— Dan Kaszeta 🇺🇦 (@DanKaszeta) March 14, 2022
baron_von_awesome said:Yes I think its too high, its higher than the US death rate in WWII per month.FriscoKid said:
You think it's impossible for there to be 40k-50k Russians that have been killed, wounded (and not fighting), surrendered, or went AWOL? I don't understand your pro-Russia ideas here. By all accounts they are taking heavy losses and you think the only thing that can be done is for Ukraine to surrender.
10K killed is not an unreasonable number. At 3x more wounded I don't think the 40-50k number is impossible.
⚡️ Financial Times: China poised to help Russia.
— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) March 14, 2022
FT quoted unnamed officials, writing that “the U.S. has told allies that China signaled its willingness to provide military assistance to Russia to support its invasion of Ukraine.”
#BREAKING: Fox News announces that one of their crew members has been injured in Kyiv while out reporting on Russia's war against Ukraine.@JohnRobertsFox says Fox's "teams on the ground are working as hard as they can to try to gather more information." pic.twitter.com/of97FbItKw
— Curtis Houck (@CurtisHouck) March 14, 2022
Occupation of Melitopol in full swing.. pic.twitter.com/WfzhJqkFSg
— Aldin 🇧🇦 (@aldin_ww) March 14, 2022
BD88 said:⚡️ Financial Times: China poised to help Russia.
— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) March 14, 2022
FT quoted unnamed officials, writing that “the U.S. has told allies that China signaled its willingness to provide military assistance to Russia to support its invasion of Ukraine.”
P.U.T.U said:Turkey has been a NATO member in name only for a while now,Rossticus said:
Turkey is crawfishing…From this Statement alone Turkey’s NATO Membership should be Suspended, imagine France continuing to buy Military Equipment from Nazi Germany right after they Invaded Poland. https://t.co/MEqUshUgDo
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 14, 2022
This is a nasty war, dumb bombs and lots of battles in the street.
mickeyrig06sq3 said:That 1% involves resetting civilizations progression for the next few hundred years. We're trying to keep him contained long enough for the sanctions to drive changes from within. Keep him trying to win while someone takes him out of the picture (one way or another). He's not going to win this fast enough to stop Russia from internally collapsing. The only way to win this quickly would basically be to wipe Kyiv off the map and get surrender through mass-murder. Even if he does do that, will the people capitulate, or will it drive them to fight harder?Rossticus said:mickeyrig06sq3 said:Hard part is figuring out the point at which Putin goes from being an unstable megalomaniac to being a full on cornered animal with nothing to lose.mickeyrig06sq3 said:On the flip side, some equipment has not been sent because the Ukrainians don't have training on certain platforms, and you can't teach it quick. However, if I've got some volunteers in country who know how to use it, that can change things. Not saying it will, but it does provide more options. Some countries have enough volunteers to have their own battalion.W said:very good points.BAP Enthusiast said:
I have heard a number of these stories. Basically the Western volunteers who have been going there are completely unprepared for an enemy who has on par military equipment, air superiority, and significant and accurate long range artillery and missile capabilities.
They don't know how to handle the fact that in Ukraine, they are the goat herders and they can't just call in an air strike when they bite off more than they can chew.
I cannot fathom what these guys were thinking. Did they think this would be like Iraq and Afghanistan? Russia is a modern military and this is conventional warfare against combined arms.
definitely not used to going up against heavy duty artillery, rockets, and missiles
Gets into a muddled grey area, but if get enough of the right people to form an allied air force squadron, give them some F-16s and associated accessories, it'd make things interesting.
The point at which he's facing unavoidable loss. That can happen whether we help or not. So do you play to win or stab them in the back on the 1% chance he loses his marbles?
Russian armor burning after being struck by Ukrainian ATGMs.#Russia #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/Xu6NrCCe0W
— BlueSauron👁️ (@Blue_Sauron) March 14, 2022
Video showing a Ukrainian (Azov regiment) BTR-4 armored vehicle firing on a Russian tank and BMP-1/BRM-1K in Mariupol with its 30mm cannon. A good indication of why a 25-30mm cannon is more useful than a heavy machine gun for armored vehicles.https://t.co/7oUq00rcQK pic.twitter.com/LTHgxbRwyq
— Rob Lee (@RALee85) March 14, 2022
#Ukraine: Ukrainian Artillery was claimed to hit a Russian convoy in #Kyiv: one vehicle can be seen on fire, and another with ammo inside detonates. pic.twitter.com/4bjUpRODbi
— 🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (@UAWeapons) March 14, 2022
⚡️The International Court of Justice in The #Hague will rule on the case of #Ukraine against #Russia on March 16.
— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) March 14, 2022
Captain Positivity said:
Fox News reporting on their website, citing Ukrainian sources, that citizens are finally being allowed to leave Mariupol without being shot at.
Ukraine falling and Russia withering is the insurgency part of the above scenarios. The Russian population doesn't have access to a variety of information, especially now that ISP's are starting to cut off Russia, and Russia is blocking sites like Facebook, Instagram, etc. If you control the information, you control the people. Outside of the younger generation, your 30+ demographic still drinks the Kremlin Kool-Aid. Putin has energized suppression mechanisms to the point that Stalin would be proud. He grew up in the KGB/FSB, it's his bread and butter.Fitch said:mickeyrig06sq3 said:That 1% involves resetting civilizations progression for the next few hundred years. We're trying to keep him contained long enough for the sanctions to drive changes from within. Keep him trying to win while someone takes him out of the picture (one way or another). He's not going to win this fast enough to stop Russia from internally collapsing. The only way to win this quickly would basically be to wipe Kyiv off the map and get surrender through mass-murder. Even if he does do that, will the people capitulate, or will it drive them to fight harder?Rossticus said:mickeyrig06sq3 said:Hard part is figuring out the point at which Putin goes from being an unstable megalomaniac to being a full on cornered animal with nothing to lose.mickeyrig06sq3 said:On the flip side, some equipment has not been sent because the Ukrainians don't have training on certain platforms, and you can't teach it quick. However, if I've got some volunteers in country who know how to use it, that can change things. Not saying it will, but it does provide more options. Some countries have enough volunteers to have their own battalion.W said:very good points.BAP Enthusiast said:
I have heard a number of these stories. Basically the Western volunteers who have been going there are completely unprepared for an enemy who has on par military equipment, air superiority, and significant and accurate long range artillery and missile capabilities.
They don't know how to handle the fact that in Ukraine, they are the goat herders and they can't just call in an air strike when they bite off more than they can chew.
I cannot fathom what these guys were thinking. Did they think this would be like Iraq and Afghanistan? Russia is a modern military and this is conventional warfare against combined arms.
definitely not used to going up against heavy duty artillery, rockets, and missiles
Gets into a muddled grey area, but if get enough of the right people to form an allied air force squadron, give them some F-16s and associated accessories, it'd make things interesting.
The point at which he's facing unavoidable loss. That can happen whether we help or not. So do you play to win or stab them in the back on the 1% chance he loses his marbles?
There's a scenario here too where Ukraine falls and Russia's economy is still left to wither on the vine, forcing internal change some time down the road.
Fastest way to get to there is for the Russian population en masse to learn of what is actually happening in Ukraine, which I have to think they will eventually.
Putin must be quaking in his house slippers. Will be more interested when the world demands that Russia surrender Putin to be tried by a war crimes tribunal as a condition of relaxing any sanctions against them.BD88 said:⚡️The International Court of Justice in The #Hague will rule on the case of #Ukraine against #Russia on March 16.
— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) March 14, 2022
*PUTIN CLEARLY HAS AN OCCUPATION OF UKRAINE IN MIND: KIRBY
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) March 14, 2022
Channel One employee arrested after running onto stage with anti-war sign. In a pre-recorded video, she said she was "very ashamed" for doing "Kremlin propaganda" https://t.co/Kxu6VA5yG8
— BNO News (@BNONews) March 14, 2022
I've seen quite a few of Benjamin Hall's updates from Ukraine the past couple weeks - hoping he is ok.BD88 said:#BREAKING: Fox News announces that one of their crew members has been injured in Kyiv while out reporting on Russia's war against Ukraine.@JohnRobertsFox says Fox's "teams on the ground are working as hard as they can to try to gather more information." pic.twitter.com/of97FbItKw
— Curtis Houck (@CurtisHouck) March 14, 2022
The only way civilians get out is by busses to the Russian border where Russia has press ready to take photos of the helpless innocents running into the arms of their saviors from the evil Nazi regime.RebelE Infantry said:Captain Positivity said:
Fox News reporting on their website, citing Ukrainian sources, that citizens are finally being allowed to leave Mariupol without being shot at.
This corroborates Russians With Attitude's earlier tweet that 200 buses were being assembled for civilian evacuation. They reported that Russian forces were negotiating with Ukrainian regulars, but not Azov.
