Quote:
So what if it's a parody
The point of the ridicule is that in desperate search for confirmation bias he didn't even bother to see it was parody.
You'd be wise to sometimes do the same.
Quote:
So what if it's a parody
— Cyborgigy (@FrogstarWorld) October 2, 2023
Pls donate your taxmoney to this man.🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/xmD5uzU3ga
— Dr. Anastasia Maria Loupis (@DrLoupis) October 2, 2023
The leader of the party, who won the parliamentary elections in Slovakia, Robert Fico, does not plan to help Ukraine.
— il libanese (@Ramy_Sawma) October 2, 2023
“The war in Ukraine was started by the “fascists” and not the Russians.” - said the winner of the elections in Slovakia, Robert Fico.
Previously, Fico called… pic.twitter.com/7wjnKYgC6e
What's funny is that war proponents are avid followers of this thread, though the more intelligent ones are mostly just lurkers on it, I believe. And to be fair/full disclosure, I do check in on the 'tactical and strategic' thread once a week or so, primarily for chuckles at the fandom there.J. Walter Weatherman said:
When this new version "Ukrainians are mass surrendering" rumor is false (again) will you finally start to question if the "sources" you're consistently using are accurate?
nortex97 said:What's funny is that war proponents are avid followers of this thread, though the more intelligent ones are mostly just lurkers on it, I believe. And to be fair/full disclosure, I do check in on the 'tactical and strategic' thread once a week or so, primarily for chuckles at the fandom there.J. Walter Weatherman said:
When this new version "Ukrainians are mass surrendering" rumor is false (again) will you finally start to question if the "sources" you're consistently using are accurate?
What is your estimate of Ukrainian deaths to date (in military service) in this glorious war against Russia for their freedom/fascist government in Kiev? I'm genuinely curious if you have a reasonable figure in mind or even care. Do you think there is a point at which the KIA/wounded in action levels will cause political problems/more surrenders/defections to the Russians?
No, I will not commit to an open ended 'don't use (any) sources walter weatherman/Teslag oppose/dislike if they are unsatisfied at some point that something doesn't happen/isn't proven to their satisfaction.' Thank you for asking again though. You've again proven your apathy/ignorance about the real human cost to Ukraine of this war, and commitment to not caring about the truth. There are many casualty estimates available, from a wide array of sources including leaked US intelligence. I believe the figure for Ukraine is around 350K-500K.Quote:
When this new version "Ukrainians are mass surrendering" rumor is false (again) will you finally start to question if the "sources" you're consistently using are accurate?
I do believe that the war proponents globally (WEF/blackrock/British gov't/CCP/Democrats etc., and on this forum), like you have zero concern for actual Ukrainians, which is very sad from a human perspective.Quote:
I had forgotten to post this a while back. Ukrainian journalist Roman Revedzhuk who had previously run for office and was involved in Ukrainian politics for a long time revealed that he had received an insider report from the SBU that Ukraine had more than 310,000 KIA as of July:
[url=https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57819f25-1bb3-4e39-8d4d-1d6df4c0f281_748x776.jpeg][/url]
Quote:
He even says some divisions have even worse casualty figures. How much worse can you get than 80-90% casualty rates?
The fact is that it's becoming increasingly clear that some of the worst, most extreme predictions on Ukrainian losses could in fact be true. This extends to things like POW captures, for instance with yesterday's new report that already 3,500 AFU soldiers had surrendered since the launch of Russia's new project to have a special "surrender frequency" on all radio channels where Ukrainians can dial in and safely surrender to Russian forces:The problem is, this project is only a few months old. That means 3,500 have surrendered just since July or so when I believe it was launched. That would explain the sudden uptick to 18k total POWs, as the new radio channel made it very convenient for AFU to surrender safelywhich had classically been one of the main barriers preventing their surrender. They feared by going out into an open field, etc., they would be shot by jumpy snipers or anyone not seeing their makeshift white flag.Quote:
Since the launch of the Volga project, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine are invited to go to the frequency of 149.200 for surrender, just over 3,500 enemy soldiers and officers have voluntarily surrendered. In fact, a whole brigade of "counter-offensive".
But the new channel allows them to fully coordinate the surrender with opposing Russian forces, who give them instructions where and how to do it and then inform all nearby friendlies not to fire on the Ukrainian troops.
nortex97 said:
LOL, you have no idea how many have been killed, that's pretty funny. Thank you for the confirmation.
