***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

10,259,310 Views | 54922 Replies | Last: 12 hrs ago by shiftyandquick
Waffledynamics
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Russia is ****ing trash.
Rossticus
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Rossticus
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And now for some levity. You'll have to open the post.

"A nudist occupier decided to sunbathe naked right at his position

FPV operators from Ukraine's State Border Guard Service spotted the vacationer and added some water activities to his programme. It was hot, after all!

The swim was unplanned but certainly refreshing."

Rossticus
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TacosaurusRex
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Obviously a TV show, but if you watch the new episode of Lioness on Prime they spend some time in Ukraine. The scene isn't realistic of course, but they have some impressive drone shots and goes into them a little if you want some pictures to help paint the drone war image for you.
"If you are reading this, I have passed on from this world — not as big a deal for you as it was for me."
T. Boone Pickens
Rossticus
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Rossticus
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Rossticus
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"Not a single ballistic missile was shot down…

At the Kvitenna station, eight people were killed right on the platformthey were just standing there, waiting for the morning train…

The Russians also struck logistics centers, manufacturing facilities, and trade hubsdoing everything they can to destroy Ukraine's economy.

But what do we have right now? No Minister of Defense. No Minister of Foreign Affairs. No Ambassador to the United States. No law on shelters.

The empty chairs at the Ministry of Defense and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs have been vacant since July 16. These are exactly the two people who should be right now pounding on partners for missiles and knocking on the doors of Washington, Berlin, and Brussels every single day. Instead, we've got acting officials without a mandate, and the mono-majority is on vacation until August 18.

The draft law on shelters No. 15397, which our faction submitted back in 2023, still hasn't been passed. In July, we registered it for a second time: it's been refined, with guaranteed access to shelters, requirements for their condition, and clear accountability for those responsible for maintaining them.

Resilience plans, unbreakable plans, and all those other plans upon plans are only complete at the stage of drafting the plans themselves. There's less than three months until the heating season, so in the absence of air defense missiles, we need to bolster the protection of energy facilities, ensure backup power for hospitals and water utilities, and implement distributed generationthis needs to happen now!

Thank you to the State Emergency Service and medics who worked under fire today. Thank you to the police, utility workers, power engineers, and railway staff who restored operations by morning. Thank you to our air defense forces and everyone who didn't sleep this night.

To the families of those killedour deepest condolences… To the woundedour wishes for the speediest recovery."
txags92
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Rossticus said:



That is the kind of thing that should have very real and immediate consequences for Russia. Trying to assassinate a German citizen in Germany is an act of war. But Germany being Germany will probably go right on buying energy from Russia.
74OA
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Interesting. Are we learning the wrong lessons from Putin's War?

"The dirty little secret is this: Ukraine's greatest military innovation is not a drone. It is a whole-of-society innovation ecosystem capable of identifying battlefield problems, integrating new technologies into combat, learning from operational feedback and fielding improved capabilities at a pace that few traditional defense establishments can match."

TAKEAWAYS
USAFAg
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74OA said:

Interesting. Are we learning the wrong lessons from Putin's War?

"The dirty little secret is this: Ukraine's greatest military innovation is not a drone. It is a whole-of-society innovation ecosystem capable of identifying battlefield problems, integrating new technologies into combat, learning from operational feedback and fielding improved capabilities at a pace that few traditional defense establishments can match."

TAKEAWAYS

I'm not sure we are learning the wrong lesson. Drones, the changing warfare, I think the military understands this.

I think the real weak link in American defense is the American people. A people that are ignoring the reality and cost of a peer v. peer war and the politicians don't want to lose votes/support by telling American civilians that when we are at war....it's their war too!

All of Ukraine is sacrificing daily. When was the last time Americans sacrificed other than military members and their families and friends?

America could not deal with the losses of another D-Day or Hurtgen Forest or Tarawa. But if we fight a peer or even near peer war, those things will likely happen.
shiftyandquick
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Americans don't want to be at war. Neither do Ukrainians.

It's just the Ukrainians only have two choices. War or Surrender.