BD88 said:Channel One employee arrested after running onto stage with anti-war sign. In a pre-recorded video, she said she was "very ashamed" for doing "Kremlin propaganda" https://t.co/Kxu6VA5yG8
— BNO News (@BNONews) March 14, 2022
Nice!
No Spin Ag said:BD88 said:Channel One employee arrested after running onto stage with anti-war sign. In a pre-recorded video, she said she was "very ashamed" for doing "Kremlin propaganda" https://t.co/Kxu6VA5yG8
— BNO News (@BNONews) March 14, 2022
Nice!
That young lady knew what was going to happen to her the second she did what she did, and she still did it.
God bless her and those in Russia who see what Putin is doing and trying to do what they can to be on the right side of this.
Agree with all your points, but the question remains how long can a state like that persist? Being firewalled off from the internet it one thing, but there are work arounds to that and eventually people start traveling again.mickeyrig06sq3 said:Ukraine falling and Russia withering is the insurgency part of the above scenarios. The Russian population doesn't have access to a variety of information, especially now that ISP's are starting to cut off Russia, and Russia is blocking sites like Facebook, Instagram, etc. If you control the information, you control the people. Outside of the younger generation, your 30+ demographic still drinks the Kremlin Kool-Aid. Putin has energized suppression mechanisms to the point that Stalin would be proud. He grew up in the KGB/FSB, it's his bread and butter.Fitch said:mickeyrig06sq3 said:That 1% involves resetting civilizations progression for the next few hundred years. We're trying to keep him contained long enough for the sanctions to drive changes from within. Keep him trying to win while someone takes him out of the picture (one way or another). He's not going to win this fast enough to stop Russia from internally collapsing. The only way to win this quickly would basically be to wipe Kyiv off the map and get surrender through mass-murder. Even if he does do that, will the people capitulate, or will it drive them to fight harder?Rossticus said:mickeyrig06sq3 said:Hard part is figuring out the point at which Putin goes from being an unstable megalomaniac to being a full on cornered animal with nothing to lose.mickeyrig06sq3 said:On the flip side, some equipment has not been sent because the Ukrainians don't have training on certain platforms, and you can't teach it quick. However, if I've got some volunteers in country who know how to use it, that can change things. Not saying it will, but it does provide more options. Some countries have enough volunteers to have their own battalion.W said:very good points.BAP Enthusiast said:
I have heard a number of these stories. Basically the Western volunteers who have been going there are completely unprepared for an enemy who has on par military equipment, air superiority, and significant and accurate long range artillery and missile capabilities.
They don't know how to handle the fact that in Ukraine, they are the goat herders and they can't just call in an air strike when they bite off more than they can chew.
I cannot fathom what these guys were thinking. Did they think this would be like Iraq and Afghanistan? Russia is a modern military and this is conventional warfare against combined arms.
definitely not used to going up against heavy duty artillery, rockets, and missiles
Gets into a muddled grey area, but if get enough of the right people to form an allied air force squadron, give them some F-16s and associated accessories, it'd make things interesting.
The point at which he's facing unavoidable loss. That can happen whether we help or not. So do you play to win or stab them in the back on the 1% chance he loses his marbles?
There's a scenario here too where Ukraine falls and Russia's economy is still left to wither on the vine, forcing internal change some time down the road.
Fastest way to get to there is for the Russian population en masse to learn of what is actually happening in Ukraine, which I have to think they will eventually.
