Russia/Ukraine from Another Perspective (Relaunch Part Deux)

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Teslag
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nortex97 said:

Teslag said:

Where is the link for all of those quotes?
I've decided to provide fewer links so you and 'some' others can do some research instead on your own. I think it is good for you. You're welcome!


So it's just made up then. Carry on.
Ag with kids
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Teslag said:

Where is the link for all of those quotes?
First one:

rt.com

Second one:

rt.com
Ags4DaWin
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Teslag said:


Quote:

Several top UA commentators including Zaluzhny and Arestovich themselves both stated yesterday that Avdeevka would likely fall "in 2-3 months." At this rate that seems to be plausible.

Just as I've been saying. Two years in, and Russia's greatest achievement since since the spring of 2022 will be taking an abandoned village of 9,000 people.


Russia simply lacks any ability to mount an offensive.


You are assuming an offensive is their goal.

A much smarter goal now that they have significant Ukraine territory is to suck their supplies dry as the West runs out of willpower and money to prop them up. All the while, rebuilding their own supplies and reorienting their economy to be more reliant on China for the purchase of their raw materials.

Then go in and finish the job.

This is what is currently happening.
Teslag
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That's not possible. He prefaced all of those with the following line of his own...


Quote:

Dwindling aid, total mobilization, and economic collapse: Ukraine 2024.

And he has assured us that he does not allow Russian state media to frame his opinions and simply shares information from other perspectives.
Teslag
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Quote:

Then go in and finish the job.

Finish it with what? And with who? They couldn't do this in February of 2022 with more weapons, better officers/NCO's and prior to large amounts of NATO aid.

Why can they do it now? And with what?
nortex97
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Interesting ongoing evolution with India/China in particular:


Quote:

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and his Indian counterpart Subrahmanyam Jaishankar discussed the conflict in Ukraine, the situation in Afghanistan and the Asia-Pacific Region at their talks in Moscow, Lavrov said at a press conference after the meeting.

"We express our heartfelt gratitude to our Indian counterparts for their aspiration to take a responsible approach in considering and resolving regional and global issues, primarily focusing on national interests, the interests of equal and fair international cooperation. This approach is also characteristic of India's position on the ongoing processes in and around Ukraine, and we have also talked about it," Lavrov said. "We spoke about the situation in Afghanistan."

"We also touched upon other regional topics, such as the situation in the Asia-Pacific Region in the context of the processes unfolding there in parallel, and even, perhaps, contrary to the agreements which were previously reached within the Association of Southeast Asian Nations," the Russian foreign minister said.

According to Lavrov, Moscow and New Delhi have a similar position that in vast Eurasia and in the adjoining water areas, "it is crucial to look for such solutions that will reflect a balance of interests but will not spark confrontational approaches, including those that are sometimes brought in from outside the common region."
Switch to Defense: duh.
Quote:

Kyiv's manpower and arsenals are too depleted to go on the offensive next year, according to some top Ukrainian military experts.

"We don't have the resources for next year's operation," Lieutenant General Ihor Romanenko, the former deputy chief of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, told Al Jazeera.

Polls show that the number of Ukrainians who believe that the war should go on until Ukraine regains all lost territories, including the Crimean peninsula that Russia annexed in 2014, is going down, albeit insignificantly.

Sixty percent believe in Kyiv's imminent military triumph, as opposed to 70 percent last year, according to a Gallup poll released in October. And almost a third of those polled 31 percent think that peace talks with Russia should begin "as soon as possible," compared with 26 percent last year, the poll said.
Most of the supporters of immediate negotiations come from southern (41 percent) and eastern (39 percent) Ukraine, where most of the hostilities took place this year, the poll said.

Meanwhile, Israel's war on Gaza has eclipsed the Russia-Ukraine war in the Western media and halls of power as aid to Ukraine has dwindled or been suspended.

The aid has been keeping Kyiv afloat since the war began in February 2022 and will be the key factor shaping the future and stability of Ukraine's economy, according to Kyiv-based analyst Aleksey Kusch.
"In theory, Ukraine can hold on for between six months and a year on its own. But that will require the freezing of a string of budget articles," he told Al Jazeera.
PlaneCrashGuy
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Ukraine is shrinking everyday.