To your question:No, I will not commit to an open ended 'don't use (any) sources walter weatherman/Teslag oppose/dislike if they are unsatisfied at some point that something doesn't happen/isn't proven to their satisfaction.' Thank you for asking again though. You've again proven your apathy/ignorance about the real human cost to Ukraine of this war, and commitment to not caring about the truth. There are many casualty estimates available, from a wide array of sources including leaked US intelligence. I believe the figure for Ukraine is around 350K-500K.Quote:
When this new version "Ukrainians are mass surrendering" rumor is false (again) will you finally start to question if the "sources" you're consistently using are accurate?
From July (note, this is coming from a Ukrainian source, not a Russian one):I do believe that the war proponents globally (WEF/blackrock/British gov't/CCP/Democrats etc., and on this forum), like you have zero concern for actual Ukrainians, which is very sad from a human perspective.Quote:
I had forgotten to post this a while back. Ukrainian journalist Roman Revedzhuk who had previously run for office and was involved in Ukrainian politics for a long time revealed that he had received an insider report from the SBU that Ukraine had more than 310,000 KIA as of July:
[url=https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57819f25-1bb3-4e39-8d4d-1d6df4c0f281_748x776.jpeg][/url]
But anyway, the "Volga" 149.200 channel for the UFA folks to surrender is only a few weeks old (well, maybe a bit over a month or so now); this actually dovetails into the casualty discussion:Quote:
He even says some divisions have even worse casualty figures. How much worse can you get than 80-90% casualty rates?
The fact is that it's becoming increasingly clear that some of the worst, most extreme predictions on Ukrainian losses could in fact be true. This extends to things like POW captures, for instance with yesterday's new report that already 3,500 AFU soldiers had surrendered since the launch of Russia's new project to have a special "surrender frequency" on all radio channels where Ukrainians can dial in and safely surrender to Russian forces:The problem is, this project is only a few months old. That means 3,500 have surrendered just since July or so when I believe it was launched. That would explain the sudden uptick to 18k total POWs, as the new radio channel made it very convenient for AFU to surrender safelywhich had classically been one of the main barriers preventing their surrender. They feared by going out into an open field, etc., they would be shot by jumpy snipers or anyone not seeing their makeshift white flag.Quote:
Since the launch of the Volga project, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine are invited to go to the frequency of 149.200 for surrender, just over 3,500 enemy soldiers and officers have voluntarily surrendered. In fact, a whole brigade of "counter-offensive".
But the new channel allows them to fully coordinate the surrender with opposing Russian forces, who give them instructions where and how to do it and then inform all nearby friendlies not to fire on the Ukrainian troops.
While I clearly don't like the occupant of the White House, and feel his treason has contributed significantly to the war, I also see it as counter to American interests, and Ukrainian ones alike. Even the current disgraced administration has concerns about corruption, as well, which is at this point inevitable in all that the Bidens touch:Quote:
clearly not only updating this thread daily because you don't like who is in the White House.
U.S. Strategy on Ukraine Identifies Corruption as the Primary Concern (shock)
— DD Geopolitics (@DD_Geopolitics) October 2, 2023
According to a "leaked" confidential U.S. strategy document obtained by POLITICO, officials in the Biden administration are significantly more concerned about corruption in Ukraine than they openly… pic.twitter.com/vA8hk9Y664
nortex97 said:While I clearly don't like the occupant of the White House, and feel his treason has contributed significantly to the war, I also see it as counter to American interests, and Ukrainian ones alike. Even the current disgraced administration has concerns about corruption, as well, which is at this point inevitable in all that the Bidens touch:Quote:
clearly not only updating this thread daily because you don't like who is in the White House.U.S. Strategy on Ukraine Identifies Corruption as the Primary Concern (shock)
— DD Geopolitics (@DD_Geopolitics) October 2, 2023
According to a "leaked" confidential U.S. strategy document obtained by POLITICO, officials in the Biden administration are significantly more concerned about corruption in Ukraine than they openly… pic.twitter.com/vA8hk9Y664
A proxy commander, ordering people to their death by the hundreds of thousands, for a few kilometers of land, to mask his corruption/graft and damage America is significant and yes worth following to me. I again am a bit…surprised you have again demonstrated utter apathy toward the grunts forced to their death (they aren't 'volunteers') and Biden's (Ukrainian/CCP) corruption, alike. I would think the war 'proponents' would at least be clamoring for the Russian billionaires who have paid millions to the Biden to be included on the US sanctions (like the widow of the former mayor of Moscow), but again I guess that is less fun than posting fun videos of tanks getting hit. Enjoy your moral high ground, though.
