FrioAg 00 said:
I've been a LONG investor in AMZN fora good while (wt avg purchase price in the 1200 range), but today I liquidated it all. I'm just being greedy and cannot help but capitalize on the differential in AMZN and several other value plays.
So now I've got cash again and I'm eyeballing S&P, MSFT and XOM for the right time.
It's crazy how well AMZN has held up when they make zero profit in their retail and distribution businesses. I'd trust the fundamentals of a heavy asset and unique capability business during a recovery all day. Heck, just take the S&P at a 50% return, and even if that's 5-10 years your returns aren't bad.
As someone who has been holding AMZN since $330 when they were no profits in any parts of their business, I'd encourage you not to miss the forest for the trees here. The only reason they are "making zero profit" in their retail and distribution businesses is because they have been plowing every dollar of cash flow back into those (and other) parts of their business to expand - especially on the logistics and delivery sides. Bezos is building a one-stop shop cash flow machine that captures consumer needs. His next step in those areas are to expand the private label brands so his margins get fat. It's all about changing consumer behavior to think about AMZN as the best and/or easiest choice for whatever you need. Events like this quarantine only help accelerate that shift.
Again, I'm clearly a long-term believer, but it's also my largest holding for a reason. Good luck!