B/CS number of cases update? 11-17-20 Staff Edit on OP

806,192 Views | 5551 Replies | Last: 49 min ago by MiMi
theNetSmith
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trouble said:

Background noise is awful. I killed my hearing with too many concerts in the 90s
Here.
scd88
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For the record, I look forward to these updates every day. Well done, everyone. Thanks.
Is Not a Turtle
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Is best case scenario still keep the death rate low and the cases high? Just making sure I understand the idea we're hoping for.
trouble
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Yes. We don't really know how much immunity is conferred or for how long and we won't know for a while.

We need to protect the most vulnerable in order to keep hospitalizations and deaths low.
KidDoc
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If you guys missed Foreigner @ Rudder right before the shutdown in 2/2020 you missed one heck of a show!
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tb9665
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I remember seeing Reba and Huey Lewis in G Rollie White. MSC Town Hall use to bring some great people.

[Back on topic. -Staff]
Bunk Moreland
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Alright place your bets. What are we thinking? Was the 48 yesterday low coming off the weekend?

I'll say 89 cases today.
Rapier108
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80-100 is what I would expect if there wasn't a holiday involved and it was just the normal weekend catch up.

With the holiday in the mix, I would not be surprised to see some high number such as 160-200 because we're having a 3 day catch up in reporting.

The problem will be, if there is a huge catch up spike, it will generate the usual hysteria and overreaction because only those paying attention will realize it is a reporting caused spike, not an actual number of cases spike.

Than again, some places were closed yesterday for the 4th instead of Friday, so we might see low numbers today and the jump tomorrow. Since the reporting is all over the place, anything from 0 cases to 200+ is possible.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
scd88
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Way to commit....
isitjustme
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While I hope for 40-60 cases (or less), I wouldn't be surprised if it was in the 130-150 range.
cavscout96
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Rapier108 said:

80-100 is what I would expect if there wasn't a holiday involved and it was just the normal weekend catch up.

With the holiday in the mix, I would not be surprised to see some high number such as 160-200 because we're having a 3 day catch up in reporting.

The problem will be, if there is a huge catch up spike, it will generate the usual hysteria and overreaction because only those paying attention will realize it is a reporting caused spike, not an actual number of cases spike.

Than again, some places were closed yesterday for the 4th instead of Friday, so we might see low numbers today and the jump tomorrow. Since the reporting is all over the place, anything from 0 cases to 200+ is possible.
and this, in and of itself, the absolute charlie foxtrot in reporting accurate and relevant information, is a flipping tragedy.


it's no wonder people are PO'd and others hysterical. Great job, "leaders."
cavscout96
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can we start a pool or something?

I'm in for 127
Rapier108
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scd88 said:

Way to commit....
It's become way too unpredictable to commit to a guess.

Reading tea leaves or casting lots is probably more accurate.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
scd88
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I'm in for 72. Hoping for a trend here...
scd88
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No worries. Just busting your chops for funzies.
Is Not a Turtle
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Put me down for 111
KidDoc
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62
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isitjustme
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138
cavscout96
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KidDoc said:

62
inside info?
trouble
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97
theNetSmith
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130+
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EBrazosAg
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25 or 624
saltydog13
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37
Rapier108
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94 New Cases
0 New Deaths
935 New Tests
Another nice drop in hospitalizations. Not guessing from the ugly graphic.

77801 +5
77802 +10
77803 +21
77807 +5
77808 +7
77840 +25
77845 +21

http://brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/7.7.20.pdf
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
trouble
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Slocum on a mobile said:

I'm in for 95.

Whoop!
Looks like you're the winner
Is Not a Turtle
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Wait I thought we were playing price is right rules?

I was way over though!

/shocked face!
trouble
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23 Brazos county residents hospitalized, 52 total in local hospitals.

8 discharges

11 more recovered

Total Bed Occupancy: 63%

Total ICU Bed Occupancy: 61%
trouble
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panduh bear said:

Wait I thought we were playing price is right rules?

I was way over though!

/shocked face!
in that case, scd88 is the winner
lockett93
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Spreadsheet updated.

Some rounding issues where the percentages given are not finite enough to get exactly the same numbers...

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q
cavscout96
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<100 good news

ICU 61% - Even better news
scd88
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trouble said:

panduh bear said:

Wait I thought we were playing price is right rules?

I was way over though!

/shocked face!
in that case, scd88 is the winner


Whoop!

Uh...what's in the showcase showdown?
tb9665
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Just drove by CapRock on University. If I remember correctly, they turned that into a COVID location. There must have been 10-12 men outside in line. A few of them had their safety shirts on. Construction? Also, with the testing today and tomorrow, there possibly went any number guessing for a few days.
JMac03
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Yes its a COVID testing location only. I can only imagine a bunch of people from a work place go when they think they have been exposed. It wouldn't shock me one bit it being a bunch of construction workers (especially since the ones I have seen on campus aren't social distancing or wearing masks when eating lunch, etc.
KidDoc
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cavscout96 said:

<100 good news

ICU 61% - Even better news
Bad news if you are a hospital exec!
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
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