No different than what it was like pre-90s. Under those regimes, there's a few different types of people. Those who know, and benefit from it. Those who know, but keep their mouths shut out of fear. And finally, useful idiots. It's amazing how big that middle group will get after enough people disappear, you punish families for a single person's dissent, and you instill paranoia due to that third faction of people.Fitch said:Agree with all your points, but the question remains how long can a state like that persist? Being firewalled off from the internet it one thing, but there are work arounds to that and eventually people start traveling again.mickeyrig06sq3 said:Ukraine falling and Russia withering is the insurgency part of the above scenarios. The Russian population doesn't have access to a variety of information, especially now that ISP's are starting to cut off Russia, and Russia is blocking sites like Facebook, Instagram, etc. If you control the information, you control the people. Outside of the younger generation, your 30+ demographic still drinks the Kremlin Kool-Aid. Putin has energized suppression mechanisms to the point that Stalin would be proud. He grew up in the KGB/FSB, it's his bread and butter.Fitch said:mickeyrig06sq3 said:That 1% involves resetting civilizations progression for the next few hundred years. We're trying to keep him contained long enough for the sanctions to drive changes from within. Keep him trying to win while someone takes him out of the picture (one way or another). He's not going to win this fast enough to stop Russia from internally collapsing. The only way to win this quickly would basically be to wipe Kyiv off the map and get surrender through mass-murder. Even if he does do that, will the people capitulate, or will it drive them to fight harder?Rossticus said:mickeyrig06sq3 said:Hard part is figuring out the point at which Putin goes from being an unstable megalomaniac to being a full on cornered animal with nothing to lose.mickeyrig06sq3 said:On the flip side, some equipment has not been sent because the Ukrainians don't have training on certain platforms, and you can't teach it quick. However, if I've got some volunteers in country who know how to use it, that can change things. Not saying it will, but it does provide more options. Some countries have enough volunteers to have their own battalion.W said:very good points.BAP Enthusiast said:
I have heard a number of these stories. Basically the Western volunteers who have been going there are completely unprepared for an enemy who has on par military equipment, air superiority, and significant and accurate long range artillery and missile capabilities.
They don't know how to handle the fact that in Ukraine, they are the goat herders and they can't just call in an air strike when they bite off more than they can chew.
I cannot fathom what these guys were thinking. Did they think this would be like Iraq and Afghanistan? Russia is a modern military and this is conventional warfare against combined arms.
definitely not used to going up against heavy duty artillery, rockets, and missiles
Gets into a muddled grey area, but if get enough of the right people to form an allied air force squadron, give them some F-16s and associated accessories, it'd make things interesting.
The point at which he's facing unavoidable loss. That can happen whether we help or not. So do you play to win or stab them in the back on the 1% chance he loses his marbles?
There's a scenario here too where Ukraine falls and Russia's economy is still left to wither on the vine, forcing internal change some time down the road.
Fastest way to get to there is for the Russian population en masse to learn of what is actually happening in Ukraine, which I have to think they will eventually.
The only way to manage a complete information blackout is to commit to a North Korean style wall which is suicide for an economy. Also have to believe people would one day wake up and ask "why exactly is the entire world cutting us off for 'de-nazifying' a country we were invited into and oh by the way why do we still have 100,000 troops stationed there and no one is allowed to go visit anymore?"
There is absolutely zero reason for Ukraine to "sue for peace". None.RebelE Infantry said:Rossticus said:RebelE Infantry said:PearlJammin said:
You are assuming Ukraine is ready to surrender all of that.....
You are assuming they'll have a choice.
Russia isn't even close to making them at this point.
Maybe, maybe not. But Russia is continuing to tighten the "cauldron" around the bulk of the Ukrainian army in the Donbas. Once Mariupol falls then they can redirect a whole lot of firepower and consolidate their lines. Militarily speaking, the situation for Ukraine is very grim and only growing more so. Their only hope continues to be dragging the western nations into the war, which would be sheer madness.
On top of all that, how much longer do you think any significant number of Americans will bear economic pain under the guise of "Putin bad"? A week? Two weeks? A month maybe?
The best plan for Ukraine is to sue for peace and do it quickly. Russia's bargaining position only grows stronger with each town and city they take.
ETA: this is not me taking a position one way or the other. The last thing I want to see is the total devastation that will follow if Ukraine is dragged into a prolonged insurgency. There must be a negotiated peace or Ukraine as anyone recognizes it will cease to exist.
Russian drone footage of a possible Iskander-M ballistic missile strike on a likely Ukrainian weapons depot pic.twitter.com/JpenvFWJWz
— ELINT News (@ELINTNews) March 14, 2022
ZELENSKY ADVISER REVEALS THAT PEACE WITH RUSSIA COULD BE ESTABLISHED BY MAY - SPUTNIK.
— Breaking News | FinancialJuice (@Financialjuice1) March 14, 2022
Irish 2.0 said:ZELENSKY ADVISER REVEALS THAT PEACE WITH RUSSIA COULD BE ESTABLISHED BY MAY - SPUTNIK.
— Breaking News | FinancialJuice (@Financialjuice1) March 14, 2022
Probably their stuff to begin with...Agthatbuilds said:Russian drone footage of a possible Iskander-M ballistic missile strike on a likely Ukrainian weapons depot pic.twitter.com/JpenvFWJWz
— ELINT News (@ELINTNews) March 14, 2022