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Shelling reported at Tekstilshik district of Donetsk

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/22-july-shelling-reported-at-tekstilshik-district-of-donetsk

#Прилеты на #Текстильщике.#Донецк #Донецьк #Donetsk pic.twitter.com/I69zHFHGiM

— Типичный Донецк (@typicaldonetsk) July 22, 2022

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Fire and explosions near Makiivka now

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/22-july-fire-and-explosions-near-makiivka-now

#Макеевка сейчас pic.twitter.com/vgbZayI0s2

— Типичный Донецк (@typicaldonetsk) July 22, 2022

I don't suppose the weapon can be identified from the explosions?

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US NatSec advisor Jake Sullivan: We are not prepared to provide Ukraine with long-range missiles, ATACMS with a range of 300 km. Our key goal is to support and defend Ukraine, and another key goal is to ensure that we're not heading down the road toward a 3rd World war

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/22-july-us-natsec-advisor-jake-sullivan-we-are-not-prepared

We've heard this before. Is it just posturing?

Looking at it on a large screen, I am even more convinced that it's a rendered scene. It's not only the falg moving but also the grass pulsating under artificial wind that would be created in a game engine. Additional clues that this is a digital rendering is that the details are blurred at a fixed distance outside the eyepoint and when the eyepoint is stationary for a moment the details fill in as the rendering engine adds "levels of detail". As the eyepoint moved toward wrecked vehicles in the distance, they stick out with sharp edges against the blurred background of the grass in front and behind them. That's a telltale indication that the flat faces on the vehicles are being rendered in larger polygons than the irregularly shaped vegetation.

I'm not saying that it wasn't based on actual imagery of the aftermath of a battle but there are many clues that this is based on photogrammetry processed through a tool like Reality Capture.

https://www.capturingreality.com/

Waffledynamics said:

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Quote:

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US NatSec advisor Jake Sullivan: We are not prepared to provide Ukraine with long-range missiles, ATACMS with a range of 300 km. Our key goal is to support and defend Ukraine, and another key goal is to ensure that we're not heading down the road toward a 3rd World war

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/22-july-us-natsec-advisor-jake-sullivan-we-are-not-prepared

We've heard this before. Is it just posturing?

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Probably truth sadly but just adds couple months to war and may have been a bargaining tool to get grain exporting. Hey Putin let them ship grain and we wont send ATACAMs. Ok.

Naval developments from Jomini of the West. Open each map to read analysis.
BLACK SEA

reports of orcs leaving duty positions and changing to civvies in Kherson heading south to crimea.

As promissed a 🧵 on what was happening inside #Kherson city yesterday (22-7). I have been in contact some local sources who painted a picture of every growing chaos & fear among 🇷🇺 troops & collaborators inside the city. First it's important to know that during the occupation

— NLwartracker (@NLwartracker) July 23, 2022

Devastating UKR accuracy on orc armor!

https://www.reddit.com/r/RussiaUkraineWar2022/comments/w64i9f/a_russkie_position_in_kharkiv_was_absolutely/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/w65z96/video_presumably_of_mortar_strikes_by_ukraines/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/w65s8e/ukrainian_artillery_scoring_a_direct_hit_on_a/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

Lots of work to fake something rather inconsequential

Hopefully the Russian morale really is going to be a problem. Without a general mobilization they'll have to keep using the same units over and over. Ukraine can play the long game better if the west stays with them.

Darivka Bridge over the Inhulets River about 7 miles NE from the Kherson bridge. Probably M982 artillery not GMLRS. Repairable.

Odessa port attacked just hours after grain deal signed. Russia says it didn't do it. If their lips are moving......

DENIAL

Waffledynamics said:

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At 6:40 Denys indicated that the Israeli Air Force destroyed the factory in Damascus where the Iranian drones for Russia were being built.

Numbers based on official Russian death or burial notices and other public notices.

A well respected military expert in #Ukraine reckons 2,000 Russian troops are surrounded in #Kherson region.

Looks like 🇺🇦 offers the invaders the chance to surrender in a "green (humanitarian) corridor" near Vysokopillya in the north of the oblast.#SlavaUkraini pic.twitter.com/xNxC5h5v4m

— Tim White (@TWMCLtd) July 22, 2022

benchmark said:

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Darivka Bridge over the Inhulets River about 7 miles NE from the Kherson bridge. Probably M982 artillery not GMLRS. Repairable.