I like the last Xeet. Especially the reader context...nortex97 said:
So what if it's a parody, it's…pretty true/on point. Besides…the actual Elon account has been dropping some Ukraine truth bombs the past 24 hours.Interesting perspective https://t.co/oTIaNEGVPR
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) October 2, 2023— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) October 1, 2023
Including calling out the Ukro-nazi supporters in canada;Trudeau is trying to crush free speech in Canada. Shameful. https://t.co/oHFFvyBGxu
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) October 1, 2023Followers of the war in Ukraine may recognize this emblem, often seen on Ukrainian soldiers' uniforms. It comes from the SS Division Totenkopf.
— Wolf Bronsky (@WolfBronsky) September 26, 2023
A (long, two part) thread on one of the most fascinating, and misunderstood, formations of the Waffen-SS, from their origin to 1942. pic.twitter.com/28BeioIwBZ
This effing guy…"To stop funding Ukraine is a death sentence to Taiwan"
— Olga Bazova (@OlgaBazova) October 1, 2023
-- Lindsey Graham
This is exactly what I meant by the US perpetual war and other fronts in the post below. The US economy requires never ending wars to survive. https://t.co/N6uTrnkURb pic.twitter.com/1zo4kUDnMr
Not to be outdone by Liz effing Cheney, who is somehow even more contemptible.Project Ukraine has failed and with it comes the most dangerous time. The cornered beast from the West will keep convulsing in dying throes, as this conflict is existential for all parties involved. The state of perpetual war is essential to keeping the Western economical bubble… pic.twitter.com/uhCav7Nuhr
— Olga Bazova (@OlgaBazova) October 1, 2023True dictatorial regime being sponsored and funded by the first world liberal democracies. People can't even mourn the dead ones. Unless Ukrainians realise it's not their war unfortunately there's no end to it.
— Abhijeet Tripathi (@AbhTri_) October 2, 2023If by sus, you mean hilarious, agreed.
— Von Clownsewitz's War College (@vonClownsewitz) October 2, 2023— Von Clownsewitz's War College (@vonClownsewitz) September 30, 2023
Nationalist party wins in Slovakian election, backing Russia.Breaking: Ukraine Surrendering. The end approaches.
— Jim Ferguson (@JimFergusonUK) October 2, 2023
Special radio frequency being used so that Ukrainian soldiers can safely surrender to Russian forces.
Prepare for #Zelensky to run before capture.
Thousands of Ukrainian soldiers are opting to surrender to the Russian Army.… pic.twitter.com/joh9GPvtXX
Community Notes should be impartial and not politically biased. This needs to be corrected.https://t.co/51VCqYZKBk
— Jim Ferguson (@JimFergusonUK) October 2, 2023
Russia is getting WEALTHIER while the USA is getting weaker.
— Shawn Quinn (@ShawnQuinn83) October 2, 2023
DEFUND UKRAINE.https://t.co/aDxFNlabD0
GAC06 said:
Community notes is biased, y'all. Here's what RT says.
At least it's not a parody account I guess.
Quote:
The Russian News Agency TASS (Russian: , tr. Informatsionnoye agentstvo Rossii, or Information agency of Russia), abbreviated TASS (), is a Russian state-owned news agency founded in 1904. It is the largest Russian news agency and one of the largest news agencies worldwide.
TASS is registered as a Federal State Unitary Enterprise, owned by the Government of Russia
nortex97 said:
Try to keep up.Community Notes should be impartial and not politically biased. This needs to be corrected.https://t.co/51VCqYZKBk
— Jim Ferguson (@JimFergusonUK) October 2, 2023
Meanwhile...Russia is getting WEALTHIER while the USA is getting weaker.
— Shawn Quinn (@ShawnQuinn83) October 2, 2023
DEFUND UKRAINE.https://t.co/aDxFNlabD0
Ukrainians began to take revenge on Elon Musk for the memes.
