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tam2002
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Wynn starting to drop
chrisfield
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Sponsor
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You guys got nothing on me. I shorted LADR this morning about 10:00am. Yeah...
oldarmy1
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Harkrider 93 said:

For the you and others asking on should I sell and capture profit:

OldArmy can correct me, but the reason why he has been so successful is that he follows the rules he made. Once the stock hits his target (model T, etc) he sells.

You need to do the same. If you try to use gut/emotion for every buy and sell, you will likely do worse than following the rules.

I don't know what I am talking about right now. I am working on building rules for myself.


Amen. I can't tell you how many times you see "I should have sold" in this profession.

Prices move up and down. When a target is reached you follow the discipline and don't care about further action. Amazing how many times those continuation pushes fall hard and you're left saying "what was I thinking?!".
azul_rain
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ZOMBIE MARKET
McInnis 03
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chrisfield said:

You guys got nothing on me. I shorted LADR this morning about 10:00am. Yeah...
Oh no.
AgOutsideAustin
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hedge_zer0 said:

AgOutsideAustin said:

Texags B&I called it and I was wrong the bottom has been set and it's a clear bottom so BUY BUY BUY !!!
-Lee Corso




That's right folks my Model Yugo data point is saying BUY BUY BUY !!!

Youngsters can google Yugo.
oldarmy1
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hedge_zer0 said:

ZOMBIE MARKET
It was an opportunity to punish some lesser capitalized bears. Really nothing more but momentum will carry us to Model T almost as certain as the sun rising in the east. So we play with them.
thirdcoast
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chrisfield said:

You guys got nothing on me. I shorted LADR this morning about 10:00am. Yeah...


Thanks for posting this. Sorry to hear but makes me feel better for selling my $5 calls for .50 yesterday.
chrisfield
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I'm here for you guys. Until I run out of money. Which may not be that long at this rate.
oldarmy1
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Do not short in this market. If we close in on Model T then as you sell your shares buy a shorter term Put 10% below exit price and if we begin a hard wave down you either profit on the downside with the Put or convert it into a short.
Rice and Fries
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oldarmy1 said:

Do not short in this market. If we close in on Model T then as you sell your shares buy a shorter term Put 10% below exit price and if we begin a hard wave down you either profit on the downside with the Put or convert it into a short.
What number of days do you suggest? 15-30?
BB675
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Anything worth buying in the next day or two even with everything already high?
azul_rain
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im sorry what is Model T?
azul_rain
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wait until we bottom
Aggie_2463
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Stimulus Question:

"Payments will phase out at a rate of $5 per every additional $100 in income over $75,000 in adjusted gross income for singles, $112,500 for heads of household, and $150,000 for married couples filing jointly."

Am I interpreting this right that if you filed as a head of household (Single with a kid basically), that you get $1,200 if your income was below $112,500 then for every $100 after that it will reduce by $5. Which would mean the threshold for HOH getting any money is $136,500?
AgShaun00
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5th time today SPY is trying to break 259
aggiedaniel06
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chrisfield said:

You guys got nothing on me. I shorted LADR this morning about 10:00am. Yeah...

Man, that sucks. The REIT's are in terrible shapre, but you're just too early.

It's like the movie Gladiator, in the last scene Caesar shanks Maximus before the gladiator match, but before Maximus slowly bleeds to death, he kills Caesar.

If you have the solvency to hold the short for a few months, you could be alright. Also shorting LADR was a bad idea because of the upcoming dividend on April 1, which you'll be on the hook for.
Boat Shoes
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I'm holding some Jun 19 $JNK $80 puts that were up big until the last few days. Didn't quite get to net free now almost back to even. Thoughts on whether well still see a lot of default in the junk bond market? Or does the bailout remove some of that risk?
oldarmy1
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Rice and Fries said:

oldarmy1 said:

Do not short in this market. If we close in on Model T then as you sell your shares buy a shorter term Put 10% below exit price and if we begin a hard wave down you either profit on the downside with the Put or convert it into a short.
What number of days do you suggest? 15-30?
If this is truly going to be a retest then it is nearly impossible for a market to last a week near its parabola top. Go cheaper puts with a 1 week, 2week max horizon.
PuryearAg98
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GPMT - Up 311%
fightintxag13
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AgShaun00 said:

5th time today SPY is trying to break 259
Rejected again
azul_rain
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can somebody with much greater knowledge than me explain why the market is going up after 3.1 million are unemployed
oldarmy1
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hedge_zer0 said:

im sorry what is Model T?
Fancy made up term for a 50% retracement of a major directional trend move that occurred.
IrishTxAggie
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AgShaun00 said:

5th time today SPY is trying to break 259
If the S&P can't crack 2600 today, 3/27 255P are on my radar at the close
AgShaun00
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is there the goalpost on the minute chart for SPY. First one was green, second red?
Touchless
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Touchless said:

IrishTxAggie said:

Touchless said:

LADR 5/15 $5C $0.5

Not sure if I should get out and take the winnings or let it ride out. Feel like there will be a retraction on it but a month and a half out has a lot of room to run. Just wish I'd bought more of them.
This is not the environment to be overly greedy in. I left ~$10k on the table selling out of all of my LADR calls, but I look at as I made ~$5k. Cover your costs and take some profits. Leave some for a runner
Sold 3 of the 5. Holding the other 2 until it either gets to $12, or drops back down to $7
Okay, I chickened out and sold the other two. Netted out at 688% gain. Really needed that to offset some of these puts I got goin on.
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george1992
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All A&M said:

hedge_zer0 said:

can somebody with much greater knowledge than me explain why the market is going up after 3.1 million are unemployed


Momentum trading?
I've always been told to follow the herd!!!
McInnis 03
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oldarmy1 said:

hedge_zer0 said:

im sorry what is Model T?
Fancy made up term for a 50% retracement of a major directional trend move that occurred.


Should have called it the "halfback"
Rice and Fries
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Anyone playing the Airlines?

Read a good report talking about Delta being in good positioning to manage this downturn. The analyst lifted them to a speculative BUY.
khaos288
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hedge_zer0 said:

can somebody with much greater knowledge than me explain why the market is going up after 3.1 million are unemployed
Some estimates were 5+, so that was priced in. therefore 3.1 brought the market up, plus the stimulus bills moving closer.
Barnyard96
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george1992 said:

All A&M said:

hedge_zer0 said:

can somebody with much greater knowledge than me explain why the market is going up after 3.1 million are unemployed


Momentum trading?
I've always been told to follow the herd!!!
Sometimes right off the cliff!
aginlakeway
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tam2002 said:

Wynn starting to drop
Big time. I got out of what I had left earlier today. Crazy ride the last week.
Touchless
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oldarmy1 said:

hedge_zer0 said:

im sorry what is Model T?
Fancy made up term for a 50% retracement of a major directional trend move that occurred.
So would you character that as like a W chart (never heard of this so I'm making it up. You hear of V or U bottoms, but perhaps a W is more appropriate with the temp reversal)? Steep drop, 50% back to where it was and then another quick drop back to the bottom before returning back to the original starting point?

I've been trying to understand the math on this as it's been mentioned on the thread countless times. Is this accurate as an example? Start at $200 --> $100 --> $150 --> $100?
Maximus_Meridius
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aginlakeway said:

tam2002 said:

Wynn starting to drop
Big time. I got out of what I had left earlier today. Crazy ride the last week.
Looks like the most recent level of support was around 64.50ish, with a gap to about 59 if it doesn't hold there.
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