If the US were being invaded by another country, that would be a whole different story. The "Wolverines" call-to-duty would emerge.
MaxPower
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I worry a lot more about how secure our own infrastructure is from drones. Not even from a foreign military, it seems prime for terrorist activity.
JFABNRGR
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USA*** said:

74OA said:

Interesting. Are we learning the wrong lessons from Putin's War?

"The dirty little secret is this: Ukraine's greatest military innovation is not a drone. It is a whole-of-society innovation ecosystem capable of identifying battlefield problems, integrating new technologies into combat, learning from operational feedback and fielding improved capabilities at a pace that few traditional defense establishments can match."

TAKEAWAYS

I'm not sure we are learning the wrong lesson. Drones, the changing warfare, I think the military understands this.

I think the real weak link in American defense is the American people. A people that are ignoring the reality and cost of a peer v. peer war and the politicians don't want to lose votes/support by telling American civilians that when we are at war....it's their war too!

All of Ukraine is sacrificing daily. When was the last time Americans sacrificed other than military members and their families and friends?

America could not deal with the losses of another D-Day or Hurtgen Forest or Tarawa. But if we fight a peer or even near peer war, those things will likely happen.


This. I have kids on the softball field crying because we moved them from 2nd base to first for two innings and my wife and girls look at me like I am the devil for telling them no more door dash.
“You can resolve to live your life with integrity. Let your credo be this: Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph. But not through me.”
- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
Rossticus
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We know exactly why they're sending him…

Bull Meachem
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The old folks in the Ukraine were having the exact same discussion about their young people before Russia invaded. Americans would endure if we were in a similar situation.
Rossticus
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74OA
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North Korea upping its ballistic missile deliveries to Russia.

"The reported new deployment comes as Russia appears to be increasing its reliance on ballistic missiles to exploit one of Ukraine's most significant military vulnerabilities. With few signs that Russia has been able to further ramp up production of its own Iskander missiles, an increased supply of North Korean ballistic missiles would take advantage of a gap in Ukrainian air defenses and further threaten its cities, energy infrastructure, and other targets. The bigger concern is not simply another shipment of missiles, but the prospect of Russia tapping into an expanding North Korean production base financed by Moscow, allowing it to sustain high-volume ballistic missile attacks for far longer than it otherwise could."

BAD NEWS
Rossticus
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It's astonishing how every potential measure Europe or the US could take to assist Ukraine is fretted over out of fear of escalation. Those same folks don't bat an eye at the Norks sending troops and ballistic missiles to hammer civilians.
74OA
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Ukraine continues to hit back inside Russia.

"Ukrainian drones struck deep inside Russia and inside occupied Crimea within the same operation, damaging two Russian coast guard patrol ships and setting fire to one of Russia's largest oil refineries more than 700 kilometers (435 miles) from Ukraine's border, according to Ukraine's Security Service, known by its Ukrainian acronym SBU."

SHIPS
74OA
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Ukraine is adapting to new Russian tactics and trying to preserve dwindling Patriot missiles for BM defense.

"Russian strikes now traditionally begin with waves of many hundreds of one-way attack (OWA) drones and jet-powered Shaheds alongside decoy drones sent towards Ukraine to saturate its air defenses, the report said.
Closely following was the deployment of dozens of cruise missiles. According to the New York Times, last month alone Russian forces fired at least 126 ballistic missiles, a record high of the conflict.
From the beginning of the war, Ukraine has employed high-end air defense systems, such as the in-demand, American-made Patriot system. But stocks are dwindling, so now, for the initial line of defense against these barrages, Ukraine has relied on a dense, layered network of inexpensive short-range air defense systems (SHORAD), operated by dispersed air defense teams.
Since massing and placing these units behind borders and frontlines at extensive depth, these systems are now able to counter the majority of Russian Geran OWA drones, the report found."

IADS
Windy City Ag
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Quote:

Ukraine is adapting to new Russian tactics to preserve dwindling Patriot missiles for BM defense.


