Muh Polls

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Bearpitbull
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8:14a, 4/14/24
Getting fake lipmus test topics the F out of the R platform is all we need to get conservative policies back in play. If I hear Disney, Bud or transgender again, we start winning. The left is profiling Rs based on distraction issues.
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bobbranco
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In reply to Bearpitbull • 8:26a, 4/14/24
AG
Bearpitbull said:
Getting fake lipmus test topics the F out of the R platform is all we need to get conservative policies back in play. If I hear Disney, Bud or transgender again, we start winning. The left is profiling Rs based on distraction issues.
I don't think you should be taken seriously.
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TAMU1990
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In reply to nortex97 • 9:07a, 4/14/24
AG
nortex97 said:
Quote:
When the Dems start talking about seizing retirement funds over a certain amount there will be a shift by these crazy white folk. You would think handicapping their kids because of their race/sex (i.e., their sons) would be enough.
LOL, talk about some issues the Dems will absolutely not even be whispering about at the DNC this summer.

They won't discuss that until well past the election, if they 'win' and then it would be dropped like how Obama dropped Obamacare on the country after not campaigning at all on the need to move to communist medicine.
It will happen after an election for sure, but it will be too late.
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agsalaska
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In reply to nortex97 • 9:54a, 4/14/24
AG
It's hard to imagine that the left side of his party has problems with his performance. He, well not him but the people calling the shots, are running by far the most progressive presidency ever.
The trouble with quotes on the internet is that you never know if they are genuine. -- Abraham Lincoln.



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nortex97
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In reply to agsalaska • 10:13a, 4/14/24
AG
agsalaska said:
It's hard to imagine that the left side of his party has problems with his performance. He, well not him but the people calling the shots, are running by far the most progressive presidency ever.


They really do demand overt support for hamas. Gett mf Iran nukes to use on Tel Aviv is an objective to them. And they are mad he didn't get trump thrown in jail earlier. Seriously.
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nortex97
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7:11a, 4/15/24
AG


Excellent.



Good enough; I just want Florida safe enough for the GOP/campaign to not have to spend money on it, but maybe close enough to sucker some Democrats to waste funds there.
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Rapier108
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8:31p, 4/16/24

"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
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bobbranco
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In reply to Rapier108 • 5:48a, 4/17/24
AG
Congratulations. Your rampant discord will get Biden elected.
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Drahknor03
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5:53a, 4/17/24
AG
At this point, all of the movement in the polls has been Dems in blue states coming home post primary. All the battle ground polls still show Trump winning handily.
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Reality Check
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1:47p, 4/17/24
Trump +6 in two-way/+3 in five-way in Michigan.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls
Author of the TexAgs Post of The Day - May 31, 2024

How do I get a Longhorn tag?
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agsalaska
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In reply to Drahknor03 • 1:50p, 4/17/24
AG
Drahknor03 said:
At this point, all of the movement in the polls has been Dems in blue states coming home post primary. All the battle ground polls still show Trump winning handily.
That's what I am seeing as well. Nothing has really changed yet in the battleground states.
The trouble with quotes on the internet is that you never know if they are genuine. -- Abraham Lincoln.



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nortex97
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In reply to agsalaska • 1:52p, 4/17/24
AG
The senate races in the battleground states, particularly Ohio and Arizona, are what I am primarily interested in right now. Frankly, I don't see a lot of good data on those, either way.
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FireAg
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2:49p, 4/17/24
AG
Still say he needs to be polling outside of the MOE in battleground states to beat the cheat...
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TRM
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1:19a, 4/18/24
AG
Surprised Biden posted Charlie Kirk, but it's hard to get out the vote without personnel in place.

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AggieVictor10
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1:30a, 4/18/24
AG
**** polls cuz the lyin' left is gonna cheat anyway.
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nortex97
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In reply to TRM • 5:17a, 4/18/24
AG
Well he's lying, as Charlie Kirk is of course not a "Trump operative."

In places that matter Trump is up still, such as Wisconsin (1.2 on average). The Hamas wing of the Democrat party is also loudly insisting they won't turn out for Biden again.
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TRM
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In reply to nortex97 • 7:48a, 4/18/24
AG
You can be up in the polls all you want, but if there needs to be a GOTV operation to turn it into a win at the ballot box.
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agsalaska
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In reply to TRM • 9:02a, 4/18/24
AG
Which is the problem
The trouble with quotes on the internet is that you never know if they are genuine. -- Abraham Lincoln.



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oh no
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In reply to TRM • 9:12a, 4/18/24
AG
TRM said:
You can be up in the polls all you want, but if there needs to be a GOTV operation to turn it into a win at the ballot box.
and for the socialist regime, they can be down in the polls and not even care because they won't ever be down in the mass-mailed out ballots, well-funded ballot harvesting operations- much of it from foreigners and left coast elitists, insecure and un-surveilled drop-boxes all over the place, and no signature verification, which is on the envelope and separated from the ballots upon opening anyway. They can scare people about their opponent being the next hitler or the scary proposition of potential for fewer crushed baby skulls, but they don't really need a GOTV effort or campaign anymore.
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nortex97
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In reply to TRM • 2:54p, 4/18/24
AG
TRM said:
You can be up in the polls all you want, but if there needs to be a GOTV operation to turn it into a win at the ballot box.
Not an argument on that but GOTV stuff doesn't really matter yet. I don't know when it starts with mail in balloting etc. in battleground states but I think it's around September.

