Russia/Ukraine from Another Perspective (Relaunch Part Deux)

485,228 Views | 9120 Replies | Last: 16 hrs ago by YouBet
TXAggie2011
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AG
I'm not mocking anyone. I'm saying the "civil war" didn't start "before Russia entered the lobby."

And Crimea isn't in the Donbas or eastern Ukraine.
nortex97
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AG
Victoria Nuland et al. played a large role in the unrest/annexation/change of governments from Yanukovich starting in 2013. Your history is incomplete/inaccurate if you believe Russia just sua sponte decided to take that action. Russia felt it was somehow not right for America/Obama folks to be picking the Ukrainian cabinet/gov't officials.

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Russian-backed Viktor Yanukovych was facing mounting pressure as the President of Ukraine for failing to sign the Ukraine-EU agreement in November 2013. The autonomous Crimean parliament supported Yanukovych while the rest of the country opposed him. At least 50 protesters were shot dead by the police in Kyiv. Ukraine was on the verge of a civil war.
Context always matters.

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Putin, a former KGB colonel, came to power in 1999 after the disastrous decadelong rule of Boris Yeltsin, who ran Russia into the ground.

In that year, 1999, Putin watched as America conducted a 78-day bombing campaign on Serbia, the Balkan nation that had historically been a protectorate of Mother Russia.

That year, also, three former Warsaw Pact nations, the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland, were brought into NATO.

Against whom were these countries to be protected by U.S. arms and the NATO alliance, the question was fairly asked.

The question seemed to be answered fully in 2004, when Slovenia, Slovakia, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Romania and Bulgaria were admitted into NATO, a grouping that included three former republics of the USSR itself, as well as three more former Warsaw Pact nations.

Then, in 2008, came the Bucharest declaration that put Georgia and Ukraine, both bordering on Russia, on a path to NATO membership.

Georgia, the same year, attacked its seceded province of South Ossetia, where Russian troops were acting as peacekeepers, killing some.

This triggered a Putin counterattack through the Roki Tunnel in North Ossetia that liberated South Ossetia and moved into Georgia all the way to Gori, the birthplace of Stalin. George W. Bush, who had pledged "to end tyranny in our world," did nothing. After briefly occupying part of Georgia, the Russians departed but stayed as protectors of the South Ossetians.

The U.S. establishment has declared this to have been a Russian war of aggression, but an EU investigation blamed Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili for starting the war.

In 2014, a democratically elected pro-Russian president of Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych, was overthrown in Kyiv and replaced by a pro-Western regime. Rather than lose Sevastopol, Russia's historic naval base in Crimea, Putin seized the peninsula and declared it Russian territory.
The Debt
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TXAggie2011 said:

I'm not mocking anyone. I'm saying the "civil war" didn't start "before Russia entered the lobby."

And Crimea isn't in the Donbas or eastern Ukraine.

The key difference is that prior to 2022, the belligerent were understood to be residents of Donestks and Luhansk, who were given Russian equipment.

That being said, the initial Russian invasion, needs additional consideration. So when Putin started the talk of recognizing Luhansk and Donestk republics as part of the Russian federation late last summer and people were saying this is an escalation. They were already in war for 5 months, what the fk is the escalation, right? By truly annexing these provinces, it gives Putin legal authority to activate the Russian military to engage in Ukraine. So wtf does that mean prior? It means that the special operation was manned by Russian equivalent of our green berets (those who organize and teach civilians how to fight) and, this is key, residents of Luhansks and Doenstk who fled to russia. They got training and weapons and were sent back to fight for their lands.

Everyone was laughing an a "russian" convoy of a beat up yugo and an ice cream truck the first week of the invasion, that wasn't Russian regulars, those were converted civilians. Some estimates are putting that initial force to be 80% Donbassian-born fighters.

Do I believe it's that high? No. But the point is until 2022, Russia wasn't engaged in a special operation. Think about it this way, the difference between our involvement in Libya and Somalia. In both cases we are supporting locals in a conflict, in both cases we are dropping bodies too. But Somalia was significantly different than Libya. Libya was more clandestine, Somalia was overt intervention.