— Nothing to see (@Wagnersfamily) October 2, 2023
They have already painted someone's Tesla in Kiev.
🤡 pic.twitter.com/5v9VoMueGx
Chrystia Freeland (Nazi granddaughter) and Hillary Clinton explained that Ukrainians are dying right now so that NATO could send a message to China. pic.twitter.com/hXdFBQV31B
— Ignorance, the root and stem of all evil (@ivan_8848) October 2, 2023
Starting today, the National Bank of Ukraine will abolish the fixed exchange rate.
— DD Geopolitics (@DD_Geopolitics) October 3, 2023
In a situation where the United States froze funding for 45 days, it is necessary to get money from somewhere.
The simplest option is to devalue the hryvnia. The second is to take away local… pic.twitter.com/ntbkPWSEJz
And this is the full espionage story unfolding now. Astonishing https://t.co/Cde9wSTJMG
— Jake Wallis Simons (@JakeWSimons) October 2, 2023
The Ukrainian parliament has motioned a law allowing Mobilization of men over 60 years of age.
— Chay Bowes (@BowesChay) October 2, 2023
Privates will now be able to serve from 60 to 65, Senior officers from 65 to 70 with no limit on time of service pic.twitter.com/1W3CHywKj3
I laughed that Breitbart now has a "Ukraine Forever War" article section.Quote:
Europe's bills have grown on a number of counts, primary being the energy prices, directly attributable to the Ukraine-Russia war, which have added to the economic morass that global slowdown has slapped. The cost-of-living crisis is not over yet.
Recent events in the US and Europe, both West and the East, added to surveys conducted among the populace of these regions don't augur well for Ukraine. The mix of omens for Ukraine becomes darker when the internal political compulsions of these countries is considered. Ukraine itself has not helped matters, childishly attacking the likes of Poland on open forums, such as the United Nations General Assembly.
Opinion polls unfavourable for Ukraine
Surveys among Americans and major countries of western Europe have thrown up findings that indicate that people no more support measures to help Ukraine, especially military and monetary aid to help Ukraine fight Russia with the same enthusiasm that was seen earlier. These surveys were carried out by Bruegel. They evidence that people in countries such as Poland, Italy, Germany, France and Spain are slowly but certainly growing weary of financial aid to Ukraine.
Domestic politics: 'let's take care of ourselves, first'
This leads to the next problematic point for Ukraine. The direct fallout of this crisis is an anti-Ukraine rhetoric that Opposition parties in these countries have amped up 'let's take care of ourselves, first'. The narrative has started resonating with people as several significant European players and the US are heading for general polls to decide their next national leadership.
In the latest example of how internal political compulsions can wreck hitherto dominant policy stance on Ukraine is the US shutdown deal that has left Kyiv hanging out to dry. While President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was recently in Washington to drum up support for more aid, the compromise deal has dropped new funding for Ukraine amid solid opposition from hardline Republicans. Despite vehement exhortations from President Joe Biden, the wider message that has gone out to the larger world: not just Republicans, even Democrats can leave Kyiv in the cold owing to compulsions of domestic politics in the run up to the 2024 presidential elections.
If this conflict has exposed anything, it's that every single libtard and self-entitled cynical Westoid that always yell at the top of their lungs about the might of NATO and how it would crush Russia within the matter of weeks in conventional warfare are all dead wrong. https://t.co/m3VCO2EARF
— Olga Bazova (@OlgaBazova) October 3, 2023
Teslag said:
So Russia coudn't roll Ukraine before they got NATO weapons, and now is losing ground to Ukraine with their hand me down NATO weapons, all without any CAS, and their milblogger parrot thinks NATO itself couldn't roll Russia with their own troops, top of the line weapons, and air support?
And you believe that?
🚨- Former Democrat Congressman turned lobbyist Jim Moran just added the Ukrainian government as a client for $25,000/month.
— Natalie Winters (@nataliegwinters) October 3, 2023
The letter outlining their agreement says funds will come from a virtually untraceable Ukrainian non-profit called "Ukraine Freedom."
Is Ukraine aid… pic.twitter.com/R1TB0xa4tx
He started a conversation...Teslag said:
So Russia coudn't roll Ukraine before they got NATO weapons, and now is losing ground to Ukraine with their hand me down NATO weapons, all without any CAS, and their milblogger parrot thinks NATO itself couldn't roll Russia with their own troops, top of the line weapons, and air support?
