BucketofBalls99 said:

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A little spook for the market it looks like

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More than a spook….not sure what prompted this selloff

Well now I'm not so upset that I sold my SOXL Friday morning, even with my awful timing.

Had some TQQQ that I took profits on this am, thankfully.

Adding to my WWR position slightly under the guidelines that anytime WWR is under a buck it's a good time to buy.

Do we think that Japan moving rates and taking some juice out of the yen carry trade is enough to cause chaos?

Dale Earnhardts Stache said:

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Do we think that Japan moving rates and taking some juice out of the yen carry trade is enough to cause chaos?

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Stock Markets - Page 7180 | TexAgs

Look at the index in relation to the 10-20-50. 10 crossing the 20 to the downside and Q's and spy both closed below the 50 for the first time since 4/30. Weekly 20ma down at $653 which I expect spy to touch.

Break $661.21 and it will now be a lower high/lower low

Enough of this! We are going green today!

Hey, crazier things have happened.

*Nam flashbacks to halftime on Saturday*

Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Hey, crazier things have happened.

*Nam flashbacks to halftime on Saturday*

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Yeah no kidding. I thought that game was going to be like 60-17 at the end. But that 4th and 12 run Reed had was the gamechanger, imo.

Here's to 11-0!!

SOXL, SMCI and BMNR all hanging out in the low 30s.

So Microsoft and Nvidia will give Anthropic $15B so that Anthropic can buy $30B of Azure capacity from Microsoft, got it...

I'm tired of this.

BucketofBalls99 said:

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Enough of this! We are going green today!

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If this happens, you have my eternal respect.

BucketofBalls99 said:

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Enough of this! We are going green today!

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I read this in Leeroy Jenkins voice.

AMZN back on sale to pre-earnings price

Retail buyers:

techno-ag said:

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Adding to my WWR position slightly under the guidelines that anytime WWR is under a buck it's a good time to buy.

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At 1.03 now. Seeing a little green in this mess.

Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Retail buyers:

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I'm preparing multiple put plays and they are helping juice the returns and lower entry cost. Love it.

Heineken-Ashi said:

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Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Retail buyers:

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I'm preparing multiple put plays and they are helping juice the returns and lower entry cost. Love it.

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You already in them or just planning?

Ag CPA said:

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So Microsoft and Nvidia will give Anthropic $15B so that Anthropic can buy $30B of Azure capacity from Microsoft, got it...

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Half these AI deals are Frankenstein financing

Looks like the dip buyers are going to try again.

flashplayer said:

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Retail buyers:

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I'm preparing multiple put plays and they are helping juice the returns and lower entry cost. Love it.

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You already in them or just planning?

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flashplayer said:

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Retail buyers:

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I'm preparing multiple put plays and they are helping juice the returns and lower entry cost. Love it.

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You already in them or just planning?

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Are you interested in entering some yourself?

Ag CPA said:

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Looks like the dip buyers are going to try again.

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I have zero proof but my gut feel is that this will end badly for dip buyers.

South Platte said:

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Ag CPA said:

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Looks like the dip buyers are going to try again.

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I have zero proof but my gut feel is that this will end badly for dip buyers.

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I think in regards to end of year, it will be a good Santa rally

Freebie

XLV $153 puts for Friday. Min target $3 contract value, 2x profit, or XLV $150 - whichever comes first. Max target $5 contract value or XLV $148 - whichever comes first. Might not get to max target by Friday. All or nothing so size accordingly. Above $153.75 and play becomes hairy and unlikely. Will not handhold. You know the targets.

TQQQ bumping up against its daily high. Big decision here.

Gun to my head, I think everything finishes right below yesterday's close.

Tomorrow is anyone's guess.

Touchless said:

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flashplayer said:

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Heineken-Ashi said:

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Brian Earl Spilner said:

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Retail buyers:

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I'm preparing multiple put plays and they are helping juice the returns and lower entry cost. Love it.

