***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

7,739,380 Views | 48154 Replies | Last: 1 hr ago by 74OA
PJYoung
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Rossticus said:


Comments says August 12th
ABATTBQ11
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PJYoung said:

nortex97 said:

Robotyne offensive pocket a very dangerous position, explaining the armor (and other) losses:

Quote:

The Ukrainian forces are stuck on the low ground at about 170 feet above sea level while the Russian forces occupy the hills of some 450 feet height to the left and right flank of the Ukrainians. (I have unfortunately failed to recognize this previously because most online maps lack contour lines.)

Being at a higher ground allows one to see further - and to shoot further. A mortar fired from a hill to the ground below will fly further than one fired from the low ground to the heights above. Running and storming uphill is more difficult than running downhill.

Unless the Ukrainians manage to storm the hillsides their progress towards Robotyne will by a short and bloody endeavor.

Robotyne was taken by the Ukrainians over a week ago.

The comment section is extreme. Wow. Talk about an upside down world.

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/08/ukraine-sitrep-topography-shapes-the-battle-field-abysmal-medical-service-causes-death.html#more


That site is a ****hole of circle jerking stupidity.
Gilligan
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Rossticus said:

I always get a kick out of the Kremlin sanctioned narrative.


Pure comedy gold sometimes. US & Brits took the plane down...

I know where the screen writers on strike went to work. A lot of these scripts are pure fantasy.
docb
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ABATTBQ11 said:

PJYoung said:

nortex97 said:

Robotyne offensive pocket a very dangerous position, explaining the armor (and other) losses:

Quote:

The Ukrainian forces are stuck on the low ground at about 170 feet above sea level while the Russian forces occupy the hills of some 450 feet height to the left and right flank of the Ukrainians. (I have unfortunately failed to recognize this previously because most online maps lack contour lines.)

Being at a higher ground allows one to see further - and to shoot further. A mortar fired from a hill to the ground below will fly further than one fired from the low ground to the heights above. Running and storming uphill is more difficult than running downhill.

Unless the Ukrainians manage to storm the hillsides their progress towards Robotyne will by a short and bloody endeavor.

Robotyne was taken by the Ukrainians over a week ago.

The comment section is extreme. Wow. Talk about an upside down world.

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/08/ukraine-sitrep-topography-shapes-the-battle-field-abysmal-medical-service-causes-death.html#more


That site is a ****hole of circle jerking stupidity.
Yep. And there are idiots out there that actually buy into that crap. moonofalabama? WTF is that?
ABATTBQ11
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docb said:

ABATTBQ11 said:

PJYoung said:

nortex97 said:

Robotyne offensive pocket a very dangerous position, explaining the armor (and other) losses:

Quote:

The Ukrainian forces are stuck on the low ground at about 170 feet above sea level while the Russian forces occupy the hills of some 450 feet height to the left and right flank of the Ukrainians. (I have unfortunately failed to recognize this previously because most online maps lack contour lines.)

Being at a higher ground allows one to see further - and to shoot further. A mortar fired from a hill to the ground below will fly further than one fired from the low ground to the heights above. Running and storming uphill is more difficult than running downhill.

Unless the Ukrainians manage to storm the hillsides their progress towards Robotyne will by a short and bloody endeavor.

Robotyne was taken by the Ukrainians over a week ago.

The comment section is extreme. Wow. Talk about an upside down world.

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/08/ukraine-sitrep-topography-shapes-the-battle-field-abysmal-medical-service-causes-death.html#more


That site is a ****hole of circle jerking stupidity.
Yep. And there are idiots out there that actually buy into that crap. moonofalabama? WTF is that?


It's apparently from a song lyric. The site was started by a former Daily Kos blogger IIRC. It is a cesspool, and pretty much everyone there speaks with the authority of someone too stupid to know they're an idiot.
nortex97
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F-16 challenges.
Quote:

US officials have been cautious about both the impact that the F-16s will have in Ukraine and the scale of training involved.

