Big increase in Hispanic and 15-19 categories sounds a lot like another quincenera...just a guess.

nought said:

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KidDoc said:

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Any doc can order it thru St Jo. Not sure what you will do with the information though.

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If you tested positive for antibodies, and you believed the test were accurate, would you

a) feel more comfortable doing things in public
b) feel less comfortable doing things in public

?

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A. I wouldn't have the fear of inadvertently carrying the disease to someone with a compromised immune system.

To summarize the sudden spike in 118 new cases reported over the last 5 days ...

• 68% - Hispanic (80)
• 84% - in Bryan (92)
• 69% - Community-spread (82)

In perspective, the 82 community-spread cases reported the last 5 days is more than reported over the previous 3 weeks. Call me an untrustful skeptic ... but local residents aren't receiving enough helpful contextual information.

First time I've looked closely at the brazos health data file. Noticed that positivity rate is 17.5% for the last couple of weeks, which is over the cutoff set by the governor at 10%.

Username checks out. Haven't posted in 5 years I see!

lockett93 said:

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https://www.dallasnews.com/news/public-health/2020/06/05/some-coronavirus-tests-in-doubt-in-texas-after-lab-turns-up-abnormal-number-of-positives/

Maybe this explains the recent increase in cases and positivity? Someone needs to ask about this at the county press conference tomorrow!

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It would be nice if someone did, but our local media has no interest in asking worthwhile questions.

curry97 said:

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Username checks out. Haven't posted in 5 years I see!

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What does it matter how often he/she posts. They got the math correct, unlike a couple of posts up, initially. And it is a good point regarding the governor's desires.

ToxicAG said:

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First time I've looked closely at the brazos health data file. Noticed that positivity rate is 17.5% for the last couple of weeks, which is over the cutoff set by the governor at 10%.

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They are testing more asymptomatic cluaters and contacts so not surprising.

In two weeks, eh?

Quote:

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Moreover, a recent article from the Texas Medical Center in Houston stated they are seeing a 2.3% daily increase in COVID ICU bed occupancy and will be full in 2 weeks if the rate stays the same.

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No, it did not say that. Let me guess, you read the KPRC headline.

First of all, they were talking about Houston, not the state of Texas.

Second, it was a badly written article. Houston is actually running below normal ICU occupancy levels, and there are multiple hospitals in the Houston area which have almost empty ICUs with no virus patients. The report was saying "BASE ICU capacity" which means the normal numbers. They have the ability to convert a very large number of additional hospital rooms to ICU if needed.

So, what are you trying to say. You want another lock down of the state? You want Brazos County to go full Wuhan? Just spit it out instead of dancing around the edge.

Yes. It is open for opinion, but when the leaders of the largest and undoubtedly one of the best medical centers in the world say something, I tend to listen.

"Dr. James McDeavitt, Senior Vice President and Dean of Clinical Affairs for the Baylor College of Medicine. "A day in itself is not alarming. The disturbing thing is it seems to be a little bit more every day. It's been a very consistent increase. The center is showing the number of people admitted to the ICU has been climbing for the past week. If it continues at the current rate, then TMC's normal capacity of ICU beds could be exceeded in two weeks and so a warning was triggered. "

https://www.click2houston.com/health/2020/06/05/med-center-sees-uptick-in-covid-19-patients-in-icus-warns-if-trend-continues-capacity-could-be-exceeded-in-2-weeks/

There are plenty of other ICU beds in Houston outside the TMC....despite what the medical school folks think. I have no problem with pointing out trends, but those ICUs run near capacity frequently in the winter flu season.

LSCSN said:

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In two weeks, eh?

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It's been two weeks since the beginning and, apparently, will be two weeks until the end of time.

ToxicAG said:

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Yes. It is open for opinion, but when the leaders of the largest and undoubtedly one of the best medical centers in the world say something, I tend to listen.

"Dr. James McDeavitt, Senior Vice President and Dean of Clinical Affairs for the Baylor College of Medicine. "A day in itself is not alarming. The disturbing thing is it seems to be a little bit more every day. It's been a very consistent increase. The center is showing the number of people admitted to the ICU has been climbing for the past week. If it continues at the current rate, then TMC's normal capacity of ICU beds could be exceeded in two weeks and so a warning was triggered. "

https://www.click2houston.com/health/2020/06/05/med-center-sees-uptick-in-covid-19-patients-in-icus-warns-if-trend-continues-capacity-could-be-exceeded-in-2-weeks/

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Houston should have thought ahead and built more than one hospital for a city that size. We are doomed if their only hospital fills up in 2 weeks.

ToxicAG said:

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KidDoc said:

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ToxicAG said:

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First time I've looked closely at the brazos health data file. Noticed that positivity rate is 17.5% for the last couple of weeks, which is over the cutoff set by the governor at 10%.

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They are testing more asymptomatic cluaters and contacts so not surprising.

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I agree that locally we could be seeing an increase in the positivity rate due to bias in the sample population; however, the post showing an elevation in positives despite a flattening in number of tests across the state is concerning. Moreover, a recent article from the Texas Medical Center in Houston stated they are seeing a 2.3% daily increase in COVID ICU bed occupancy and will be full in 2 weeks if the rate stays the same.

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I agree with Rapier108 that the article regarding the hospital capacity was poorly written. The headline was clickbait, but headlines are frequently written separately from the article anyway. While it's true that one doesn't want hospitalizations to rise, there is going to be some back and forth and up and down with that due to cluster outbreaks and the overall picture seems manageable. This virus is going to spread, that's what viruses do. The med centers are watching both the small and larger picture. If you need reassurance, go to the DHS dashboard and look at the hospital data; even in hot spots, the local medical staff are allocating resources to address needs until they can get more information on the source (i.e. a production facility, nursing home, etc) to slow the spread. Remember a slow spread is what the epidemiologists are advising. It's not going to be eliminated, this isn't smallpox.

Please don't take this the wrong way Rapier108, I mean it in the most positive of ways: can you try not to go nuclear on people regarding "Wuhan style lockdown?" This isn't the politics forum and if people have questions, why not lay out the facts like you did in your first paragraph as they might not have the nefarious intentions you are assuming about them?