***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

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Rossticus
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1:18p, 3/2/22


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txags92
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In reply to Sully Dog • 1:18p, 3/2/22
AG
Sully Dog said:
Agthatbuilds said:
RebelE Infantry said:
Here is a good quick write up on the overall strategic military situation. Yes it runs counter to the broad narrative, no it is not Russian propaganda.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10569141/Putin-NOT-crazy-Russian-invasion-NOT-failing-writes-military-analyst-BILL-ROGGIO.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490


Read the article. Bunch of opinions giving too much credit to putin and Russia. Truth is in the middle somewhere.


The key to the decision of this invasion, which the article hinted at, was putin correctly calculated that the west would not go to war with Russia. He planned for everything else, except maybe the strength of resistance being put up by the ukes.
I think it's pretty spot on. Ukraine has a serious interest is shaping the narrative against Russia to garner Western support. Russia has no interest in shaping narratives. Thus, you see a lot of videos of Ukrainian heroism and Russian failures, but little to the contrary
Russia can't do too much to "shape the narrative" for the west, because their narrative was a lie to begin with, and designed to make the operation palatable to their own population. Straying from the "we are sending in peacekeepers to denazify the country" will let the camel's nose under the tent domestically for Putin.
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The Collective
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1:19p, 3/2/22
AG
Kind of crazy - we didn't expel the Russian ambassador during the Cuban Missile Crisis, and we had every right to do so. In fact, he was instrumental in the de-escalation of the situation.
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Jarrin' Jay
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1:20p, 3/2/22
AG
I don't believe ANY of these "running out of food and fuel" reports at all.
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The Collective
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In reply to Jarrin' Jay • 1:20p, 3/2/22
AG
Jarrin' Jay said:
I don't believe ANY of these "running out of food and fuel" reports at all.


Agree.
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Red Pear Realty
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In reply to OnlyForNow • 1:20p, 3/2/22
Sponsor
AG
These three poor souls are the vaunted Spetsnaz.

Sponsor Message: We Split Commissions. Full Service Agents in Austin, Bryan-College Station, Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio. Red Pear Realty
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Bubblez
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In reply to Irish 2.0 • 1:20p, 3/2/22
Irish 2.0 said:


Should've shot them down
It takes some time to build and scramble Swedish fighter jets. They have to grab a few boxes from a warehouse, and assemble the pieces together with the small included allen wrench.
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BlackGoldAg2011
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1:22p, 3/2/22
AG
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SPSAg05
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In reply to Bubblez • 1:22p, 3/2/22
AG
Bubblez said:
Irish 2.0 said:


Should've shot them down
It takes some time to build and scramble Swedish fighter jets. They have to grab a few boxes from a warehouse, and assemble the pieces together with the small included allen wrench.
Saab Gripens are actually some pretty slick birds.
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TheCougarHunter
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In reply to Jarrin' Jay • 1:23p, 3/2/22
AG
Jarrin' Jay said:
I don't believe ANY of these "running out of food and fuel" reports at all.


100%

Sure there are units here and there that have had to slow their advance for resupply but to think the Russian army is running out of food and fuel is ludicrous.
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RONA Ag
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In reply to Bubblez • 1:24p, 3/2/22
AG
Bubblez said:
Irish 2.0 said:


Should've shot them down
It takes some time to build and scramble Swedish fighter jets. They have to grab a few boxes from a warehouse, and assemble the pieces together with the small included allen wrench.


I know they aren't nato but I wonder if they are going to either request or if it will be requested to station an American or British air force there
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W
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1:26p, 3/2/22
AG
I can't believe all these (failed) airborne assaults & operations.

maybe somewhere else in the country they have been really effective for the Russians...and been kept secret
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TRM
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In reply to jabberwalkie09 • 1:29p, 3/2/22
AG
I'll edit it.
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TRM
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1:31p, 3/2/22
AG
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ABATTBQ11
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In reply to TheCougarHunter • 1:33p, 3/2/22
AG
TheCougarHunter said:
Jarrin' Jay said:
I don't believe ANY of these "running out of food and fuel" reports at all.


100%

Sure there are units here and there that have had to slow their advance for resupply but to think the Russian army is running out of food and fuel is ludicrous.


