***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

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Who?mikejones!
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12:40p, 10/11/22
Re: starlink



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Waffledynamics
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In reply to Who?mikejones! • 12:42p, 10/11/22
AG
So now Putin is directly threatening an American citizen and his company?
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Rossticus
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In reply to Waffledynamics • 12:48p, 10/11/22
Waffledynamics said:
So now Putin is directly threatening an American citizen and his company?


The fact that Putin threatened him and he then proceeded to squeal in favor of Putin's demands tells you all you need to know about where Musk's head is.
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ABATTBQ11
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In reply to Rossticus • 12:51p, 10/11/22
AG
Rossticus said:
Whatever this means.



Probably economic isolation. Potentially direct action.
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Who?mikejones!
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In reply to ABATTBQ11 • 12:53p, 10/11/22
ABATTBQ11 said:
Rossticus said:
Whatever this means.



Probably economic isolation. Potentially direct action.


More economic isolation?
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Rossticus
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12:54p, 10/11/22
Russia trying to drive wedges.

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Rossticus
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12:56p, 10/11/22
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Waffledynamics
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In reply to Rossticus • 12:56p, 10/11/22
AG
More of this plus the missile attacks just indicate Russia knows they've lost the conventional war.
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Rossticus
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12:57p, 10/11/22
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Rossticus
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12:57p, 10/11/22
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Rossticus
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In reply to Waffledynamics • 1:00p, 10/11/22
Waffledynamics said:
More of this plus the missile attacks just indicate Russia knows they've lost the conventional war.


"We're prepared to negotiate as long as you agree to give us everything we want and then let us haggle for more". Get bent vatniks.
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Rossticus
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1:08p, 10/11/22
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DCPD158
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In reply to Rossticus • 1:18p, 10/11/22
AG
Rossticus said:
Russia trying to drive wedges.

"Get out of Ukraine" seem like a serious proposal
Company I-1, Ord-Ords '85 -12thFan and Websider-
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LMCane
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In reply to JFABNRGR • 1:43p, 10/11/22
JFABNRGR said:
GAC06 said:
The only thing there that points to a missile is the "hole" that's somewhat visible. However that span was broken between supports so it's likely ragged all the way across. It's basically pure speculation based on "a truck bomb in Russia is too hard"
This and the fact you wouldn't send just one missile. If it was ATACAMS it would be at least 4, not one. If it was GROM do they only have one? Then there is the question why wouldn't you hit the more vital RR bridge versus the vehicle bridges or why not the massive clear spans versus the simple spans?

This isn't one bridge but three and each of the three likely requiring multiple missiles at each. There are plenty of examples of this in both this war and the Iraq war on how difficult it is to knock down bridges with missiles.

The video and the coloring of the bridge deck indicate it was the truck, even though the way the spans are displaced makes me WANT to think the explosion was from under or in such a way it lifted the deck spans off the bents (this is likely what occurred anyway I just don't understand it). However there is no evidence on the underside of the spans of an explosion under. Not previously commented is how far the spans got displaced having knocked off a span 3 away from the blast span. At 200+ feet spans these likely have at least 4" expansion joints at each bent between spans. If this is a seismic zone, even larger, which should have absorbed a great deal of the movement.

There is also a very good chance this was russian either gov planned or sabotage. Sabotage to influence putin to do more harm or sabotage to embarass putin and put a dent in war supply logistics. Much easier for Igor Girkin and or the Oligarchs to pull off a VBIED than UKR SOF/partisans.
Denys Davidov also believes it was an internal Russian power struggle rather than Uke defense forces.

I find it hard to believe that the FSB or the Rosgvardia would make Russia look so weak to try and gain some political points inside the Kremlin.
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Rossticus
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1:45p, 10/11/22


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Rossticus
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1:46p, 10/11/22
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LMCane
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In reply to Rossticus • 1:46p, 10/11/22
Rossticus said:


so where do we put them?

1. north of Kyiv

2. east of Lviv

3. north of Kharkiv

4. south of Zaporizhe
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74OA
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In reply to LMCane • 1:51p, 10/11/22
AG
LMCane said:
Rossticus said:


so where do we put them?

1. north of Kyiv

2. east of Lviv

3. north of Kharkiv

4. south of Zaporizhe
Coverage depends on how many launchers Germany delivers with each battery.
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LMCane
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In reply to Rossticus • 1:52p, 10/11/22
Rossticus said:
The Maginot Line is invincible!

The Siegfried Line is invincible!

so when a Uke D-9 dozer just moves in and covers up some of that trench- what do the Russians do?
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In reply to LMCane • 2:21p, 10/11/22
AG
LMCane said:
Rossticus said:
The Maginot Line is invincible!

The Siegfried Line is invincible!

so when a Uke D-9 dozer just moves in and covers up some of that trench- what do the Russians do?
Like all military barriers and obstacles, defensive lines serve primarily to provide a physical screen to make the likely axis of attack more predictable while attriting, delaying and channelizing the enemy when an attack does come. But any static defense can be overcome unless it has strong mobile reaction forces to back it up and quickly contain any penetrations. So far Russia has not demonstrated much competence when such quick thinking and agile response are required. Even if Russia can get its line set in time, Ukraine will be sure to use HIMARS to break up Russian response force concentrations before assaulting the defensive works.
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Rossticus
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2:26p, 10/11/22
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Rossticus
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Rossticus
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2:41p, 10/11/22
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Rossticus
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2:49p, 10/11/22
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ABATTBQ11
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In reply to LMCane • 2:50p, 10/11/22
AG
They have no problem killing their own people...
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Rossticus
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2:58p, 10/11/22
It would be funny if it weren't so pathetic.

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Rossticus
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3:08p, 10/11/22
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JFABNRGR
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In reply to LMCane • 3:20p, 10/11/22
AG
LMCane said:
Rossticus said:
The Maginot Line is invincible!

The Siegfried Line is invincible!

so when a Uke D-9 dozer just moves in and covers up some of that trench- what do the Russians do?
It must not be a priority target or the HIMARS would have stopped the orc grave digging machine already.
“You can resolve to live your life with integrity. Let your credo be this: Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph. But not through me.”
- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
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ABATTBQ11
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In reply to Rossticus • 3:22p, 10/11/22
AG
Rossticus said:
It would be funny if it weren't so pathetic.



Odds they nuke themselves?
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Rossticus
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3:36p, 10/11/22
If I had to put money down, I'd probably take the gay parade to win and cover vs. the Chechen TikTokers…

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Rossticus
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3:46p, 10/11/22
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4:10p, 10/11/22
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4:10p, 10/11/22
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Waffledynamics
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6:15p, 10/11/22
AG
This is a Russia milblogger's update from yesterday. It is interesting because he gives some context for why the recent strike in Dzankhoi is so important.

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Waffledynamics
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6:40p, 10/11/22
AG
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