All the blue is water.

Friend in West Palm said what they are getting is meh. Sorry they took the patio furniture down. Hope it's that way all the way up the coast.

It's all still a roll of the dice where I am. A lot depends on just how far west it manages to go. 80 degrees W people say is the kind of border it has to make it to for things to get interesting over here.

I have flight and hotel booked for Saturday 9/21-Tuesday 9/24 in Charleston. Hopefully it's not too bad there, it would be our first vacation in 4 years.

dahouse said:

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I have flight and hotel booked for Saturday 9/21-Tuesday 9/24 in Charleston. Hopefully it's not too bad there, it would be our first vacation in 4 years.

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You'll see soon enough. Still time to nuke those plans and go somewhere else if Dorian ****s all over Charleston.

The Wife has lots of family around Wilmington, and they're staying put.

Good regionally located site to follow on Dorian. He cuts through all the spaghetti models and has been dead on with his comments on this storm.

http://www.enkiops.org/blog/

third coast.. said:

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How you doing fife?

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I'm bored, mostly. We lost power from about 4:30-8:30 and again for a couple of shorter periods before 11. Otherwise everything's normal. It's hard for trees to damage your house when you don't have any so I just watched the fun.

We had winds gusting from 70-80 judging from some damage to other houses and trees. A neighbor parked his truck facing away from the wind and his tonneau cover was ripped off. I'm pretty sure it took his back window along with it. Walking around I saw some branches about the size of my waist were pulled down along with a couple of poorly rooted trees. Flooding and storm surge were nowhere near being a problem where I am, just off the Ashley River about across from The Citadel.

oragator said:

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Same thing that happened in Dallas.

yukmonkey said:

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Same thing that happened in Dallas.

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Should be gross negligence then.

Hmmmm...

Cromagnum said:

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Hmmmm...

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Ooo looks like a double whammy is possible! Any insight into these two storms?

That's one mean looking corndog!

Cromagnum said:

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Hmmmm...

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Looks like we gonna get some rain.

Perhaps a lot of rain if some of the crazier models verify.

And I still can't seem to get rain

Not sure if yours is an outlier or not.

Haven't seen anything showing more than some drought breaking rain.

There are half dozen or more global forecast models. The GEM is the only one I see predicting something like this... guess it doesn't mean it's right or wrong. Models are right and wrong all the time.

https://www.khou.com/mobile/gulf-of-mexico-radar

A 2nd model has hopped onboard with crazy rainfall amounts.

Space City weather update, "more concerned than we were yesterday"

They are forecasting a stage 2 flood event

Widespread rainfall of 3 to 6 inches through Friday

Some areas are going to see amounts of 6 to 9 inches, with isolated amounts in excess of 12 inches possible.

Rainfall rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour are going to be common during the event, which will quickly back up streets and push water into yards.

Lots of fertilizer getting spread on pastures today in anticipation of some rainfall, hoping for a last cutting of hay.

The fish in Galveston bay will appreciate it.

Space City Weather afternoon update..

Quote:

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What we know

The low-pressure system will approach the Texas coast on Tuesday, and likely move inland on Tuesday night or early Wednesday. There is a small chance it will strengthen into a depression or tropical storm near the coast, or just inland, but rainfall remains the primary threat

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Quote:

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If you've seen any individual computer model maps for precipitation in the coming days, please take each one with a grain of salt. Such maps are good for giving a sense of potential rainfall, but generally they're pretty poor at determining precise amounts and locations. This map, of European ensembles, offers a rough guess at what we might expect.

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Quote:

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Overall, our forecast for rainfall between now and Friday for the greater Houston area are:

• Widespread total of 5-10 inches, on average, meaning that some some areas will see less, but some will see more.
• Bullseye totals of 15-20 cannot be ruled out in a few isolated areas.

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https://spacecityweather.com/

New update

...and, it's got a name now. Hopefully, it just moves on through and drops a little rain where it's needed.