rgag12 said:
PA24 said:
Teslag said:
Don't go into hysterics. People are asking you legitimate questions about how Russia will equip soldiers on a modern battlefield. It's no longer 1944. A horde of ill equipped soldiers can be quickly decimated with modern weapons.
I believe the last 30 days have been devastating to the Russians but it is still Russia, predicting their demise is a little premature. Both sides will dig in for the winter, a winter than will see temps drop to below -20F. Big advantage to the Russians as they regroup and prepare for a spring campaign, slaughtering of the masses on both sides. I also don't believe everything I read from the Ukrainians. Before this war started, super corrupt country and nothing has changed and Russia is a heartless country. Heartless beats corruption every time.
I cant see Russia walking away from Ukraine, not after all the damage they have done. Nope, they are in it for the long haul. As far as the draft dodgers, not a lot of options for them once they think it thru. That has pretty much died down has it not?
Winter is coming, both sides digging in but the shelling of Ukraine's infrastructure has just really begun.
I am not a fan of Putin and hope they kill him but don't think it matters anymore, about to become an all out war with Ukraine.
I am a backer of Elon's proposal for peace.
How do you see this ending?
I am "rooting" for Ukraine but this is a rational take that shouldn't be dismissed out of hand because it runs counter to what we all want to happen.
Russia is still a resource-rich, major country with powerful allies (mainly China). They aren't going to simply give up because some memes came out about how some of their guys have old weapons or that their training camps are dumps. They have many more punches they can theotically give before the domestic home front starts to crack. IMO the only way Russia is going to give up is if internally they say enough, and it appears they are not near that point.
"Rational take". Well can't argue with that. The rational take should be: as long as there is the will for the Ukrainian people to fight for their land and their people, we should support them. Have you seen anything to suggest that this is changing in the slightest? Where are the Ukrainians begging us to broker a peace for them. Remember they did not ask for this war.
Elon's a ****ing idiot and everybody should be concerned with how casually he tosses away Taiwan and Ukraine to autocratic regimes against the will of the people. Particularly because Taiwan isn't at war and Ukraine is winning. Where was his nobel peace prize winning idea before this war started. Is he about to solve peace in the middle east by tweet next. Classic main character syndrome, and it's his 420 IQ fanbase that only encourages more half baked ideas. He should stick to building cave submarines and calling rescuers pedos.
Ukraine actually can win this thing. I am not going to put a timeline on it because there are a lot of complex forces in play, but I think it's entirely possible we are months away from Russia collapsing in Ukraine. Ukraine have a massive advantage right now and it is widening, not shrinking. Why is it now there's sudden panicked calls for peace now that Russia is in trouble? All of these voices were silent for 6 months, until now. Is it possible that this is an example of Russian propoganda pretending to be "rational"?