Those kinds of attrition numbers are just hard to fathom.

I mean that's Italian WW2 incompetence type of attrition numbers.

AgLA06 said:

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Those kinds of attrition numbers are just hard to fathom.

I mean that's Italian WW2 incompetence type of attrition numbers.

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Couple that with this and Russia is entering the beginnings of a serious manpower crisis heading into winter.

IT BEGINS: Moscow's TASS news reports that mobilized troops in the Omsk region are electing spokesmen to complain about conditions and lack of pay. These are literally acts of mutiny and insubordination-- and don't bode well for the combat performance Putin’s newest troops. https://t.co/CrCQsqEiJa

— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) October 5, 2022

Zobel said:

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I see Analog Devices markings on the two at an angle in the bottom. A bunch of those have Microchip Technology / Atmel markings also which is a US manufacturer.

On the other hand the only part number I can see clearly (69052WR) is just a low dropout voltage regulator. Not exactly high-tech stuff.

I'm not sure what you can make of that single photo.

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Concur. It's worth noting that Altera (before and after being acquired by Intel) makes Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs). FPGAs are essentially blank-slate processing units where the end user can etch the custom logic applications on them. FPGAs are high performance but they are also a commodity that by themselves have not special capability. The real question is who coded the FPGAs for Iran.

lobopride said:

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Not sure if this has been discussed or not, but if a Ukrainian citizen is caught fighting for Russia are they considered mere POWs? Or traitors? Both?

I wonder what happens when Ukraine pushes into territory that isn't as naturally friendly to them. They will start to capture more and more of their own people fighting for the other side.

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ZELENSKY

That might stop you from banging your head with a BTR hatch or maybe a slow moving small bit of shrapnel.

***BREAKING***

New Images Reveal Russia’s ‘Missing’ Submarine Belgorod In Arctic

Media hype claims that a unique Russian submarine, the Belgorod, has 'vanished'. This may be exaggerated#OSINThttps://t.co/fzOHnhL7F7

— H I Sutton (@CovertShores) October 5, 2022

Surprising how little attention the build up of Ukrainian refugees at the Pskov border crossing with the EU has gotten compared to coverage of the Georgia-Russia border. People forced to sleep outside in the cold. One woman is reported to have died.https://t.co/sN1rKRVvuP pic.twitter.com/M9rd0WY7xW

— Mack Tubridy (@yudbrit) October 5, 2022

Just wondering how much the recent Uke gains might be attributed to increased night fighting capable equipment and training from the west.

AgLA06 said:

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Red Pear Realty said:

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I don't think staff liked my first analogy…but to say it a different way… stuff we make should not get sold to people who want to kill us. I don't care how old it is.

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Great.

Once you sell it to someone, you're ability to track it or control it is essentially gone. Only recourse is someone to report it and you stop selling to them. Then the end user just goes to the next person you sell to.

Welcome to global markets.

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Things like guided missiles or guided artillery require specialized components that can withstand high g forces and function very quickly because they're operating at high speeds and need minimal lag between input and execution. They may have industrial applications, but they're few and far between. Manufacturers don't just sell to anyone. That's what export controls on chips are meant to diminish, and it seems that's working right now with Russia. It's not perfectly effective, but a deterrent that slows as opposed to stops production is better than none at all. A drone like the one Iran is producing is basically a suped up RC plane. It really has no special requirements, and the parts to make it work can be used for many other things. Those manufacturers sell to everyone, and chip export controls aren't really meant to stop or deter this.

It's the difference between restricting the sale of high performance jet engines for fighters and bombers and not restricting the sale of piston or radial engines used in light aircraft. You can find those light engines anywhere because they're used all over the place on private aircraft, but you can't make a 5th gen fighter from them. You COULD build a large suicide drone though.

Eliminatus said:

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That's incredibly heartening to see. Truly pray that this is the start of a mass trend.

Also, that was as proficient a job by the Ukes as anything expected of professional western forces. Textbook even. A man to search with another to cover with others providing constant outboard security, maintaining dispersion, and a single man controlling the scene. Kudos to them. I know it sounds easy to do but as with a lot of things, it takes practice and procedure to do it the most right way possible. Which eliminates as many variables as possible for shenanigans.

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With all the aid we are sending, seems like we need to send a metric ton of zip ties for the captives.

Dammit, 74 beat me to the punch.

IZIUM AXIS /1500 UTC 5 OCT/ UKR reported to be close to interdicting the important P-66 and H-26 HWYs. Interdiction of P-66 HWY would make RU positions at Kremenna unviable. RU Lines of Communication and Supply (LOCS) under UKR artillery fire. Ukrainan SOF and Partisans active. pic.twitter.com/4siIIH0jhl

— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) October 5, 2022

Rossticus said:

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Helmet of russian soldiers pic.twitter.com/J4vqu6EcMc

— ТРУХА⚡️English (@TpyxaNews) October 5, 2022

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Eliminatus said:

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That's incredibly heartening to see. Truly pray that this is the start of a mass trend.

