Muh Polls

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TAMUallen
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bobbranco said:

AggieVictor10 said:

America does not want a woman as president.

Wrong. Again and again and again.


Well, except it has never happened and hildawg blames her loss on Trump being a male
bobbranco
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TAMUallen said:

bobbranco said:

AggieVictor10 said:

America does not want a woman as president.

Wrong. Again and again and again.


Well, except it has never happened and hildawg blames her loss on Trump being a male

Quite surprised she does not blame Slick Willie.
BBRex
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TAMUallen said:

bobbranco said:

AggieVictor10 said:

America does not want a woman as president.

Wrong. Again and again and again.


Well, except it has never happened and hildawg blames her loss on Trump being a male


Hubris is kind of like that.
nortex97
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Dems in full blown freak out over Biden polls;
Quote:

A quick check of the polling average shows that Biden has only led in one of the last eight polls, with the president posting just a single-point advantage according to Quinnipiac. Given the dynamics of the electoral college, which suppose a three to four-point lead would be necessary for Biden to prevail, that's simply not going to cut it.

No Democrat wants to be the one to admit it publicly, though they all know it.
Quote:

"You don't want to be that guy who is on the record saying we're doomed, or the campaign's bad or Biden's making mistakes. Nobody wants to be that guy," said a Democratic operative in close touch with the White House and granted anonymity to speak freely.

But Biden's stubbornly poor polling and the stakes of the election "are creating the freakout," he said.

They're gonna need yet another war, or pandemic or something dramatic to change this. Juan Merchan ain't the guy to pull it off.
oh no
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Quote:

They're gonna need yet another war, or pandemic or something dramatic to change this. Juan Merchan ain't the guy to pull it off.

While more wars are undoubtedly coming, as Biden's amazing displays of weakness that have emboldened bad actors around the globe won't be forgotten anytime soon, and I'm sure new variants will surely be fear mongered by pravda to keep absentee voting as a mass-mailed in mickey mouse banana republic **** show election, I don't think they need all that. They might have even realized by now that trying to imprison the anti-socialist political opposition is backfiring. But all they just need is to pay off the Biden family to have their geriatric empty suit figurehead step down before their convention.
oh no
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Yet I'm sure Philly precincts will be able to spend an extra week finding more Biden ballots to count until desired results are achieved again.
LMCane
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interesting =

I looked at the Predict.org markets again yesterday

Trump is leading Biden 53% to 50%

yet "Democrat" is leading "Republican" for the Presidency.

the only explanation is that a lot of money is betting Biden is NOT the candidate.
oh no
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Anyone voting for Biden is actually voting for his handlers pulling the stings on that empty suit in the shadows anyway.
dreyOO
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Man, that quick video reminded me of something. When you see the walking stiff Biden unsure but slowly sliding around stage it almost looks normal for him.

But when you see him walking with a crowd of his peers, you can really see the difference physically. He's so incredibly incapable mentally and physically…and they keep pretending everything is fine.
aggiehawg
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nortex97
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I like it, and the most recent Nevada numbers they showed. Do Democrats really think Merchan can knock 10 percent off his numbers in those states with his tribunal?
oh no
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Philly, ladies and gents. Just 30 minutes from the most popular politician ever's hometown of Wilmington. A key driver for +270 EC votes and +81 million record shattering ballots counted.
Reality Check
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Virginia -- which Biden won by 10 -- is tied/within margin of error in a five-way.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls
Author of the TexAgs Post of The Day - May 31, 2024

How do I get a Longhorn tag?
BadMoonRisin
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Most popular Presidential candidate in the history of our nation, everybody!

7th largest metro area in the country, 30 minute drive from his home town. 6.2Million people live around here.

~200 showed up probably even counting the press

Totally believable, folks.
nortex97
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More on Virginia being in play:
Quote:

By any metric, Virginia has not been competitive at the national level in more than a decade. When Trump won the presidency without the state in 2016, he became the first Republican to do so since William Howard Taft in 1908.

