I'm most definitely in the "red", but less so thanks to everyone here!

txaggie_08 said:

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I believe Lutnick said Q4 GDP would have been 5% but the shutdown may reduce it by 1.5%.

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Yeah I think 5+ comes later this year, not for Q4 reports

Wrighty said:

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Most people don't beat the market. Good for you to recognize that.

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What you posted is accurate but only for those that don't take the time to refine their craft. I could go to cash in a money market tomorrow with what I've done in my trading account since 1/2/26 and will outperform the market and every mutual fund available for the rest of the year. I'm not bragging, just stating facts. Actively managing your money by maintaining discipline and removing emotions will do the same for anyone.

aggies4life said:

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Don't recall anyone bringing up sandisk recently or ever on here?? All of us asleep at the wheel?

The S&P 500's best-performing stock of 2025: Sandisk (+577%)

The S&P 500's best-performing stock of 2026: Sandisk (+47%) pic.twitter.com/FDko6cOUjU

— Brew Markets (@brewmarkets) January 6, 2026

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Up $152 a share since Jan 6th

aggies4life said:

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aggies4life said:

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Don't recall anyone bringing up sandisk recently or ever on here?? All of us asleep at the wheel?

The S&P 500's best-performing stock of 2025: Sandisk (+577%)

The S&P 500's best-performing stock of 2026: Sandisk (+47%) pic.twitter.com/FDko6cOUjU

— Brew Markets (@brewmarkets) January 6, 2026

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Up $152 a share since Jan 6th

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Be careful. Their valuation is insane.

Hill08 said:

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aggies4life said:

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aggies4life said:

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Don't recall anyone bringing up sandisk recently or ever on here?? All of us asleep at the wheel?

The S&P 500's best-performing stock of 2025: Sandisk (+577%)

The S&P 500's best-performing stock of 2026: Sandisk (+47%) pic.twitter.com/FDko6cOUjU

— Brew Markets (@brewmarkets) January 6, 2026

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Up $152 a share since Jan 6th

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Be careful. Their valuation is insane.

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I shorted it yesterday, but think I went too early

ProgN said:

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Wrighty said:

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Most people don't beat the market. Good for you to recognize that.

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What you posted is accurate but only for those that don't take the time to refine their craft. I could go to cash in a money market tomorrow with what I've done in my trading account since 1/2/26 and will outperform the market and every mutual fund available for the rest of the year. I'm not bragging, just stating facts. Actively managing your money by maintaining discipline and removing emotions will do the same for anyone.

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It helps being a huge ahole like Progn. Market loves aholes.

gougler08 said:

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Hill08 said:

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aggies4life said:

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aggies4life said:

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Don't recall anyone bringing up sandisk recently or ever on here?? All of us asleep at the wheel?

The S&P 500's best-performing stock of 2025: Sandisk (+577%)

The S&P 500's best-performing stock of 2026: Sandisk (+47%) pic.twitter.com/FDko6cOUjU

— Brew Markets (@brewmarkets) January 6, 2026

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Up $152 a share since Jan 6th

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Be careful. Their valuation is insane.

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I shorted it yesterday, but think I went too early

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Bought some puts today, myself.

aggies4life said:

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aggies4life said:

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Don't recall anyone bringing up sandisk recently or ever on here?? All of us asleep at the wheel?

The S&P 500's best-performing stock of 2025: Sandisk (+577%)

The S&P 500's best-performing stock of 2026: Sandisk (+47%) pic.twitter.com/FDko6cOUjU

— Brew Markets (@brewmarkets) January 6, 2026

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Up $152 a share since Jan 6th

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Tradingview won't even let me have any more fib extension levels above what's shown. Could go higher to upper trendline, but I can 100% guarantee you that where my yellow arrow is pointing will follow, and maybe lower. Don't pay attention to timing.. it's just illustrative. The point is, this has already done WAY more than enough to be considered topped even in an extension. If you profited off this, reduce your risk significantly and be prepared to ignore this one for a long time once it tops. It's not going to end well.

Heineken-Ashi said:

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aggies4life said:

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aggies4life said:

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Don't recall anyone bringing up sandisk recently or ever on here?? All of us asleep at the wheel?

