I Called it! The flat line after convention bounce..... But I was wrongCaptn_Ag05 said:
Another poll showing zero convention bounce for Harris and trump winning independents.🇺🇲 National poll by YouGov/Economist
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 28, 2024
🟦 Harris: 47%
🟥 Trump: 45%
🟪 Other: 2%
---
Trends
Aug. 20 - 🔵 Harris +3 (with RFK Jr)
Aug. 27 - 🔵 Harris +2
—
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM: 46%
🟥 GOP: 44%
——
Crosstabs
• Democrats: Harris 95-2%
• Republicans: Trump 91-4%
•… pic.twitter.com/dufBR2luML
BREAKING MICHIGAN poll... Trump wins indies by 56 POINTS?
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) August 28, 2024
🔵Harris/Walz (D): 50.1% (+0.2)
🔴Trump/Vance (R): 49.9%
🟡Independent: 78% Trump-22% Harris
Weighted sample: D55/R30/I15
ActiVote / July 28-Aug. 28 / n=400LV pic.twitter.com/sCGMIO1sPa
2023NCAggies said:I Called it! The flat line after convention bounce..... But I was wrongCaptn_Ag05 said:
Another poll showing zero convention bounce for Harris and trump winning independents.🇺🇲 National poll by YouGov/Economist
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 28, 2024
🟦 Harris: 47%
🟥 Trump: 45%
🟪 Other: 2%
---
Trends
Aug. 20 - 🔵 Harris +3 (with RFK Jr)
Aug. 27 - 🔵 Harris +2
—
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM: 46%
🟥 GOP: 44%
——
Crosstabs
• Democrats: Harris 95-2%
• Republicans: Trump 91-4%
•… pic.twitter.com/dufBR2luML
It is worse than my prediction, no bounce at all. Not good for the Dems. Her average will only go down until she does interviews or sit downs.
They are going to try and get a bump from this Dana Bash sit down, which it won't do anything at all, but be a joke on social media. She wants the debates her way only or she won't debate. Their internal Polls must look like garbage.
Will she win a debate? Do a live press conference?
She is gonna have to do something to win this. The Fed decrease will bump her a little, with reaction from stock market. But that will only last a couple weeks if that.
I’ve seen some libs ignorantly wonder why conservatives celebrate polls with Harris up 1-2 in the NPV. The below is why. Hope this helps (the electoral college has been a thing all this time) pic.twitter.com/B5RHkFaBA2
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) August 28, 2024
You also aren’t accounting and these polls definitely won’t, the staggering amount of new voter registrations that have been taking place since Harris has entered the race. It will be a problem for the GOP come November. Also partly the reason why the GOP never wanted Biden to… pic.twitter.com/pTCsbPOhTj
— Lorenzo Maldonado (@TheRealLoDown) August 28, 2024
The margin in Luzerne County fell another 183. Luzerne is now only 612 voters away from flipping red 🔴(on July 1 it was 2K).
— Upper Providence Township GOP (@UPTGOP) August 26, 2024
Do you want to help us flip PA red? Sign up for the EarlyVoteAction app today and help us turn out and register voters in the most important swing state.
BREAKING REPORT: ⚠️ GOP voter registration in Pennsylvania now FOUR TIMES higher than Democrats.. pic.twitter.com/nXYL6g6lll
— Chuck Callesto (@ChuckCallesto) August 15, 2024
2024 National GE, Among Hispanic voters:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) August 14, 2024
Trump 52% (+6)
Harris 46%
.@foxnewspoll, 1,105 RV, 8/9-12 https://t.co/2prQPk9mPK
🚨Kamala Harris' path to 270 in the electoral college remains rocky as ever
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) August 28, 2024
“There’s a real possibility, based on what I’ve seen in terms of public and private data … that Kamala Harris could be where Joe Biden was."pic.twitter.com/fSuDTKuyAS
He definitely did not want that getting out.Captn_Ag05 said:Maryland Senate poll by Fabrizio Ward (R) & Impact Research (D)
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 27, 2024
🟦 Alsobrooks: 46%
🟥 Hogan: 46%
⬜ Undecided: 7%
#138 | 8/14-20 | 600 LV | D53/R24https://t.co/8fZnbbBWqT pic.twitter.com/h9Lm2oeKgz
Drahknor03 said:
Ha. That guy isn't considering the absolute whopping Rs have been putting on the Ds for the last two years on registrations. A bunch of guys have been talking about the Ds registration surge. It's really easy to increase your numbers by 175% when they start at absolute garbage levels.
BREAKING: Black women all over the country have joined forces to create a VIRAL movement called "IM NOT WITH HER," referring to their choice to abandon Kamala Harris and vote for Trump
— George (@BehizyTweets) August 28, 2024
HISTORY IS HAPPENING BEFORE OUR VERY EYES!! 🔥 🔥 #IMNOTWITHHER
pic.twitter.com/c4oFdfKM2o
aggiehawg said:BREAKING: Black women all over the country have joined forces to create a VIRAL movement called "IM NOT WITH HER," referring to their choice to abandon Kamala Harris and vote for Trump
— George (@BehizyTweets) August 28, 2024
HISTORY IS HAPPENING BEFORE OUR VERY EYES!! 🔥 🔥 #IMNOTWITHHER
pic.twitter.com/c4oFdfKM2o
Anecdotal? Or a trend?
