aTmAg said:

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One big development that nobody seems to be talking about is how China is separating itself from Russia.

That is a big deal. Because if they were teamed up and China was supplying Russia and decided to sanction us from it's goods, we would be FFFFF-ed. Everything economically bad going on in Russia right now would instead be happening here (and maybe worse).

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We are china's biggest trading partner. Our GDP is almost $20T. Meanwhile Russia is at like $1.6T GDP. There's no way Russia can fill the vacuum if china decides to sanction us. Let alone how the rest of the world would react. But overall I agree with the economically bad happening here if something even came close to like that.

Satellite images show massive Russian convoy https://t.co/J0gweVlP2k

— Information Warfare Community Self Synchronization (@IWCsync) March 1, 2022

ORRRR it let's the EU say drop the weapons and or retreat or any further action will be met with different consequences.

PrestigeWorldwideAg12 said:

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ORRRR it let's the EU say drop the weapons and or retreat or any further action will be met with different consequences.

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What further consequences? The EU =/= NATO. If an EU nation that is part of NATO joins in the defense of Ukraine outside of what they're doing, it pushes NATO officially into this war. NATO members have already said no.

I think some of y'all may be conflating the two organizations which isn't accurate.

Looks like this was wrong yesterday

It's official - Europe won't transfer fighter planes to Ukraine. Poland decided not to, and Slovakian defense ministry spokesperson confirms to me just now: “Slovakia will not provide fighter jets to Ukraine."

— Paul McLeary (@paulmcleary) March 1, 2022

Hasn't Turkey wanted in the EU for decades? And now Ukraine jumps them? I'm sure that will go over well with our NATO member.

Russian GDP was 1.6T. Economic sanctions and isolation are driving that down. Our best case to remove Putin is bank runs and financial calamity for the Russian economy.

Red Pear Luke said:

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aTmAg said:

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One big development that nobody seems to be talking about is how China is separating itself from Russia.

That is a big deal. Because if they were teamed up and China was supplying Russia and decided to sanction us from it's goods, we would be FFFFF-ed. Everything economically bad going on in Russia right now would instead be happening here (and maybe worse).

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We are china's biggest trading partner. Our GDP is almost $20T. Meanwhile Russia is at like $1.6T GDP. There's no way Russia can fill the vacuum if china decides to sanction us. Let alone how the rest of the world would react. But overall I agree with the economically bad happening here if something even came close to like that.

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We are trading them dollars in exchange for real tangible stuff. It is an economic fallacy that they need our dollars more than we need their stuff. The opposite is true. They would have no problem going without our dollars and keeping that stuff for themselves (and selling their surplus to Russia and others).

JobSecurity said:

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Looks like this was wrong yesterday

It's official - Europe won't transfer fighter planes to Ukraine. Poland decided not to, and Slovakian defense ministry spokesperson confirms to me just now: “Slovakia will not provide fighter jets to Ukraine."

— Paul McLeary (@paulmcleary) March 1, 2022

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I think it's more likely that the rest of NATO threatened Poland out of it.

NATO has made it clear that Ukraine is on their own. Basically saying "Good luck dudes. Maybe we'll let you in NATO if you somehow pull this out."

UKRAINE'S FOREIGN MINISTER SAYS KYIV READY TO TALK TO RUSSIA TO SEEK SOLUTIONS BUT WON'T JUST FOLLOW RUSSIAN ULTIMATUMS

— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) March 1, 2022

Conflicting reports continue to emerge on this front. Has to be disinfo on our end.

Rossticus said:

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Conflicting reports continue to emerge on this front. Has to be disinfo on our end.

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Hope so

Here's the real reason for the comm strikes

13:40 EET: 🇷🇺is preparing to launch a large-scale information-psychological operation soon.–MoD of UA: "They plan to arrange communications failure, followed by many posted fakes that 🇺🇦military seemingly agreed to capitulate. It's a lie!" https://t.co/KyacelA9yV

— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) March 1, 2022

*NEXT RUSSIA-UKRAINE MEETING TO TAKE PLACE MARCH 2: TASS

— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) March 1, 2022

The 405th Army Field Support Brigade fully activated its Army Prepositioned Stock-2 sites for the first time in the brigade’s APS-2 program history.

“now the brigade is tasked with outfitting an entire armored brigade combat team being deployed to Europe from the United States” pic.twitter.com/9POLnVibbm

— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) March 1, 2022

Irish 2.0 said:

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PrestigeWorldwideAg12 said:

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ORRRR it let's the EU say drop the weapons and or retreat or any further action will be met with different consequences.

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What further consequences? The EU =/= NATO. If an EU nation that is part of NATO joins in the defense of Ukraine outside of what they're doing, it pushes NATO officially into this war. NATO members have already said no.

I think some of y'all may be conflating the two organizations which isn't accurate.

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I'm fully aware of the differences and I never said the war was going to be joined by any of them. There are further sanctions out there to be had that EU can throw on Russia through other countries. Russia will slowly fill the current sanctions and they will work, but you can throw harder and surrounding countries such as India.

Warnings from Russian MoD via state news that it is about to target military, comms objects in Kyiv. Warns ppl to leave homes. Today could get hot…

— Oliver Carroll (@olliecarroll) March 1, 2022

Edit: nvmd. Just saw it was posted earlier.

Russia appears to be switching back to Syrian tactics and fully committing. It appears they are escalating now as well.