Gen. James B. Hecker, commander of US Air Forces Europe, says that the plane won't be in Ukraine until next year. But he told a media call this month that "it's not going to be the silver bullet, [that] all of a sudden they're going to start taking down SA-21s [Russian surface-to-air missiles] because they have an F-16."
Hecker said real proficiency on sufficient numbers of the aircraft "could be four or five years down the road."

US Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall echoed that assessment, saying the F-16 "will give Ukrainians an increment of capabilities that they don't have right now. But it's not going to be a dramatic game-changer."
Quote:

The Ukrainians see one of the chief advantages of the F-16 as its potential to deter the Russians' most potent combat jet, the Su-35, whose delivery of guided bombs has taken a toll on Ukrainian ground forces.

Ukrainian Air Force commander Mykola Oleshchuk said last week that success against the Su-35 would force the Russians to take it out of range, allowing the counteroffensive to gather speed.
Sq 17
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Faustus said:

LMCane said:

six month naval training program in the UK for a conflict that is 18 months or so old seems like a pretty good deal rather than the front lines. Those should be some happy and ready marines.

I'd go with rested and ready
lb3
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Cardboard drones are stealthy.

https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-claims-damaged-prized-russian-115010616.html
Teslag
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I don't think anyone here expects F16's to be a silver bullet. But they are badley needed compared to what they have now.


Quote:

The Ukrainians see one of the chief advantages of the F-16 as its potential to deter the Russians' most potent combat jet, the Su-35, whose delivery of guided bombs has taken a toll on Ukrainian ground forces.

Ukrainian Air Force commander Mykola Oleshchuk said last week that success against the Su-35 would force the Russians to take it out of range, allowing the counteroffensive to gather speed.

This is here is all anyone can ask for plus a possible delivery system for JASSM's. Further it's an easiy low cost solution that is better than nothing.
Gilligan
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lb3 said:

Cardboard drones are stealthy.

https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-claims-damaged-prized-russian-115010616.html

How big a rubber band does it have and how long do you have to twist it to reach 75 miles?

I wonder if made of wax board they're not being picked up on radar?
AgLA06
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True and false.

F-16s can't go up against current gen Russian fighters. They'll shoot them down before the Ukes know they're there. So They won't be making runs deep into Russia on the offensive.

They can however pose a big enough threat to force Russia's hand in the black sea. Provide the means to cut Crimea off for good and provide a true multifaceted solution to Russia's ability to harass west of the front lines and hit Ukraine cities from afar. It also means Russia would have to send fighter cover for Alligators and fighter bombers supporting the front lines and threatening Ukraine breakthroughs. Something they aren't currently doing.

It changes a lot. It's the reason Russia has thrown a childish tantrum in regards to F-16s. I'm sure you'll tell your Russian bloggers that as well.
AgLA06
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Correct. And operantly very affective. It just limits the payload.
lb3
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Almost everything gets picked up by radar but they typically filter out items with low dipper shifts (moving slow) or weak returns (small items). If they relax those filters they risk picking up returns from birds, cars, trees waving in the wind, etc… and losing the sight of the big stuff in all the clutter.
74OA
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Interesting look at Ukraine's ability to quickly create battlefield solutions using open-source tech. "But what's most noteworthy is how Ukrainian conscripts have been able to use clusters of commercial and military technologies (interacting technologies like sensors, satellites, machine learning, and quickly updateable software) to network, interact, and create dynamic systems much faster than Russian soldiers can."

INNOVATION
aezmvp
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Oh man what a great post.
ABATTBQ11
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Gilligan said:

lb3 said:

Cardboard drones are stealthy.

https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-claims-damaged-prized-russian-115010616.html

How big a rubber band does it have and how long do you have to twist it to reach 75 miles?

I wonder if made of wax board they're not being picked up on radar?


Cardboard doesn't reflect radar back. Radar cross section would be limited to internals that would reflect back.
2wealfth Man
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lb3
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I don't think anything with a 1000 mile range will ever make it to Ukraine, but 30-50 of those would be great for dismantling the Russian military industrial base.
AgLA06
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Gotta love Jarheads. They do more with less.

