said:

FAT SEXY said:

Conn's dropping like a rock off of delayed earnings report.. Might go under 3 soon.. if so, huge long term potential here.
ain't no one payin' fo da lay way
Wouldn't be surprised if the Fed showed up and paid for it all like it was Christmas.
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