Behind #Beryl is likely going to be 96L and it may follow a similar path. No confidence in intensity at this time and not going to speculate.
— Jim Cantore (@JimCantore) June 29, 2024
Someone needs to remind me what part of the hurricane season we are in as this is very unusual. I guess these historic warm ocean… pic.twitter.com/T7CkwfPRtN
Fitch said:Behind #Beryl is likely going to be 96L and it may follow a similar path. No confidence in intensity at this time and not going to speculate.
— Jim Cantore (@JimCantore) June 29, 2024
Someone needs to remind me what part of the hurricane season we are in as this is very unusual. I guess these historic warm ocean… pic.twitter.com/T7CkwfPRtN
HURRICANE BERYL: Basically unheard of for this early in the year. Will be a major hurricane by Monday. From there, we need to watch close into 4th of July weekend. Here are the hot off the press European model ensembles. Each line a model. I think we can confidently say *Florida… pic.twitter.com/Ho4fl412hg
— Noah Bergren (@NbergWX) June 29, 2024
This is what RI (rapid intensification) looks like! In June!!!
— Jim Cantore (@JimCantore) June 30, 2024
100mph (likely higher) and counting…#Beryl pic.twitter.com/eFkTULDrdx
CAR96 said:
I wish we could get more forecast / discussion about HIGH pressure systems forming over the south / gulf coast states and how they should make it harder to Beryl to move north toward Texas.
I understand there are a lot of uncertainties in the tracking of the system after July 4th...but I have seen some forecasts thru Mike's Weather page about the High pressure systems pushing Beryl more towards Mexico and maybe southern Tx....you don't know for certain but the steering pressure systems play a role.
Mike thinks the system behind Beryl has more chance to enter the middle of the Gulf and threaten Florida; I think Beryl has minimal to no chance for FLORIDA but Corpus to New Orleans is not out of the risk.
Not completely reliable, but it is the U.S. hurricane model.Anti-taxxer said:
What is GFS? Is it reliable? Which parts of Texas?
agproducer said:Not completely reliable, but it is the U.S. hurricane model.Anti-taxxer said:
What is GFS? Is it reliable? Which parts of Texas?
Accuracy really drops after 3 days.
You can play around with the models at tropicaltidbits.com.
This morning's update had Beryl making landfall around Matagorda, then the second around Corpus.
Still, forecast's are WAY out, and will likely change.
Disclaimer, I'm not a meteorologist, but asked them all kinds of questions in these situations while in news.
Anti-taxxer said:
Beryl is a Cat 4 now. That escalated very quickly.
The Windward Islands are ****ed.
lb sand said:
My brother and his wife are stuck on Saint Lucia now. He texted a photo this morning and it's still beautiful. Calm before the storm.
Sea Speed said:
The cone is creeping in to Texas
it's starting to get a little concerning for some of us in South Texas.Sea Speed said:
The cone is creeping in to Texas
Ag12thman said:it's starting to get a little concerning for some of us in South Texas.Sea Speed said:
The cone is creeping in to Texas
. You're further south than me. Hopefully we will all avoid this one. Thoughts and prayers to those who get hit by it, though.Sea Speed said:Ag12thman said:it's starting to get a little concerning for some of us in South Texas.Sea Speed said:
The cone is creeping in to Texas
I'm currently 60 miles off the coast of corpus
For US Gulf Coast residents, 12Z HWRF is pretty provocative—showing #BERYL threading through Yucatan Channel & getting into Gulf of Mexico as strong #hurricane in 5 days. Gotta watch it. pic.twitter.com/U5RGBZVzAL
— Josh Morgerman (@iCyclone) June 30, 2024