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809,826 Views | 6443 Replies | Last: 15 days ago by tk for tu juan
Ag_07
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In reply to rca21978 • 7:36p, 7/7/24
AG
rca21978 said:
ChemAg15 said:
Well several posters on the tine board said it'll be a cat 2 or 3 and that they know a thing or two


What is the "tine" board?


IYKYK

Not the time and place to delve into this lesson.
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YouBet
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In reply to rca21978 • 7:36p, 7/7/24
AG
rca21978 said:
1800 Z GFS had 982 at landfall. 1200 Z ECMWF had 984.


That 982 means pressure.

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BQRyno
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In reply to Serotonin • 7:38p, 7/7/24
AG
Serotonin said:
ChemAg15 said:
Well several posters on the tine board said it'll be a cat 2 or 3 and that they know a thing or two
I think the door is completely shut on cat 2 at this point.

Latest:



Previous run:




So explain it to me like I'm 4…. Does this mean only one of the included models forecasts that it will become a hurricane again, and only cat 1? I'll take a tropical storm please.
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rca21978
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In reply to YouBet • 7:39p, 7/7/24
AG
Yes it does - measured in mb. And if it's greater than 980 the storm falls into the Cat 1 category.

But thanks for posting the clarification for us non meteorologists.
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Tom Cardy
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In reply to BQRyno • 7:40p, 7/7/24
AG
If it don't, then it can't did. If it do, then maybe. Hth
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BSD
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In reply to jetch17 • 7:41p, 7/7/24
AG
jetch17 said:
Flaith said:
Jetch, you gonna be walking around the neighborhood with those extra Brash beers later?



Already doing that and it ain't even raining


I bet stinky nuts here is going to ****ing pass out, that ****ing piss drunk cock. He'll just be lying there on the floor, he lives his ****ing life in an alcoholic haze man, his life's a blur, **** him.

/goat
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Cromagnum
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7:43p, 7/7/24
AG
It's 983mb right now which is in Cat 1, approaching Cat 2 territory. It has about 10-12 hours before it comes ashore so it could easily be in the 960-975 mb range if it drops 1mb per hour which is solid Cat 2 pressure. Winds take longer to catch up to pressure drops typically. Gonna be close.
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gougler08
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In reply to BQRyno • 7:43p, 7/7/24
AG
The 7pm update has 70mph so feel like those charts are off
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jbanda
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7:43p, 7/7/24
AG
Coincidence?



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Raiderjay
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7:44p, 7/7/24
I am not a professional meteorologist, I just play one on TexAgs…..
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CDUB98
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In reply to jetch17 • 7:44p, 7/7/24
AG
jetch17 said:
Flaith said:
Jetch, you gonna be walking around the neighborhood with those extra Brash beers later?



Already doing that and it ain't even raining


Hey, over here, jackwagon.
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jetch17
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In reply to BSD • 7:47p, 7/7/24
AG
BSD said:
jetch17 said:
Flaith said:
Jetch, you gonna be walking around the neighborhood with those extra Brash beers later?



Already doing that and it ain't even raining


I bet stinky nuts here is going to ****ing pass out, that ****ing piss drunk cock. He'll just be lying there on the floor, he lives his ****ing life in an alcoholic haze man, his life's a blur, **** him.

/goat


As long as it's not that fat sh*t, Giarraputo. That kids sick fck


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tk for tu juan
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In reply to jbanda • 7:48p, 7/7/24
Or the Targaryen sigil, just in time for tonight's episode
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CDUB98
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In reply to jbanda • 7:48p, 7/7/24
AG
jbanda said:
Coincidence?





