Fitch said:
1. Russia is effed
a. In Ukraine
b. In Syria
c. In Chechnya
d. At home
2. Nuclear Option
a. Not even sure if arsenal has been kept up and functions.
b. Not sure the command procedures are functional
c. Thinks someone will not let it happen
d. Does not think Putin wants to die, as evidenced by his fear of having people close
3. In the best circumstance (they took over Kiev in 3 days) they were still going to have a hard time.
4. Intelligence failures
a. were not told about this
b. told to file reports
c. Told "details don't matter" (i.e make it pro Russian)
Gosh, I wonder where they got that idea….Fitch said:aggiehawg said:Hehehe!Robk said:March 6 (Reuters) - Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a law allowing funds to be seized from the bank accounts of officials if the sum of the deposits exceeded their declared incomes over three years and was shown to be illegal, state television said on Sunday.
— Idrees Ali (@idreesali114) March 6, 2022
Lots of personel are going to look to GTFO of Russia if their accounts are higher than they should be.
Looks like Putin has figured out he has been Saddamed. His military has been stealing for years while filing false reports of "ghost" weapons and military unit readiness.
And from the long threadreader from the FSB (?) analyst, Putin cannot even be sure his nuke stock has been properly maintained and still function as designed.
And as if on queue, the Kremlin begins advertising Ukrainian attempts to build a dirty bomb.
Curious if anyone knows definitively if fissile material can be traced back to the specific reactor and days it was produced? Popular media would lead one to assume that's the case - in which case how could something like that even be faked? Maybe why they changed the tactic. . .Russia, without evidence, says Ukraine making nuclear "dirty bomb" https://t.co/GWKb4jKqQ9 pic.twitter.com/QLm1tiRpHC
— Reuters (@Reuters) March 6, 2022After randomly claiming Ukraine was working on a nuclear weapon (in the leakiest of countries), now Russia 's @mod_russia comes up with something even less plausible: they "found evidence" Ukraine and USA wee developing weaponized plague bacteria at a super secret lab near Kyiv.
— Christo Grozev (@christogrozev) March 6, 2022
Red Pear Realty said:Fitch said:
1. Russia is effed
a. In Ukraine
b. In Syria
c. In Chechnya
d. At home
2. Nuclear Option
a. Not even sure if arsenal has been kept up and functions.
b. Not sure the command procedures are functional
c. Thinks someone will not let it happen
d. Does not think Putin wants to die, as evidenced by his fear of having people close
3. In the best circumstance (they took over Kiev in 3 days) they were still going to have a hard time.
4. Intelligence failures
a. were not told about this
b. told to file reports
c. Told "details don't matter" (i.e make it pro Russian)
I asked this yesterday and not sure if anyone answered, but for real, how do we know their nuclear arsenal is operational?
Will they remove the "V" "Z""O" from those vehicles?BD88 said:Many will laugh at this “equipment” being sent in by #Russia, but think again.
— Countermeasure (@thecmeasure) March 6, 2022
I see vehicle assets that are hard to ID as military ones. It’ll be just as easy for Russian soldiers to put on civvies and conduct saboteur ops..#Ukraine #UkraineRussianWar pic.twitter.com/95wju0u3No
Similar to what was posted earlier…
We don't. The point here is, neither does Putin.Red Pear Realty said:Fitch said:
1. Russia is effed
a. In Ukraine
b. In Syria
c. In Chechnya
d. At home
2. Nuclear Option
a. Not even sure if arsenal has been kept up and functions.
b. Not sure the command procedures are functional
c. Thinks someone will not let it happen
d. Does not think Putin wants to die, as evidenced by his fear of having people close
3. In the best circumstance (they took over Kiev in 3 days) they were still going to have a hard time.
4. Intelligence failures
a. were not told about this
b. told to file reports
c. Told "details don't matter" (i.e make it pro Russian)
I asked this yesterday and not sure if anyone answered, but for real, how do we know their nuclear arsenal is operational?