War is the greatest example of necessity being the mother of invention.
74OA
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Rossticus said:




Here's more extended COVERAGE. Putin is getting desperate, IMO.
txags92
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https://nextgendefense.com/russia-battlefield-weapon-starlink/

Quote:

Quote:

A new ground-based electronic warfare (EW) system is Russia's latest attempt to counter Starlink satellite communications, with each unit reportedly capable of jamming up to eight transmission bands simultaneously.
Named "Volna Kupol Grant," the system directs high-frequency radio signals toward Starlink satellites, preventing them from receiving communications within its operating area.
According to its developer, this approach overloads the satellites' onboard antennas, allowing military forces to disrupt communications without physically damaging the spacecraft.
Unlike conventional EW systems that focus on disrupting signals near the receiver, Volna Kupol Grant uses narrow-beam, high-frequency transmissions to target the satellites themselves.




Seems like it would be really easy for Starlink to use the jamming to pinpoint exactly where these things are for a return drone strike.
74OA
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F-16s are carrying an increasingly heavy load defending Ukraine. I wonder how long they can keep up the pace before readiness becomes an issue.

"Ukrainian F-16 pilots have already set records that illustrate just how far the aircraft's role in cruise missile defense has advanced. In December 2024, a Ukrainian F-16 pilot shot down six Russian cruise missiles in a single sortie, using only four air-to-air missiles and the jet's onboard cannon for the final two kills, a feat Ukraine's Air Force described at the time as the first instance anywhere in the world of a fighter destroying that many cruise missiles in one engagement."

VIPER
PJYoung
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74OA
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Imagine if it was a manned fighter making that long inbound run.

I suspect there'd be some big chunks missing from his seat cushion upon RTB.
Rossticus
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Will be interesting to see if this holds up, and if so what the arrangement is.

Rossticus
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Rossticus
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txags92
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Is Russia really that insane? They seem to be inviting NATO air forces to make retaliatory strikes in Russia.
Rossticus
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They're probing to see how far they can go, and slowly creating acclimation/habituation/acceptance by euros. Because they know that up to a mass casualty event, nobody will engage out of fear of "escalation". They also know that the US won't get involved regardless of what they do. So, for them, the risk is exceedingly low and very much worth it.
txags92
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Rossticus said:

They're probing to see how far they can go, and slowly creating acclimation/habituation/acceptance by euros. Because they know that up to a mass casualty event, nobody will engage out of fear of "escalation". They also know that the US won't get involved regardless of what they do. So, for them, the risk is exceedingly low and very much worth it.

I am kind of thinking Putin is still reaching for a way to motivate his population to embrace full mobilization. He hasn't goaded the Ukrainians into attacking civilian targets yet, so maybe he is hoping to incite some limited reaction from NATO? Seems like it would be easier to just do a false flag and attack his own people like he has before.
GAC06
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Rossticus said:

Will be interesting to see if this holds up, and if so what the arrangement is.




I wonder if this is from our stocks or from Europe
PJYoung
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This is stated in the reports of the US State Department, published in the official protocol of the work of the US Congress for August 6, 2026.

The transfer is scheduled to begin immediately after the expiry of the statutory deadline for the 15-day review of communications by Congress. The State Department submitted the relevant documents to the legislators on August 3, 2026.

In general, the Congress reported on the transfer to Ukraine:

12 M270 MLRS launchers;
70 M39 ATACMS ballistic missiles;
2524 unguided 227 mm M26 rockets with DPICM cluster warheads;
47,000 M509A1 203 mm caliber cluster artillery shells for 2S7 "Pion" and M110 self-propelled guns.

According to the report, the transfer will be carried out through Turkish, Bulgarian and American defense and logistics companies-special exporters.

The State Department has told Congress that it is ready to allow the transfer because it is in line with U.S. security assistance goals.

The documents state that Turkey seeks to reduce stocks of obsolete weapons in order to focus financial resources on modernizing and maintaining existing systems. Ukraine, in turn, wants to purchase these weapons to strengthen the offensive and defensive capabilities of fire support during the counteraction of the Russian invasion.
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