Yeah, I don't think the numbers will be as high as in the past. Doesn't mean Trump won't win though.TAMUallen said:UntoldSpirit said:
The counter argument to the early vote narrative is that Republicans have been told to go vote early, so they have been, making their ED vote much smaller than normal.
I hate to say it, but that's a pretty good argument.
No.
Very strong voters have gone early. That's always a dem thing.
You have independents, breaking for Trump, showing up too.
You'll have the same turnout tomorrow. Normal voters will go more republican than last time
The drop off in democratic early voting is what I am hanging my hat on. That is incredibly good news.backintexas2013 said:
except there is some research that says many early voters are voters who have never or very seldom vote. I can believe that too. I also think there is a drop off in democrat early voting. Are they going to show up on ED? If they are used to early voting then why change?
UntoldSpirit said:
The counter argument to the early vote narrative is that Republicans have been told to go vote early, so they have been, making their ED vote much smaller than normal.
I hate to say it, but that's a pretty good argument.
I would be worried if Kamala had taken a page out of Trump's 2020 playbook and told all her voters to wait and vote on election day....she has done no such thing.backintexas2013 said:
except there is some research that says many early voters are voters who have never or very seldom vote. I can believe that too. I also think there is a drop off in democrat early voting. Are they going to show up on ED? If they are used to early voting then why change?
backintexas2013 said:
Also i read the AA vote is down in EV. Are they just going to show up on ED
🚨🚨ATLAS INTEL: TRUMP LEADS SEVEN SWING STATES. WITHIN TWO IN MINNESOTA🚨🚨
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) November 5, 2024
🔴 ARIZONA: TRUMP +5.1%
🔴 GEORGIA: TRUMP +1.6%
🔴MICHIGAN: TRUMP +1.5%
🔴NEVADA: TRUMP +3.1%
🔴NORTH CAROLINA: TRUMP +2.1%
🔴PENNSYLVANIA: TRUMP +1.0%
🔴WISCONSIN: TRUMP +0.9%
🔵MINNESOTA: HARRIS…
LMCane said:
would rather the results of Nevada for Pennsylvania but pray these are still undercounting GOP support🚨🚨ATLAS INTEL: TRUMP LEADS SEVEN SWING STATES. WITHIN TWO IN MINNESOTA🚨🚨
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) November 5, 2024
🔴 ARIZONA: TRUMP +5.1%
🔴 GEORGIA: TRUMP +1.6%
🔴MICHIGAN: TRUMP +1.5%
🔴NEVADA: TRUMP +3.1%
🔴NORTH CAROLINA: TRUMP +2.1%
🔴PENNSYLVANIA: TRUMP +1.0%
🔴WISCONSIN: TRUMP +0.9%
🔵MINNESOTA: HARRIS…
backintexas2013 said:
Also i read the AA vote is down in EV. Are they just going to show up on ED
backintexas2013 said:
I agree. They wouldn't want that. Stuff happens and if people aren't fully motivated they may not stand in line if it's a long wait or ****ty weather. They would want them to vote early just in case.
SwigAg11 said:
I do not believe that's what Gallup is saying. I think that 7 point number is the swing to Republican of the entire electorate from 2020. As in, Trump, on average across the entire country, should do 7 points better than 2020. Individual states may vary.
Why are you posting a presidential election poll from 4 years ago?LMCane said:
would rather the results of Nevada for Pennsylvania but pray these are still undercounting GOP support🚨🚨ATLAS INTEL: TRUMP LEADS SEVEN SWING STATES. WITHIN TWO IN MINNESOTA🚨🚨
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) November 5, 2024
🔴 ARIZONA: TRUMP +5.1%
🔴 GEORGIA: TRUMP +1.6%
🔴MICHIGAN: TRUMP +1.5%
🔴NEVADA: TRUMP +3.1%
🔴NORTH CAROLINA: TRUMP +2.1%
🔴PENNSYLVANIA: TRUMP +1.0%
🔴WISCONSIN: TRUMP +0.9%
🔵MINNESOTA: HARRIS…
Charlie 31 said:
Why are you posting a presidential election poll from 4 years ago?
Beerosch said:
So based on this, they aren't expecting early Trump voters to cannibalize the Election Day Trump voters?
UntoldSpirit said:
The counter argument to the early vote narrative is that Republicans have been told to go vote early, so they have been, making their ED vote much smaller than normal.
I hate to say it, but that's a pretty good argument.
Click on the link and it does not have anything from 2024.FireAg said:
Have you clicked on the site to verify this is on there? I cannot find it.satexas said:Charlie 31 said:
Why are you posting a presidential election poll from 4 years ago?
"@PollWatch2020" - That's just his handle…
…. That and Harris wouldn't be listed 4 years ago is a clue….
Next time you’re at a restaurant, can you do me a favor?
— Alina Habba (@AlinaHabba) August 1, 2024
Will you put one of these VOTE TRUMP FOR NO TAX ON TIPS stickers on your bill?
Democrats are mortified by millions of Americans hearing about President Trump’s popular idea.
So I need YOU to help spread the word!
Charlie 31 said:Have you clicked on the site to verify this is on there? I cannot find it.satexas said:Charlie 31 said:
Why are you posting a presidential election poll from 4 years ago?
"@PollWatch2020" - That's just his handle…
…. That and Harris wouldn't be listed 4 years ago is a clue….
THat's freakin malwareAggieAces06 said:
Click on the tweet itself, not the link in the name.
I don't have Twitter, so if I only click the username I can only see what was public before Musk took over and made it pay for viewing. But if I click the body of the tweet, it will show me the full tweet. ( or X)
#NEW - Electoral Map Based on Final AtlasIntel 2-way polling
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 5, 2024
🟥 Trump 312 🏆
🟦 Harris 226
——
Arizona - 🔴 Trump +5.1
Nevada - 🔴 Trump +3.1
North Carolina - 🔴 Trump +2.1
Michigan - 🔴 Trump +1.5
Georgia - 🔴 Trump +1.6
Pennsylvania - 🔴 Trump +1.0
Wisconsin - 🔴 Trump +0.9… https://t.co/FLlR8oDSIR pic.twitter.com/Hl9t0b9Eay
Thanks. I see it now by clicking on the actual tweet as you suggested.satexas said:Charlie 31 said:Have you clicked on the site to verify this is on there? I cannot find it.satexas said:Charlie 31 said:
Why are you posting a presidential election poll from 4 years ago?
"@PollWatch2020" - That's just his handle…
…. That and Harris wouldn't be listed 4 years ago is a clue….
Um… take a minute and just stop clicking…. Look at the graphic you quoted, and others quoted…. Harris's name is there in clear blue highlight….
And yes, as others have pointed out… click the tweet itself, not the handle.
Except it's not.The Republicans have been focusing and harvesting low propensity voters.UntoldSpirit said:
The counter argument to the early vote narrative is that Republicans have been told to go vote early, so they have been, making their ED vote much smaller than normal.
I hate to say it, but that's a pretty good argument.
Puleez be true!UntoldSpirit said:#NEW - Electoral Map Based on Final AtlasIntel 2-way polling
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 5, 2024
🟥 Trump 312 🏆
🟦 Harris 226
——
Arizona - 🔴 Trump +5.1
Nevada - 🔴 Trump +3.1
North Carolina - 🔴 Trump +2.1
Michigan - 🔴 Trump +1.5
Georgia - 🔴 Trump +1.6
Pennsylvania - 🔴 Trump +1.0
Wisconsin - 🔴 Trump +0.9… https://t.co/FLlR8oDSIR pic.twitter.com/Hl9t0b9Eay