GoAgs11 said:
am I supposed to believe Florida is a 2% race right now??? LMAO
https://t.co/zLc6rTDoHa https://t.co/RnbcpeW1rU
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 10, 2024
Quote:
A survey shows that Muslim voters in four of six critical swing states are rejecting Vice President Kamala Harris, who faces the "Abandon Harris" campaign over her and President Joe Biden's handling of the Israel-Hamas war.
Polling from the far-left Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR), publishedMonday, shows that the Green Party's Jill Stein is leading Harris among Muslim voters in Michigan, Arizona, and Wisconsin, and Muslim voters in Nevada prefer former President Donald Trump over any candidate in the field.
Quote:
Turning to the data in CAIR's poll, in the ever-critical swing state of Michigan, 40 percent of Muslim voters back Stein, as she more than triples Harris's support. Trump comes in second at 18 percent, followed by Harris at 12 percent. Two percent break for independent candidate Cornel West, while just over two in ten are undecided, and eight percent will not vote.
Michigan was the origin of the national uncommitted movement that saw more than half a million Democrat primary voters across the U.S., including Muslims, Arab-Americans, young voters, and far-left progressives, reject the Biden-Harris administration's handling the Israel-Hamas war with "uncommitted" votes. The core of the movement's demands are a ceasefire in the war and a stoppage of weapons to Israel.
Rockdoc said:
Just saw on a Hugh Hewitt YouTube segment that polling request rejection rate was about 90% for all polls. People don't want to talk about their choices.
Waffledynamics said:Rockdoc said:
Just saw on a Hugh Hewitt YouTube segment that polling request rejection rate was about 90% for all polls. People don't want to talk about their choices.
How can these be at all accurate then?
Well, I would say that would make it seem that they are not accurate.Waffledynamics said:How can these be at all accurate then?Rockdoc said:
Just saw on a Hugh Hewitt YouTube segment that polling request rejection rate was about 90% for all polls. People don't want to talk about their choices.
🇺🇲 NATIONAL POLL by NPR/Marist
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 10, 2024
🟦 Harris: 49% [-2]
🟥 Trump: 48% [=]
—
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM: 46% [-1]
🟥 GOP: 45% [=]
[+/- change vs 8/1-4]
——
Crosstabs
• Definitely voting: Harris 51-48%
---
• Independent: Trump 49-46%
• Democrat: Harris 94-6%
• Republican: Trump 94-5%… pic.twitter.com/r0UuYJJfwy
Captn_Ag05 said:🇺🇲 NATIONAL POLL by NPR/Marist
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 10, 2024
🟦 Harris: 49% [-2]
🟥 Trump: 48% [=]
—
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM: 46% [-1]
🟥 GOP: 45% [=]
[+/- change vs 8/1-4]
——
Crosstabs
• Definitely voting: Harris 51-48%
---
• Independent: Trump 49-46%
• Democrat: Harris 94-6%
• Republican: Trump 94-5%… pic.twitter.com/r0UuYJJfwy
Crosstabs. That white number is def off
#New General Election poll - Swing States
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 10, 2024
Arizona - 🔴 Trump +1
Florida - 🔴 Trump +6
Georgia - 🔴 Trump +2
N. Carolina - 🔵 Harris +1
Nevada - 🔴 Trump +1
Michigan - 🔵 Harris +3
Pennsylvania - 🟡 Tie
Wisconsin - 🔵 Harris +3@RedfieldWilton #D - LV - 9/9
#New Senate poll - Swing States
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 10, 2024
Arizona - 🔵 Gallego +6
Florida - 🔴 Scott +3
Nevada - 🔵 Rosen +8
Michigan - 🔵 Slotkin +5
Pennsylvania - 🔵 Casey +8
Wisconsin - 🔵 Baldwin +7
N. Carolina Governor - 🔵 Stein +9@RedfieldWilton #D - LV - 9/9
#New General Election poll
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 10, 2024
🔵 Harris 44% (+3)
🔴 Trump 41%
Last poll - 🔴 Trump +2
SurveyMonkey #D - 18,123 RV - 9/4
#New General Election poll - Virginia
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 10, 2024
🔵 Harris 51% (+8)
🔴 Trump 43%
Washington Post #B - 1005 LV - 9/8
Yes, just Virginia. And Biden won Virginia by 10.2, so even this would be a shift towards Trump.Hungry Ojos said:
Harris is now up 8?
Are you kidding me?
I thought all the poll momentum had swung back to Trump?
ETA: never mind, I see that's just in VA.
Hungry Ojos said:
Harris is now up 8?
Are you kidding me?
I thought all the poll momentum had swung back to Trump?
ETA: never mind, I see that's just in VA.
Youngkin and Hung Cao claim that VA is in play. Youngkin's EO that includes voter roll cleanup should help a lot. I don't believe Commiela +8 at all.GenericAggie said:Hungry Ojos said:
Harris is now up 8?
Are you kidding me?
I thought all the poll momentum had swung back to Trump?
ETA: never mind, I see that's just in VA.
No one believes H is up by 8 in VA. Do they?
A Philadelphia-area bakery not far from where the debate is being held tonight is selling special Trump and Kamala cookies during election season. These are the total sales so far:
— johnny maga (@_johnnymaga) September 10, 2024
Trump: 4,228
Kamala: 369
This is a blue county too pic.twitter.com/6r84U7jUqp
it would be nice if that was an actual poll and it would be great if Nate Silver is correctnortex97 said:
That's an exceptionally narrow and relatively unsupported measure of 'optimism' for your camp, unsupported by Trump's net gains with every group from white males, to blacks to hispanics.
Meanwhile, another all time high;#New Nate Silver Model - Win Chance
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 9, 2024
🔴 Trump 64.4% (Highest ever)
🔵 Harris 35.3%
I make it no secret that I have a lot of admiration for Silver and have followed him pretty much since he started. For me the number is 70-30. He was 70-30 in 2016. If he gets passed 70-30 I will start feeling more confident.LMCane said:it would be nice if that was an actual poll and it would be great if Nate Silver is correctnortex97 said:
That's an exceptionally narrow and relatively unsupported measure of 'optimism' for your camp, unsupported by Trump's net gains with every group from white males, to blacks to hispanics.
Meanwhile, another all time high;#New Nate Silver Model - Win Chance
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 9, 2024
🔴 Trump 64.4% (Highest ever)
🔵 Harris 35.3%
but the truth and reality is he is mixing in a lot of intangibles to his overall output including economic data
the same economic data which woefully predicted what happened in the 2022 elections.
if this is the same 2020 election polling Trump wins
if this is the same 2022 election polling Trump loses
🇺🇲 2024 GE: @coefficientpoll for @AmericansForIVF
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 10, 2024
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump: 48%
🟦 Harris: 46%
—
PA Senate: 🔵 Casey 45-36%
PA Generic Ballot: 🟡 Tie 45-45%
——
WISCONSIN
🟦 Harris: 47%
🟥 Trump: 47%
—
WI Senate: 🔵 Baldwin 49-43%
WI Generic Ballot: 🟡 Tie 46-46%
——
MICHIGAN
🟦…
DonHenley said:
Not looking forward to the polls after this debate