And you believe that?
It is EXACTLY that...notex said:Teslag said:
So Russia coudn't roll Ukraine before they got NATO weapons, and now is losing ground to Ukraine with their hand me down NATO weapons, all without any CAS, and their milblogger parrot thinks NATO itself couldn't roll Russia with their own troops, top of the line weapons, and air support?
And you believe that?
None of that is what nortex posted, just your usual lies and snark. "Cry me a river" could be your next username.
This video of a Sky News interview with Ukrainian MP Lesia Vasylenko was apparently deleted from X/Twitter after it was posted.
— DD Geopolitics (@DD_Geopolitics) October 3, 2023
She slips out the "truth" about the so-called "Ukrainian counteroffensive" but in true Ukrainian fashion still manages to blame and beg their western… pic.twitter.com/YvyBaKKzCR
I don’t want to even hear the word “Ukraine” from the new speaker until after the border is secured, DOJ’s weaponization is defunded, the censorship-industrial complex is nuked, gas is back below $2/gal, inflation is eliminated, America’s economy is decoupled from China, and the…
— Sean Davis (@seanmdav) October 3, 2023
McCarthy's resignation threatens to deprive Kyiv of US aid
— Sprinter (@Sprinter99800) October 4, 2023
The removal of Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy has set a historical precedent. In addition, it added uncertainty to the issue of further American assistance to Ukraine, writes The Guardian. pic.twitter.com/0l6mfXkSJE
In today's "Unprovoked" series episode:
— Olga Bazova (@OlgaBazova) October 3, 2023
"IT'S NOT ABOUT NATO" pic.twitter.com/LVPZCAfSwm
Details here …
— Lord Bebo (@MyLordBebo) October 4, 2023
2/ https://t.co/l2OdBmbUbT
‼️🇺🇦 Odessa is such a Russian speaking city, that the city planners make street signs in Ukrainian with errors.
— Lord Bebo (@MyLordBebo) October 4, 2023
Nobody there knows Ukrainian! https://t.co/kFcDky55pH pic.twitter.com/VeCnkee8wJ
The number of UKR amputees being as high as 50,000, the growth of graveyards, the fact that UKR has purchased more land to expand graveyards of war dead, statements from UKR soldiers in the Western press about the high turnover in units (several times over) since the beginning /2
— Just Me (@failure1991) October 4, 2023
PlaneCrashGuy said:
"Russia is winning"
Straight from the horses mouth, Lesia.
🚨 Biden's Ukraine Strategy hits new low among voters:
— The Daily Signal (@DailySignal) October 4, 2023
52% of Democrats and 17% of Republicans desire to continue financially aiding Ukraine.https://t.co/vGnFtwntJy
BREAKING: Senator McConnell too stunned to speak regarding McCarthy's removal as Speaker.
— U.S. Ministry of Truth (@USMiniTru) October 3, 2023
Or he was having another stroke. We aren't entirely sure. pic.twitter.com/57YmvpCr88
🚨 BREAKING: Kevin McCarthy has been nominated for Speaker of the Ukrainian Parliament. pic.twitter.com/50Uz6koNO6
— U.S. Ministry of Truth (@USMiniTru) October 3, 2023
Quote:
But anyway, clearly even Democrats are getting sick of funding this war.
Quote:
Overall, the Chicago Council poll found that 63 percent of U.S. adults support providing additional arms and military supplies to the Ukrainian government. Democratic support stands at 77 percent, barely changed from 79 percent in the summer of 2022. Among independents, support has fallen eight points to 60 percent. Among Republicans, support now stands at 50 percent.
It is alleged that Olena Zelenskaya made huge purchases at New Yorks Cartier store during her husbands recent trip to the UN.
— Chay Bowes (@BowesChay) October 4, 2023
Apparently, a store worker has shared copies of receipts totalling over $1,000,000 pic.twitter.com/1eImSsQCfT
There's zero logical connection between 'saving Ukraine" and Taiwan. It's been funny to hear that one echoed in unison though.Quote:
And the fact is, this is not something you can turn around even if you wanted to. The way military support works is your logistics chains from many months ago are critical to the efforts of today. What would be essential to a hypothetical Ukrainian spring 2024 offensive would need to be heavy arms shipping now. The fact that there is nothing new of note being shipped means Ukraine's near and medium term future look stark.