The S&P 500's best-performing stock of 2025: Sandisk (+577%)

The S&P 500's best-performing stock of 2026: Sandisk (+47%) pic.twitter.com/FDko6cOUjU

— Brew Markets (@brewmarkets) January 6, 2026

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Up $152 a share since Jan 6th

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Tradingview won't even let me have any more fib extension levels above what's shown. Could go higher to upper trendline, but I can 100% guarantee you that where my yellow arrow is pointing will follow, and maybe lower. Don't pay attention to timing.. it's just illustrative. The point is, this has already done WAY more than enough to be considered topped even in an extension. If you profited off this, reduce your risk significantly and be prepared to ignore this one for a long time once it tops. It's not going to end well.

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March $280 not well? Asking for a friend (my IRA).

Anyone have ASTS, space Mobil. Bought at 22 a share and is at 105 now.

agAngeldad said:

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Anyone have ASTS, space Mobil. Bought at 22 a share and is at 105 now.

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Take your cost (and maybe some profit) out. $50-$75 will be seen again.

Heineken-Ashi said:

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ProgN said:

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Wrighty said:

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Most people don't beat the market. Good for you to recognize that.

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What you posted is accurate but only for those that don't take the time to refine their craft. I could go to cash in a money market tomorrow with what I've done in my trading account since 1/2/26 and will outperform the market and every mutual fund available for the rest of the year. I'm not bragging, just stating facts. Actively managing your money by maintaining discipline and removing emotions will do the same for anyone.

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It helps being a huge ahole like Progn. Market loves aholes.

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META up nicely. Completely missed buying at the close yesterday on what looked to be a reversal confirmation candle.

Pretty sure I posted about SNDK back in June. Bought the breakout back then at $40, sold half when it doubled to $80, and then like an idiot sold out of everything when it started making some big red candles in October at $120.

Very happy with the trade, but yeah, it hurts to look at what it is now. Had no idea it would moon to where it is now

Any trades you're eyeing to make?

Nice pop on ANET this morning.

Have a buy stop in for AAPL on yesterdays high and stop will be LOD after the open. Looking for mean reversion back to 20ma which is ~5%. If price action looks good would be looking for a run up to the upper BB for ~12%

I bought a butt load of AAPL yesterday morning for a long term hold but I would take 10% in a couple days and run with it

It appears I exited too early on ANET.

thoughts on NEXT as a long term LNG play?

Brian Earl Spilner said:

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GeorgiAg said:

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Brian Earl Spilner said:

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AMD approaching my first target for taking profits. (249.95)

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I'm only up 109.5% since 2023. What a garbage stock.

If you sell now, what price are you looking to get back in at? If you are?

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I'm still holding about half my shares, but if it falls below that gap around 216, I'm adding more. And certainly at 200.

But I would say AMD, NVDA, TSM, and AAPL are the only stocks in my portfolio right now that I am not planning on selling and will only accumulate more from here.

For SMCI, ORCL, and ADBE, I'm looking to ride up and sell.

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That was a nice little 220% run on ADBE calls. Thanks again!

ProgN said:

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El Chupacabra said:

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I think I first paper-traded in Scottrade. Didn't even do stupid *****..tried to make it real based on real information I had and real strategies I 'developed'. I constantly made money. It was literally one of those moments of 'if this was real money, I could quit my job and make more on a $100k account each year than I make 9-5ing it.'

As soon as I moved to real money, everything changed and I couldn't make a positive trade. I would literally buy a company and the next day they'd be under investigation or someone would sue them because they grew a 3rd eye from taking one of their drugs or Jim Cramer would recommend them as a buy.

Not really sure where people go to master the market, but I've never really found it.

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I have a few questions about the bolded portions of your post. This isn't criticism, just curious of your honest response. My questions below are in order of what's bolded.

• 1. Did you not "do stupid ****" because it wasn't real money and didn't matter?
• 2. No one should ever think this way because it causes some to take on too much risk (gamble). Is that what happened?
• 3. When you started using real money, did you allow emotions to dictate your decisions?

You don't have to answer them, but know that EVERYONE that has been in the market will more than likely have the same replies, myself included. We are here to help for free because we all want each other to profit. There is no red team vs. blue team here. In here we are all green.


