Restarting production of T-80 turbine engines. They've been shut down for decades.
AlaskanAg99 said:
This winter could be the turning point for Ukraine. If they can co tinge the oressure on Russian supplies, front line troops will be cold and hungry and General Winter will turn on the Russians.
This doesn't mean the Ukes can just roll in due to all the minefields, but if the RU troops are frostbitten, freezing and starving, their will to fight will be non existent. Plus drones with thermal sensors will have a much easier time identifying small units and dropping endless grenades yo demoralize them more.
LMCane said:AlaskanAg99 said:
This winter could be the turning point for Ukraine. If they can co tinge the oressure on Russian supplies, front line troops will be cold and hungry and General Winter will turn on the Russians.
This doesn't mean the Ukes can just roll in due to all the minefields, but if the RU troops are frostbitten, freezing and starving, their will to fight will be non existent. Plus drones with thermal sensors will have a much easier time identifying small units and dropping endless grenades yo demoralize them more.
why would this winter be any different than LAST winter for the Russians?
if anything, they have dug in deeper and constructed even more defensive positions than the winter of 22.
The comments on reddit are pretty damn funny:AgLA06 said:He waved with some strings on his arms like a muppet.knj2417 said:
I mean, did he speak? Did he blink?
I think this is a MUCH more accurate analysis than claiming that the Russians are simply going to be cold this winter.aezmvp said:
Both sides haven't been able to effectively rotate troops. It's very hard to do, that's why there have only been a few militaries in modern history that have ever done it effectively. It's difficult, dangerous, requires lots of logistics and planning, training and great execution to prevent it being taken advantage of.
Will this winter be different? Not to the extent most would wish. The ability to bring C&C and logistics points deep in the Russian rear into range of at least their longest range weapons certainly helps but without being able to hit the bridge and severing the land bridge I doubt there will be a huge difference. One would think the Russian's execution on their annual mobilization class will be better than last year, no guarantee on that however.
Gordo14 said:
Rumors of a large Ukrainian assault taking place right now in the South.
2/ Elements of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division are also reportedly deployed as far back as #Tokmak, continuing to suggest that the Russian command has not manned the multi-echeloned defense in southern #Ukraine in depth. https://t.co/o6p07xeReU pic.twitter.com/p5kQd4G14e
— ISW (@TheStudyofWar) September 27, 2023
Don't expect another Kharkiv. Any offensive will be bloody and costly.txags92 said:Gordo14 said:
Rumors of a large Ukrainian assault taking place right now in the South.
Oh, I am not, I was just hoping to see what some of the rumors were saying. Working out of town and don't have time to go looking for them myself.Waffledynamics said:Don't expect another Kharkiv. Any offensive will be bloody and costly.txags92 said:Gordo14 said:
Rumors of a large Ukrainian assault taking place right now in the South.
Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine – 26 September 2023.
— Ministry of Defence 🇬🇧 (@DefenceHQ) September 26, 2023
Find out more about Defence Intelligence's use of language: https://t.co/vikVmpc42L
🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine 🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/vNi947m6Ps
Midday #Ukraine Map Update:
— ISW (@TheStudyofWar) September 27, 2023
Ukrainian forces advanced in western #Zaporizhia Oblast to a new portion of the fighting positions west of #Verbove.
Ukraine also made gains in the area NW of #Bakhmut in #Donetsk Oblast. https://t.co/hwgxTnU2Tr pic.twitter.com/Cs6kLhB0AX
3/ Geolocated footage posted on September 26 indicates that Ukrainian forces also advanced southeastward east of Orikhovo-Vasylivka (northwest of #Bakhmut). https://t.co/hwgxTnU2Tr pic.twitter.com/Zesp0dybln
— ISW (@TheStudyofWar) September 27, 2023
👇There are rumblings. I expect more information will filter out in due course. https://t.co/mQC5Dul1uw
— Patrick Fox (@RealCynicalFox) September 27, 2023
My sources tell me that #Tokmak direction is becoming increasingly hot by the hour. Ukraine has committed a full set of forces.
