B/CS number of cases update? 11-17-20 Staff Edit on OP

608,067 Views | 4441 Replies | Last: 8 hrs ago by Nosmo
FlyRod
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I'm in 77802...curious what's going on here. I've seen one large-ish student age party around graduation, but that's about it.
jeffk
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AG
We're in 77803. Lots of big family and friend gatherings around our neighborhood over the last month or so.
tb9665
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If you type in 77802, it is a large section of Bryan.
kimbo
FlyRod
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Ah thanks. Did not realize that.
Rapier108
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I'd guess most if not all the recent 77802 cases were 1-2 residential clusters.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
katlong
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AG
Where and how do you register for that?
Rapier108
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8 new cases
249 new tests (probably covers at least yesterday as well as Sullivan said yesterday's result of no tests was wrong)
0 new deaths
5 in the hospital (+1)

77803 +4
77807 +2
77808 +1
77845 +1

http://brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/5.19.20.pdf
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Rapier108
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katlong said:

Where and how do you register for that?
https://txcovidtest.org/

512-883-2400
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
trouble
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AG
Looks like part of the new cluster is related to Sanderson farms.

Quote:

As of Monday morning, at least 26 COVID-19 cases in Brazos County were linked to Sanderson Farms and its employees, according to records kept by the Brazos County Health District.

Dr. Seth Sullivan on Monday afternoon during a news briefing estimated between 10 to 15 of the cases were reported in the last week. He also said the company has been cooperative with the Brazos County Health District in tracking and monitoring patients and their contacts.


https://www.kbtx.com/content/news/KBTX-Investigates-More-than-two-dozen-COVID-19-cases-at-local-poultry-plant-570559221.html
lockett93
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AG
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q/edit

Today's results include:

1 African American
3 Caucasian
4 Hispanic


5 Male, 3 Female

we had:
1 in 90's
2 in 50's
1 in 40's
3 in 30's
1 in 15-19


1 in College Station zips
7 in Bryan zips

5 Community
3 Cluster
Rapier108
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62 cases connected to Sanderson Farms, either directly or people who were infected by those who work there. 27 employees have infected at least 35 others, and probably safe to say some others.

https://www.kbtx.com/content/news/More-than-five-dozen-COVID-19-cases-tied-to-Brazos-County-poultry-processing-plant-570606981.html

I'd say this explains much of the spike last week.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Slocum on a mobile
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AG
I may just start buying yardbird from Tyson.
Rapier108
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Slocum on a mobile said:

I may just start buying yardbird from Tyson.
Tyson has been hit very hard by the virus.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
isitjustme
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AG
Rapier108 said:

Slocum on a mobile said:

I may just start buying yardbird from Tyson.
Tyson has been hit very hard by the virus.
Every major US processor of chicken, beef, and pork have been hit hard by covid, so it doesn't really matter from which company or which meat you purchase. Good news is the virus doesn't transmit through meat or any kind of food that is cooked. Thoroughly wash what you eat as raw food as well.
GSS
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agrab86 said:

Rapier108 said:

Slocum on a mobile said:

I may just start buying yardbird from Tyson.
Tyson has been hit very hard by the virus.
Every major US processor of chicken, beef, and pork have been hit hard by covid, so it doesn't really matter from which company or which meat you purchase. Good news is the virus doesn't transmit through meat or any kind of food that is cooked. Thoroughly wash what you eat as raw food as well.

An un-named female anchor on KBTX seriously presented a story about concerns of Covid-19 contaminated chicken, to then be told "zero evidence found by the USDA/FDA that the virus could spread through processing'.
She may have thought "well darn, that story was supposed to be scary for longer than 30 seconds..."..
NRA Life
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nought
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Rapier108 said:

62 cases connected to Sanderson Farms, either directly or people who were infected by those who work there. 27 employees have infected at least 35 others, and probably safe to say some others.

https://www.kbtx.com/content/news/More-than-five-dozen-COVID-19-cases-tied-to-Brazos-County-poultry-processing-plant-570606981.html

I'd say this explains much of the spike last week.
I can't find it right now, but I think I recall an article from a couple of weeks ago which said that there were something like 45 residents and staff members of the Waterford who were positive.

So we have 62 cases from Sanderson Farms, which includes 27 employees and even more than that outside the plant who caught it from those employees.

How many of the cases in the community are from the 45 residents/staff members of the Waterford? Why isn't the media pushing the health department to come clean about this?

If I'm right about the 45 cases at the Waterford, and if we assume they passed it to family members and the community at the same rate as the Sanderson Farms employees, we take 62/27*45 = 103 total cases from the Waterford (45 residents/staff, 58 additional family/community members infected).

Between the Waterford and Sanderson Farms, we then have 62+103 total cases = 165 out of 341 total cases in this county -- roughly half.

Why then the doom and gloom from Sullivan and other officials? They should instead be making the point that a little outbreak at a facility can turn into a huge one if proper contact-tracing and immediate mitigation steps are not taken.
trouble
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AG
I'm not certain there were that many family related exposures from the Waterford. The facility was already closed to visitors. It would have only been people exposed to the workers who tested positive not the residents.
Rapier108
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It was 45 cases (32 residents and 13 staff) when KBTX reported it on 4-15. Probably didn't go much higher as by that point they appear to have locked it down pretty good.

