ATX_AG_08 said:Video of a Ukrainian T-80 Engaging Russian Forces in the Eastern city of Kharkiv, note the column of destroyed Russian Tigr Infantry Vehicles from the failed Russian Spetsnaz push into the city about 4 days ago. pic.twitter.com/GJ1FBxM8kD
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) March 8, 2022
Yeah they have no concept of what that would entail. I think based on Russian performance so far that it would almost certainly result in a nuclear exchange at least tactically with the Russians nuking Poland and the Baltics and us nuking Kaliningrad. It would be a **** show. 100,000s dead at a minimum. There is no way the Russians don't escalate to deescalate at that point as it is very clear their military would get shellacked inside of a week with NATO intervention.cone said:
these NFZ hawks are terrifying
Agthatbuilds said:OG UNF said:Get Off My Lawn said:I get the desire to revel in this (Russian military poverty = good), but many a war has been won by a force who improvises & adapts. Our nation's highlight reel includes many images which would elicit civilian snark.flakrat said:htownag10 said:Allegedly in some operational areas Russian army is out of any trucks and transports own soldiers as garbage - in dump trucks. A strong feeling of ISIS or Taliban. pic.twitter.com/jtT8biGmnC
— Sergej Sumlenny (@sumlenny) March 8, 2022
This images need to make it to the Russian public. What an embarrassment to the might bear army.
I just get a sense that many folks are gleefully dancing on Putin's grave while he's still very much alive and it concerns me that these attitudes will help to get us drawn into an unwise position.
This. Ukraine army has been made out to be a scrappy fighter, but riding in a dump truck means Russians ain't acting like redcoats.
The question is why have the Russians had the need to bring in civilian vehicles to fulfill their mission needs
Is it a reliability issue? Have they had so much loss that the dump trucks were the easiest/quickest solution? Is there a more nefarious use for them like sabotage?
It will be telling to see how this equipment is fielded by the russians.
flakrat said:I don't argue with the initiative and value of the troops on the ground improvising to continue their mission / survive, but for the general populace, this would be good propaganda.OG UNF said:This. Ukraine army has been made out to be a scrappy fighter, but riding in a dump truck means Russians ain't acting like redcoats.Get Off My Lawn said:I get the desire to revel in this (Russian military poverty = good), but many a war has been won by a force who improvises & adapts. Our nation's highlight reel includes many images which would elicit civilian snark.flakrat said:This images need to make it to the Russian public. What an embarrassment to the might bear army.htownag10 said:Allegedly in some operational areas Russian army is out of any trucks and transports own soldiers as garbage - in dump trucks. A strong feeling of ISIS or Taliban. pic.twitter.com/jtT8biGmnC
— Sergej Sumlenny (@sumlenny) March 8, 2022
I just get a sense that many folks are gleefully dancing on Putin's grave while he's still very much alive and it concerns me that these attitudes will help to get us drawn into an unwise position.
Putin's War - The Ukraine Daily Briefing Map for March 8th.
— Nathan Ruser (@Nrg8000) March 8, 2022
The second, third and fourth pictures show comparisons to a week ago. In that week Russia has also lost at least 102 tanks, 103 tracked armoured vehicles and 15 Aircraft (per @oryxspioenkop) pic.twitter.com/5XjPwKGS7B
been saying this for awhile now, we are only seeing one side of this war.The Debt said:
Its Tuesday. I thought there was credible sources saying Russians were logistically unable to stay fed and fuelled beyond Sunday.
Maybe we shouldn't put too much stock in all these tweets and blue checkmarks.
not only that Russia will never ever be able to garrison the country or install a puppet...Their best best is to negotiate the best terms they can..This is pretty much a disaster for Russia.LMCane said:been saying this for awhile now, we are only seeing one side of this war.The Debt said:
Its Tuesday. I thought there was credible sources saying Russians were logistically unable to stay fed and fuelled beyond Sunday.