GarryowenAg said:

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Haven't figured out how to post Twitter links on mobile app, but I just saw that the EU has accepted Ukraine's application for membership. Formal voting for membership takes place 4:30 local time ( 8:30am cst I believe)

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ETA: This does not mean they are in the EU. It is just a step in the process. Now the EU can formally consider the application.

⚡️⚡️European Parliament today. #Ukraine's application for #EU membership has been accepted. pic.twitter.com/j6rWjeI0tN

— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) March 1, 2022

India has made it obvious they're staying neutral in this. The EU has shown they won't do what is needed and that is to cut off the O&G from Russia. They left the carve outs in all of their sanctions. UK seems to be the only ones that are truly giving a hardy FU to Russia. They could've done that before they did the EU membership. It is symbolic at this point because the cowards either can't or won't do what is necessary to stop Russia and that is to turn them into N. Korea 2.0 until they GTFO of Ukraine.

will25u said:

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GarryowenAg said:

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Haven't figured out how to post Twitter links on mobile app, but I just saw that the EU has accepted Ukraine's application for membership. Formal voting for membership takes place 4:30 local time ( 8:30am cst I believe)

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⚡️⚡️European Parliament today. #Ukraine's application for #EU membership has been accepted. pic.twitter.com/j6rWjeI0tN

— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) March 1, 2022

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Okay what does this REALLY mean? Let's say they are admitted to the EU in the next 48 hours…

Then what?

FireAg said:

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will25u said:

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GarryowenAg said:

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Haven't figured out how to post Twitter links on mobile app, but I just saw that the EU has accepted Ukraine's application for membership. Formal voting for membership takes place 4:30 local time ( 8:30am cst I believe)

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⚡️⚡️European Parliament today. #Ukraine's application for #EU membership has been accepted. pic.twitter.com/j6rWjeI0tN

— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) March 1, 2022

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Okay what does this REALLY mean? Let's say they are admitted to the EU in the next 48 hours…

Then what?

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EU has no standing military but does have a common defense provision. That authorizes individual member states to use their militaries to assist another member.

I wonder if we're going to see deepfakes of Zelensky here soon

"There will be seemingly signed "documents" and mounted fake videos to "confirm" Russia's lies.
There will be no capitulation! Only victory!
Many who hoped to take Kyiv in two or three days are already in hell,"–MoD of 🇺🇦 added.

— Euromaidan Press (@EuromaidanPress) March 1, 2022

aggiehawg said:

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FireAg said:

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will25u said:

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GarryowenAg said:

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Haven't figured out how to post Twitter links on mobile app, but I just saw that the EU has accepted Ukraine's application for membership. Formal voting for membership takes place 4:30 local time ( 8:30am cst I believe)

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⚡️⚡️European Parliament today. #Ukraine's application for #EU membership has been accepted. pic.twitter.com/j6rWjeI0tN

— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) March 1, 2022

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Okay what does this REALLY mean? Let's say they are admitted to the EU in the next 48 hours…

Then what?

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EU has no standing military but does have a common defense provision. That authorizes individual member states to use their militaries to assist another member.

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Now you're crossing a NATO stream then...not the grey area NATO wants to be working in

UKRAINE'S ZELENSKIY SAYS ASKED GERMAN CHANCELLOR SCHOLZ TO CLOSE SKIES OVER UKRAINE

— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) March 1, 2022

black_ice said:

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FireAg said:

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will25u said:

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GarryowenAg said:

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Haven't figured out how to post Twitter links on mobile app, but I just saw that the EU has accepted Ukraine's application for membership. Formal voting for membership takes place 4:30 local time ( 8:30am cst I believe)

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⚡️⚡️European Parliament today. #Ukraine's application for #EU membership has been accepted. pic.twitter.com/j6rWjeI0tN

— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) March 1, 2022

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Okay what does this REALLY mean? Let's say they are admitted to the EU in the next 48 hours…

Then what?

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Nothing.

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Right. They just bypassed Turkey and other states to let them in. And for no reason. Yes. Lol.

Agree I think EU has something up their sleeve here. To rush an admit for show right now would be a horrendous look later on.

Engine10 said:

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Agree I think EU has something up their sleeve here. To rush an admit for show right now would be a horrendous look later on.

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I sure hope so.

I think they are trying to give Putin an out by trying to turn this from a negotiation with just Ukraine to the whole EU.

He can save face and say he accomplished his goals, and then extract something from the EU to call it a win.

Rossticus said:

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JFABNRGR said:

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Seems like something has changed in the last 18 hours in a very bad way for the Ukes, like someone has influenced them to not support as much. I sure hope it was not us.

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The fact is that Ukraine simply cannot hold out against Russia solo and never could. They've fared better than anticipated due to sheer incompetence on Russia's part but they're massively outgunned. Russia is attacking urban centers and not just military targets.

They'll level Kyiv and take it. They'll level Kharkiv and take it. They'll level Kherson and take it. They'll consolidate and close off everything east of Kyiv. They'll rest, resupply, regroup, and then move west. We'll watch because of "better them than us", whether you agree with it or not.

I hope I'm wrong and a miracle occurs but it will take a miracle at this point.

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You will be wrong.

That's an idea. Given the whole gas situation impacts EU more so than Ukraine, there's one lever. Interesting

EU Set To Delist 7 Banks From Swift, Including VTB Bank $RSX

— PSK2329 - JHC 🇺🇸🇺🇦 (@psk2329) March 1, 2022