Teslag
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Quote:

new multifunctional Su-57s, has been transferred to the Russian Defense Ministry

The ukes should have loads of fun shooting these down too. If they are even real...
Teslag
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Maryinka, a town of 9,000 people that Russia has been trying to get since 2014. At this rate, Russia should be rolling into Kiev in 100 to 200 years.

Teslag
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Also, this guy seems credible and stable. You should keep basing your worldview on his information.

Ags4DaWin
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Teslag said:


Quote:

Then go in and finish the job.

Finish it with what? And with who? They couldn't do this in February of 2022 with more weapons, better officers/NCO's and prior to large amounts of NATO aid.

Why can they do it now? And with what?


Once again you are missing the point.

1) I am not rooting for Russia to finish anything.
2) the point is with European and American support dwindling and resolve to keep money into the fight dwindling the responsibility for buying weapons increasingly falls on the Ukes.
3) Russia wins any straight up competition in manufacturing capabilities and it has China to rely on to keep supplying additional weapons
4) if Ukraine is unable to launch an offensive. Russia can sit back resupply for 6-12 months which gives it a significant advantage.
5) finishing the job means whatever Russia deems it to mean at this point.

A prolonged conflict always favored Russia. And will result in poorer negotiating capability of Ukraine which is why Ukraine should have negotiated from the outset.

Now they are completely screwed as the West predictably abandons them.
Ag with kids
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nortex97 said:





Interesting ongoing evolution with India/China in particular:


Quote:

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and his Indian counterpart Subrahmanyam Jaishankar discussed the conflict in Ukraine, the situation in Afghanistan and the Asia-Pacific Region at their talks in Moscow, Lavrov said at a press conference after the meeting.

"We express our heartfelt gratitude to our Indian counterparts for their aspiration to take a responsible approach in considering and resolving regional and global issues, primarily focusing on national interests, the interests of equal and fair international cooperation. This approach is also characteristic of India's position on the ongoing processes in and around Ukraine, and we have also talked about it," Lavrov said. "We spoke about the situation in Afghanistan."

"We also touched upon other regional topics, such as the situation in the Asia-Pacific Region in the context of the processes unfolding there in parallel, and even, perhaps, contrary to the agreements which were previously reached within the Association of Southeast Asian Nations," the Russian foreign minister said.

According to Lavrov, Moscow and New Delhi have a similar position that in vast Eurasia and in the adjoining water areas, "it is crucial to look for such solutions that will reflect a balance of interests but will not spark confrontational approaches, including those that are sometimes brought in from outside the common region."
Switch to Defense: duh.
Quote:

Kyiv's manpower and arsenals are too depleted to go on the offensive next year, according to some top Ukrainian military experts.

"We don't have the resources for next year's operation," Lieutenant General Ihor Romanenko, the former deputy chief of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, told Al Jazeera.

Polls show that the number of Ukrainians who believe that the war should go on until Ukraine regains all lost territories, including the Crimean peninsula that Russia annexed in 2014, is going down, albeit insignificantly.

Sixty percent believe in Kyiv's imminent military triumph, as opposed to 70 percent last year, according to a Gallup poll released in October. And almost a third of those polled 31 percent think that peace talks with Russia should begin "as soon as possible," compared with 26 percent last year, the poll said.
Most of the supporters of immediate negotiations come from southern (41 percent) and eastern (39 percent) Ukraine, where most of the hostilities took place this year, the poll said.

Meanwhile, Israel's war on Gaza has eclipsed the Russia-Ukraine war in the Western media and halls of power as aid to Ukraine has dwindled or been suspended.

The aid has been keeping Kyiv afloat since the war began in February 2022 and will be the key factor shaping the future and stability of Ukraine's economy, according to Kyiv-based analyst Aleksey Kusch.
"In theory, Ukraine can hold on for between six months and a year on its own. But that will require the freezing of a string of budget articles," he told Al Jazeera.

This is funny...

Now we're using TASS, the Russian new agency...

It's also interesting that the guy that said:
Quote:

"We don't have the resources for next year's operation," Lieutenant General Ihor Romanenko, the former deputy chief of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, told Al Jazeera.

