Yep. All the training and consultation with the US and Canadian militaries has paid off massively. The positive impact of Ukraine's decision to emulate our military structure, complete with a robust NCO corps cannot be overstated, IMO.
***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]
7,974,879 Views |
48545 Replies |
Last: 4 hrs ago by Waffledynamics
RebelE Infantry said:
The cynic in me says that Zelensky is happy to let Azov get annihilated in Mariupol. They tie up troops, he gets a humanitarian disaster to sell to the West for more weapons, and his ugly little Nazi optics problem gets taken care of.
And as to the claims of indiscriminate shelling of civilian areas- fortified urban areas are a, if not the, key component of the Ukrainian defense strategy. What does everyone think is going to happen when apartment buildings and whatnot are used to fire on advancing troops?
Yeah your poor Russians have no choice but to level cities. Just like we did with Fallujah. We cordoned the city then pounded it to dust with indiscriminate artillery fire without letting the civilians evacuate.
Oh wait that's not what we did at all is it?
Today's SITREP.
Why doesn't NATO do some minesweeping in the Black Sea off of Nato member Romania's coast ?MeatDr said:This comes after Claims that Finland and Sweden who both have Large Baltic Seas Coasts will be joining the NATO Alliance as soon as next month.
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) April 11, 2022
With that kind of gear, I hope they realize what's happening and call the surrender hotline as soon as they start seeing burned out tanks.aggiehawg said:A new unit of “walking dead” are sent to #Ukraine from one of the poorest and most depressed regions of #Russia - #Tyva.
— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) April 8, 2022
We are not even talk about the level of equipment in the second-hand army, you can see by yourself. pic.twitter.com/rx4W5CZLwL
Better yet, get a tank or two, surrender, and set your family up for life back home.
Turkey is not letting any warships transit from the Med into the Black Sea.sclaff said:Why doesn't NATO do some minesweeping in the Black Sea off of Nato member Romania's coast ?MeatDr said:This comes after Claims that Finland and Sweden who both have Large Baltic Seas Coasts will be joining the NATO Alliance as soon as next month.
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) April 11, 2022
Source is an Azov Twitter account. Hopefully not true, but if it is?
Edit: updated with better embed.
"The victims have respiratory failure, vestibulo-atactic syndrome.
— C4H10FO2P (@markito0171) April 11, 2022
The consequences of using an unknown substance are being clarified."
Edit: updated with better embed.
MeatDr said:
Source is an Azov Twitter account. Hopefully not true, but if it is?"The victims have respiratory failure, vestibulo-atactic syndrome.
— C4H10FO2P (@markito0171) April 11, 2022
The consequences of using an unknown substance are being clarified."
Edit: updated with better embed.
Given that earlier today, there was an update wherein occupation authorities in the Donetsk region called for the use of chemical weapons in Mariupol, I would say it's almost certainly true.
Another senior Russian officer has been killed in Ukraine. Colonel Vyacheslav Savinov was deputy chief of staff of the Russian Missile Troops and Artillery. Russia's catatrophic losses in Ukraine now reportedly include 32 colonels and 7 generals pic.twitter.com/bT7w9bRRnl
— Business Ukraine mag (@Biz_Ukraine_Mag) April 11, 2022
Gotta feed the sunflowers. Keep 'em coming.
Background on Chlorine gas use in Syria. Referenced thread from 2018 can't be rolled up via the app I use due to age of the post. If anyone needs me to post the full 2018 Twitter thread, just ask.
Full thread:
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1513599917687812096.html
This process was documented by @EliotHiggins and others in the #OSINT community. First came non-standard munitions. Then the use of them for a chemical platform. In later stages Assad/Putin sought to feather the red line with things like chlorine attacks. https://t.co/ZNh96C7tgl
— Mr Ghostly (@Guardian_Mario) April 11, 2022
That was followed by a more complicated set up that appears to have fallen out of favour rather quickly, probably when they realised it was much easier just to drop the gas cylinder out a helicopter with some minor modifications. pic.twitter.com/9GxsgEp3tL
— Eliot Higgins (@EliotHiggins) April 23, 2018
Full thread:
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1513599917687812096.html
Another interesting read from Jomini of the West. Not authoritative, but certainly informed.
(Click on the map and scroll thru the narrative to the right.)
(Click on the map and scroll thru the narrative to the right.)
1/ Surmising a revised Russian OPLAN. Here are my thoughts on what Russia’s revised operational plan may look like. I have constructed this off what I consider the most logical operational approach that can yield positive results. #UkraineRussianWar #UkraineUnderAttack #strategy pic.twitter.com/UTPYCbRL0u
— Jomini of the West (@JominiW) April 11, 2022
It's not the capability comparison (weapon vs. surveillance) but rather that 10 years after the Predator was fielded that the Orlan was fielded as a RF "program of record" surveillance drone using technology that could be purchased from a hobby shop.BQ_90 said:That's not really a good comparison to the Predator drone at all. That is more of squad level drone like the ravenMeatDr said:
Taken apart, the Orlan drone looks like something a smart high school kid could put together.Amazing Russian military technology on display.
