nought said:
Nosmo said:
The weekly allocation sheet is for 1st time shots only. It's stated on the top of the page.
There is a ton of info on comparing counties on the state site and it breaks down 1st and 2nd doses.
Last week Brazos county got 6,075 total doses.
2,175 for 1st shots
3,900 for 2nd shots
According to the dashboard, Brazos County has been allocated 12,450 (975 + 3900 + 700 + 1500 + 2000 + 2175 + 1200) first doses. Let's not count the 1200 that are arriving this week, so it is 11,250.
Also according to the dashboard, we have put 7,355 of those 11,250 doses in the arms of 1A and 1B vaccine candidates.
That's by no means a high enough percentage.
First of all, the shot the "vaccination" tab wording is confusing. It's a
people thing and not a
shot thing.
This tab looks at
people to date that have one or two doses and
people that have 2 doses. To get the "to date" number, you have to add the two. Note that the "doses administered" tab is total shots.
Let's say we are rationing shoes. And we are getting only a left shoe first, and have to wait a month for a right shoe.
Initially everybody is shoeless, and gets a left shoe as only left shoes are distributed. At this point every left shoe distributed is equal to total
people that have at least one shoe
to date.
A month later, we start distributing right shoes along with left shoes. Some
people are coming in shoeless and some
people are wearing a left shoe. This metric is only concerned with how many
people have at least one shoe at the end of the day.
We also list how many
people have a pair of shoes.
To get the total shoes you list the number of
people that have at least one, and add the number of
people with 2 shoes.
When everybody gets 2 shoes, the number of people will be 1/2 the amount of shoes.
Again the "administered" tab show actual shots performed. And as long as it's a two dose vaccine, people vaccinated will not equal shots required to fully vaccinate.
In this case, the total shots is 7,355 + 910 = 8,265. Not a big difference but it will get bigger quickly.
As far as 11,250, "allocated" is the number that takes about 2 weeks to consume ( my actual number is closer to 15 days). "Allocation" is not "shipped". as the state shows shipping all during the week. There is no tracking of when a county receives it either.
As I said earlier, nationwide (look at the WSJ link), Texas-wide, and county-wide this two week lag is typical. As a general rule, everybody is out of vaccine everywhere as far as I can gather and shots allocated are not stacking-up.
We are now forced to go into the 2nd shot mode so there is more coordination and first shot doses are going to suffer.
I don't see any evidence that using up your allotment quicker, means you get more doses. There was a problem initially, but that was initial roll out and media was screaming about the lag. The lag is still there.
Maybe you are right, but I don't see it. And I've looked for it.
Also, be aware that some counties have a lot more shots given than allocated. Not sure how that happened, but if you get a shot in another county, it's counted toward your home county.
Edit #1: Also note that "allocations" are listed on the "Sunday" update, and Texas rarely show much activity on Sunday as "shipped".