Also said:

Quote:

"They miscalculated," Lieutenant General Ihor Romanenko, the former deputy chief of Ukraine's general staff of armed forces, told Al Jazeera. "We won't let them rest and won't rest ourselves until we fully de-occupy our lands."

Somehow I'm guessing a lot of context has been left out...
Ag with kids
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Ags4DaWin said:

Teslag said:


Quote:

Then go in and finish the job.

Finish it with what? And with who? They couldn't do this in February of 2022 with more weapons, better officers/NCO's and prior to large amounts of NATO aid.

Why can they do it now? And with what?


Once again you are missing the point.

1) I am not rooting for Russia to finish anything.
2) the point is with European and American support dwindling and resolve to keep money into the fight dwindling the responsibility for buying weapons increasingly falls on the Ukes.
3) Russia wins any straight up competition in manufacturing capabilities and it has China to rely on to keep supplying additional weapons
4) if Ukraine is unable to launch an offensive. Russia can sit back resupply for 6-12 months which gives it a significant advantage.
5) finishing the job means whatever Russia deems it to mean at this point.

A prolonged conflict always favored Russia. And will result in poorer negotiating capability of Ukraine which is why Ukraine should have negotiated from the outset.

Now they are completely screwed as the West predictably abandons them.
One of Tesla's points for 2) is that Russia couldn't do squat and got repelled BEFORE that Euro and American support and money starting rolling in.

As to 3) this is good that they're spending lots and lots of money on things that keep getting blown up. Spend that Russian and Chinese cash for no achievements.
nortex97
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Ag with kids said:

nortex97 said:





Interesting ongoing evolution with India/China in particular:


Quote:

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and his Indian counterpart Subrahmanyam Jaishankar discussed the conflict in Ukraine, the situation in Afghanistan and the Asia-Pacific Region at their talks in Moscow, Lavrov said at a press conference after the meeting.

"We express our heartfelt gratitude to our Indian counterparts for their aspiration to take a responsible approach in considering and resolving regional and global issues, primarily focusing on national interests, the interests of equal and fair international cooperation. This approach is also characteristic of India's position on the ongoing processes in and around Ukraine, and we have also talked about it," Lavrov said. "We spoke about the situation in Afghanistan."

"We also touched upon other regional topics, such as the situation in the Asia-Pacific Region in the context of the processes unfolding there in parallel, and even, perhaps, contrary to the agreements which were previously reached within the Association of Southeast Asian Nations," the Russian foreign minister said.

According to Lavrov, Moscow and New Delhi have a similar position that in vast Eurasia and in the adjoining water areas, "it is crucial to look for such solutions that will reflect a balance of interests but will not spark confrontational approaches, including those that are sometimes brought in from outside the common region."
Switch to Defense: duh.
Quote:

Kyiv's manpower and arsenals are too depleted to go on the offensive next year, according to some top Ukrainian military experts.

"We don't have the resources for next year's operation," Lieutenant General Ihor Romanenko, the former deputy chief of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, told Al Jazeera.

Polls show that the number of Ukrainians who believe that the war should go on until Ukraine regains all lost territories, including the Crimean peninsula that Russia annexed in 2014, is going down, albeit insignificantly.

Sixty percent believe in Kyiv's imminent military triumph, as opposed to 70 percent last year, according to a Gallup poll released in October. And almost a third of those polled 31 percent think that peace talks with Russia should begin "as soon as possible," compared with 26 percent last year, the poll said.
Most of the supporters of immediate negotiations come from southern (41 percent) and eastern (39 percent) Ukraine, where most of the hostilities took place this year, the poll said.

Meanwhile, Israel's war on Gaza has eclipsed the Russia-Ukraine war in the Western media and halls of power as aid to Ukraine has dwindled or been suspended.

The aid has been keeping Kyiv afloat since the war began in February 2022 and will be the key factor shaping the future and stability of Ukraine's economy, according to Kyiv-based analyst Aleksey Kusch.
"In theory, Ukraine can hold on for between six months and a year on its own. But that will require the freezing of a string of budget articles," he told Al Jazeera.

This is funny...

Now we're using TASS, the Russian new agency...

It's also interesting that the guy that said:
Quote:

"We don't have the resources for next year's operation," Lieutenant General Ihor Romanenko, the former deputy chief of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, told Al Jazeera.