Libya : Crimea
Somalia : Special Operation inUkraine
nortex97
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AG
Robert L. Peters
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Why do you love Putin? /Ukrainefanbois
What you say, Paper Champion? I'm gonna beat you like a dog, a dog, you hear me!
oh no
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AG

javajaws
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Some of you'll are really delusional if you think Putin is doing this for "Russians" in Ukraine. He cares nothing about those people and is just using them as a pretext to get what he wants - the strategic benefits of having the eastern and coastal areas of Ukraine.
oh no
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I thought this was the thread for wrong-think, unapproved narratives and non-WW3 fanboys and warmongers aka Putin stooges.
J. Walter Weatherman
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nortex97 said:




How is Biden "blocking a ceasefire"?
The Debt
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javajaws said:

Some of you'll are really delusional if you think Putin is doing this for "Russians" in Ukraine. He cares nothing about those people and is just using them as a pretext to get what he wants - the strategic benefits of having the eastern and coastal areas of Ukraine.


Absolutely.

People dont want to hear it, but it's the truth. It's always been about the black sea. I have stated that the "denazification" is a red herring, but that doesn't make the reality of Nazis untrue. I have stated a dozen times that the Nazi rationale is not a valid pretext for war, but that does not make the reality of Ukraine's nazi problem untrue.
Urban Country Boy
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I think some people think the Russian people are all in on this. They are not. It is mostly one guy.

I have been to Russia/Moscow/Siberia for work. The people that grew up in the Soviet time don't smile. Don't talk. They are scared because even their neighbors would rat them out. It is a different world. Not excusing it but this is all Putin and his bunch.

I am sure there are others here that have been to Russia. I am curious to know if that was the impression you had.
nortex97
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It's a challenge to gauge what the real popularity/approval of the 'special operation' (war) is in Russia, but in general it appears to be a positive.

What remains true though is that...this doesn't matter much strategically. Russia is a lot further from a popular revolution than, for instance, Iran.

Ultimately, they seem ready to negotiate for a truce, which is great.
nortex97
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John Kirby from the WH on fake news CNN: "Yes, we would expect Ukraine to reject calls for a ceasefire, and would do so ourselves too."



Sigh…
nortex97
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Ben Cohen of Ben and Jerry's Ice Cream fame is a funding source behind anti-open-checkbook Ukraine aid:

Quote:

A group known as the Eisenhower Media Network, operated by the People's Power Initiative, is feeding money into a public relations effort to limit American military and financial support for Kyiv. And the man behind it is none other than Ben Cohen of Ben & Jerry's ice cream fame. Given his historic support for politicians like Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, along with various progressive policies, Cohen isn't exactly the Mega-MAGA monster you were expecting to find under the bed.
Quote:

Cohen isn't even attempting to deny his involvement. He provided a quote to the Daily Beast, saying, "I think the U.S. should use its power to negotiate an end to the war, not prolong the death and destruction by supplying more weapons."

This doesn't fit the media narrative regarding military support for Ukraine. And it's a narrative that is constantly repeated by many Republicans in Congress as well. We have to support Ukraine "for as long as it takes" because "democracy is in peril" or something. But that position isn't reflected among the American public anywhere near as solidly.

The latest poll from NBC News shows that support for providing more weapons and funding to Zelensky and his government has finally fallen below 50 percent. 49 percent supported more funding while 47% were opposed. Rather than being some sort of issue with near-unanimous consent, that poll paints the picture of an evenly divided nation.
Glad I finally agree with that guy on something, and resistance/skepticism continues to build broadly among the American public.
nortex97
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AG
Speaking of very fake news and lies about US support for revolutions abroad:

oh no
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I'm sure he just used his own money



I can't believe Putin keeps lying about how corrupt Ukraine is. USA needs to send billions and billions more money over there so the corruption will end.

I wonder why Ukraine is so corrupt anyway.
nortex97
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I'm surprised there's any corruption left in Ukraine after Biden having been involved for so long.