It is amid this backdrop that a new poll from Roanoke College shows the presidential election in the state tied. Biden and Trump both registered 42% support in the new poll, while the president opens up a slim 2-point advantage when third-party candidates such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein are included.

For a state that has hardly been competitive for Republicans in recent cycles, the poll results are nothing short of astounding. If Biden fails to carry Virginia in November, his path to 270 electoral votes and a second term in the White House is practically nonexistent, given his polling in other swing states.
The poll's result is all the more notable given the propensity of polling to severely underestimate support for Trump. In 2020, polling overestimated Biden's support in Virginia by a few points, but polling averages were pretty accurate in 2016.
Waffledynamics
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Just came here to post about Virginia. If Biden can't even secure that state by double digits, even showing tied in one poll, I don't know how he stops the bleeding.

This looks like a disaster.
oh no
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good time for an anonymous source to disclose something racist about Trump from two decades ago, back when he was a democrat
SwigAg11
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This thread may get interesting in the next few weeks.
oh no
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SwigAg11 said:

This thread may get interesting in the next few weeks.
you think Biden rises in the polls after the regime got a felony conviction on his political opponent?
FTAG 2000
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nortex97 said:

Dems in full blown freak out over Biden polls;
Quote:

A quick check of the polling average shows that Biden has only led in one of the last eight polls, with the president posting just a single-point advantage according to Quinnipiac. Given the dynamics of the electoral college, which suppose a three to four-point lead would be necessary for Biden to prevail, that's simply not going to cut it.

No Democrat wants to be the one to admit it publicly, though they all know it.
Quote:

"You don't want to be that guy who is on the record saying we're doomed, or the campaign's bad or Biden's making mistakes. Nobody wants to be that guy," said a Democratic operative in close touch with the White House and granted anonymity to speak freely.

But Biden's stubbornly poor polling and the stakes of the election "are creating the freakout," he said.

They're gonna need yet another war, or pandemic or something dramatic to change this. Juan Merchan ain't the guy to pull it off.
Gavin Newsom off stage left.
JWinTX
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FTAG 2000 said:

nortex97 said:

Dems in full blown freak out over Biden polls;
Quote:

A quick check of the polling average shows that Biden has only led in one of the last eight polls, with the president posting just a single-point advantage according to Quinnipiac. Given the dynamics of the electoral college, which suppose a three to four-point lead would be necessary for Biden to prevail, that's simply not going to cut it.

No Democrat wants to be the one to admit it publicly, though they all know it.
Quote:

"You don't want to be that guy who is on the record saying we're doomed, or the campaign's bad or Biden's making mistakes. Nobody wants to be that guy," said a Democratic operative in close touch with the White House and granted anonymity to speak freely.

But Biden's stubbornly poor polling and the stakes of the election "are creating the freakout," he said.

They're gonna need yet another war, or pandemic or something dramatic to change this. Juan Merchan ain't the guy to pull it off.
Gavin Newsom off stage left.
If Newsom becomes the candidate, it's because the Dems know they cannot win with Biden/Harris as the ticket.

If Biden is still their candidate, it's because the Dems know they already have it all won.

Either scenario is very telling. And the latter one should scare the hell out of you. That they can control the system so strongly to get Biden "elected" twice ought to make you realize that voting in a Presidential election will be pointless going forward.
agsalaska
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SwigAg11 said:

This thread may get interesting in the next few weeks.
Hopefully we can keep it about the polling
nortex97
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Another one showing a bump post-verdict for DJT.



Quote:

The stunning felony conviction of former President Donald Trump garnered headlines around the world and created sharp political arguments across the U.S. But did it affect the presidential race? The answer is yes. It seems to have actually helped Trump, the June I&I/TIPP Poll shows.

The poll was taken from Wednesday, May 29, through Friday, May 31. The verdict against Trump in New York state court was rendered on Thursday, May 30. So a significant share of the 1,675 registered voters who took the national online I&I/TIPP Poll actually knew that Trump had been found guilty of 34 felony counts.