Also said:

Quote:

"They miscalculated," Lieutenant General Ihor Romanenko, the former deputy chief of Ukraine's general staff of armed forces, told Al Jazeera. "We won't let them rest and won't rest ourselves until we fully de-occupy our lands."

Somehow I'm guessing a lot of context has been left out...
One sure sounds like an admission and one sounds like bravado/propaganda we'd see reported in various fake news sources.
Teslag
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Quote:

the point is with European and American support dwindling and resolve to keep money into the fight dwindling the responsibility for buying weapons increasingly falls on the Ukes.

I think we all know the posturing will end and congress will pass whatever aid the defense industry wants.
Teslag
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Quote:

One sure sounds like an admission and one sounds like bravado/propaganda we'd see reported in various fake news sources.

It sounds exactly the way Russian state media wants it to sound.
nortex97
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Straight up propaganda, LOL.
Teslag
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nortex97 said:



Straight up propaganda, LOL.

More sharing information and not forming an opinion based on pro-russian twitter accounts I see.



He's also sharing a literal opinion piece.
PlaneCrashGuy
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That is hilarious. If the MSM propaganda machine is spooling back, Ukraine is done for.
Teslag
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PlaneCrashGuy said:

That is hilarious. If the MSM propaganda machine is spooling back, Ukraine is done for.

Just like the pro-russian posters here that say Russia has won without controlling the 4 largest Ukrainian cities after Russia lost 60% of their gains?
nortex97
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Yep. Meanwhile, in shifts that matter, Beijing support for Moscow in Ukraine has shifted;

Quote:

An article published December 11, 2023, by the Russian media outlet Vzglyad stated that Western pressure on China made Beijing abandon its neutral stances on the war in Ukraine.

Under the title "Why China Is Seriously Changing Its Stance On Russian Special Military Operation," it stated: "Beijing is gradually abandoning the balancing on two chairs and is not only de facto but also de jure taking the Russian side in the Ukrainian conflict."


China Has Openly Recognized That The Continuation Of Hostilities… Is An Element Of Russia's National Interests And Security'


"A Chinese official has made a statement that can be interpreted as a clear and significant shift in Beijing's position on what is happening in Ukraine. Previously, China, at least in terms of international rhetoric, expressed a positive but still neutral stance but now it clearly justifies and supports the Russian special operation. Why?

"'It's a very independent nation, after all. President Putin makes decisions based on national interests and security.' That's how Wang Lutong, Director-General of the Department of European Affairs of the Foreign Ministry of China, commented on the requests of European politicians to persuade Russia to make concessions on the Ukrainian issue. To put it simply, the Chinese comrades politely refused to play the role of a mediator.

"And there are several important, to some extent even groundbreaking, moments in this statement made by the Chinese side. First of all, the very fact of refusing to mediate in the settlement of the Ukrainian crisis. Not so long ago, the Chinese claimed to be mediators: They put forward their general 12-point plan and promoted it in every possible way. Moreover, it was extremely broad and therefore all-inclusive.

"Now China has openly recognized that the continuation of hostilities (a decision that the Russian authorities have made at least until 'the West gives up its plans to maintain its dominance and its obsession with inflicting a strategic defeat on Russia by the hands of its Kiev puppets') is an element of Russia's 'national interests and security.' That is, [China] actually recognized this decision as correct and legitimate. What kind of mediation is possible in such a case?

"Earlier, it should be recalled, the Chinese refrained from such obvious support for Russian actions during the special operation at least because they were afraid of drawing any parallels and associations with Taiwan, which is striving to turn its de facto independence into a de jure one.

"So, what forced the Chinese side to change its position? Apparently, three major factors."
When I put on my skeptic hat I think the Chinese, and Russians alike realize their proxy ally in (or rather somewhere within/running) the White House won't be there much longer.
PlaneCrashGuy
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You seeing 45 dead Ukes in 1 strike?
nortex97
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I did see that report today, yes. Very sad. Artillery with accurate spotting/targeting data is just exceptionally deadly, especially against relatively untrained/prepared forces.