The navy is spending a billion dollars on each each missile frigate and the jarheads can put a battery of Tomahawks on a rusted freighter scheduled for scrap to take on the Chinese.
lb3
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AgLA06 said:

Gotta love Jarheads. They do more with less.

The navy is spending a billion dollars on each each missile frigate and the jarheads can put a battery of Tomahawks on a rusted freighter scheduled for scrap to take on the Chinese.
I believe the Tomahawks use the same standard vertical launch system as other missile systems like the SM6 so your rusted out barges could be pretty formidable.
nortex97
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I see conflicting reports/claims, unclear if UFA actually reached the dragons teeth etc., as I'd expect they'd have a ton of pictures on social media, if so.



https://www.newsweek.com/ukraine-russia-counteroffensive-t64-tanks-leopard-2-challenger-mines-1821617



Teslag
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That dude seems stable


AgLA06
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Teslag said:

That dude seems stable



He's probabaly Nortex in real life.
AgLA06
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Well, the video posted explained how they've put them on trucks. Pretty easy to drive a couple trucks into the hold of a rusted out freighter or barge or any viable ship.

It obviously is a bit tongue and cheak, but extremely impressive. 5x the range of ATACMs with double the warhead. Driven anywhere and could / should be made to look like any other 18 wheeler for concealment.
Gilligan
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Teslag said:

That dude seems stable





If this were true then why are the RuZZians murdering civilians, stealing children, stealing grain, ore, farming equipment, solar farms, washers & dryers, etc…
nortex97
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AgLA06 said:

Teslag said:

That dude seems stable



He's probabaly Nortex in real life.
I'm not canadian, you know that.

Genuinely interested/looking for information about the 'breakthrough' SE of Robotyne.
Teslag
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If you were genuinely interested you wouldn't be scraping the bottom of Twitter barrel for information.
Rossticus
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"Major Security Threat". I assume via "biolabs", radioactive bats, weaponized birds and mosquitoes… not to mention the desire to independently align with Europe vs follow the Belarusian model and/or aspire to BRICS membership.

Not to mention Ukrainian corruption, which somehow only became a talking point for Russia once they were no longer able to actively exploit it as they'd become so fond of doing over the course of 20+ years.
aezmvp
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Teslag said:

If you were genuinely interested you wouldn't be scraping the bottom of Twitter barrel for information.
By far the best/most up to date information is on Telegram and is in Ukrainian and Russian. So good luck with that.
PJYoung
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ABATTBQ11
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Well that's a black eye...

Ukraine hit brand new, long range Russian radar prototype with GMLRS

Quote:

Despite the PREDEL-E and the Leer-2 electronic warfare system shielding the radar, "nothing can be hidden from us on our land," the southern grouping of forces added. "Already in August, our soldiers completely destroyed the unique development worth US $200 million," the military said in a Telegram post.


Apparently the system debuted in June and was deployed to Kherson. The Ukrainians hit it and the EW system that was supposed to be protecting it. Supposedly it had a range of 250 miles and was made for tracking low flying and ground targets, as well as targets at sea.

So I guess GMLRS and HIMARS are still pretty big...
74OA
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The Neptune was in testing when Russia invaded and is now in service.

"With restrictions imposed on the use of donated weapons against targets outside its borders, Ukraine is developing its own long-range strike weapons, one of which appears to have already been used on Crimea, which is fair game even for systems provided by foreign donors.

On Aug. 23, Kyiv used a modified Neptune anti-ship cruise missile to hit a Russian S-400air defense system on the western most part of the occupied peninsula, a Ukrainian defense official told The War Zone. There are plans, the official added, to eventually strike Moscow and other targets inside Russia - precluded for use by donated weapons - with land attack variants of the Neptune."

MISSILE
ABATTBQ11
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More on the Predel-E

https://www.armyrecognition.com/ukraine_-_russia_conflict_war_2022/russian_secret_usd200mn_predel-e_coastal_radar_destroyed_by_ukrainian_strike_near_crimea.html
Gilligan
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FYI - bad or outdated link in your previous post
PJYoung
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