So did Trump's guilty verdict change minds, weakening his support? On the contrary, it seems.
In the head-to-head poll between President Joe Biden and Trump, it's now a statistical toss-up, 41% to 41%. But that's an improvement for Trump from May, when he trailed Biden by 2 percentage points in that month's I&I/TIPP poll (42% Biden to 40% Trump). The June poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points.
SwigAg11
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That's the kind of poll the Trump campaign is looking for. However, the polling did straddle the Thursday verdict, so there were some amount of answers given before the verdict. I think the more interesting polls will be in the next couple of weeks after some of the anger/glee has died down some.
texagbeliever
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New York Poll: Trump 40%, Biden 47.6%.
Why should this be scary news for democrats...
Of the voters 47.7% said they were registered as Democrat while only 23% were registered as Republican.

Biden polled below the % of registered democrats with 27% independent. Meanwhile Trump captured 17% points above the Republicans in the poll.

Sure New York is deep blue and isn't going to flip but that should have democrats terrified.

Link: Poll Emerson
Waffledynamics
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SwigAg11 said:

That's the kind of poll the Trump campaign is looking for. However, the polling did straddle the Thursday verdict, so there were some amount of answers given before the verdict. I think the more interesting polls will be in the next couple of weeks after some of the anger/glee has died down some.


Waiting for this is giving me massive anxiety.
LMCane
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Trump should choose Governor Glen Youngkin just to make the democrats fight for Virginia
agsalaska
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The number I am going to watch over the next few weeks is the minority voters move towards Trump, specifically the black vote.

Blacks have forever argued, right or wrong, that the system unfairly targets them. They are going to be much more sympathetic to Trump than they are the other old white guy making jokes about the lawfare.

My guess is this is all going to help Trump quite a bit actually and that increase in support will come from minorities.
nortex97
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My personal preference would be John James, but I know most would strongly disagree. The black male demographic is much more important writ large than the state of Virginia itself, and I'm not real sure many Virginians would vote on the basis of Youngkin as the VP.

I have no clue who Trump will pick, and expect to be disappointed in his judgment. My second pick would be a 'unity ticket' with someone like Joe Manchin, Gabbard, Cuellar, or even RFK Jr. just because it would implode so many heads.
agsalaska
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As much as I hate identity politics, a black male might seal this deal.

A black VP pick going around the country talking to other blacks about the unfair treatment and bias systems and doing it in favor of Republicans?! That would be very hard for Biden to deal with.
nortex97
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Although, admittedly that assumes he and trump aren't both thrown into Rikers.
Irish 2.0
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Tim Scott should be the VP pick. He will carry out Trump's agenda and is very well respected in the DC circles.
oh no
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The thing with Tim Scott, and I don't know the calculus from the consultants on stuff like this, is you cannot put too much added risk on sacrificing any senate seats. South Carolina should be able to replace a republican senate seat with another republican. They just need to be careful, because taking over the presidency and both chambers of congress are all vitally important for any lasting, real undoing of the America-last policies and corrupt bureaucracies.
LMCane
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nortex97 said:

My personal preference would be John James, but I know most would strongly disagree. The black male demographic is much more important writ large than the state of Virginia itself, and I'm not real sure many Virginians would vote on the basis of Youngkin as the VP.

I have no clue who Trump will pick, and expect to be disappointed in his judgment. My second pick would be a 'unity ticket' with someone like Joe Manchin, Gabbard, Cuellar, or even RFK Jr. just because it would implode so many heads.

That's a good point.

the only issue is that James would clearly be a DEI pick,

a 1 term House of Representative who had lost every other race in Michigan?

at least Byron Donalds has been a member of leadership in the House.
LMCane
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Irish 2.0 said:

Tim Scott should be the VP pick. He will carry out Trump's agenda and is very well respected in the DC circles.
I just don't think Scott will bring in black voters- he is not viewed as "authentic" like John James is or Byron Donalds is

maybe because Scott has a "imaginary" girlfriend in Canada.
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