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Limiting traffic and pre-plotting for later. Another round and traffic slows to a crawl.

nm

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Explosions at machinery plant in Horlivka

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/23-july-explosions-at-machinery-plant-in-horlivka

Wonder what machinery that would be.

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Ukrainian military conducted missile strike at the bridge in Daryivka village between Kherson and Nova Kakhovka

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https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/23-july-ukrainian-military-conducted-missile-strike-at-the

Intercepted phone calls (if authentic) show disarray among the Russians.

Setting the table it appears.

Thinking ahead to what comes next: 4 Questions

SIAP but this aerial overlay shows exactly how Ukraine hit that Inhulets bridge with equidistant strikes down one lane of the road…the precision is impressive and has to be frightening for the many young underpaid Russian soldiers in Ukraine

Череда равноудаленных точных попаданий вдоль одной полосы Дарьевского моста через реку Ингулец. pic.twitter.com/FvgPifGKYd

— IgorGirkin (@GirkinGirkin) July 23, 2022

Defense contractors have to be loving this war

Exclusive: 2 Americans, a Canadian and a Swedish citizen were killed July 18 when a Russian tank opened fire on them during an hourslong battle north of Siversk, their commander confirmed to me. The Americans killed were Luke Lucyszyn and Bryan Young. https://t.co/82A0DAEKaJ

— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) July 23, 2022

Antonivsky bridge is damaged enough that Russia cannot drive tanks and other heavy loads across it, per Denys's latest video. These damaged bridges have major implications for the Kherson area.

More than 1,000 #Russian troops encircled by #Ukrainian Forces in #Kherson region#BREAKING #news #BreakingNews #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #EU #NATO #Kyiv #Lviv #Mariupol #Donbas #Kharkiv #Kherson #Odessa https://t.co/JtY2J2A6NZ

— Free Press Forever (@_Free_Press) July 23, 2022

Morevtalk of the trapped Russians. That's a big loss for them

They don't appear to be encircled yet. Just in danger of doing so according to livemap.

The stage is set - let the Kehrson City offensive begin. Both entry/exit routes via the Antonovsky and Darivka hwy bridges have been recently damaged. The entire city is within artillery range. Supply depots, radar, and command centers have been recently targeted. But what will be Ukraine's tempo?

ISW: RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, JULY 23

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Ukrainian forces are likely preparing to launch or have launched a counteroffensive in Kherson Oblast as of July 23, but open-source visibility on the progress and tempo of the counteroffensive will likely be limited and lag behind events. Ukrainian Kherson Oblast Administration Adviser Serhiy Khlan stated on July 23 that Ukrainian forces have seized unspecified settlements in Kherson Oblast but called on Ukrainian civilians to remain silent on the progress of the counteroffensive until Ukrainian authorities release official statements.[1] Foreign Policy National Security Reporter Jack Detsch reported on July 22 that an unspecified senior US defense official stated that Ukrainian forces have recaptured unspecified "portions of Russian-occupied villages" in Kherson over the past week of July 15-22, indicating that Ukrainian forces have made some unspecified territorial advances along frontlines.[2] The area between the front line and Kherson City is rural and primarily composed of small settlements that are less likely to report on force movements and engagements, allowing control-of-terrain in this area to change without evidence appearing in open-source reporting. Russian authorities additionally have no incentive to report on Ukrainian territorial gains. The informational dynamics that allow ISW to report on Russian offensive operations with relatively little lag are thus inverted in this situation. ISW will report on the progress of any Ukrainian counteroffensives to the best of its ability within these constraints.

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Today's SITREP.

Occupied Donetsk City tonight. pic.twitter.com/LRKjiJqHUl

— WorldOnAlert (@worldonalert) July 23, 2022

Looks like Mordor but it's a Russian ammunition depot burning in occupied Horlivka after Ukrainian shelling with HIMARS. pic.twitter.com/fTCrZvlZYA

— WorldOnAlert (@worldonalert) July 23, 2022

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/w5nst2/the_head_of_mi6_has_told_an_international/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf

And More ammo dumps hit w HIMARS

JFABNRGR said:

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https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/w5nst2/the_head_of_mi6_has_told_an_international/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf

More ammo dumps hit

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At first I thought I'd hate to be a Russian on convoy duty. Then an armored crew member. Now, an ammo specialist.

Should probably just change my thinking to, "it's gotta suck to be a Russki in Ukraine", period.