Very interesting piece on the Russian perspective/mindset on war:

Quote:

To appreciate the Russian perspective, we should consider some basic historical facts. Americans were profoundly shocked by our loss of more than 50,000 soldiers in the Vietnam War; in World War II, the toll was approximately 450,000. Now contrast that with historical memory in Russia. It is impossible to know the Soviet death toll from 1941 to 1945, but it was surely greater than 20 millionabout 1 in 7 of all people, adults and children. Only 3 percent of Russian men born between 1923 and 1924 survived the war. Now go back a few more decades. During World War I, the revolutions of 1917, and the civil war that followed it, more than 10 million lost their lives, not just from violence but, even more so, from hunger. In 1812, Napoleon's Grand Army, the largest in European history up to that point, reached Moscow, which burned to the ground. In 1898, Nikolai Sukhotin, director of the General Staff Academy (the Russian equivalent of West Point), calculated that Russia had spent 353 of the previous 525 yearstwo-thirds of its history as a nationwaging war.

Is it any wonder, then, that war means something different to Russians? In their conquest of the Russian lands in the 1230s, the Mongols wiped out whole cities and then ruled for more than two centuries. Even after their defeat, the Mongols' successors in Crimea continued to raid Russia, burning Moscow twice, in pursuit of slaves to sell in the Middle East. "Crimea" is not just the name of a geographical space seized by Putin's Russia in 2014. It is also a constant reminder of horrific battles, such as the raid on the Sevastopol fortress by the British and French during the Crimean War (18531856) and by the Nazis in World War II.

The Russian church has often elevated military leaders, not for dying for the faith, but simply for their military prowess in defense of the Motherland. In 1988, the church canonized Dmitry Donskoy, the first Russian leader to defeat the Mongols in battle. Alexander Nevsky, generally considered by Russians to be the greatest countryman in their history, was proclaimed a saint for his victories over the Swedes and Teutonic knights in the 13th century. He is now the patron saint of the FSB (Putin's successor to the KGB). Admiral Fyodor Ushakov, who fought the Turks in the 18th century, has become the patron saint (I am not making this up) of nuclear bombers.

President Putin chose May 7 for his inauguration in 2000 so it would lead directly into the May 9 holiday. An honor guard wore uniforms recalling those of the Napoleonic Wars. Imagine the mockery if an American president's inauguration featured uniforms from the war of 1812. To us, 1812 was another world, and I know no one who, when visiting Washington, recalls how the British burned it. For Russians, on the other hand, history, especially military history, is not something in the past. Kerry's comment about Russians behaving as if it were the 19th century presumes a linear view of history, in which later is better (or at least more sophisticated). But for Russians, history is cyclical. As Carleton astutely observes, "national identity . . . assumes that history . . . repeats itself, extending back for centuries through a pattern of confrontation in which the actors' names may change but not the primary action." So understood, all wars become the same war, "a single paradigmatic one that pits Russians against an implacable foe, where they are always the victims but never the vanquished." Hitler really did plan to exterminate or enslave the Russians, and the Nazi thousand-day siege of Leningrad was designed to lead not to the occupation of the city but its elimination from the face of the earth. Seeing all wars as one war, many Russians read such intentions anachronistically into all earlier conflicts and presume them in all present conflicts.

Whoever is Russia's enemy means to destroy it utterly. No special evidence is required to characterize Ukrainians resisting Russia as "fascists" or "Nazis," and NATO support of Ukraine can be meant only to destroy Russia. Only recently, many Russians maintain, the massive influx of Western economic and cultural influences after the fall of the USSR almost destroyed Russia "spiritually."
It's a lengthy piece. I wouldn't want any of our Ukraine 'yay war!' cheerleaders to hurt themselves trying to suffer through it, but I'm glad more 'out there in the real world' folks are considering/reading such analyses.
oh no
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nortex97
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Correct.

Also, from what I've read the past couple days it sounds like Russia is regaining the initiative. I would anticipate it will be looked back on as a mistake for Biden/Zelensky/Blinken to turn down ceasefire negotiations.



nortex97
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AG


willtackleforfood
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Oh no knows.


TH36
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Since when in warfare is gaining a few measly inches of ground to the cost of 100's and 1000's of lives considered "gaining the initiative back"? Dude, you are sooooo blinded by whatever it is that makes you tick.
nortex97
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AG
You sound like a Biden voter.



TheEternalPessimist
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nortex97 said:

You sound like a Biden voter.




