Knew you were one of the elites.$30,000 Millionaire said:topher06 said:
Do you guys actually believe that people with significant skin in the game don't have ways of knowing what the FOMC announcements will be before they're made? I'm sure those FOMC guys make pretty good money, but a clerk for a liberal justice leaked a supreme court decision with the intent of threatening violence against supreme court justices and there were no repercussions... can't imagine someone wouldn't leak something less impactful with money as an incentive.
0.75
Stock Markets
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Last: 1 hr ago by Heineken-Ashi
Yep, 100% Blackrock knows ahead. BR and central bank are basically partners. Larry Fink is often literally contracted by gov to facilitate fed monetary policy. Every major crisis BR is there to capitalize. They go into a crisis backed by taxpayer with 4 trillion, and come out with 8 trillion.
They also have special accredited status in China and that profitability only fluctuates based on whether their boy Soros is pulling DNC strings or if some GOP pro America outsider is shot calling.
They also have special accredited status in China and that profitability only fluctuates based on whether their boy Soros is pulling DNC strings or if some GOP pro America outsider is shot calling.
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$30,000 Millionaire said:
I just personally prefer to sit out these days.
Smart move. I've made 14 trades today and I'm up $9
10 and 50 has crossed on the SPX 30 minutes.
With FOMC looming, I would NOT launch into calls or anything... I'd look for a re-test of the 10, or more importantly the 50. If it holds... It's on.
By no means is this a prediction, but I can see the initial move potentially being a quick sell down to the 50 then bounce off of it and rip.
With FOMC looming, I would NOT launch into calls or anything... I'd look for a re-test of the 10, or more importantly the 50. If it holds... It's on.
By no means is this a prediction, but I can see the initial move potentially being a quick sell down to the 50 then bounce off of it and rip.
Stay green!!
Charismatic Megafauna said:$30,000 Millionaire said:
I just personally prefer to sit out these days.
Smart move. I've made 14 trades today and I'm up $9
That's too much. Only the broker won.
Intense premiums.
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I just deposited more quarters in this account to get my pdt restriction lifted and I'm determined to focus on blocking and tackling, using stops, and only taking high probability trades. I kinda failed on that last part but i think i have scratched the itch and can calm down and focus now
It's just hard for me to think we won't rally on .75 because 1.00 is on the table. If 1.00 hits, then the market will sell the news.
That's a good take. Fading the initial move seems to be the trend and I'll stick with that. Holding 10/21 puts for the past few weeks. I'll buy some OTM call weeklies after the first move if we tank.
Semis doing nice things this week. If market like the fed news. AMD calls are a great play, short-term
NVDA breaking bottom of current intraday channel
What time is fed?
1pm central, JPow at 130Brian Earl Spilner said:
What time is fed?
yeah the premiums are nuts$30,000 Millionaire said:
Intense premiums.
There she goes.
Thought it was at 1:30?
Yeah, no idea what was announced, but everything taking a nosedive.
75 bps hike
confirmed a .75 rate hike
Fade the first move? That's what I'm thinking as of now.
75bps got more of a reaction that I thought it would. I think the real fireworks start when Powell speaks in a few. 75bps was expected.
Triple_Bagger said:
75bps got more of a reaction that I thought it would. I think the real fireworks start when Powell speaks in a few. 75bps was expected.
I think the issue is not this rate raise its the forecast....they are seeing this as taking longer to correct....raising outlook for future rate....
The yield on the 2-year Treasury note topped 4% for the first time since 2007 on Wednesday
as traders bet the Federal Reserve has much further to go in raising rates to fight inflation.
The policy-sensitive 2-year Treasury rose 15 basis points to 4.113%, to a level not seen since October 2007. Meanwhile, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury was last at 3.614%, up by roughly 4 basis points.
as traders bet the Federal Reserve has much further to go in raising rates to fight inflation.
The policy-sensitive 2-year Treasury rose 15 basis points to 4.113%, to a level not seen since October 2007. Meanwhile, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury was last at 3.614%, up by roughly 4 basis points.
You nailed it planoaggie. This is likely what caused the big drop.planoaggie123 said:Triple_Bagger said:
75bps got more of a reaction that I thought it would. I think the real fireworks start when Powell speaks in a few. 75bps was expected.
I think the issue is not this rate raise its the forecast....they are seeing this as taking longer to correct....raising outlook for future rate....
FED PROJECTS 75 BPS RATE HIKE IN NOVEMBER
— FXHedge (@Fxhedgers) September 21, 2022
These are algos scraping news and reacting. The sentiment hasnt changed. Everyone with a brain knows rates will continue to rise because inflation still exists in earnest.
Powell is verbatim repeating message from Jackson Hole a few weeks back. This time he did add at some point he would slow hikes and reevaluate.
Current market expectations for path of Fed Funds Rate...
— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) September 21, 2022
-November: 75 bps hike to 3.75%-4.00%
-December: 50 bps hike to 4.25%-4.50%
-Feb 2023: 25 bps hike to 4.50%-4.75%
-Pause
-Rate cuts start in Sep 2023, continue in 2024...
Upward shift of 25 bps today after FOMC statement. pic.twitter.com/kfC6peRe8u
Thought this was interesting for long-term outlook
SPY options are a little too rich for my trading account today.
I think I'm done for the day. Ended up making 7% on my account with some pretty good entry's and exits that I'm happy about.
Spy rocket now
Rally ass time!The Pilot said:
Spy rocket now
Do your girlfriends mind you using their images on here?
The theta you are against in the next hour is unlike anything you'll encounter. 80 point OTM options are $2
They need to get rid of these Q&A sessions, they've just turned into a "gotcha" session the past year.