Russia/Ukraine from Another Perspective (Relaunch Part Deux)

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Ag with kids
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nortex97 said:

The historical ignorance of citing Nato expansionism as a fait accompli of diplomatic victory always strikes me as silly at best. If anything, it's clear evidence of failure, imho, as a provocation leading to the present war of attrition with a weak and now doomed neighbor of Russia:
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For some, the way NATO agreed, in 1994, to welcome former Soviet allies "betrayed a catastrophic failure of imagination," Daniel Treisman, a Russia expert at the University of California, Los Angeles, told me. The Czech Republic, Hungary, and Polandthree former Warsaw Pact members aligned with Moscowjoined in 1999. "The major international challenge of the nineteen-nineties was to integrate Russia securely into the Western world," Treisman said. The West should have generated new financial, commercial, cultural, and political linksand new European security arrangementsto complement NATO. "If we had succeeded in that, the security of Eastern Europe would have taken care of itself," he said. Instead, the West failed to understand how Moscow would perceive NATO's guns edging eastward. Seven other nations, including three former Soviet republics and three more Warsaw Pact countries, became members in 2004. Discussion about adding Ukraine and Georgia, which began in 2008long before either qualified for membershipalso invited Putin "to call our bluff," Treisman said. Four other countries joined between 2009 and 2020. Thirty nations, together, now have nearly four times more military personnel than Russia and also many more tanks, warplanes, and artillery. The Kremlin, however, has a larger arsenal of tactical nuclear weapons near Europe's borders.

Even long-time supporters of U.S. and European security guarantees for Finland and Sweden are concerned about the consequences of the two northern nations joining the alliance. "Over all, Russia certainly loses here. But a weak and humiliated Russia is a dangerous Russia," Anne-Marie Slaughter, a former director of policy planning at the State Department who is now the chief executive of the New America think tank, told me. She cited the history of a "weak and humiliated" Germany between the world wars that opened the way for Hitler's rise to power and aggression across Europe. "Putin may well be able to stay in power for even longer on the strength of 'the foreign enemy' encroaching on Russia's borders," she said.
Quote:

The curious irony is that, "for the longest time, Putin himself was at peace with the decision" to enlarge NATO, Gottemoeller, who is now at Stanford University, told me. In 2002, Putin signed the Rome Declaration, which created the NATO-Russia Council and its agenda of joint projects, such as containing nuclear proliferation and preventing drug smuggling from Afghanistan. Putin may exploit the perception of a European enemy because it helps him sustain power, Gottemoeller said. At the same time, she added, "it's not a good long-term prognosisRussia permanently at odds with its European neighbors, members of NATO and the E.U. or not."

To ease the transition, Niinistö, the Finnish President, personally called Putin to explain the decision. "The surprise was that he took it so calmly," Niinisto told CNN. "It seems that there are no immediate problems coming." On Monday, Finland's border with Russia was still quiet. "War in Ukraine has had very minor influences to the traffic," Commander Kimmo Ahvonen, of the Finnish Border Guard, told me. "Border situation has been stable all the time, and coöperation with Russian authorities is working quite normally."
The longer-term reality is a wider and deeper fissure dividing NATO and Russia. Europe is fractured, Alexander Stubb, the former Finnish Prime Minister, told CNN. A new Iron Curtain pits "an aggressive authoritarian, totalitarian revisionist and imperialist Russia" against dozens of European democracies working in tandem to isolate it. "That's the future," he said. Whatever the new sense of security is today in Finland and Sweden, every action generates a reactionand further NATOexpansion may well, too.
Even Dem-mouthpieces like the New Yorker and CNN once called this out. Empowering the Nuland's of our foreign policy apparatus doesn't make any of us safer, nor Europe. Nato expansion if anything is emblematic of the utter diplomatic and political failure this century to bring Russia into more of an alliance. Serbia and Turkey, as well as India and Brazil, aligning/joining BRICS+ and aligning thus with Russia and China against the US broadly all the moreso, in vastly more significant ways than Finland and Sweden joining Nato.




I've always hated this horribad take on this...

Quote:

Instead, the West failed to understand how Moscow would perceive NATO's guns edging eastward.
This is like saying that an abused woman provoked her ex into more abuse because she went to the cops and got a restraining order...

Those countries wanted to PREVENT Russia from doing what they had done to them for 50 years.
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nortex97
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More patriots etc. (let alone <50 old Abrams tanks) won't change the dynamics of an utterly overwhelmed air defense system.