I don't think UKR would want to fly from there anyway - too close to the action. It'd have to be further west closer to Lviv. That's one less airport that the Russians could have flown to for resupply. I wonder if Russia expected to take Gostomel quickly and use that airport for resupply rather than using the long convoy.BD88 said:
Rubio active this morning…#Russia spent 8 missiles on a singe airport in #Vinnytsya #Ukraine and reportedly completely destroyed it
— Marco Rubio (@marcorubio) March 6, 2022
They know you can’t send fighter jets to Ukraine if they don’t have somewhere to land & operate them from pic.twitter.com/rf3CHnQvJh
📽️ Ukrainian air-defense working in #Kharkiv, downed Russian plane #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar pic.twitter.com/9JIFXZTXji
— MilitaryLand.net (@Militarylandnet) March 6, 2022
How old are those videos and pictures? Seems like a creative editing job to me.Red Pear Realty said:
Seems like their delivery systems can do the job.
https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/russia-test-launches-ballistic-and-cruise-missiles-11645271129
My favourite part of this new VICE documentary in Ukraine. Meet Vitali, a 74 year old newly self acclaimed bartender from Odessa. pic.twitter.com/wsOa7yuFVk
— IntelOmarion (@IntelOmarion) March 4, 2022
Yet more evidence that #Russia is running out of Precision Guided Munitions (PGMs) for it's aircraft and possibly running low on Kalibir Cruise Missiles as well. They are reverting to deploying very outdated Tochka-U missiles against some targets in #Ukraine. https://t.co/l0EOU43vNA
— OSINT-Eye (@OSINT_Eye_) March 6, 2022
⚠️ Confirmed: Network data show a loss a connectivity to the network serving Vodafone in #Energodar, southeast #Ukraine, where users report disruption to mobile services as Russian forces move to occupy #Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant.
— NetBlocks (@netblocks) March 6, 2022
📰 Background: https://t.co/S0qJQ7CbNv pic.twitter.com/jzumr9lip8
The Ukrainians are starting to receive and field Swedish AT-4s. https://t.co/AN731Af9UZ
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) March 6, 2022
#Russian authorities are preparing to carry out a provocation near the Ukrainian border by shelling residential areas, the National Security and Defense Council of #Ukraine says pic.twitter.com/haYYCbfvBV
— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) March 6, 2022
Seems the Russian forces within the circle have a long narrow supply line to maintain.Ag In Ok said:The Ukes need a division plus sized force in this area. Right?Rossticus said:Russian elements landed near #Voznesensk, 4 Russian helicopters involved. Heavy fighting reported from the town. #Ukraine #UkraineRussiaWar pic.twitter.com/CcMYcQKdDJ
— MilitaryLand.net (@Militarylandnet) March 5, 2022
BREAKING 🚨 US Secretary Blinken: The US has given a “green light” to NATO members if they choose to provide Ukraine with fighter jets.
— Insider Paper (@TheInsiderPaper) March 6, 2022
htownag10 said:BREAKING 🚨 US Secretary Blinken: The US has given a “green light” to NATO members if they choose to provide Ukraine with fighter jets.
— Insider Paper (@TheInsiderPaper) March 6, 2022
After randomly claiming Ukraine was working on a nuclear weapon (in the leakiest of countries), now Russia 's @mod_russia comes up with something even less plausible: they "found evidence" Ukraine and USA wee developing weaponized plague bacteria at a super secret lab near Kyiv.
— Christo Grozev (@christogrozev) March 6, 2022
A source tells me that the Russian Kalibr missile attack on Vinnitsia was launched from the Black Sea, and partly passed through the airspace of Transnistria. Eight missiles were fired at the airport there, leaving it completely destroyed.
— Bryce Wilson (@brycewilsonAU) March 6, 2022
htownag10 said:BREAKING 🚨 US Secretary Blinken: The US has given a “green light” to NATO members if they choose to provide Ukraine with fighter jets.
— Insider Paper (@TheInsiderPaper) March 6, 2022
The pilots will have to go to Poland and then go back to Ukraine and fly missions from there.SPSAg05 said:
So will Polish pilots have to fly the 29's into Ukraine then find a way back, or will Ukrainian pilots have to find a way to Poland to pick them up and fly them back?
SPSAg05 said:
So will Polish pilots have to fly the 29's into Ukraine then find a way back, or will Ukrainian pilots have to find a way to Poland to pick them up and fly them back?
Approximately 30 minutes ago TV Tower in Kharkiv was stuck, resulting is disruptions in broadcasting. This is part of Russia’s targeting of information capabilities.
— The Intel Hub (@The_IntelHub) March 6, 2022
Drone image reportedly from Mariupol. The city is burning down and under siege by Russian forces. pic.twitter.com/O2afAGkAhP
— CaucasusWarReport (@Caucasuswar) March 6, 2022