Someone posted this earlier: Feeding the Bear

Basically the point is that the Russians' have an undersized logistics structure. It's easy for them to outrun their supply lines and overstretch them if they don't have the railroads to support them. Based on this assessment, they could very well be running out of supplies on their front lines.
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PJYoung
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1:35p, 3/2/22
AG
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UTExan
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1:37p, 3/2/22
This retired US Army intelligence colonel does a daily update if anyone is interested:

“If you’re going to have crime it should at least be organized crime”
-Havelock Vetinari
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Irish 2.0
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1:40p, 3/2/22
That'll leave a mark!


Wonder if that includes FC Chelsea. Roman might be out the 3B GBP he was asking!
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GarryowenAg
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In reply to TheCougarHunter • 1:40p, 3/2/22
AG
TheCougarHunter said:
Jarrin' Jay said:
I don't believe ANY of these "running out of food and fuel" reports at all.


100%

Sure there are units here and there that have had to slow their advance for resupply but to think the Russian army is running out of food and fuel is ludicrous.
I believe it to an extent. I've witnessed company/battalion sized units go black on fuel during brigade level training exercises in the US. Russia is known to lack log capabilities that we possess, so it shouldn't be completely discounted.
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ATX_AG_08
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1:41p, 3/2/22
AG
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SidsBurnerAccount
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1:44p, 3/2/22


Yet another video of a captured Russian tank. Russians not abandoning equipment?
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Irish 2.0
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1:46p, 3/2/22
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Rossticus
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In reply to Irish 2.0 • 1:48p, 3/2/22
About damn time.
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jabberwalkie09
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In reply to GarryowenAg • 1:49p, 3/2/22
AG
GarryowenAg said:
Let's see if I got it.


I'm sure there's some rounds being exchanged in this video, but it also sound like there's some rounds cooking off. There's some extra noise in there imo.
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ABATTBQ11
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In reply to SidsBurnerAccount • 1:49p, 3/2/22
AG
Way too many videos of abandoned and burning equipment to not lend credence to claims of huge losses in Russian armor and low morale/casualties. This invasion is going to be expensive for the Russians.
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ATX_AG_08
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1:51p, 3/2/22
AG
Plus there's actual translated videos with Russians saying they're out of gas.
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45-70Ag
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1:51p, 3/2/22
AG
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GigEmRangers75455
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In reply to ABATTBQ11 • 1:52p, 3/2/22
ABATTBQ11 said:
Way too many videos of abandoned and burning equipment to not lend credence to claims of huge losses in Russian armor and low morale/casualties. This invasion is going to be expensive for the Russians.


Well good thing for them their economy is booming to pay for it. Not…
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45-70Ag
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1:53p, 3/2/22
AG
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UTExan
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In reply to ABATTBQ11 • 1:54p, 3/2/22
ABATTBQ11 said:
Way too many videos of abandoned and burning equipment to not lend credence to claims of huge losses in Russian armor and low morale/casualties. This invasion is going to be expensive for the Russians.


Yes, and how do the Russians expect to occupy cities swarming with Uke military/partisans equipped with better bunker/armor-busting Precision munitions than the Russians themselves? Trying to completely pacify Kyiv alone is probably beyond the capacity of the Russian army.
“If you’re going to have crime it should at least be organized crime”
-Havelock Vetinari
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ATX_AG_08
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1:54p, 3/2/22
AG
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TRM
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1:55p, 3/2/22
AG
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Irish 2.0
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In reply to 45-70Ag • 1:57p, 3/2/22
45-70Ag said:
Should permanently install PaperClip into their software...
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BlackGoldAg2011
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In reply to ABATTBQ11 • 1:57p, 3/2/22
AG
www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.htmlABATTBQ11 said:
Way too many videos of abandoned and burning equipment to not lend credence to claims of huge losses in Russian armor and low morale/casualties. This invasion is going to be expensive for the Russians.
one of the OSINT types "Oryx" is keeping a running list of photo verified equipment loses here:
www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html

Russian forces are up to 467 as of the last update (190 destroyed, 8 damaged, 121 abandoned, 149 captured)

the OSINT guys all seem to highly trust this guy's estimates. on the documented losses list you can even click on each vehicle in the list and see the pictures used to verify its loss.
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bonfarr
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In reply to Irish 2.0 • 1:58p, 3/2/22
AG
Irish 2.0 said:
That'll leave a mark!


Wonder if that includes FC Chelsea. Roman might be out the 3B GBP he was asking!


Give to Ukes as reparations, sounds legit to me.
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