I'll take picture A, please.
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V8Aggie
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In reply to tk for tu juan • 7:48p, 7/7/24
CFTXAG10
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In reply to tk for tu juan • 7:51p, 7/7/24
AG
tk for tu juan said:
Or the Targaryen sigil, just in time for tonight's episode


I said just keep my power on until 9:30pm
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bigjag19
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In reply to BSD • 7:53p, 7/7/24
AG
Glad my upgrade is confirmed for Tuesday night since I'm sure all flights Tuesday will now be full.
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Tex117
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7:59p, 7/7/24
AG
This thread is going places now! Yeeeaaaahhhh buuudddyyy
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Serotonin
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In reply to gougler08 • 7:59p, 7/7/24
AG
gougler08 said:
The 7pm update has 70mph so feel like those charts are off
7PM Fri - 65 mph
10PM Fri - 60 mph
...
7 AM Sun - 60 mph
10 AM Sun - 65 mph
1PM Sun - 65 mph
4PM Sun - 65 mph
7PM Sun - 70 mph

It's only got a few hours left before it hits land
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Dr. Venkman
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8:00p, 7/7/24
AG
Just got an email that our office is open tomorrow. I'm pretty surprised.
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TXAG 05
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In reply to gougler08 • 8:01p, 7/7/24
AG
gougler08 said:
Cmon weather channel, no Jim Cantore?


Bro. Fox Weather has Britta in Surfside. Way better than Jim.
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94chem
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8:07p, 7/7/24
Holdin' down Crystal Beach right now. Just boiled some nice looking blue crabs.
94chem,
That, sir, was the greatest post in the history of TexAgs. I salute you. -- Dough
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scd88
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8:08p, 7/7/24
AG
Is this thing a hurricane yet?
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Serotonin
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In reply to BQRyno • 8:08p, 7/7/24
AG
BQRyno said:
Serotonin said:
ChemAg15 said:
Well several posters on the tine board said it'll be a cat 2 or 3 and that they know a thing or two
I think the door is completely shut on cat 2 at this point.

Latest:



Previous run:




So explain it to me like I'm 4…. Does this mean only one of the included models forecasts that it will become a hurricane again, and only cat 1? I'll take a tropical storm please.
Different model projections on hurricane intensity. OFCI = Official NHC forecast, ICON is ICON model, UKM2 is UK Met model, etc.

The mph starting point is lower than the current mph, so I'm guessing input was from earlier today.

But the important thing is that Beryl really hasn't strengthened much and is pretty much out of time to do so.

It's gone from 60mph off the Yucatan to 65mph this morning to 70mph at 7PM.

Cat 2 is 96mph+.
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kelkel25
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8:10p, 7/7/24
And heeeeeeere's Dora, back from vacay
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TX04Aggie
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8:10p, 7/7/24
AG
Omg Dora is talking re: storm….. she might be the dumbest person ever.
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Serotonin
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8:18p, 7/7/24
AG
This might be useful for anyone planning to be out and about tomorrow...

wind forecasts for Houston (you can click on different models) in bottom center:
https://www.windy.com/29.759/-95.368?29.745,-95.733,5
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OdessaAg
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8:18p, 7/7/24
AG
I feel dumber for watching Dora, my god what a pendeja.
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jetch17
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8:24p, 7/7/24
AG
What a moron


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BillYeoman
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8:24p, 7/7/24
So….what do we got coming? I am 6 Meel Las ((Miller Lite for those that don't speak Viet) in and trying to figure out whether I go to rum or water.

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CDUB98
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In reply to 94chem • 8:25p, 7/7/24
AG
94chem said:
Holdin' down Crystal Beach right now. Just boiled some nice looking blue crabs.


Shouldn't you be up in Kingwood guarding the damn release?
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Project Gemini
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8:26p, 7/7/24
AG
Whitmire, meanwhile, giving a giant middle finger to Dan Patrick with his airtime
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Mikeyshooter
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8:26p, 7/7/24
AG
Two Buffalo Trace's in and that Dora spot might be the funniest **** I've ever seen.


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Serotonin
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In reply to BillYeoman • 8:26p, 7/7/24
AG
BillYeoman said:
So….what do we got coming? I am 6 Meel Las ((Miller Lite for those that don't speak Viet) in and trying to figure out whether I go to rum or water.

Now that you've hydrated its time to upgrade to Rum. Always the liquor of choice for a hurricane.
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CDUB98
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In reply to jetch17 • 8:27p, 7/7/24
AG
jetch17 said:
What a moron




What happened to Brash?
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