I struggle to rationalize how the 600/day dead/injured is worth it to whatever folks may think will be left of Ukraine. They are legislating to conscript dwarfs and mentally ******ed into service, among other disabilities now. It's just horrible what Kiev is doing in Biden's proxy war.
Teslag
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nortex97 said:

I did see that report today, yes. Very sad. Artillery with accurate spotting/targeting data is just exceptionally deadly, especially against relatively untrained/prepared forces.

I struggle to rationalize how the 600/day dead/injured is worth it to whatever folks may think will be left of Ukraine. They are legislating to conscript dwarfs and mentally ******ed into service, among other disabilities now. It's just horrible what Kiev is doing in Biden's proxy war.



Their alternative is to surrender…
Teslag
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PlaneCrashGuy said:

You seeing 45 dead Ukes in 1 strike?


According to?
PlaneCrashGuy
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Maybe its just the language, but Russians seem to have a such a somber attitude when talking about this stuff. I wonder if this man is an actor or soldier.

Teslag
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That Twitter users has Russian, Iranian, Chicom flags in his Twitter profile bio. Seems like someone would definitely trust.
PlaneCrashGuy
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Teslag said:

That Twitter users has Russian, Iranian, Chicom flags in his Twitter profile bio. Seems like someone would definitely trust.


Do you have anything to comment on the actual video or my thoughts on it? Thanks.
Teslag
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I think it's a load of BS but you are free to believe whatever you wish from the CCP, Russian, Iranian groups.
Ag with kids
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Teslag said:

nortex97 said:

I did see that report today, yes. Very sad. Artillery with accurate spotting/targeting data is just exceptionally deadly, especially against relatively untrained/prepared forces.

I struggle to rationalize how the 600/day dead/injured is worth it to whatever folks may think will be left of Ukraine. They are legislating to conscript dwarfs and mentally ******ed into service, among other disabilities now. It's just horrible what Kiev is doing in Biden's proxy war.



Their alternative is to surrender…
And a lot more will die when they're punished for resisting Russia.
Ag with kids
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PlaneCrashGuy said:

Maybe its just the language, but Russians seem to have a such a somber attitude when talking about this stuff. I wonder if this man is an actor or soldier.


At least Simplicius is admitting he's pro-Russian now...

Quote:

Meet the heroes who captured Avdeevka Industrial Zone.
Teslag
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Always has been. And some people hang on everything he says like gospel.
nortex97
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I've considered him an informed partisan this whole conflict. Some of his perspectives are frankly wrong, such as the general animosity toward what he will repeatedly term as 'nato tactics/training/equipment' etc.

It's still an informative source toward what information is reported on the 'other' side, especially as to tactics, units, strength, production, strategic stuff etc.



Quote:

Continuing North Korean arms shipments to Russia this winter are allowing Moscow to maintain pressure on Ukraine as it faces the risk of losing critical Western supplies, Bloomberg reported Tuesday, citing satellite imagery.
The United States, South Korea and Japan said in October they had confirmed North Korea was supplying Russia with arms and military equipment supplies for use against Ukraine, adding that Pyongyang was seeking Moscow's military assistance in exchange. Russia and North Korea deny the claims.
Satellite imagery from October-December 2023 appears to show hundreds of shipping containers loaded onto and unloaded from Russian ships at North Korea's Najin and Russia's Dunay ports, which are located 180 kilometers apart, according to Bloomberg.
The Russian-North Korean trade has "continued unabatedly despite additional U.S. sanctions and widespread reporting on this activity in the past few months," analyst Jaewoo Shin of the Austrian Open Nuclear Network risk-reduction program told Bloomberg.
Bloomberg said North Korea holds some of the world's largest munitions stores, much of which is interoperable with Russian weapons in Ukraine.

PlaneCrashGuy
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Ag with kids said:

PlaneCrashGuy said:

Maybe its just the language, but Russians seem to have a such a somber attitude when talking about this stuff. I wonder if this man is an actor or soldier.


At least Simplicius is admitting he's pro-Russian now...

Quote:

Meet the heroes who captured Avdeevka Industrial Zone.



It was never a secret to anyone paying attention. The same could be said about using partisan sources.
Ag with kids
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Teslag said:

Always has been. And some people hang on everything he says like gospel.
Oh I know...but, that was the first one I remember that was BLATANT Russian propaganda...
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