On The Waterford, we can assume many of the residents didn't spread it much, except perhaps other people in the facility and maybe a few family members depending on when they locked it down and the first case appeared. The staff would be far more likely to have spread it to people in the general population so they would have caused less community spread than people working at Sanderson Farms would have given the number of cases at each location.

Quote:

Why then the doom and gloom from Sullivan and other officials? They should instead be making the point that a little outbreak at a facility can turn into a huge one if proper contact-tracing and immediate mitigation steps are not taken.
Because its been doom and gloom since day one, and they're not going to change at this point.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Rapier108
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Just announced on KBTX.

Four employees and two residents of Parc at Traditions have tested positive for the coronavirus.

This would make the second nursing home in B/CS to have confirmed cases. This would be at least some of the recent 77807 cases.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
jeffk
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AG
https://www.theeagle.com/news/local/four-employees-two-residents-at-parc-at-traditions-test-positive-for-covid-19/article_2426d084-9a16-11ea-8e6c-4f177963d95f.html

More info here. They had an employee test positive a couple weeks ago and got everyone in the facility tested yesterday and today. Full disclosure: I have a close family member that stays there.
dubi
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AG
jeffk said:

https://www.theeagle.com/news/local/four-employees-two-residents-at-parc-at-traditions-test-positive-for-covid-19/article_2426d084-9a16-11ea-8e6c-4f177963d95f.html

More info here. They had an employee test positive a couple weeks ago and got everyone in the facility tested yesterday and today. Full disclosure: I have a close family member that stays there.
It should not have taken that long to get everyone tested!
jeffk
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AG
According to the info we were given, that employee who tested positive three weeks back hadn't been working on site in a while and therefor had limited exposure to residents. The health dept came out and made recommendations on who should be tested and those they tested all came back negative. This newest outbreak(?) is supposedly unrelated - different employees brought the virus in without knowing it. Waiting on test results now.
KidDoc
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AG
I am actually really excited about the fact that most cases are cluster related. We same to have VERY little sustained community spread looking at the current active cases. I wish they would report how many of these cluster cases are still active.

In our region of roughly 100k we have just over 100 active cases so 0.1% of the population. Pretty impressive and likely to go up because it cannot go down much more.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Rapier108
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21 New cases
0 New deaths
58 new tests
6 in thie hospital (+1)

77801 +2
77802 +3
77803 +12
77807 +1
77840 +1
77845 +2

http://brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/5.20.20_0.pdf

Note: The PDF says 11 new cases, The BCHD's Twitter page says 21, so whoever did the PDF screwed up.

Edit: They've update the PDF to show 21 instead of 11. The link has been updated as well.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
tb9665
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News outlets are reporting 21 new cases
kimbo
Rapier108
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tb9665 said:

News outlets are reporting 21 new cases
The PDF says 11 so it might be a typo on the BCHD's part.

Edit: Their Twitter page says 21 so they screwed up.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
gunan01
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AG
Highest single day increase since they've been reporting numbers. I think the previous high was 19.

Context matters but not good nonetheless.
lockett93
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AG
Rapier108 said:

11 New cases
77803 +12 (Yes, that is what it shows, from 98 to 110)

http://brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/5.20.20.pdf



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q/edit

Should be 21 new cases today.

Today's results include:

4 African American
2 Caucasian
14 Hispanic
1 other


12 Male, 9 Female

we had:
1 in 60's
5 in 50's
1 in 40's
4 in 30's
4 in 20's
2 in 15-19
4 in <15


3 in College Station zips
18 in Bryan zips

10 Community
11 Cluster
EBrazosAg
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AG
Likely the large number is due to a batch of positives in a workplace testing. Just a guess, but makes sense.
KidDoc
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AG
EBrazosAg said:

Likely the large number is due to a batch of positives in a workplace testing. Just a guess, but makes sense.
and/or family based clusters
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Esteban du Plantier
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AG
gunan01 said:

Highest single day increase since they've been reporting numbers. I think the previous high was 19.

Context matters but not good nonetheless.


Positive cases is very highly correlated with the number of tests. Very hard to parse out whether actual cases increased or you just caught more of the cases with the increase in tests.

Hospitalization is the important thing, really all that matters. With that number being stable, I'm feeling really good.
.
02skiag
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AG
Wonder how many are asymptomatic.
FlyRod
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I wonder how much our mercifully low rate is a function of students being out of town. I guess we'll know in the fall...

Agree the low hospitalization rate is excellent news, esp since maybe people who have had to put off non-COVID health issues can get them addressed.
Rapier108
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11 new cases
941 new tests (assuming no typos again)
0 new deaths
No change in the hospital (6)

77801 +1
77802 +1
77803 +5
77808 +1
77840 +1
77845 +2

http://brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/5.21.20.pdf
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
nthomas99
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AG
Rapier108 said:

11 new cases
941 new tests (assuming no typos again)
0 new deaths
No change in the hospital (6)

77801 +1
77802 +1
77803 +5
77808 +1
77840 +1
77845 +2

http://brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/5.21.20.pdf

"Due to a miscalculation in test numbers, the number of tests performed is actually higher than previously reported. The number of tests reported today is accurate. We apologize for the mistake."

That's a big miscalculation. Changes the positivity numbers substantially.
 
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