— Dmitry Grozoubinski (@DmitryOpines) April 11, 2022
Here we see the Orlan Drone, built 15 years after the Predator, and featuring state of the art optics (a velcro secured off-the-shelf Canon digital camera with the slider glued to "On") and a soldered on plastic bottle top. https://t.co/Q56IZMRQVA
The R&D for the Orlan was happening at basically the same time that the founders of Insitu were building the Scan Eagle (which is a much better comparison to the Orlan). This is nowhere near the capability of a Scan Eagle or the level of technology used in a Scan Eagle.
This is an excellent read and is very much what a good number of posters here have predicted as well.74OA said:
Another interesting read from Jomini of the West. Not authoritative, but certainly informed.
(Click on the map and scroll thru the narrative to the right.)1/ Surmising a revised Russian OPLAN. Here are my thoughts on what Russia’s revised operational plan may look like. I have constructed this off what I consider the most logical operational approach that can yield positive results. #UkraineRussianWar #UkraineUnderAttack #strategy pic.twitter.com/UTPYCbRL0u
— Jomini of the West (@JominiW) April 11, 2022
Don't know if someone has posted this before, but it documents the loss of life, prisoners and equipment in Ukraine. Google gave me an option to translate everything to English.
**************very, very graphic**********************
https://russoldat.info/
**************very, very graphic**********************
https://russoldat.info/
If true, then oooof. 30% is nearing operational ineffectiveness.
Full thread: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1513589960045207552.html
Full thread: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1513589960045207552.html
What do we know? According to the US briefing today about 40 out of 130 BTGs have been so thoroughly wrecked that they are not functional and have been withdrawn entirely. This loss rate of approx 30% seems to be mirrored in overall Russian casualties (maybe an underestimate)
— Phillips P. OBrien (@PhillipsPOBrien) April 11, 2022
Hey Ross are you hearing anything about a chemical attack in Mariupol? I am looking for confirmation but haven't found it on any telegram channels I trust yet.
This would be in the AzovStal plant and it's going to be very, very difficult to get good info. A couple of good Twitter follows are talking about it but so far nothing I would consider confirmable.
This would be in the AzovStal plant and it's going to be very, very difficult to get good info. A couple of good Twitter follows are talking about it but so far nothing I would consider confirmable.
aezmvp said:
Hey Ross are you hearing anything about a chemical attack in Mariupol? I am looking for confirmation but haven't found it on any telegram channels I trust yet.
Vague reports but no fine details or confirmation. Whenever the prospect of chem usage rears it's head I keep an eye on Dan Kaszeta.
Full thread:
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1513608482955669514.html
4. Clinical signs, from a doctor not a journalist pulling words out of a glossary
— Dan Kaszeta 🇺🇦 (@DanKaszeta) April 11, 2022
This could be serious. Or it could be a house fire with a bunch of plastic on fire
— Dan Kaszeta 🇺🇦 (@DanKaszeta) April 11, 2022
We are preparing for a massive Russian offensive push. Thanks to all your help I feel far more comfortable with our weaponry and vehicles. I am very concerned about ammunition shortage. I cannot believe the world at large is just not raining ammo for us.
— James Vasquez (@jmvasquez1974) April 11, 2022
I have a gas mask but no one else does. I really don’t know what more Russians can possibly do before Ukraine gets provided what they need to win. This is bananas.
— James Vasquez (@jmvasquez1974) April 11, 2022
Honestly on the small scale we need ammo, frag grenades, concussion grenades, light machine guns, claymore mines, some MA-2 .50 cals. We need some 4 wheel ATV’s or side by side UTV’s
— James Vasquez (@jmvasquez1974) April 11, 2022
Unfortunately not. I actually bought the last 2 boxes of 7.62 rounds from a hunting store yesterday. We have ammo but one major battle will seriously deplete us. I’m hoping there is a large shipment I’m unaware of
— James Vasquez (@jmvasquez1974) April 11, 2022
I can't imagine a loved one at home seeing their son, brother, whatever on that site.GeorgiAg said:
Don't know if someone has posted this before, but it documents the loss of life, prisoners and equipment in Ukraine. Google gave me an option to translate everything to English.
**************very, very graphic**********************
https://russoldat.info/
Even if the deceased is an animal that deserved what he got. Brutal.
I wonder how many Russian families are finding out that way instead of from the Russian military.
Don't know if it is still active but Uke government set up a website with the identification papers of dead Russian soldiers that Russians can access to look for their loved ones. It also included those taken as POWs.GAC06 said:
I wonder how many Russian families are finding out that way instead of from the Russian military.
Gilligan said:I can't imagine a loved one at home seeing their son, brother, whatever on that site.GeorgiAg said:
Don't know if someone has posted this before, but it documents the loss of life, prisoners and equipment in Ukraine. Google gave me an option to translate everything to English.
