*** OFFICIAL House Race Thread ***

60,674 Views | 414 Replies | Last: 2 mo ago by AtticusMatlock
AtticusMatlock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Some copium on California 45 and I'm inhaling. Data analyst thinks the remaining vote could end up favoring Steel. We will see how it turns out.

AtticusMatlock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
For people who can't pull up the full X post, he's saying the conditional voter registration ballots are still uncounted there and throughout the state of California those have been highly Republican. The exact number of these is not known. There are still some mail and provisional votes left to count.

All hope is not completely lost but it's still an uphill climb
aggiehawg
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Does CA have precinct based counting or does that depend on the county?

Centralized counting centers just prolong the process in my view.
AtticusMatlock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Bad drops for GOP in 13 and 45.

45 was not as bad as I expected but it still resulted in another couple hundred votes for the challenger. Steel now trails by just over 300 votes. There's still some outstanding but I just don't see her coming back.

GOP now only leads by 227 in CA 19. Lead was around 2,000 this morning. This one looks lost now. The outstanding vote is still in the light blue areas.
AtticusMatlock
How long do you want to ignore this user?


The conditional registration voters have favored republicans, so they've got that going for them. These are people who registered the day of the election.
UntoldSpirit
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
It's unreal how close these races are. Hope is a good thing I guess.
IDaggie06
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
UntoldSpirit said:

It's unreal how close these races are. Hope is a good thing I guess.


Not when democrats are in charge
jjtrcka22
How long do you want to ignore this user?
How does trump win the popular vote and only get an extremely slim house majority, yet in 2016 he barely won and Republicans ended up with a 241-194 majority?
dreyOO
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Biden: we have had the most extensive voter fraud organization since 2019
AtticusMatlock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
jjtrcka22 said:

How does trump win the popular vote and only get an extremely slim house majority, yet in 2016 he barely won and Republicans ended up with a 241-194 majority?


Redistricting. States gerrymandered the **** out of all of their districts following 2020. NY gerrymandered again after 2022 to drop even more GOP districts. There are only something like 30 real swing districts now.
jjtrcka22
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Thanks for the explanation. Will Republicans ever gain ground back to their side, or is this pretty much the new normal?
MouthBQ98
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
The 2020 census had some bad counting "errors" that resulted in faulty data being used for state by state district allocation. These numbers resulted in a net +8 congressional and elector seats going to Democrat dominated states.

The 2030 census projections indicate that correction of this plus population shifts could move that number back towards Republican states by about net +12-16 or so from today, so there is that for long term.
RED AG 98
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
The already acknowledged errors should be mandated to be fixed immediately. They should have been fixed before this election but at a minimum need to be fixed prior to the '26 primaries through the use any and all legal means at our disposal.
jamieboy2014
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
jjtrcka22 said:

How does trump win the popular vote and only get an extremely slim house majority, yet in 2016 he barely won and Republicans ended up with a 241-194 majority?
The 2018 midterms killed republican led state legislatures. These legislatures in turn gerrymandered the districts.

The GOP did the same after the red wave 2010 elections.

It's just the harsh reality of politics. The winners get those benefits.
blessed
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
It has been awhile since an update. What is latest on CA 13 and 45?
aggiehawg
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
AtticusMatlock
How long do you want to ignore this user?




The conditional registration vote in California has tended to the GOP favorable which is why this race has not yet been called. I'm not holding my breath though.
AtticusMatlock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
duplicate
AtticusMatlock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
TXAggie4Christ
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Maybe these races will be called right before the 2026 election.
AtticusMatlock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
CA 45 flips Dem.

In reply to
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
aggiehawg said:



Don't worry folks, Christine Pelosi is volunteering to make sure it's done right.

The Pelosi demon offspring definitely worded her post like that on purpose.
LMCane
How long do you want to ignore this user?
State Senator Randy Fine running for Waltz's open seat now in Florida.

Endorsed by Trump bigtime.

Jewish Harvard grad. kind of goofy guy but has Trump's endorsement.
AggieUSMC
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
It's really unacceptable for CA to take this long to count ballots. They say it's because they're 100% VBM but CA is not the only state that's all VBM and the others are able to process ballots at a relatively reasonable rate.

RED AG 98
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Really is an absolute disgrace and injustice.

India counts ~680M+ ballots in 48 hours while some random county in CA with 25,000 ballots take 3 weeks.

The federal voter ID law they are floating needs very strong language in both who can vote but also how states must count and certify national elections.
rausr
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
I wonder how long it will take the Dems to count the votes when they elect a new Party Chair next year?
Jack Squat 83
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
rausr said:

I wonder how long it will take the Dems to count the votes when they elect a new Party Chair next year?
Lol, they'll count them and then their leaders will select who they want, before/during/after their "election".

Votes mean nothing to them, even when they are counting their own. Yet..........folks still proudly ride that blue donkey. Useless idiots, the lot of them.
I don't think you know me.
Noctilucent
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Here. I'll save a lot of the apologists on this thread a lot of trouble. They're Democrats. They are cheating. There, fixed it for ya!

If you think anything else is going on at this point in time, there is no help for you. You're either okay with the cheating, or not too damn bright.
AtticusMatlock
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AtticusMatlock
How long do you want to ignore this user?


Was thinking this could be the case. The Democrats chose the absolute perfect candidate for California 45.
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.