To the last Ukrainian!



All this stuff over things…that are not even remotely in American interests, and never have been. I mean, the Russians aren't a real threat to Europe, as we have been told over and over. Let the Germans handle them.

Teslag
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What about "to the last Korean?" As Russia runs out of troops?
PlaneCrashGuy
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Ag with kids said:

Ags4DaWin said:

Meh....

I don't believe it. If that was the case how do you explain Russia pursuing talks so shortly after invasion?

Regarding the fact they "went after Kiev".

Maybe they did maybe they didn't.

It could have been a military feint.
It could have been an effort to get to leadership to force talks.

If you can explain away why the Russians wanted to talk and come to an agreement so short after their invasion that is different than wanting to come to an agreement then I might consider ur assertion.
Tesla gives you Putin's own view on Ukraine and how he considers it a part of Russia.


You're linking a 7,000 word article, which is clunky due to the language translation. Could you be a little more specific about which part you're referencing?
I'm not sure if people genuinely believe someone is going to say, "Wow, if some people say I'm a moron for not believing this, it clearly must be true."

It's not much a persuasive argument. It really just sounds like a bunch of miniature dachshunds barking because the first one one barked when it thought it heard something.
PlaneCrashGuy
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Ag with kids said:

Grapes said:

Teslag said:

Agreed, Putin literally wrote a manifesto about how all of Ukraine was really Russia and the Ukrainian people actually didn't even exist. It was part of his initial reason for invading.

Don't take my word for it, take his…

http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66181


Yep, completely unprovoked invasion. Zero threat to ethnic Russians within the Ukraine, zero threat to Russia thru NATO advancement. You know NATO, that organization who's specific rasion d'etre is war with Russia.

Teslag = Dick Cheney!
Well, that's sure a way to twist the reason it exists.

NATO is a DEFENSIVE organization to PREVENT Russian invasion of its members. I guess you COULD say it exists for war with Russia but that's leaving out the most important part - ONLY IF RUSSIA ATTACKS.


What exactly is a European "DEFENSIVE organization" doing in Somalia and Afghanistan right now, just to name a few?

I'm not sure if you're lying or you've been fooled too, but that Is a gross oversimplification that borders on offensive you would think its believable.
I'm not sure if people genuinely believe someone is going to say, "Wow, if some people say I'm a moron for not believing this, it clearly must be true."

It's not much a persuasive argument. It really just sounds like a bunch of miniature dachshunds barking because the first one one barked when it thought it heard something.
nortex97
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Teslag said:

What about "to the last Korean?" As Russia runs out of troops?
Honestly don't know what the concern about North Korean troops is. If anything it seems like a token contingent. We are arming/equipping Ukraine. BRICS allies sending some sort of contingent shouldn't be a big surprise in opposition, and NoKo is if anything not a real big source of fear to me outside of their nuclear capabilities and ability to impact Seoul etc. if they fire off a bunch of artillery. Russian 'desperation' to rely on NoKo artillery shells was largely derided over the past couple years.

More fundamentally, there's zero data sources supporting Russia 'running out of' troops right now.
Teslag
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I would think that Russia barely gaining a net positive in territory over the past year would be indicative of a man power problem, among others.
Ag with kids
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Ag with kids
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PlaneCrashGuy said:

Ag with kids said:

Ags4DaWin said:

Meh....

I don't believe it. If that was the case how do you explain Russia pursuing talks so shortly after invasion?

Regarding the fact they "went after Kiev".

Maybe they did maybe they didn't.

It could have been a military feint.
It could have been an effort to get to leadership to force talks.

If you can explain away why the Russians wanted to talk and come to an agreement so short after their invasion that is different than wanting to come to an agreement then I might consider ur assertion.
Tesla gives you Putin's own view on Ukraine and how he considers it a part of Russia.


You're linking a 7,000 word article, which is clunky due to the language translation. Could you be a little more specific about which part you're referencing?
Sure.

It's hidden in the first paragraph.

Quote:

During the recent Direct Line, when I was asked about Russian-Ukrainian relations, I said that Russians and Ukrainians were one people a single whole. These words were not driven by some short-term considerations or prompted by the current political context. It is what I have said on numerous occasions and what I firmly believe.
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Ag with kids
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PlaneCrashGuy said:

Ag with kids said:

Grapes said:

Teslag said:

Agreed, Putin literally wrote a manifesto about how all of Ukraine was really Russia and the Ukrainian people actually didn't even exist. It was part of his initial reason for invading.