The USSR threw unending waves of humanity at the Nazis. Their losses in Stalingrad were abhorrent and seemingly stupid. But they did win the most deadly battle ever fought using the tactic.
--

"The Kingdom is for HE that can TAKE IT!" - Alexander
TH36
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Nope, guess again.

You sound like Putins mouth piece.

I've also deduced that the new far far right conservative is the new Neville Chamberlain. "Nothing happening over there, just give them what they want and nothing will happen over there"… That's a solid world policy.
Robert L. Peters
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No. We are just done with your endless wars and padding pocketbooks. We are done fighting your wars.
What you say, Paper Champion? I'm gonna beat you like a dog, a dog, you hear me!
nortex97
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AG
Between Hitler and Stalin neither cared about their fellow man/countrymen, one iota. Both had depraved hearts (and were militarily, and otherwise, morons at best).

Frankly, there are parallels to what is going on today with endless wars/stupidity on all sides. Commies, leftists, moslems, totalitarians, socialists, globalists, whatever.
TH36
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So then what do you do with tyrants? Let them run free?

Putins a tyrant, no matter what fake rhetoric you gobble up that makes you think it's NATO's fault.
nortex97
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AG
I don't support either side, I don't trust Biden to look out for America's interests, and I don't frankly care one iota if Putin takes Kiev, either.

HTH/sorry to hurt your precious feelings!

Strengthening the Sino-Russian alliance while spending a multiple of what we did in Afghanistan in a decade, in a little over a year (with an open checkbook looking forward) while getting a few hundred thousand needlessly killed in a land war in Asia/eastern Europe and depleting our military/reserves/cash/banking system/causing massive economic inflation is not some cause I have to just reflexively salute patriotically.

But you do you. Slava stuff.
notex
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AG


"Undersupplied?"???
pagerman @ work
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nortex97 said:

I don't support either side, I don't trust Biden to look out for America's interests, and I don't frankly care one iota if Putin takes Kiev, either.

HTH/sorry to hurt your precious feelings!


This is belied by you giving a "thumbs up" to your post above regarding Russia's inexorable advance using massed artillery as well as your posts on this thread in general. You don't have to say "I want Ukraine to lose" in order to make it clear where your interests lie. While you may not want Putin & Russia to win, it is more than clear you want Ukraine to lose. And that's fine, but the attempts at claiming neutrality are pathetically weak because they fly directly in the face of your ample posting history on the topic.

I do wish the anti-Ukraine people would just state that position openly rather than continually attempting to claim neutrality while simultaneously being blatantly anti-Ukraine. There is nothing inherently wrong with being anti-Ukraine. It would make discussions easier and more honest. The pro-Ukraine folks are very open about their beliefs.

Quote:

Strengthening the Sino-Russian alliance while spending a multiple of what we did in Afghanistan in a decade, in a little over a year (with an open checkbook looking forward) while getting a few hundred thousand needlessly killed in a land war in Asia/eastern Europe and depleting our military/reserves/cash/banking system/causing massive economic inflation is not some cause I have to just reflexively salute patriotically.


Please stop with the fiction that the war in Ukraine is causing inflation. That is simply not true. Spending $150 billion in a $6 trillion budget is a pimple on the ass of inflation. What caused and is continuing to cause inflation is Trump and Congress blowing up federal spending in 2020 to $6.55 trillion (from an already eye watering $4.45 trillion in 2019) and then blowing it up even further in 2021 to $7.25 trillion. That is a 62% increase in federal spending from 2019 levels which were already all-time highs. Further exacerbating inflation is Biden's dumb ass continuing to spend at astronomical levels ($5.9 trillion this year and even more to come next year). Only Trump could have given the left the opportunity to spend at levels 33% higher than a mere 3 years prior and 2019 levels and be able to legitimately say he cut the budget and the deficit.

To quote Milton Friedman:
Quote:

Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon in the sense that it is and can be produced only by a more rapid increase in the quantity of money than in output.


Spending $150 billion (in a budget of $4.45 or $5.9 trillion) on Ukraine isn't going to have any significant impact on inflation.