Also, that was as proficient a job by the Ukes as anything expected of professional western forces. Textbook even. A man to search with another to cover with others providing constant outboard security, maintaining dispersion, and a single man controlling the scene. Kudos to them. I know it sounds easy to do but as with a lot of things, it takes practice and procedure to do it the most right way possible. Which eliminates as many variables as possible for shenanigans.

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The 5 Ss. This is an SOP, my unit trained on regularly. The only 2 things I see that may have been improved is 1 clear/secure the armor vehicle before searching POWs or having everyone get so close and secondly keep as many personnel in cover as possible in case the vehicle was rigged to blow and or was targeted for artillery strike. Note the first may have been done and not quite presented on the vids.

For those interested in the 5 S's.
Secure
Search
Silence
Separate
Speed to the Read

concur I want them out of the fight and Uke Soldiers back.

Eliminatus said:

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Rossticus said:

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BURN RATE: BBC's Russian language service reports that as much of 75% of Russia's elite GRU [Military Intelligence] 3rd Guards Spetsnaz Brigade were killed, wounded or missing during fighting in Lyman. They were considered among there best of RU’s SOF. https://t.co/qxZuCsKcUw pic.twitter.com/EobcLsaZVM

— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) October 5, 2022

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Their most prestigious and experienced units have been spent like dollar bills at a strip club. You can replace bodies relatively easily, you cannot replace experience that quickly. Something seen by almost every nation that has ever gone to war.

Their vaunted and best trained and equipped light infantry, the VDV, were butchered in the invasion. Since then we have seen their top tier mechanized BTGs, 1st Tank Guards, and now the GRU above just decimated.

I know it's a broken record at this point but to reiterate, Russia cannot sustain this level of warfare and loss. No nation can.

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This would be the equivalent of us losing one of our 6 Ranger Battalions in a week, correct?

We only have 3 Ranger battalions. 1st at Hunter AAF (Ft Stewart), 2nd at Ft Lewis, 3rd at Ft Benning.

4-6 are training battalions, part of Ranger School, not the Ranger Regiment.

The VDV is like the 82nd Airborne.

Smeghead4761 said:

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We only have 3 Ranger battalions. 1st at Hunter AAF (Ft Stewart), 2nd at Ft Lewis, 3rd at Ft Benning.

4-6 are training battalions, part of Ranger School, not the Ranger Regiment.

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Makes sense. I just remember we had Ranger Battalions 1-6.

So it would be like losing one of our 3 Ranger Battalions. Anyone know how many they have?

Crying Russian propagandist accused those who don’t want to die in Russia’s war of being “a zero, decay and garbage.” Despondent, he wept live on-air, urging others to join the battle, but didn’t express any desire to do so himself. More in my article ⤵️https://t.co/uhCtxy8Tz4 pic.twitter.com/s6u99PSAHO

— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) October 5, 2022

lobopride said:

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Not sure if this has been discussed or not, but if a Ukrainian citizen is caught fighting for Russia are they considered mere POWs? Or traitors? Both?

I wonder what happens when Ukraine pushes into territory that isn't as naturally friendly to them. They will start to capture more and more of their own people fighting for the other side.

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The Ukrainians do seem to be making progress into areas which have been in a de facto state of civil war for several years. I figure anyone sympathetic to the Ukrainian side left a long time ago.

They organize their SOF differently. Spetz in general are more like Rangers, but there are many different groups of Spetz under different branches (Army, Navy, FSB, etc.). GRU Spetz are their elite Spetz.

Private PoopyPants said:

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They organize their SOF differently. Spetz in general are more like Rangers, but there are many different groups of Spetz under different branches (Army, Navy, FSB, etc.). GRU Spetz are their elite Spetz.

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Why would they have an entire battalion of essentially Delta on the frontlines?

Ask Vlad, I have no idea.

I'm seeing different numbers of brigades and numbers of troops in each brigade on various sources. There's anywhere between 6-8 Army Spetz brigades with about 1,600 soldiers in each. There are multiple detachments in each brigade that can perform specialized functions. Within those detachments I'm sure there are more elite smaller units that perform tasks similar to Delta or Green Berets but they just do things different and obviously not all of it is public knowledge.

An observation from the last three days is that Russian propaganda channels are starting to admit they are losing and are coming to grips with why. We even have the general stating that you can't send conscripts to the front line without training them about how to engage NATO. Running low on provisions, ammo, and shockingly bad/no trading, it seems fait accompli that Russia will lose.

The next few months are going to be very interesting to see if Russia doubles down on the sunk cost fallacy, or if the rationalists that see the writing on the wall are able to institute regime change to end the war.

#Ukraine: Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian BMP-3 Infantry fighting vehicle in the east. pic.twitter.com/AHId29PH5w

— Arslon Xudosi 🇺🇦 (@Arslon_Xudosi) October 5, 2022

Of course it's Ukrainian Armed Forces policy never to imply ownership in the event of a dildo, always use the indefinite article a dildo, never your dildo.