***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

9,886,822 Views | 53573 Replies | Last: 37 min ago by Rossticus
fullback44
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Rossticus said:



Ho Lee chit…. That guy isn't too smart
Waffledynamics
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Good thread about recent mid-range strikes.













Rossticus
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Rossticus
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So much for all that drone netting…

Rossticus
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Rossticus
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Not sure if true or BS, but the simple possibility hast to make Russians wonder.

hockeyag
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It's my understanding that Ukraine produced ICBMs for the USSR…if they did it once, they probably still have the skills to do it again.
mickeyrig06sq3
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hockeyag said:

It's my understanding that Ukraine produced ICBMs for the USSR…if they did it once, they probably still have the skills to do it again.

The distance, sure. The problem is accuracy. If your yield is 10MT, you "close enough" is fine. If you're doing a few hundred pounds, you need to be able to drop it within a few feet.
hockeyag
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The Ukrainians are working on autonomous drones with pretty precise targeting. Maybe a ballistic missile is more difficult…I don't know. I doubt that at the moment the Ukrainians care about precision. The terror effect on Russian commanders and the Kremlin would be substantial.
74OA
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It doesn't take precision targeting to hit and damage soft area targets like oil and gas complexes, factory compounds, logistics storage sites, airfields, ports, etc., particularly if the missile disperses multiple sub-munitions.
74OA
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Ukraine's non-stop innovation under fire continues to impress.

"Ukraine has crossed a significant threshold in its air defense campaign against Russian drone attacks: an autonomous interceptor drone that can hunt down and destroy Shahed loitering munitions with minimal human input has now completed its first successful combat engagements in the Kharkiv region."

This will significantly enhance Ukraine's ability to thwart Russia's tactic of using mass drone attacks to saturate the defense beyond its capacity to respond.

AUTONOMOUS
Waffledynamics
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If true, this could aid Ukraine's cross-river activities in the occupied South.
Rossticus
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Rossticus
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Waffledynamics
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Rossticus
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Rossticus
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Rossticus
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Rossticus
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chickencoupe16
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This journalist better stay away from windows
Waffledynamics
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Rossticus
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Claude!
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chickencoupe16 said:

This journalist better stay away from windows

The state will bring the windows to him.
Waffledynamics
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Good God, what a ****show.



Tl;dw: Russia's military has huge incompetence and corruption problems, and the war has become a business for many people. Russia does not have the same existential need to adapt that Ukraine does, and so Russia's corruption is much more pronounced. Furthermore, there is an extensive incentive structure to report good news, no matter how fake. This makes sense of the horribly inaccurate maps the Russian MoD believes are true.
Waffledynamics
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sclaff
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MORE: Ukraine's expanding intermediate-range strike campaign against Russian GLOCs in occupied southern and eastern Ukraine appears to be generating battlefield effects, which will likely continue to mature in the near future.

Crimea-based Ukrainian partisan group Atesh reported on June 8 that one of its agents in the headquarters of the Russian Dnepr Group of Forces reported that elements of the Russian 337th Airborne (VDV) Regiment (104th VDV Division) are abandoning their positions on the northern and western parts of the Kinburn Spit due to "completely disrupted" supplies.

The agent reported that ammunition, fuel, and food deliveries have stopped, that Russian forces on the spit have been unable to repel Ukrainian drone strikes, and that Russian losses have been growing. The agent reported that the Russian military command has begun redeploying an unspecified number of troops from the 337th VDV Regiment to an unspecified part of the "Zaporizhia sector" (possibly referring to the Orikhiv or Hulyaipole directions), but that the remaining elements on the Kinburn Spit are "virtually depleted" due to the lack of replenishment and can no longer defend the spit.

Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces Spokesperson Colonel Vladyslav Voloshyn stated on June 8 that he could neither confirm nor deny the Atesh report but stated that Ukrainian forces are conducting operations to establish fire control over Russian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) in occupied Kherson Oblast so Russian withdrawals from the Kinburn Spit are possible.

Russian forces have previously used their limited positions on the Kinburn Spit to conduct artillery strikes against Ochakiv, Mykolaiv Oblast (four kilometers from the tip of the spit across the Dniprovska Gulf).
sclaff
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Rossticus
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Rossticus
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Rossticus
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Rossticus
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JFABNRGR
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I regret clicking on that X link, may all the orcs rot in hell sooner than later.
“You can resolve to live your life with integrity. Let your credo be this: Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph. But not through me.”
- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
Waffledynamics
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Very good post comparing and contrasting the current operation to hit logistics and the operation to kick Russia out of the right bank of the Dnipro in 2022. Sounds like it's safe to say Ukraine may have big plans.

My phone isn't allowing me to copy the translation for some reason. If someone else can assist, I'd appreciate it.


Waffledynamics
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fullback44
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Rossticus said:




Talk about some road rash …. That's gonna leave a skid mark in the shorts
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