Blowing up the budget by $2.7 trillion in 2 years (meaning an aggregate of $4.8 trillion) and a further $1.55 trillion in 2022 in pure deficit/debt spending will, has and is absolutely causing inflation.

Continuing to tell this lie gives Biden political cover for his reckless spending that is continuing to make an already bad inflation situation much worse.
The Debt
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TH36 said:

So then what do you do with tyrants? Let them run free?

Putins a tyrant, no matter what fake rhetoric you gobble up that makes you think it's NATO's fault.

Complaining about tyrants while spending half your check on Chinese goods is pretty damn rich.
nortex97
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AG
Other than your white hot hatred that I used an emoji you disapprove of, some of your post has some valid points. Mostly though it's just a word salad of 'I don't like you.'

Mmkay, thx, noted.

First, whatever. It's a message board, I'm not gonna convince anyone I am right, particularly cheerleaders who think Zelensky should be sainted and Ukrainians are good and noble. Whatevs.

Second, yes, the valid parts are where you label spending as out of control. No argument from me. Citing Milton Friedman, fine, no issue again.

Third, you excuse Ukrainian ongoing conflict as simply a small amount of money, comparatively. Wrong. The Ukraine Russia conflict had a tremendous/outsized impact on global energy prices (as did Biden policies on domestic energy production/drilling etc). I won't belabor the point to compare the $$ value of US Aid vs. the inflation seen, but the ripple effect is quite real; trashing European budgets for over a year, spiking spending in defense, massive surges in energy causing huge industrial projects to be put off, and then, yes, impacting US T-bill rates and that has hit…banks and the financial system. Oh, and our cost to replace sending Ukraine all those munitions is huge. But I know you won't buy into any of that, so again, whatever.

Trump, Pelosi/Schumer etc. did also spend way too much before, during, and after covid. Fine. Bidenflation and spending levels are next-level and he's using the pretext of the Russia-Ukraine war as cover for much of it (yes, including China trade war costs and the Manchin 'green new deal' lies). Joe Biden *****ed and moaned throughout the year that the oil/gas price spike was a 'Putin energy tax' Americans were just unfairly forced to pay by the evil mastermind in Moscow. You must have just missed the memo.

You also, as I expect from war cheerleaders, ignore the massive direct human costs (200-300K dead? So what, slava Ukrani!) of this ongoing war, just as democrats have ignored the human costs globally of this spike in food and energy prices/human trafficking our open borders policies have encouraged. Again, wars have huge economic and human ripple effects. Biden/Zelensky want to keep it going for an indefinite amount of time, which you support. You're entitled to your opinion, and can keep cheering 'stupid orcs' etc. on the thread there (or here, whatever), but I'm not gonna just set down my keyboard out of solemn respect for your great economic/human moral high ground and salute the forever war.
LMCane
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you have very little grasp of the military art or doctrine if you think Hilter was a moron when it came to waging war.

so somehow he just lucked into conquering every country in Europe and having his troops a few miles from Iran and the Suez Canal...
nortex97
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AG
LMCane said:

you have very little grasp of the military art or doctrine if you think Hilter was a moron when it came to waging war.

so somehow he just lucked into conquering every country in Europe and having his troops a few miles from Iran and the Suez Canal...
You are way, way over your ski's on this one. It's putting it charitably to call him a military strategy moron. His distrust/hatred of the 'von's' of Prussian military leadership, and vigorous pursuit of Stalingrad at the expense of actual strategic objectives (Crimea etc), as well as his timing of…launching into a war with Russia were, to count a handful of idiotic decisions absurd.

Finally, his steadfast refusals to develop strategic defensive weapons/procurement was, that of an abject moron. Insisting on putting attack roles first limited the defensive capacity of the Luftwaffe throughout the second half of the war (look up for instance the history of the Me-262 development/employment).

Oh, and killing 6 million jews, many of whom might otherwise have been useful militarily/economically to Germany was…also moronic from a tactical/military resource perspective to say nothing of the morality of course of the man.

Don't take my word for it though, read Guderian's book (whom Hitler fired twice.) Or at least Army group A and B, and 4th Panzer's orders (directly from him), leading directly to their demise. Military moron is again a charitable construct of his broad record as a wartime commander.
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