ETA: Open a Schwab account (you don't have to fund it yet) because then you can create a TOS account. They have an excellent library of videos that you can access for free. If you see something posted here that sparks your interest, then go there and see examples of what we're discussing. I promise you that all the clouds will clear and everything will come into focus if you have the desire to try.

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1. I didn't do stupid **** because I wasn't going to do stupid, gambly **** in my real account. I wanted my paper account to reflect real trades and a real mind set and real strategy (mind you, this was years after taking time off due to using the market as my casino).

2. When you can make 10k a month on a small 100k account, it makes a guy think that sitting in a cube isn't worth it any more. My thought process was, if I can make an easy 10% monthly from my couch on a small 100k (paper) account, what color Lambos should I buy when I trade with a million+ of real money? I never did this, obviously.

3. Probably. I truly felt snake bitten...every time I zigged the trade zagged, and every time I zagged, the trade zigged. Every time I sat back and re-evaluated, the market (or stocks on my list) moonshotted. When you go from batting .800 then using the same strategy go to batting .200...but had you taken trades xyz instead of trades abc (all were on your list but you can't act on every setup) you'd be way up instead of way down...and had you just bought SPY you'd even be further ahead...yeah, emotions probably got in the way.



My TOS paper account is currently at $322k, up from $200k at the start of last year. I just reset back to 200.

I wish I had the balls to buy SNDK puts

I think it's also important to set a benchmark against what the market has done as a whole. As H-I said, if trading during a melt-up bull then chances are most plays are going to look like a winner.

Compare your paper trades not just against the market as a whole, but against the market as a whole during the timing of your trades. If you bought at 10am and sold at 3pm and made 5%, but the market as a whole from 10am -> 3pm went up 5%, then while a "successful" trade, it doesn't really show any edge.

Not as much of a technical guy as others on here so would love to hear their input, but I will say their new plant in south Texas is coming along and it is seriously impressive! I have been slowly building up a decent position in them.

zeta finally getting a boost

LNG companies are real face rippers. Very volatile.

They deal with the most volatile commodity in natural gas, very high amounts of leverage, regulation heavy, execution risks etc.

In my opinion, outside of Cheniere, I would trade these stocks and avoid marrying yourself to them.

Agreed. I made it a point to do just that for 2026 and re evaluate at the end of the year to see how the data looks and adjust if necessary from there. Will also evaluate month by month as the year progresses as well.

What/how were you trading to have 10% returns per month in the paper trading account? Long Options, shares, selling options, etc? That's a very aggressive number to shoot for. For reference, 6% returns per month would be 100% annual return

My advice with anything tied to natty gas is to wait for this spike to cool off. Natty tends to spike on a weather even in Jan/Feb. Front contract goes in contango to spot (meaning the current futures contract is trading higher than future spot delivery price). By March, the contango is unwound and you can get a clearer picture as to whether this was just a natty bounce, or a real bull move.

several were discussing whether to hold or sell Red Cat:

RCAT

Today Price
$17.5846
+$1.9746

Today Gain
+$493.65
+12.64%

Total Gain
+$1,912.21
+76.98%

My cost basis is 7.70 in RCAT. Have a chunk of shares going long term on 1/28, might trim some there, but tbh, might just let it run.

Ranger222 said:

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Pretty sure I posted about SNDK back in June. Bought the breakout back then at $40, sold half when it doubled to $80, and then like an idiot sold out of everything when it started making some big red candles in October at $120.

Very happy with the trade, but yeah, it hurts to look at what it is now. Had no idea it would moon to where it is now

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Not seeing anything in the past from you on sandisk. You kept this one from us!?!

PLUG is breaking out if you entered after my weekend post. Don't let it fall back below the breakout line.

El Chupacabra said:

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3. Probably. I truly felt snake bitten...every time I zigged the trade zagged, and every time I zagged, the trade zigged.

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FWIW, I follow your posts on here, and you're more than a simple, capable poster and investor. I don't follow many trades of anyone, sometimes I don't understand the setup, other times I already have enough cash deployed where I'm not willing to put more in.

I ran hot most of last year until Nov 1. I've missed on several big ones since then and am down big on several trades that continued to leak day after day. I've been forced to hold off on more trades and research a little more before buying. The volatility is real and makes for a difficult environment.