— Thomas C. Theiner (@noclador) September 26, 2023
The bloodiest phase of the Ukrainian Offensive has begun.
Pray for the brave Ukrainians, who we owe so much!
Quote:
ISW: Russian media continues to publish inconclusive "proof" that Black Sea Fleet Commander Admiral Viktor Solokov is alive. Zvezda News published an interview with Solokov on September 27, but ISW is unprepared at this time to make an assessment about the authenticity of the footage or the date of its filming.[10] The Kremlin and Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) have been notably silent on the matter and have not directly confirmed that Sokolov is alive.
Quote:
Russian aviation conducted airstrike at Avdiivka coke coal plant
Puzzling as the new lines will be in HIMARS range which should severely limit their wartime utility.Rossticus said:
Russians currently constructing new rail lines to bypass Tokmak and make supply route from Crimea secondary. If they manage to complete these lines before Ukraine advances deeply in the southern direction then it'll be bad news.
It also means you leave those heavily fortified positions on your flanks.LMCane said:
instead of driving southwest towards Tokmak from Robytyne and Novo Propkiviko
that goes straight into the heart of Russkie trenchlines and defenses.
the Ukes should go directly south, not southwest.
the main objective should be cutting the Berdiansk-Prymorsk-Melitopol Highway. if they can do that, it also severs the Tokmak-Chernihivka supply lines.
yes, there are more river barriers to cross, but much fewer dragons teeth and built up defensive positions.
it makes more sense to sever supplies to a larger group of Russians without having to fight them, than to sever supply lines to fewer Russians and have to fight the remainder in face to face combat.
I get it from their perspective.74OA said:Puzzling as the new lines will be in HIMARS range which should severely limit their wartime utility.Rossticus said:
Russians currently constructing new rail lines to bypass Tokmak and make supply route from Crimea secondary. If they manage to complete these lines before Ukraine advances deeply in the southern direction then it'll be bad news.
Only if you hit the train. Otherwise, even with as much damage as you can do with HIMARS or ATACAMs the Russians literally have engineering units designed for railroad repair. The grunts are grunts but the units are generally pretty good at this. So best case you hit the train, derail it and then hit the recovery and repair groups after with cluster munitions. Worst case it's out of action for a few days.74OA said:Puzzling as the new lines will be in HIMARS range which should severely limit their wartime utility.Rossticus said:
Russians currently constructing new rail lines to bypass Tokmak and make supply route from Crimea secondary. If they manage to complete these lines before Ukraine advances deeply in the southern direction then it'll be bad news.
It's Russia. They either do it or they kill them in a gruesome manner themselves so the next group doesn't even have a thought of objecting. Hell, they butcher living deserters to make an example so they could be used in medic training.Ag In Ok said:
Damn. Hit it once, then sometime again with 2x within 4-12 hours and start to destroy their abutting repair. The equipment can be there, but convince the troops to work in a bullseye….
All true but using HIMAR's ability to precisely and repeatedly hit bridges, crossings and culverts will be a more formidable repair challenge than just plinking away at the rails.aezmvp said:Only if you hit the train. Otherwise, even with as much damage as you can do with HIMARS or ATACAMs the Russians literally have engineering units designed for railroad repair. The grunts are grunts but the units are generally pretty good at this. So best case you hit the train, derail it and then hit the recovery and repair groups after with cluster munitions. Worst case it's out of action for a few days.74OA said:Puzzling as the new lines will be in HIMARS range which should severely limit their wartime utility.Rossticus said:
Russians currently constructing new rail lines to bypass Tokmak and make supply route from Crimea secondary. If they manage to complete these lines before Ukraine advances deeply in the southern direction then it'll be bad news.
Edit: Annnnnd I see others beat me to the punch.