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You already in them or just planning?

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Are you interested in entering some yourself?

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Not quite yet but I didn't know if Heine meant he was already building positions or just strategerizing about building some. Which is why I asked for clarification. That's all.

I am content to stand pat into early December before I have conviction in much of anything one way or another. Just about every chart I was tracking looks like a mess right now and not much discernible pattern on where things may be headed. Panic selling may creep in but we could just as easily rocket past 7000 on the S&P.

Dabbling in a "buffer ETF" for the first time. Bought a hundred shares just to watch how it behaves. This is NOT a recommendation to buy.

PNOV: S&P fund that protects up to the first 15% downside, in return for a capped max return of 13-14%. Tracking period is through next November. No dividends, and no options available. As I understand it, in Nov 2026, you can leave it in the fund and "renew" for another year period. You can trade it any time in the interim for what the market says it's worth. Expense ratio is high-ish at 0.79%, and its' track record is mostly in a bullish market environment.

Looking at it as a cash alternative, retaining exposure to the market. May be a good alternative for those nearing retirement or already retired. Open to any and all critiques ...

I bleed maroon said:

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Dabbling in a "buffer ETF" for the first time. Bought a hundred shares just to watch how it behaves. This is NOT a recommendation to buy.

PNOV: S&P fund that protects up to the first 15% downside, in return for a capped max return of 13-14%. Tracking period is through next November. No dividends, and no options available. As I understand it, in Nov 2026, you can leave it in the fund and "renew" for another year period. You can trade it any time in the interim for what the market says it's worth. Expense ratio is high-ish at 0.79%, and its' track record is mostly in a bullish market environment.

Looking at it as a cash alternative, retaining exposure to the market. May be a good alternative for those nearing retirement or already retired. Open to any and all critiques ...

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It's pretty much an inverse SPY instrument. But one that caps your potential. So in periods of bull, your money goes down while the market goes up. And during bears, your money goes up while the market goes down, yet returns less than a standard inverse ETF would.

So not only do you need to generally time it right, but you need to be ok knowing you left tons on the table had you used the same timing with an inverse ETF.

With the ability to use stops on inverse ETF's, I cant see the use case for this outside of someone who doesnt check the market often and wants something they can set and forget and hope it works out for them



Here's SPXU against SPY

Heineken-Ashi said:

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I bleed maroon said:

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Dabbling in a "buffer ETF" for the first time. Bought a hundred shares just to watch how it behaves. This is NOT a recommendation to buy.

PNOV: S&P fund that protects up to the first 15% downside, in return for a capped max return of 13-14%. Tracking period is through next November. No dividends, and no options available. As I understand it, in Nov 2026, you can leave it in the fund and "renew" for another year period. You can trade it any time in the interim for what the market says it's worth. Expense ratio is high-ish at 0.79%, and its' track record is mostly in a bullish market environment.

Looking at it as a cash alternative, retaining exposure to the market. May be a good alternative for those nearing retirement or already retired. Open to any and all critiques ...

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It's pretty much an inverse SPY instrument. But one that caps your potential. So in periods of bull, your money goes down while the market goes up. And during bears, your money goes up while the market goes down, yet returns less than a standard inverse ETF would.

So not only do you need to generally time it right, but you need to be ok knowing you left tons on the table had you used the same timing with an inverse ETF.

With the ability to use stops on inverse ETF's, I cant see the use case for this outside of someone who doesnt check the market often and wants something they can set and forget and hope it works out for them

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Thanks! Yep - I see it much the same way. It's not for me, BUT, for someone with a large amount of cash in their IRA who wants market exposure with reduced risk, it's pretty accessible. It's a packaged solution, but if they don't check their account much more than quarterly, it may still be better (and I disagree that it leaves "tons" on the table - mainly higher ETF expenses and capped returns in return for the "set and forget" capability). I have relatives in this situation - I ain't gonna manage their money on a daily basis).