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Tropical Storms are Outdoors

50,644 Views | 225 Replies | Last: 4 yr ago by Swarely
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The Fife
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Who knows, Orlando may end up a better place to be than here by then.
FIDO 96
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AG
Looking like it will be a fish spinner
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The Fife
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That's a huge unknown, but starting to look less likely than crappy weather here. No guarantees for a day or two anyway though.
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WP69
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AG
Fife, where are you?
Phat32
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AG
Has there ever been a storm that took such a hard turn this late?
Cromagnum
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AG
yukmonkey said:

Has there ever been a storm that took such a hard turn this late?


I don't think it's going to turn like they've said. I believe the recon mission this evening is going to sample a lot of the upper level atmosphere around the storm to get a better idea on steering currents which should help. Damn thing is close to cat 5 right now.
metrag06
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AG
Irma had a sharp northward turn along the backside of the subtropical ridge very similar to this (although much further west)


The Fife
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WP69 said:

Fife, where are you?

Charleston, SC
JobSecurity
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AG
Sustained wind 175, gusts 200+




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JobSecurity
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AG
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 164 kts (188.7 mph)
913.0mb

This is going to wind up being one of the strongest storms in the Atlantic ever. I think those stats are top 3ish already and it has more time...
Ag83
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AG

Jackie Daytona
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AG
From the latest advisory:

BULLETIN
Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number 33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 AM EDT Sun Sep 01 2019

...DORIAN BECOMES THE STRONGEST HURRICANE IN MODERN RECORDS FOR
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
...CATASTROPHIC CONDITIONS OCCURING IN THE ABACOS ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 76.8W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...180 MPH...285 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...913 MB...26.96 INCHES



Ag83
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AG

The Fife
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I'm definitely watching this one. Sucks not online much until tomorrow at the earliest ..
Phat32
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AG
Salt of the water
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AG
Was in Hopetown last year and have our bi-annual trip for May next year booked already. They're getting walloped right now. Praying that everyone comes through this thing OK.

45-70Ag
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AG
TJJackson
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Would not be surprised of a Florida landfall as it turns North.
My religious belief teaches me to feel as safe in battle as in bed. God has fixed the time for my death. I do not concern myself about that, but to be always ready, no matter when it may overtake me. That is the way all men should live, and then all would be equally brave.

-Thomas "Stonewall" Jackson
45-70Ag
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AG
Guys a lunatic




And no thanks
45-70Ag
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I'll quit posting after this but here's a live feed at Marsh harbor
Jackie Daytona
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Piotrowski is streaming about the storm right now

https://twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowski
Jackie Daytona
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AG
don't stop, it's good stuff
JobSecurity
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Swarely
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It's crazy how different the predicted path is now.
The Fife
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Lane reversals and evacuation start here at noon tomorrow. It's been 4 years in a row now.

I'm waiting until at least this time tomorrow to make any decisions. If it's coming here 1 or less, stay. 3 or more, go. 2, a lot of us who live nearby would need to talk and it's more of a tossup. Same for out over water.
JobSecurity
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AG
JobSecurity
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AG
His house is on 20' stilts



Swarely
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One of my best friends is driving into Jacksonville tomorrow for work.
The Fife
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They'll probably be fine. Up the coast a bit... Still waiting. I doubt we're going to leave at this point.
Swarely
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Satellite image of Grand Bahama stolen from Reddit. The yellow line is where the cost should be.
Phat32
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AG
Wait...is that just all water?
 
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