**************very, very graphic**********************
https://russoldat.info/
Even if the deceased is an animal that deserved what he got. Brutal.
They should see it, all things considered. That's the kind of thing that will end the popularity in Russia for what Russia is doing. They don't care that they're raping, pillaging, and murdering, but maybe they'll care when they Ivan's burnt corpse, Sergei's legs and arms blown off, or Nikolai's headless, contorted body. They need to know that Russian "greatness" comes at a cost.
I know it's been said before, but genuinely thank you for all the info you're posting Rossticus.Rossticus said:Unfortunately not. I actually bought the last 2 boxes of 7.62 rounds from a hunting store yesterday. We have ammo but one major battle will seriously deplete us. I’m hoping there is a large shipment I’m unaware of
— James Vasquez (@jmvasquez1974) April 11, 2022
Secondly, I agree with James, ammo boxes should be raining onto them from the sky. I'm hoping it's more of a distribution problem.
No problem, and thank you. Just trying to do what I can with what I have.
Good God.
Horrific cases of sexual violence by Russian troops in Bucha and other places: a group of women and girls were imprisoned in a basement of a house for 25 days.
— Cliff Levy (@cliffordlevy) April 11, 2022
Nine of them are now pregnant, Ukraine’s ombudswoman for human rights said.https://t.co/FYhGozkIHh
https://www.instagram.com/p/CcOczNpPS5X/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=
Edit: not sure how to link an Instagram post to this thread, so here a screenshot. Terrible news if confirmed.
Edit: not sure how to link an Instagram post to this thread, so here a screenshot. Terrible news if confirmed.
If you're a Ukranian soldier reading stories like this again and again, I wonder how you can keep your composure and take pow's alive.MeatDr said:Horrific cases of sexual violence by Russian troops in Bucha and other places: a group of women and girls were imprisoned in a basement of a house for 25 days.
— Cliff Levy (@cliffordlevy) April 11, 2022
Nine of them are now pregnant, Ukraine’s ombudswoman for human rights said.https://t.co/FYhGozkIHh
The Poles say a sudden arrival of large numbers of T-72s to the Donbas operated by the Ukrainian Army can’t be linked to the disappearance of the Polish 100 tanks from in Lublin.
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) April 11, 2022
They say T-72s can be bought in any army surplus store, just like the weapons used in Crimea in 2014
Still not truly confirmed.
Azov leader Andriy Biletsky said that three people have clear signs of chemical poisoning.
— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) April 11, 2022
He added that there are no “disastrous consequences” for their health.https://t.co/7LOi2SlpYO
Zelensky has not confirmed the Azov Battalion's chemical weapons accusations in Mariupol and is still treating a Russian chemical attack as a hypothetical
— Samuel Ramani (@SamRamani2) April 11, 2022
We still have not seen any Evidence or Confirmation of a Chemical Attack on the Besieged Coastal City of Mariupol, it is currently 1am there so it possibly may be too dark to get pictures and assess the Situation but by morning we should have a better picture of if it did happen.
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) April 11, 2022
When you post, there's an Instagram icon/button you can click on and post your link. It's right next to the Twitter icon/button. Like this.GarryowenAg said:
https://www.instagram.com/p/CcOczNpPS5X/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=
Edit: not sure how to link an Instagram post to this thread, so here a screenshot. Terrible news if confirmed.
Your link had an extra '=' at the end that I think prevented it from being accepted.
https://instagr.am/p/CcOczNpPS5X
Also, if this doesn't cause a river of heavy armor and missiles to flow into Ukraine, I don't know what will.
Chemical energetics have always been extremely unkind to the human body....Waffledynamics said:
Good God.
Both Ukraine and Russia will bear permanent scars from this "special military operation". Both physical on the land and in the minds and culture of the people.
My bias aside, Russia is going to have major problems in their invasion forces. The ones who survive after all of this is done. I met an incredible man in San Diego who basically kickstarted Russia's PTSD program years ago after their campaign in Afghanistan. They had nothing in place to help their soldiers. Absolutely nothing. Factor in the Russian machismo and the rampant alcoholism and it added up to a LOT of issues in their warriors.
Ukraine is going to be far worse I am sure. Their first wave units got decimated. In horribly gruesome ways as in that site. Fighting in a war that most of them didn't truly understand at first. Brutal large battles lead to severe mental stress of course but there have been some studies that highlight that an asymmetrical war with ambushes and traps can lead to even more stress cases. Having been through it myself, I tend to agree. The constant fear of not knowing when your death is coming is abrasive to a healthy state of mind. You either embrace it or slowly start to lose it. These Russians, especially their vehicle crew members, never know when their world will literally explode around them, day or night. Then you become one of those blackened and shriveled masses of charred meat adhered to the metal that was supposed to protect you. Or you carry on as you watch your friends suffer that fate over and over, until you can no longer carry on. Be it there at an ambush site or years later in your home.
**** Putin.
GarryowenAg
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"Vestibulo atactic syndrome"
Sounds like nerve gas, no?
Sounds like nerve gas, no?
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