aggiehawg said:Uhmm? Link for that? TIA.Quote:
This. People need to stop expecting the Amish to sway these polls. They aren't a huge force.
MONTANA poll by @RMG_Research
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 24, 2024
Senate
๐ฅ Tim Sheehy: 50%
๐ฆ Jon Tester: 43%
Last poll (8/14) - ๐ต Tester +5
โโ
President
๐ฅ Trump: 59%
๐ฆ Harris: 38%
#60 (2.3/3.0) | 491 LV | 9/ | ยฑ4.4% pic.twitter.com/IsHtlpcxDH
#New General election poll - Michigan
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 24, 2024
๐ต Harris 48% (+3)
๐ด Trump 45%
Suffolk #B - 500 LV - 9/19
#New Senate Poll - Michigan
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 24, 2024
๐ต Slotkin 45% (+2)
๐ด Rogers 43%
Suffolk #B - 500 LV - 9/19
#New General election poll - Nevada
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 24, 2024
๐ต Harris 48% (+1)
๐ด Trump 47%
Noble predictive #C - 692 LV - 9/16
#New General election poll - New Mexico
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 24, 2024
๐ต Harris 50% (+8)
๐ด Trump 42%
Survey USA #A - 619 LV - 9/18
#New General election poll
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 24, 2024
๐ต Harris 50% (+5)
๐ด Trump 45%
Morning Consult #C - 11,057 LV - 9/22
nortex97 said:
Morning Insult polls always deserve to be posted with a laughing hysterically emoji.
A poll of Teamsters Union members shows that Trump is leading Kamala in ALL 50 states, and by double digits in the swing states.
— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) September 24, 2024
Michigan โ 61.7 percent to 32.5 percent
Wisconsin โ 57 percent to 40.5 percent
Pennsylvania โ 65.3 percent to 31.4 percent
Georgia โ 56.3 percentโฆ
Morning Compostnortex97 said:
Morning Insult polls always deserve to be posted with a laughing hysterically emoji.
๐ NORTH CAROLINA GE: @ElonPoll
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 24, 2024
๐ฆ Harris: 46%
๐ฅ Trump: 45%
๐ช Other: 3%
โ
Governor
๐ฆ Josh Stein: 49%
๐ฅ M. Robinson: 35%
โโ
#38 (2.5/3.0) | 9/4-13 | 800 RV | ยฑ3.7%https://t.co/SLZkSpbzl8 pic.twitter.com/0wyJOs7LH8
JUST IN: Trump pulls a +4 lead over Harris in Rasmussen's daily tracker yesterday. pic.twitter.com/LsznG4s31d
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 24, 2024
normalhorn said:
The Rasmussen poll is going to end up either being the most accurate/only poll out there to thump its chest come Election Day, or their team is going to be out in the unemployment line :-)
#New General election poll
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 24, 2024
๐ด Trump 48%
๐ต Harris 48%
Last poll (8/23) - ๐ต Harris +1
Quinnipiac #B - 1728 LV - 9/22
#NEW NATIONAL poll
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 24, 2024
๐ต Harris: 48% (+1)
๐ด Trump: 47%
CNN | Sept. 19-22 | LVs
GoAgs11 said:
If its tied it's trump to win
Gallup track record is pretty scarily accurate on the national popular vote by tracking PARTY ID/LEAN... and look at what they predict for this election:
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 24, 2024
๐ต 2008: D+8 (Obama+7.2)
๐ต 2012: D+4 (Obama+3.9)
๐ต 2016: D+3 (Clinton+2.1)
๐ต 2020: D+5 (Biden+4.5)
๐ด 2024: R+3 (?)
Justโฆ pic.twitter.com/9mQnHRBDs8
Silvertaps said:GoAgs11 said:
If its tied it's trump to win
Seems if Harris has a +5 or below national lead, Trump may still win based on Electorate, correct? (or where would a safe Harris threshold lead be for that to be accurate?)
Both NY and Virginia will add to Trump's popular vote but not add one single EV. That will bring the popular vote to very close, yet heels up could still win. In fact, if Texas and Florida with all the folks that moved to these states win heavily, I could see Trump winning the popular vote but losing the election.agsalaska said:Silvertaps said:GoAgs11 said:
If its tied it's trump to win
Seems if Harris has a +5 or below national lead, Trump may still win based on Electorate, correct? (or where would a safe Harris threshold lead be for that to be accurate?)
Most people say she needs to win by at least three points. Most of that is coming from California. But there has been a lot of change in the electorate so I think it is hard to say.
— Scott Rasmussen (@ScottWRasmussen) September 24, 2024
#NEW OHIO poll
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 24, 2024
๐ด Trump: 54% (+11) [+1]
๐ต Harris: 43% [-2]
[+/- from 2020]
RMG | Sept. 18-20 | N=757LV
#New Senate poll - Nebraska
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 25, 2024
๐ก Osborn 45% (+1)
๐ด Fischer (Inc) 44%
Survey USA #A (๐ก) - 558 LV - 9/23
#New General election poll - Nebraska
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 25, 2024
๐ด Trump 56% (+16)
๐ต Harris 40%
01 - ๐ด Trump +21
02 - ๐ต Harris +15
03 - ๐ด Trump +42
Survey USA #A - 558 LV - 9/23
Swan Song said:
According to the group, Trump received just 6 percent of the black vote in 2020. Now, his support is at 17 percent.