Maybe we shouldn't put too much stock in all these tweets and blue checkmarks.
and while the Russians have taken severe losses, they still outnumber and outgun the Ukes.
it is all going to come down to which side can bring in reinforcements,
keep their forces supplied in the field,
and can the Ukes hold on long enough (before there is no country left) for the economic pain on Russia to force them to a ceasefire.
only thing I figure is they thinnk they can recover them later. My guess is they underestimated the farmers in the area stealing everythingSpreadsheetAg said:
What's strange to me is that they don't thermite the vehicles to make them inoperable. I believe this is standard OP for abandonment of US military vehicles.
You have to abandon your equipment? You drop a thermite grenade on the engine block and scoot. It probably won't melt all the way through the block but it will do enough damage to the engine and other equipment around it to make the unit inoperable...
U.K. to Ban Russian Oil Imports
— Bianna Golodryga (@biannagolodryga) March 8, 2022
“The move will be in concerted effort with the U.S. and will be phased out in the coming months.” https://t.co/hJbrVGHIUe
Which all seems great - I'm just nervous about how this ends. Put Putin on the ropes and he might take off the gloves. Protracted war isn't good for Ukrainian civilians. Total war isn't good for Ukrainians (we haven't seen city-leveling activities yet). I don't see Putin simply retreating. A carved up Ukraine probably sees some civil war type fallout. The chance of us seeing nukes flying is miniscule - but it's non-zero. And if Ukraine is able to hang on to its independence as a non-puppet state... it's still a corrupt and war ravaged country.Agthatbuilds said:Get Off My Lawn said:
My point is that we should curb our enthusiasm. Something can be a good sign while still falling short of being indicative of victory. There are folks getting whipped into a frenzy over this thing. Covid, BLM, Ukraine, Russian collusion, orange man bad, etc: a person who lets their emotions outrun their skepticism will follow puppet masters.
Russia still has the upper hand but I read today it's costing putin 650 million per day for this war. I presume that's that cost of fighting plus the cost of sanctions.
Further, it appear both armies now have a roughly equal amount of personnel in country. The ukes just need to keep stretching this out for as long as they can.
The European Union presented a plan Tuesday to cut Russian gas imports by two thirds this year, steeply reducing — but not severing — energy ties to Moscow. https://t.co/CTwBt46SPV
— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) March 8, 2022
Uh, the Finns did not win the Winter War in 1940. So his analysis seems to be suspect.ATX_AG_08 said:
Very optimistic assessment. I pray he's right.The contrast is stunning. The proud Ukrainians think that Putin will lose his war of aggression against them, while the Western observers overwhelmingly think Russia will win. Having studied the Finnish Winter War I am all with the Ukrainians.
— Anders Åslund (@anders_aslund) March 8, 2022
Yes correct but it could have been worse for the finns..They inflicted heavy losses on an ill prepared Russian army who that they could simply roll Finland in 3 days.LMCane said:Uh, the Finns did not win the Winter War in 1940. So his analysis seems to be suspect.ATX_AG_08 said:
Very optimistic assessment. I pray he's right.The contrast is stunning. The proud Ukrainians think that Putin will lose his war of aggression against them, while the Western observers overwhelmingly think Russia will win. Having studied the Finnish Winter War I am all with the Ukrainians.
— Anders Åslund (@anders_aslund) March 8, 2022
The treaty ending the Winter War forced Finland to cede 11 percent of its territory to the Soviet Union
The follow-up in the thread. That agreement with Russia would be useless.Agthatbuilds said:Zelenskyy says "compromise" is possible on Putin's demands he cede Crimea/DPR/LPR & not join NATO: "I've cooled down regarding this question a long time ago after we understood that NATO isn't prepared to accept Ukraine." Could be big if both sides genuine https://t.co/7pd5mOrgAM
— Alec Luhn (@ASLuhn) March 8, 2022
Zelenskyy is proposing a "collective security agreement" with Russia, Turkey & Ukraine's other neighbors, as well as the US, France & Germany, according to the official readout of his ABC interview https://t.co/pqa1Lkchyf
— Alec Luhn (@ASLuhn) March 8, 2022
Deployed out of Fort Hood, per my understanding...Charpie said:
Scroll running on the bottom of CNN right now.
"US sending an additional 500 troops to Europe."