New Arizona Senate poll (By Fox News)
— Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) August 28, 2024
Gallego 56%
Lake 41%
Kari Lake is toast. pic.twitter.com/pMaVum0RZe
📊 Swing States poll by Fox News
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 28, 2024
ARIZONA
🟦 Harris: 50%
🟥 Trump: 49%
—
GEORGIA
🟦 Harris: 50%
🟥 Trump: 48%
—
NEVADA
🟦 Harris: 50%
🟥 Trump: 48%
—
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump: 50%
🟦 Harris: 49%
—
#15 (2.8/3.0) | 4,053 RV | August 23-26https://t.co/EZhcpsTHEc pic.twitter.com/PypYc7YnPd
📊 Swing States polling by Fox News
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 28, 2024
AZ Senate
🟦 Ruben Gallego: 56% (+15)
🟥 Kari Lake: 41%
—
NV Senate
🟦 Jacky Rosen (inc): 55% (+14)
🟥 Sam Brown: 41%
—
NC Governor
🟦 Josh Stein: 54% (+11)
🟥 Mark Robinson: 43%
—
#15 (2.8/3.0) | 4,053 RV | 8/23-26https://t.co/EZhcpsTHEc https://t.co/itjComqL0W pic.twitter.com/FpVMSZsAi8
Quote:
Trump gets 19% of black vote in sunbelt states
Barnyard96 said:
Watched Brett Baeir on Fox tonight
- Trump is leading by double digits on economy and border. Harris leads by double digits on abortion and health care
- Trump gets 19% of black vote in sunbelt states
#New Senate poll - New Jersey
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) August 28, 2024
🔵 Kim - 38% (+5)
🔴 Bashaw - 33%
National research (🔴) - 600 LV - 8/15
Not sure why Brett gets so breathless about a Fox poll. ("If she wins GA she wins the election!") Just a quick spot check on their pollster in 2020 showed Trump's support in MI was underestimated by 4 pts and in PA almost 8 pts. That's not just Fox. Underestimating Trump support has been a feature of most published pollsters.2023NCAggies said:Barnyard96 said:
Watched Brett Baeir on Fox tonight
- Trump is leading by double digits on economy and border. Harris leads by double digits on abortion and health care
- Trump gets 19% of black vote in sunbelt states
Go ahead and add about 5 to Trump on each one of those
That's about how friendly Fox polls are for Dems
aggiehawg said:BREAKING: Black women all over the country have joined forces to create a VIRAL movement called "IM NOT WITH HER," referring to their choice to abandon Kamala Harris and vote for Trump
— George (@BehizyTweets) August 28, 2024
HISTORY IS HAPPENING BEFORE OUR VERY EYES!! 🔥 🔥 #IMNOTWITHHER
pic.twitter.com/c4oFdfKM2o
Anecdotal? Or a trend?
🇺🇲 2024 GE: Emerson/The Hill
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 29, 2024
ARIZONA
🟥 Trump: 50% (+3)
🟦 Harris: 47%
—
GEORGIA
🟦 Harris: 49% (+1)
🟥 Trump: 48%
—
MICHIGAN
🟦 Harris: 50% (+3)
🟥 Trump: 47%
—
NEVADA
🟦 Harris: 49% (+1)
🟥 Trump: 48%
—
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump: 49% (+1)
🟦 Harris: 48%
—
PENNSYLVANIA
🟦… pic.twitter.com/RADG99jKxE
Swing States poll by Emerson/The Hill
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 29, 2024
WI Senate
🟦 Tammy Baldwin (inc): 49%
🟥 Eric Hovde: 48%
—
AZ Senate
🟦 Ruben Gallego: 49%
🟥 Kari Lake: 42%
—
PA Senate
🟦 Bob Casey (inc): 48%
🟥 David McCormick: 44%
—
MI Senate
🟦 Elissa Slotkin: 47%
🟥 Mike Rogers: 41%
—
NV Senate… https://t.co/I5ZzvE0Rjp pic.twitter.com/nX6AWzOrAh
🇺🇲 National poll by USA Today/Suffolk
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 29, 2024
🟦 Harris: 48%
🟥 Trump: 43%
🟨 West: 2%
🟩 Stein: 1%
🟪 Oliver: 1%
—
When voters supporting third-party candidates were asked for their second choice, 32% said Harris, 24% West and 15% Trump.
—
#7 (2.9/3.0) | 1,000 LV | 8/25-27… pic.twitter.com/iIc52L1uL8
Swing States poll by Emerson (with leaners)
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 29, 2024
Michigan - 🔵 Harris +3.6
Georgia - 🔵 Harris +1.1
Nevada - 🔵 Harris +0.6
Pennsylvania - 🟡 Tie
Wisconsin - 🔴 Trump +0.7
North Carolina - 🔴 Trump +0.9
Arizona - 🔴 Trump +3.7
#9 (3/2.9/3.0) | 5,263 LV | 8/25-28… https://t.co/I5ZzvE0jtR pic.twitter.com/AruX4Jmc8A
#New General Election poll - Wisconsin
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) August 29, 2024
🔴 Trump 50% (+1)
🔵 Harris 49%
Last poll - 🔵 Harris +1
Emerson #B - 580 LV - 8/28
Given the WI SCOTUS ruling allowing unmonitored drop boxes, i have zero confidence WI results will be accurate.nortex97 said:
Not a bold prediction really, but I think WI and MI both go to Trump. Trends are there.#New General Election poll - Wisconsin
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) August 29, 2024
🔴 Trump 50% (+1)
🔵 Harris 49%
Last poll - 🔵 Harris +1
Emerson #B - 580 LV - 8/28