CNN and others had forecast this gloomy change weeks ago:
Now, in a desperate plea to reengage the public on the putative 'threat' that Russia poses in defeating Ukraine, the globalist scriptwriters have rolled out a new narrative: saving Ukraine means saving Taiwan from China. You can see thisas usualin the orchestrated nature of the sudden, totally aligned messaging, which has clearly been sent down as 'guidance' from above.
Again a discussion of casualties/depopulation ensues with sources, at the link, but I'll forego pasting here to keep it sort of short. Conclusions are about right:Quote:The early results of these increases are already showing on the battlefield. Russia's drone production is said to be skyrocketing to such levels that each month brings verified new highs of usages that are literally doubling and tripling the previous months:Quote:
Ukrainian telegram channel "Resident": The Biden administration is going to reduce funding for Ukraine three times, our enemy, on the contrary, is setting a record military budget.
"Putin is preparing for eternal war." Spending on the army in the Russian budget will increase to a record since USSR times, - The Moscow Times.
According to journalists, for the first time the army and factories of the military-industrial complex will receive more than $200 billion.
"Such military expenditures have never occurred in the entire modern history of Russia."
Is it worth talking about the results on the battlefield next year, when the enemy will build a UAV production plant, produce thousands of new Lancets, and receive new MLRS from the DPRK.
It is not difficult to predict the results of such preparations for Ukraine, especially considering the failures on the international track.
Here's a chart showing Russian drone (Lancets and FPVs) and UMPK glidebomb usage before the counteroffensive (blue) and afterwards (red):
Forever war, comrades, if, that is, the next US House speaker supports sending more, asap.Quote:
If funding truly collapses, and Russia ups the pressure during the winter, with a high intensity strike campaign on Ukraine's infrastructure, then I don't see how Ukraine even makes it past spring 2024. Even heavily pro-Ukrainian observers are starting to see the writing on the wall, like this one, who wrote a Twitter thread describing how hopeless the situation now seems:That being said, though Westerners and Ukrainians are starting to admit Ukraine can't win, they're still clinging to the face-saving cope that Russia can only achieve a freezing of the conflict at best. I think they're going to be in for a very rude awakening. Russia is only just beginning to ramp up its industries and has not even attempted or begun any major offensive maneuvers yet.Quote:
I've been wanting to say this for a while, but now it looks the writing is on the wall. I believe that Ukraine is on the verge of LOSING THIS WAR. (A thread)
Russia is: -Bolstering military spending and weapons production despite sanctions -Improving technology rapidly (Deadlier Lancets, aviation, and glide bombs) -Bolstering already complex defense lines in the south -New railway line to significantly reduce logistical problems
Ukraine is: -Losing popular support abroad (Slovakian election, drama with Poland, US cuts aid) -Keeps launching disastrous attacks with unsustainable losses in equipment, only to result in no reward -Counteroffensive at a halt -Shortage of manpower with no easy fix
It doesn't matter that Russia failed to take Kyiv, Odesa, or Kharkiv. The very fact that Russia got away with doing a 20th century style land grab and emerged stronger than before is a ALREADY WIN FOR RUSSIA.
So what is there to do about this? My advice to pro-Ukraine people is this: Don't be depressed about something you cannot control. Stop engaging with people you hate on the internet. Instead, improve your own life, like going to the gym. Gym is the best copium, and it will help.
I remain pro-Ukraine, and this is still all speculation. However, it seems increasingly likely that we are nearing the end of the conflict, with Ukraine unable to recover its lost territories. I hope I'm wrong about all this, but I have little to no hope left.
That being said, as a final caveat, I don't think Russia is in a hurry or needs to launch massive offensives even by spring of 2024. As Kirby just said, "Time is not our friend"the West is admitting that time favors Russia. I had previously stated that if Ukraine chooses to somehow cling on to the last man, Russia could choose to continue the current pace of attritional warfare well throughout 2024 and into 2025 until Ukraine is too battered to continue even defending. But it will all depend on whether allies find enough resolve to sustain Ukraine in at least a 'moderate' level, giving them just enough to defend themselves, or whether solidarity completely collapses and they pull the plug entirely on Ukrainian support.