Muh Polls - Page 163

FireAg

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12:10a, 11/6/24

AG

How'd that Selzer poll age?

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1836er

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1:04a, 11/6/24

AG

Pollsters coming out of tonight looking pretty good:

AtlasIntel, Baris, Trafalgar, InsiderAdvantage, Rasmussen (to name a few)
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 6, 2024

Vance in '28

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FrioAg 00

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In reply to 1836er • 1:23a, 11/6/24

AG

Same ones that always look good. The only ones anyone ought to be watching in the next election.

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Rapier108

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1:25a, 11/6/24

The post mortem on all of the pollsters who missed big time, along with the prognosticators like Silver and Sabato, will be interesting to say the least.

"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill

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FireAg

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In reply to Rapier108 • 1:35a, 11/6/24

AG

Rapier108 said:
The post mortem on all of the pollsters who missed big time, along with the prognosticators like Silver and Sabato, will be interesting to say the least.

Silver will say his model has it close and could e gone either way…

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coolerguy12

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In reply to SoyTanLento • 1:38a, 11/6/24

AG

SoyTanLento said:
Just a reminder don't trust the polls. Republicans crushed it in the RCP average right before the 2022 midterm elections. Here is how much Dems overperformed on elections day Nov 2022.

Well you changed your user name but you're still dumb.

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Casual Cynic

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1:49a, 11/6/24

At least we can finally be done with Lichtman. The media always hyped him up but he was dead wrong about this election.

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dustin999

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2:22a, 11/6/24

AG

Nate Silver still sucks

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dreyOO

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In reply to dustin999 • 2:47a, 11/6/24

dustin999 said:
Nate Silver still sucks

im convinced he's a complete fraud now. Right up there with Selzer

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nortex97

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5:29a, 11/6/24

AG

Is it ok to mock/deride Selzer into retirement now? The 'Iowa expert' was only off by…16?

Dear Ann Selzer -

Enjoy your retirement.

Love, Trump +13 and counting.
— Seth Keshel (@RealSKeshel) November 6, 2024

Our final NPV call:
Trump +2.4

Current NY Times estimate:
Trump +1.4
— Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports (@Mark_R_Mitchell) November 6, 2024

And Luntz/Silver:

Nate Silver and Frank Luntz need a new line of work.
— Fox Friend🇺🇸 (@FoxFriend47) November 6, 2024

Rich nailed it. The meritocracy is forming.

This election was never 50.23/49.77. https://t.co/qfN9wDjUxa
— Quantus Insights (@QuantusInsights) November 6, 2024

This thread was fun, thx all.

WATCH: The moment TimcastIRL crew found out Trump won the presidency. Amazing reaction.

"WE ARE SO BACK!"

😅 pic.twitter.com/l4bLzvBI7X
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 6, 2024

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ts5641

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5:38a, 11/6/24

So many pollsters are just outright frauds trying to influence the election. Iowa won by 14 and Selzer predicted a dem victory in Iowa less than a week ago.

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EdBos_Ag

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6:36a

Republicans took the house back, it just wasn't this huge crushing victory that some people expected.

SwigAg11

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In reply to FireAg • 6:41a

AG

FireAg said:
How'd that Selzer poll age?

As of right now, she was only off by 17 points.

backintexas2013

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In reply to EdBos_Ag • 6:42a

AG

EdBos_Ag said:
Republicans took the house back, it just wasn't this huge crushing victory that some people expected.

Are you trolling? This was a beat down. In my opinion Kamala is in the corner nursing a hangover and blaming everyone.

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SwigAg11

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In reply to backintexas2013 • 7:28a

AG

backintexas2013 said:
EdBos_Ag said:
Republicans took the house back, it just wasn't this huge crushing victory that some people expected.

Are you trolling? This was a beat down. In my opinion Kamala is in the corner nursing a hangover and blaming everyone.

I believe he's speaking of only the House. Whoever wins it will be by an incredibly narrow margin. DDHQ is currently projecting that Republicans will have a 2 vote majority.

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