Don't take my word for it, take his…

http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66181


Yep, completely unprovoked invasion. Zero threat to ethnic Russians within the Ukraine, zero threat to Russia thru NATO advancement. You know NATO, that organization who's specific rasion d'etre is war with Russia.

Teslag = Dick Cheney!
Well, that's sure a way to twist the reason it exists.

NATO is a DEFENSIVE organization to PREVENT Russian invasion of its members. I guess you COULD say it exists for war with Russia but that's leaving out the most important part - ONLY IF RUSSIA ATTACKS.


What exactly is a European "DEFENSIVE organization" doing in Somalia and Afghanistan right now, just to name a few?

I'm not sure if you're lying or you've been fooled too, but that Is a gross oversimplification that borders on offensive you would think its believable.
Here are all the current deployments of NATO right now.

NATO is not in Afghanistan. NATO is also not in Somalia.
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GAC06
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Devastating
PlaneCrashGuy
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Ag with kids said:

PlaneCrashGuy said:

Ag with kids said:

Grapes said:

Teslag said:

Agreed, Putin literally wrote a manifesto about how all of Ukraine was really Russia and the Ukrainian people actually didn't even exist. It was part of his initial reason for invading.

Don't take my word for it, take his…

http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66181


Yep, completely unprovoked invasion. Zero threat to ethnic Russians within the Ukraine, zero threat to Russia thru NATO advancement. You know NATO, that organization who's specific rasion d'etre is war with Russia.

Teslag = Dick Cheney!
Well, that's sure a way to twist the reason it exists.

NATO is a DEFENSIVE organization to PREVENT Russian invasion of its members. I guess you COULD say it exists for war with Russia but that's leaving out the most important part - ONLY IF RUSSIA ATTACKS.


What exactly is a European "DEFENSIVE organization" doing in Somalia and Afghanistan right now, just to name a few?

I'm not sure if you're lying or you've been fooled too, but that Is a gross oversimplification that borders on offensive you would think its believable.
Here are all the current deployments of NATO right now.

NATO is not in Afghanistan. NATO is also not in Somalia.


You're right they left. My point stands without looking up where they are currently.
I'm not sure if people genuinely believe someone is going to say, "Wow, if some people say I'm a moron for not believing this, it clearly must be true."

It's not much a persuasive argument. It really just sounds like a bunch of miniature dachshunds barking because the first one one barked when it thought it heard something.
nortex97
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LOL, now 40 F-16's are maybe coming with fresh cadets next summer?



Toretsk under a lot of pressure as the UFA seems to have pulled out some folks to move up to Kursk (brilliant!)




Teslag
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How does one "liberate" a city in a sovereign country they invaded?
MJ20/20
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You're coming around my man. That's exactly what you should be asking yourself. You're progress, while slow, is starting to accelerate.
Teslag
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So the nazis actually just liberated Paris?
nortex97
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Happening now, I guess.





Good to see Maria Butina doing well (member of the Duma now), after the whole russia hoax on Trump by GCF/FBI/MSM. Not directly related to the SMO but fits in imho regarding her work to encourage western migration to Russia, given the attempt to frame them as a global enemy of Americans/Europe: full interview.
Quote:

Now 35, her politics are staunchly patriotic and pro-Putin, but also critical of problems here. She positions herself as a kind of people's advocate, responding to appeals from all over the country when something isn't working, personally intervening to help. Her current role as an advocate for Western migrants fits with this.
Teslag
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Russia trying to pass African mercenaries as "volunteers" would be shocking, but here we are in 2024.
nortex97
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He's not wrong, just as Israel wasn't. A truce or temporary ceasefire can be meaningless, unless the root causes of the war/conflict are addressed/solved.

Only 35% of Ukrainians plan to/want to return home.
Burnsey
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Stopped reading at 'He's not wrong'.
Ag with kids
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PlaneCrashGuy said:

Ag with kids said:

PlaneCrashGuy said:

Ag with kids said:

Grapes said:

Teslag said:

Agreed, Putin literally wrote a manifesto about how all of Ukraine was really Russia and the Ukrainian people actually didn't even exist. It was part of his initial reason for invading.

Don't take my word for it, take his…

http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66181


Yep, completely unprovoked invasion. Zero threat to ethnic Russians within the Ukraine, zero threat to Russia thru NATO advancement. You know NATO, that organization who's specific rasion d'etre is war with Russia.