Overall, the polls still look good for team Trump:

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TRM
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In reply to nortex97 • 3:08p, 4/18/24
AG
How'd that turn out?

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FireAg
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In reply to TRM • 3:17p, 4/18/24
AG
Moving maybe but most averages were within MOE on Election Day…
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nortex97
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In reply to TRM • 6:48a, 4/21/24
AG
Yeah, I have decided Larry is…not real credible, frankly. He was just…off on everything in 2020. Always a koolaid drinker for team red.

This is interesting/better; 'Why Biden can't win'

Quote:
I don't think he can, anyway. Check out these numbers from Rasmussen:
Quote:
Republicans have a major edge over Democrats in terms of voter excitement, and voters overwhelmingly see President Joe Biden as too old to hold the office..
***
More Republicans (68%) than Democrats (50%) are genuinely excited about the election rematch. Voters not affiliated with either major party are about evenly split between being genuinely excited (44%) and choosing the lesser of two evils (45%).
So, an 18-point advantage in enthusiasm.
Quote:
Biden is 81 years old, and 57% of voters say he's too old to be president, while 33% say he's not too old.
How can Biden win when, apart from his other defects, 57% think he is simply too old for the job? And that perception is not going to weaken between now and November. Biden has signaled that he does not intend to debate Donald Trump. I don't think he can. He isn't up to it. The Democrats will try to sell the absurd idea that Biden isn't afraid to debate, he just doesn't want to "legitimize" Trump by sharing a stage with him. Right. When Biden refuses to debate Trump, it will seal the conclusion in just about every voter's mind that he simply isn't up to the job.
This is interesting, too. So much for the youth vote:
Quote:
Voters under 40 are more likely than their elders to think Biden is too old to be president.
The income breakdown is troubling for Biden:
Quote:
Breaking down the electorate by income categories, voters in the highest bracket earning more than $200,000 a year are most likely to say Biden is too old to be president.
That is Biden's base! Conversely:
Quote:
Those with annual incomes between $30,000 and $50,000 are most likely to say they're genuinely excited about this year's election choice.
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TRM
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In reply to nortex97 • 12:03p, 4/21/24
AG
Rasmussen and Powerline have been wrong.

But even assuming it's true, you have to get voters to the polls. Only one of them is spending like it's a real campaign.

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2023NCAggies
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In reply to Drahknor03 • 12:21p, 4/21/24
Drahknor03 said:
At this point, all of the movement in the polls has been Dems in blue states coming home post primary. All the battle ground polls still show Trump winning handily.


Trump should never be up in the national average, the fact he is should be freaking out the Dems, which it is.

A toss up would be Biden +2 or more in the national average. Anything less is big trouble
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PA24
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12:48p, 4/21/24
AG
Trump has little money and is hounded with court cases against him.

Yet he still leads in the polls. Ultimately, the left will have to pull the mass harvesting of votes in the swing states to pull of the win.

Just like 2020, the Republicans will do nothing about it but whine about if only someone else had ran.
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TRM
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In reply to TRM • 4:31p, 4/21/24
AG
TRM said:
Rasmussen and Powerline have been wrong.

But even assuming it's true, you have to get voters to the polls. Only one of them is spending like it's a real campaign.



Follow up. Making low propensity voters the base of your support is troublesome. You're going to need spend more voter to make sure they get out to vote - money that Trump doesn't have.

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nortex97
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12:31p, 4/23/24
AG
Wait, I thought Xiden was supposed to surge on all the lawfare/successes of his 'work.'

Nope; video; media stunned as Trump surges in polls. "We know exactly what 4 years of Joe Biden is, and we are being asked 'do you want 4 more years?' Hell no….'

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Drahknor03
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12:39p, 4/24/24
AG
These are "Trump's going to be in bed an happily asleep by 10pm EST" numbers:

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FireAg
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In reply to Drahknor03 • 1:05p, 4/24/24
AG
Wisconsin right on the edge of MOE...that's quite eye-opening...
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nortex97
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In reply to Drahknor03 • 1:38p, 4/24/24
AG
No one will go to bed comfortable in the results on election night. Democrats have made it into election vote 'counting' week, at best.

Unmarried women are the one significant demographic that seemingly…can't figure out what is wrong.

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SoyTanLento
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1:44p, 4/24/24
And while Trump is spending campaign dollars on Melania's stylists, Pedo Joe is outspending Trump 20 to 1 to get single women to polls in the battleground states.
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oh no
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In reply to SoyTanLento • 12:37a, 4/25/24
AG
ImSoDumb said:
Joe is outspending Trump 20 to 1 to get single women to polls in the battleground states.
dems don't spend a dime to get anyone to the polls anymore. They spend to harvest mass-mailed ballots in this Mickey Mouse banana republic.
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nortex97
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5:28a, 4/25/24
AG


Lawfare doing what, ahem, some of us predicted for Trump.

Up 3.3 in battleground states today.

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nortex97
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9:24a, 4/26/24
AG
More good news!



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