Valtrex11 said:not only that Russia will never ever be able to garrison the country or install a puppet...Their best best is to negotiate the best terms they can..This is pretty much a disaster for Russia.LMCane said:been saying this for awhile now, we are only seeing one side of this war.The Debt said:
Its Tuesday. I thought there was credible sources saying Russians were logistically unable to stay fed and fuelled beyond Sunday.
Maybe we shouldn't put too much stock in all these tweets and blue checkmarks.
and while the Russians have taken severe losses, they still outnumber and outgun the Ukes.
it is all going to come down to which side can bring in reinforcements,
keep their forces supplied in the field,
and can the Ukes hold on long enough (before there is no country left) for the economic pain on Russia to force them to a ceasefire.
POLITICO Playbook: EXCLUSIVE: 'Limited' no-fly zone gains steam among foreign policy eliteTeddy Perkins said:
US foreign policy heavyweights call for limited no-fly zone over Ukraine.
The group of 27 foreign policy leaders urged the U.S. to impose a limited no-fly zone over Ukraine starting with protection for humanitarian corridors, Politico reported.
Ukrainian forces had to dismantle fortifications and demine the main road to allow civilian evacuation from Mariupol. Russian forces reportedly used this opportunity and are now assaulting the city. #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar #Mariupol
— MilitaryLand.net (@Militarylandnet) March 8, 2022
🗺️#Mariupol situation. Russian forces captured Manhush and are pushing from Stary Krym and alongside the Sea of Azov from South. They reached Pokrovske today. pic.twitter.com/MCtCOjXmxL
— MilitaryLand.net (@Militarylandnet) March 8, 2022
📽️Drone footage of the outskirts of #Mariupol. You can see Russian forces are moving through Pokrovske towards the nearby airport. #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar pic.twitter.com/w6tvMuPZxE
— MilitaryLand.net (@Militarylandnet) March 8, 2022
📽️ Russian military convoy moving through Bohdanivka near #Brovary #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar pic.twitter.com/C8VSh4N1iq
— MilitaryLand.net (@Militarylandnet) March 8, 2022
I agree that everyone should be skeptical of tweets and unconfirmed reports, but... I do remember that the guy who said Russia would be done by Sunday walked that statement back pretty quickly to clarify that he did not mean Russia would be in full retreat by Sunday. I cannot remember exactly what he did say, but he did clarify it and he clarified pretty quickly (not after Sunday came and went).LMCane said:been saying this for awhile now, we are only seeing one side of this war.The Debt said:
Its Tuesday. I thought there was credible sources saying Russians were logistically unable to stay fed and fuelled beyond Sunday.
Maybe we shouldn't put too much stock in all these tweets and blue checkmarks.
and while the Russians have taken severe losses, they still outnumber and outgun the Ukes.
it is all going to come down to which side can bring in reinforcements,
keep their forces supplied in the field,
and can the Ukes hold on long enough (before there is no country left) for the economic pain on Russia to force them to a ceasefire.
Good, please be true.Robk said:
A lot of backing off today.
1. Zelinsky Statements
2. Sweden saying no NATO (right now)
3. UN not wanting to use war/invasion (IF TRUE)
4. KIA numbers reported by US still basically the same number they reported several days ago.
These almost feel planned, and trying desperately to give Putin an off ramp.
Mykolaiv region pic.twitter.com/QpRbGZSjDN
— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) March 8, 2022
bangobango said:I agree that everyone should be skeptical of tweets and unconfirmed reports, but... I do remember that the guy who said Russia would be done by Sunday walked that statement back pretty quickly to clarify that he did not mean Russia would be in full retreat by Sunday. I cannot remember exactly what he did say, but he did clarify it and he clarified pretty quickly (not after Sunday came and went).LMCane said:been saying this for awhile now, we are only seeing one side of this war.The Debt said:
Its Tuesday. I thought there was credible sources saying Russians were logistically unable to stay fed and fuelled beyond Sunday.
Maybe we shouldn't put too much stock in all these tweets and blue checkmarks.
and while the Russians have taken severe losses, they still outnumber and outgun the Ukes.
it is all going to come down to which side can bring in reinforcements,
keep their forces supplied in the field,
and can the Ukes hold on long enough (before there is no country left) for the economic pain on Russia to force them to a ceasefire.