Teslag = Dick Cheney!
Well, that's sure a way to twist the reason it exists.

NATO is a DEFENSIVE organization to PREVENT Russian invasion of its members. I guess you COULD say it exists for war with Russia but that's leaving out the most important part - ONLY IF RUSSIA ATTACKS.


What exactly is a European "DEFENSIVE organization" doing in Somalia and Afghanistan right now, just to name a few?

I'm not sure if you're lying or you've been fooled too, but that Is a gross oversimplification that borders on offensive you would think its believable.
Here are all the current deployments of NATO right now.

NATO is not in Afghanistan. NATO is also not in Somalia.


You're right they left. My point stands without looking up where they are currently.
They were in Afghanistan because NATO invoked Article 5. That's the one where NATO responds if ANY member is attacked. The US was attacked on 9/11. Doesn't HAVE to be an attack from Russia even though they were the original antagonist.

They did some counter-piracy support around 2008 involving Somalian pirates, but weren't IN Somalia.

Perhaps you're getting that mixed up with US support for UN missions.
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nortex97
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Sitrep: Zelensky walks back claims he threatened to develop nukes unless in Nato when talking to Trump. Julian Roepcke meltdown hilarity. Attempting to pull an Epstein-Mossad style blackmail on Trump won't work, in the threat to use dirty nuke bombs either. The urgency around the 90 day time frame from Z is obviously driven by when Trump will be sworn in. Simplicius also touches on the silly brouhaha about Nork troops…and the Ukrainian energy grid situation:

Quote:

Again we see this dire, urgent need to "strike within three months" or so. One of the likely other reasons for this urgency could be Zelensky's knowledge that time is running out for his energy grid, as highlighted again by Josep Borrell yesterday who related that 70% of Ukraine's energy generation is destroyed. On top of that, any time Europe sends new generators they are destroyed the next day by Russia:
Quote:

Quote:

Amid fast mounting Ukrainian defeats across multiple fronts, and particularly rapid attrition of the elite contingent sent into Russia's Kursk region in early August, consensus in the Western world has increasingly shifted towards a highly pessimistic outlook for the future of the joint war effort against Russia. In particular, the advances of Russian forces into parts of the disputed Donbas region that are vital to the survival of what remains of Ukraine's economy have the potential to bring an end to efforts by the government in Kiev and its Western allies to sustain a NATO-aligned administration in power.
The bottom line is this: Zelensky needs NATO to save Ukraine at all costs, and if they don't step in, he has no choice but to escalate in a way that threatens to provoke a clash between NATO and Russia. These are all academic, elementary predictions we've been making here since last year.
Putin for his part says no Russian territory will be given up in any negotiations
Anyway, more at the link, as always, including this good/long discussion:


Petraeus remains such a clown:


Putin, meanwhile, seems much more patient about the urgency of ending the war or escalating it further:
nortex97
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Oh look, subtle plan to start WW3 prior to Trump being sworn in/ending the war:



Just another fall Saturday.


Teslag
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NATO membership ends this war and brings lasting peace to that country
OPAG
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Teslag said:

NATO membership ends this war and brings lasting peace to that country
Nonsense!

So, Russia is just going to back away and leave what they have taken and hold because Whang, the US decided to bring Ukraine into NATO, in back room manuever by a lame duck admin?! Yea, sure, OK. Uh Huh.

Geez!!
"only one thing is important!"
J. Walter Weatherman
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OPAG said:

Teslag said:

NATO membership ends this war and brings lasting peace to that country
Nonsense!

So, Russia is just going to back away and leave what they have taken and hold because Whang, the US decided to bring Ukraine into NATO, in back room manuever by a lame duck admin?! Yea, sure, OK. Uh Huh.

Geez!!


Russia won't attack a NATO country because they would immediately be wiped out. The only way forward for anyone who actually claims to want peace is for what's left of Ukraine to join NATO.
Ags4DaWin
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J. Walter Weatherman said:

OPAG said:

Teslag said:

NATO membership ends this war and brings lasting peace to that country
Nonsense!

So, Russia is just going to back away and leave what they have taken and hold because Whang, the US decided to bring Ukraine into NATO, in back room manuever by a lame duck admin?! Yea, sure, OK. Uh Huh.

Geez!!


Russia won't attack a NATO country because they would immediately be wiped out. The only way forward for anyone who actually claims to want peace is for what's left of Ukraine to join NATO.
Russia has said this is a Red line multiple times.

The repeated threats to put NATO in Ukraine and revoke Russia's access to Ukrainian ports was one of the main instigators of this in the first place.

So I am sure that following through on those threats will deescalate the situation.
OPAG
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Really, the hubris from a few of you is off the charts.

You really believe Russia is just third world hack country, yet there was this massive narrative that if we did not stop Russia in Ukraine they would go on to Poland! Talking about schizophrenics!?!

I have been told that no body considers Russia a pier but me and then provide proof from the Air & Space Force that Russia is not only considered a pier but may actually be ahead of us in electronic/cyper warfare.

This simple idea that Russia will be wiped out with absolutely no damage to us is freaking INSANE. Truly
"only one thing is important!"
J. Walter Weatherman
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Ags4DaWin said:

J. Walter Weatherman said:

OPAG said:

Teslag said:

NATO membership ends this war and brings lasting peace to that country
Nonsense!

So, Russia is just going to back away and leave what they have taken and hold because Whang, the US decided to bring Ukraine into NATO, in back room manuever by a lame duck admin?! Yea, sure, OK. Uh Huh.

Geez!!


Russia won't attack a NATO country because they would immediately be wiped out. The only way forward for anyone who actually claims to want peace is for what's left of Ukraine to join NATO.
Russia has said this is a Red line multiple times.

The repeated threats to put NATO in Ukraine and revoke Russia's access to Ukrainian ports was one of the main instigators of this in the first place.

So I am sure that following through on those threats will deescalate the situation.


Great news; thanks to their "liberating" (aka destroying) Mariupol they have a port. Why do they care what's lert of Ukraine joins NATO? Unless their entire reasoning for the "SMO" was complete bull*****
J. Walter Weatherman
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OPAG said:

Really, the hubris from a few of you is off the charts.

You really believe Russia is just third world hack country, yet there was this massive narrative that if we did not stop Russia in Ukraine they would go on to Poland! Talking about schizophrenics!?!

I have been told that no body considers Russia a pier but me and then provide proof from the Air & Space Force that Russia is not only considered a pier but may actually be ahead of us in electronic/cyper warfare.

This simple idea that Russia will be wiped out with absolutely no damage to us is freaking INSANE. Truly


Russia is fighting and clawing for miles of land against a country 1/3 of their size fighting with our hand me down weapons. Count me in the group who does not think they are dumb/crazy enough to start a fight with NATO. Which is all the more reason why the only pathway for peace is for the lines to be drawn where they are now and what's left of Ukraine to join NATO. Russia doesn't want that because they still want to be able to invade again.
Ags4DaWin
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We have gone over this ad nauseum.

Continuously moving NATO east against the handshake agreement was the other big part of the red line.

U want escalation move NATO and the potential to put missiles on Russia's doorstep into Ukraine.

Keep voting for and rooting for WW3 policies.

I am sure Russia will just allow this and not respond at all because they are so willing to to just roll over and take it.
Ags4DaWin
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Russia is more than willing to just flip over the table and unleash their nuclear arsenal if they feel like they are being bullied to the point that they are going to lose.

They more than most countries are infantile enough enough to just say screw it....everyone loses.
GoAgs11
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Ags4DaWin said:

Russia is more than willing to just flip over the table and unleash their nuclear arsenal if they feel like they are being bullied to the point that they are going to lose.

They more than most countries are infantile enough enough to just say screw it....everyone loses.
wondered why they haven't carpet bombed kiev into oblivion?
Ag with kids
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J. Walter Weatherman said:

OPAG said:

Teslag said:

NATO membership ends this war and brings lasting peace to that country
Nonsense!

So, Russia is just going to back away and leave what they have taken and hold because Whang, the US decided to bring Ukraine into NATO, in back room manuever by a lame duck admin?! Yea, sure, OK. Uh Huh.

Geez!!


Russia won't attack a NATO country because they would immediately be wiped out. The only way forward for anyone who actually claims to want peace is for what's left of Ukraine to join NATO.
Perhaps they're hoping that Russia wins, not necessarily for peace?
You can turn off signatures, btw
Grapes
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Ags4DaWin said:

Russia is more than willing to just flip over the table and unleash their nuclear arsenal if they feel like they are being bullied to the point that they are going to lose.

They more than most countries are infantile enough enough to just say screw it....everyone loses.


there is zero supporting w evidence for your opinion.


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